Aggregator

MD 0353 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF WV INTO WESTERN VA
Mesoscale Discussion 0353 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0338 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Areas affected...Portions of WV into western VA Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 022038Z - 022215Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...A tornado, isolated large hail, and damaging winds appear possible with a supercell in West Virginia as it moves eastward. The need for a watch remains unclear, as the overall severe threat will likely remain isolated. DISCUSSION...From a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, a supercell has recently strengthened across WV. The thermodynamic environment across this area remains marginal to support robust convection, as earlier thunderstorms and persistent cloudiness have hindered destabilization to some extent. Still, modest airmass recovery has occurred this afternoon, with latest mesoanalysis estimates showing up to 500 J/kg of MLCAPE present along/downstream of the ongoing supercell. In addition, recent VWPs from KRLX show generally veered, southwesterly low-level flow that quickly strengthens with height through mid levels. Even with these potentially limiting factors, it appears that a TDS has occurred with a recent low-level circulation. In the short term, a tornado will remain possible, along with large hail and damaging winds. Given the isolated severe threat with just one supercell ongoing, the need for a watch downstream remains unclear. Regardless, trends will be closely monitored. ..Gleason/Thompson.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LWX...RNK...RLX... LAT...LON 38468109 38518008 38317870 37607886 37447927 37538015 37838106 38098130 38468109 Read more

WW 0079 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 79 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...HUN...MEG...OHX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 79 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC033-059-077-079-083-089-103-022340- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLBERT FRANKLIN LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON MORGAN MSC003-009-013-017-057-081-095-115-117-139-141-145-022340- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALCORN BENTON CALHOUN CHICKASAW ITAWAMBA LEE MONROE PONTOTOC PRENTISS TIPPAH TISHOMINGO UNION TNC003-005-015-017-021-023-027-031-035-037-039-041-043-049-051- 055-061-069-071-077-079-081-083-085-087-099-101-103-109-111-113- 117-119-125-127-133-135-137-141-147-149-159-161-165-169-175-177- 181-185-187-189-022340- Read more

WW 0080 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 80 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..LYONS..04/02/24 ATTN...WFO...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 80 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TNC001-007-009-011-013-025-029-057-059-063-065-067-073-089-093- 105-107-115-121-123-129-139-143-145-151-153-155-163-171-173-179- 022340- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON BLEDSOE BLOUNT BRADLEY CAMPBELL CLAIBORNE COCKE GRAINGER GREENE HAMBLEN HAMILTON HANCOCK HAWKINS JEFFERSON KNOX LOUDON MCMINN MARION MEIGS MONROE MORGAN POLK RHEA ROANE SCOTT SEQUATCHIE SEVIER SULLIVAN UNICOI UNION WASHINGTON VAC105-169-195-720-022340- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LEE SCOTT WISE Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z A multi-day period of critical fire-weather conditions are expected across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday, where fine fuels should become increasingly supportive of large fires, given antecedent drying across the region. Elsewhere, dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are expected across the Southeast (including northern FL) on Day 3/Thursday; however, preceding rainfall should generally limit fire-weather concerns here. ...Days 4-6/Friday-Sunday - Central/Southern High Plains... Deep/strong meridional flow will overspread the central/southern High Plains ahead of an amplifying western CONUS mid/upper-level trough/low on Day 4/Friday. This will yield an expansive north-south corridor of strong southerly surface winds and low RH, favoring critical fire-weather conditions. On Day 5/Saturday, the mid/upper-level trough/low will eject eastward across the central/southern Plains. A related belt of very strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow, and rapidly deepening surface cyclone over the central High Plains, will favor high-end critical conditions behind a surging dryline/Pacific front over the southern High Plains. Thereafter, the midlevel low will continue eastward across the central Plains on Day 6/Sunday, and associated strong deep-layer westerlies will persist across the southern High Plains behind the front. This will support a continuation of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions over parts of the area. Fire-weather potential may re-develop across the southern High Plains on Days 7-8/Monday-Tuesday -- ahead of another midlevel trough/low over the Southwest. However, the details are unclear at this time -- precluding Critical probabilities. ..Weinman.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more