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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0459 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 271200Z - 021200Z Fire weather concerns are expected to remain generally low in the extended, given large-scale ridge over the west limiting concerns over the Desert Southwest and High Plains where fuels are the driest. Occasional periods of localized Elevated and spotty Critical fire weather concerns will be possible in lee of the higher terrain across central and southern New Mexico, where downslope breezes will overlap single digit relative humidity and very warm temperatures. Overall, this threat looks to remain isolated and short in duration. Late in the period on D7/Friday, a trough across the Intermountain West will track into the Central Plains, with surface troughing strengthening again across the High Plains. Elevated to Critical fire weather may return across New Mexico into western Texas. Differences in long range model solutions lead to low confidence in including areas at this time. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0456 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0156 AM CDT Sat May 25 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions appear probable across parts of the southern High Plains Sunday afternoon. Residual west/northwesterly mid-level flow in the wake of a departing synoptic low will persist across the southern Rockies through Sunday evening. This will promote weak lee troughing across southern TX while surface high pressure builds across the Intermountain West. Consequently, northwesterly pressure gradient winds are forecast to increase to around 15 mph across much of eastern and southern NM into adjacent portions of western TX. Very dry conditions will persist through the weekend with widespread RH minimums in the single digits to low teens Sunday afternoon. Widespread elevated fire weather conditions appear probable with localized areas of critical conditions possible. Latest ensemble and deterministic solutions hint that critical conditions may be confined to the lee of terrain features where winds may reach 20-25 mph. However, weakening mid-level winds through the day should limit the potential for more widespread critical conditions. Regardless, most fine fuels are already receptive based on recent fuel analyses, and very dry and windy conditions on Saturday will promote additional fuel drying for Sunday that will support the fire weather threat. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0456 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0156 AM CDT Sat May 25 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions appear probable across parts of the southern High Plains Sunday afternoon. Residual west/northwesterly mid-level flow in the wake of a departing synoptic low will persist across the southern Rockies through Sunday evening. This will promote weak lee troughing across southern TX while surface high pressure builds across the Intermountain West. Consequently, northwesterly pressure gradient winds are forecast to increase to around 15 mph across much of eastern and southern NM into adjacent portions of western TX. Very dry conditions will persist through the weekend with widespread RH minimums in the single digits to low teens Sunday afternoon. Widespread elevated fire weather conditions appear probable with localized areas of critical conditions possible. Latest ensemble and deterministic solutions hint that critical conditions may be confined to the lee of terrain features where winds may reach 20-25 mph. However, weakening mid-level winds through the day should limit the potential for more widespread critical conditions. Regardless, most fine fuels are already receptive based on recent fuel analyses, and very dry and windy conditions on Saturday will promote additional fuel drying for Sunday that will support the fire weather threat. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more