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SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0654 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2024 Valid 061300Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected. Isolated weak thunderstorms are possible today from southeast Arizona and southern New Mexico to East Texas. ...Discussion... Rising heights are expected today over much of the northern tier and eastern seaboard in the wake of an exiting prominent upper-level trough, while a slow-moving upper low persists over southern portions of Arizona/New Mexico and northwest Mexico. A few thunderstorms will be possible near/east of this upper low, potentially including parts of southeast Arizona, southern New Mexico, and far west Texas within a marginally unstable environment. Modestly increasing warm advection/elevated moisture transport into tonight should lead to an increase in elevated convection across Texas, some of which will be capable of lightning, particularly across central/north-central Texas tonight. ..Guyer/Broyles.. 12/06/2024 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0654 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2024 Valid 061300Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected. Isolated weak thunderstorms are possible today from southeast Arizona and southern New Mexico to East Texas. ...Discussion... Rising heights are expected today over much of the northern tier and eastern seaboard in the wake of an exiting prominent upper-level trough, while a slow-moving upper low persists over southern portions of Arizona/New Mexico and northwest Mexico. A few thunderstorms will be possible near/east of this upper low, potentially including parts of southeast Arizona, southern New Mexico, and far west Texas within a marginally unstable environment. Modestly increasing warm advection/elevated moisture transport into tonight should lead to an increase in elevated convection across Texas, some of which will be capable of lightning, particularly across central/north-central Texas tonight. ..Guyer/Broyles.. 12/06/2024 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0654 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2024 Valid 061300Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected. Isolated weak thunderstorms are possible today from southeast Arizona and southern New Mexico to East Texas. ...Discussion... Rising heights are expected today over much of the northern tier and eastern seaboard in the wake of an exiting prominent upper-level trough, while a slow-moving upper low persists over southern portions of Arizona/New Mexico and northwest Mexico. A few thunderstorms will be possible near/east of this upper low, potentially including parts of southeast Arizona, southern New Mexico, and far west Texas within a marginally unstable environment. Modestly increasing warm advection/elevated moisture transport into tonight should lead to an increase in elevated convection across Texas, some of which will be capable of lightning, particularly across central/north-central Texas tonight. ..Guyer/Broyles.. 12/06/2024 Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0336 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2024 Valid 091200Z - 141200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium-range guidance is in relatively good agreement that significant amplification of the upper pattern will take place next week as a strong and deep upper trough traverses the CONUS. The initial development of this upper trough is forecast to begin on D4/Monday as a shortwave trough moves through the Great Basin into the Southwest while another moves from the Upper Midwest across the Upper Great Lakes and Ontario. By early D5/Tuesday, evolution of these systems will have likely resulted in broad and deep upper troughing across much of the central North America. This trough is then expected to continue eastward as a shortwave trough progresses through its base, helping to sharpen the trough and strengthening mid-level flow. Consensus within the guidance places a 120 kt 500 mb jet streak from AL through the central Appalachians on D6/Wednesday. The embedded shortwave is forecast to continue quickly eastward/northeastward across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic on D6/Wednesday, helping to induce a more negative tilt to the parent upper troughing. A strong cold front will likely accompany this system, progressing eastward through the Plains on D4/Monday, the MS and OH Valleys and Southeast on D5/Tuesday, and off the East Coast on D6/Wednesday. Favorable low-level moisture may be in place ahead of this front across the Southeast on D5/Tuesday. However, a front-parallel orientation of the deep-layer shear is anticipated, and buoyancy will likely remain modest, limiting severe potential. Favorable low-level moisture may exist ahead of the front across the Mid-Atlantic on D6/Wednesday as well, with strengthening deep-layer vertical shear and large-scale ascent anticipated across the region as well. As a result, some severe appears possible, but uncertainty regarding frontal position limits predictability. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0336 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2024 Valid 091200Z - 141200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium-range guidance is in relatively good agreement that significant amplification of the upper pattern will take place next week as a strong and deep upper trough traverses the CONUS. The initial development of this upper trough is forecast to begin on D4/Monday as a shortwave trough moves through the Great Basin into the Southwest while another moves from the Upper Midwest across the Upper Great Lakes and Ontario. By early D5/Tuesday, evolution of these systems will have likely resulted in broad and deep upper troughing across much of the central North America. This trough is then expected to continue eastward as a shortwave trough progresses through its base, helping to sharpen the trough and strengthening mid-level flow. Consensus within the guidance places a 120 kt 500 mb jet streak from AL through the central Appalachians on D6/Wednesday. The embedded shortwave is forecast to continue quickly eastward/northeastward across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic on D6/Wednesday, helping to induce a more negative tilt to the parent upper troughing. A strong cold front will likely accompany this system, progressing eastward through the Plains on D4/Monday, the MS and OH Valleys and Southeast on D5/Tuesday, and off the East Coast on D6/Wednesday. Favorable low-level moisture may be in place ahead of this front across the Southeast on D5/Tuesday. However, a front-parallel orientation of the deep-layer shear is anticipated, and buoyancy will likely remain modest, limiting severe potential. Favorable low-level moisture may exist ahead of the front across the Mid-Atlantic on D6/Wednesday as well, with strengthening deep-layer vertical shear and large-scale ascent anticipated across the region as well. As a result, some severe appears possible, but uncertainty regarding frontal position limits predictability. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0336 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2024 Valid 091200Z - 141200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium-range guidance is in relatively good agreement that significant amplification of the upper pattern will take place next week as a strong and deep upper trough traverses the CONUS. The initial development of this upper trough is forecast to begin on D4/Monday as a shortwave trough moves through the Great Basin into the Southwest while another moves from the Upper Midwest across the Upper Great Lakes and Ontario. By early D5/Tuesday, evolution of these systems will have likely resulted in broad and deep upper troughing across much of the central North America. This trough is then expected to continue eastward as a shortwave trough progresses through its base, helping to sharpen the trough and strengthening mid-level flow. Consensus within the guidance places a 120 kt 500 mb jet streak from AL through the central Appalachians on D6/Wednesday. The embedded shortwave is forecast to continue quickly eastward/northeastward across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic on D6/Wednesday, helping to induce a more negative tilt to the parent upper troughing. A strong cold front will likely accompany this system, progressing eastward through the Plains on D4/Monday, the MS and OH Valleys and Southeast on D5/Tuesday, and off the East Coast on D6/Wednesday. Favorable low-level moisture may be in place ahead of this front across the Southeast on D5/Tuesday. However, a front-parallel orientation of the deep-layer shear is anticipated, and buoyancy will likely remain modest, limiting severe potential. Favorable low-level moisture may exist ahead of the front across the Mid-Atlantic on D6/Wednesday as well, with strengthening deep-layer vertical shear and large-scale ascent anticipated across the region as well. As a result, some severe appears possible, but uncertainty regarding frontal position limits predictability. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0336 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2024 Valid 091200Z - 141200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium-range guidance is in relatively good agreement that significant amplification of the upper pattern will take place next week as a strong and deep upper trough traverses the CONUS. The initial development of this upper trough is forecast to begin on D4/Monday as a shortwave trough moves through the Great Basin into the Southwest while another moves from the Upper Midwest across the Upper Great Lakes and Ontario. By early D5/Tuesday, evolution of these systems will have likely resulted in broad and deep upper troughing across much of the central North America. This trough is then expected to continue eastward as a shortwave trough progresses through its base, helping to sharpen the trough and strengthening mid-level flow. Consensus within the guidance places a 120 kt 500 mb jet streak from AL through the central Appalachians on D6/Wednesday. The embedded shortwave is forecast to continue quickly eastward/northeastward across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic on D6/Wednesday, helping to induce a more negative tilt to the parent upper troughing. A strong cold front will likely accompany this system, progressing eastward through the Plains on D4/Monday, the MS and OH Valleys and Southeast on D5/Tuesday, and off the East Coast on D6/Wednesday. Favorable low-level moisture may be in place ahead of this front across the Southeast on D5/Tuesday. However, a front-parallel orientation of the deep-layer shear is anticipated, and buoyancy will likely remain modest, limiting severe potential. Favorable low-level moisture may exist ahead of the front across the Mid-Atlantic on D6/Wednesday as well, with strengthening deep-layer vertical shear and large-scale ascent anticipated across the region as well. As a result, some severe appears possible, but uncertainty regarding frontal position limits predictability. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0336 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2024 Valid 091200Z - 141200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium-range guidance is in relatively good agreement that significant amplification of the upper pattern will take place next week as a strong and deep upper trough traverses the CONUS. The initial development of this upper trough is forecast to begin on D4/Monday as a shortwave trough moves through the Great Basin into the Southwest while another moves from the Upper Midwest across the Upper Great Lakes and Ontario. By early D5/Tuesday, evolution of these systems will have likely resulted in broad and deep upper troughing across much of the central North America. This trough is then expected to continue eastward as a shortwave trough progresses through its base, helping to sharpen the trough and strengthening mid-level flow. Consensus within the guidance places a 120 kt 500 mb jet streak from AL through the central Appalachians on D6/Wednesday. The embedded shortwave is forecast to continue quickly eastward/northeastward across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic on D6/Wednesday, helping to induce a more negative tilt to the parent upper troughing. A strong cold front will likely accompany this system, progressing eastward through the Plains on D4/Monday, the MS and OH Valleys and Southeast on D5/Tuesday, and off the East Coast on D6/Wednesday. Favorable low-level moisture may be in place ahead of this front across the Southeast on D5/Tuesday. However, a front-parallel orientation of the deep-layer shear is anticipated, and buoyancy will likely remain modest, limiting severe potential. Favorable low-level moisture may exist ahead of the front across the Mid-Atlantic on D6/Wednesday as well, with strengthening deep-layer vertical shear and large-scale ascent anticipated across the region as well. As a result, some severe appears possible, but uncertainty regarding frontal position limits predictability. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0336 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2024 Valid 091200Z - 141200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium-range guidance is in relatively good agreement that significant amplification of the upper pattern will take place next week as a strong and deep upper trough traverses the CONUS. The initial development of this upper trough is forecast to begin on D4/Monday as a shortwave trough moves through the Great Basin into the Southwest while another moves from the Upper Midwest across the Upper Great Lakes and Ontario. By early D5/Tuesday, evolution of these systems will have likely resulted in broad and deep upper troughing across much of the central North America. This trough is then expected to continue eastward as a shortwave trough progresses through its base, helping to sharpen the trough and strengthening mid-level flow. Consensus within the guidance places a 120 kt 500 mb jet streak from AL through the central Appalachians on D6/Wednesday. The embedded shortwave is forecast to continue quickly eastward/northeastward across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic on D6/Wednesday, helping to induce a more negative tilt to the parent upper troughing. A strong cold front will likely accompany this system, progressing eastward through the Plains on D4/Monday, the MS and OH Valleys and Southeast on D5/Tuesday, and off the East Coast on D6/Wednesday. Favorable low-level moisture may be in place ahead of this front across the Southeast on D5/Tuesday. However, a front-parallel orientation of the deep-layer shear is anticipated, and buoyancy will likely remain modest, limiting severe potential. Favorable low-level moisture may exist ahead of the front across the Mid-Atlantic on D6/Wednesday as well, with strengthening deep-layer vertical shear and large-scale ascent anticipated across the region as well. As a result, some severe appears possible, but uncertainty regarding frontal position limits predictability. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0336 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2024 Valid 091200Z - 141200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium-range guidance is in relatively good agreement that significant amplification of the upper pattern will take place next week as a strong and deep upper trough traverses the CONUS. The initial development of this upper trough is forecast to begin on D4/Monday as a shortwave trough moves through the Great Basin into the Southwest while another moves from the Upper Midwest across the Upper Great Lakes and Ontario. By early D5/Tuesday, evolution of these systems will have likely resulted in broad and deep upper troughing across much of the central North America. This trough is then expected to continue eastward as a shortwave trough progresses through its base, helping to sharpen the trough and strengthening mid-level flow. Consensus within the guidance places a 120 kt 500 mb jet streak from AL through the central Appalachians on D6/Wednesday. The embedded shortwave is forecast to continue quickly eastward/northeastward across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic on D6/Wednesday, helping to induce a more negative tilt to the parent upper troughing. A strong cold front will likely accompany this system, progressing eastward through the Plains on D4/Monday, the MS and OH Valleys and Southeast on D5/Tuesday, and off the East Coast on D6/Wednesday. Favorable low-level moisture may be in place ahead of this front across the Southeast on D5/Tuesday. However, a front-parallel orientation of the deep-layer shear is anticipated, and buoyancy will likely remain modest, limiting severe potential. Favorable low-level moisture may exist ahead of the front across the Mid-Atlantic on D6/Wednesday as well, with strengthening deep-layer vertical shear and large-scale ascent anticipated across the region as well. As a result, some severe appears possible, but uncertainty regarding frontal position limits predictability. Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0219 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from southeast Texas into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Mid-South on Sunday. The probability for severe thunderstorms is very low. ...Synopsis... Upper low expected to be over the TX Panhandle early Sunday is forecast to devolve into an open wave as it progresses northeastward across OK and the Ozarks into the Mid MS Valley. Enhanced mid-level southwesterly flow will accompany this system, spreading from the Mid/Lower MS Valley and into the TN Valley and Southeast as the wave moves northeastward. Strengthening low to mid-level flow is anticipated ahead of this system as well. Overall progression of this system will displace it north of the more favorable low-level moisture, which will be confined to the upper TX Coast early Sunday before advecting northeastward into more of the Lower MS Valley/Mid-South throughout the day. Warm-air advection across this moistening warm sector and modest buoyancy may result in elevated thunderstorms embedded within the larger precipitation shield. Deep-layer vertical shear will be strong but the limited buoyancy should keep the overall severe potential low. ..Mosier.. 12/06/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0219 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from southeast Texas into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Mid-South on Sunday. The probability for severe thunderstorms is very low. ...Synopsis... Upper low expected to be over the TX Panhandle early Sunday is forecast to devolve into an open wave as it progresses northeastward across OK and the Ozarks into the Mid MS Valley. Enhanced mid-level southwesterly flow will accompany this system, spreading from the Mid/Lower MS Valley and into the TN Valley and Southeast as the wave moves northeastward. Strengthening low to mid-level flow is anticipated ahead of this system as well. Overall progression of this system will displace it north of the more favorable low-level moisture, which will be confined to the upper TX Coast early Sunday before advecting northeastward into more of the Lower MS Valley/Mid-South throughout the day. Warm-air advection across this moistening warm sector and modest buoyancy may result in elevated thunderstorms embedded within the larger precipitation shield. Deep-layer vertical shear will be strong but the limited buoyancy should keep the overall severe potential low. ..Mosier.. 12/06/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0219 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from southeast Texas into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Mid-South on Sunday. The probability for severe thunderstorms is very low. ...Synopsis... Upper low expected to be over the TX Panhandle early Sunday is forecast to devolve into an open wave as it progresses northeastward across OK and the Ozarks into the Mid MS Valley. Enhanced mid-level southwesterly flow will accompany this system, spreading from the Mid/Lower MS Valley and into the TN Valley and Southeast as the wave moves northeastward. Strengthening low to mid-level flow is anticipated ahead of this system as well. Overall progression of this system will displace it north of the more favorable low-level moisture, which will be confined to the upper TX Coast early Sunday before advecting northeastward into more of the Lower MS Valley/Mid-South throughout the day. Warm-air advection across this moistening warm sector and modest buoyancy may result in elevated thunderstorms embedded within the larger precipitation shield. Deep-layer vertical shear will be strong but the limited buoyancy should keep the overall severe potential low. ..Mosier.. 12/06/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0219 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from southeast Texas into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Mid-South on Sunday. The probability for severe thunderstorms is very low. ...Synopsis... Upper low expected to be over the TX Panhandle early Sunday is forecast to devolve into an open wave as it progresses northeastward across OK and the Ozarks into the Mid MS Valley. Enhanced mid-level southwesterly flow will accompany this system, spreading from the Mid/Lower MS Valley and into the TN Valley and Southeast as the wave moves northeastward. Strengthening low to mid-level flow is anticipated ahead of this system as well. Overall progression of this system will displace it north of the more favorable low-level moisture, which will be confined to the upper TX Coast early Sunday before advecting northeastward into more of the Lower MS Valley/Mid-South throughout the day. Warm-air advection across this moistening warm sector and modest buoyancy may result in elevated thunderstorms embedded within the larger precipitation shield. Deep-layer vertical shear will be strong but the limited buoyancy should keep the overall severe potential low. ..Mosier.. 12/06/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0219 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from southeast Texas into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Mid-South on Sunday. The probability for severe thunderstorms is very low. ...Synopsis... Upper low expected to be over the TX Panhandle early Sunday is forecast to devolve into an open wave as it progresses northeastward across OK and the Ozarks into the Mid MS Valley. Enhanced mid-level southwesterly flow will accompany this system, spreading from the Mid/Lower MS Valley and into the TN Valley and Southeast as the wave moves northeastward. Strengthening low to mid-level flow is anticipated ahead of this system as well. Overall progression of this system will displace it north of the more favorable low-level moisture, which will be confined to the upper TX Coast early Sunday before advecting northeastward into more of the Lower MS Valley/Mid-South throughout the day. Warm-air advection across this moistening warm sector and modest buoyancy may result in elevated thunderstorms embedded within the larger precipitation shield. Deep-layer vertical shear will be strong but the limited buoyancy should keep the overall severe potential low. ..Mosier.. 12/06/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0219 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from southeast Texas into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Mid-South on Sunday. The probability for severe thunderstorms is very low. ...Synopsis... Upper low expected to be over the TX Panhandle early Sunday is forecast to devolve into an open wave as it progresses northeastward across OK and the Ozarks into the Mid MS Valley. Enhanced mid-level southwesterly flow will accompany this system, spreading from the Mid/Lower MS Valley and into the TN Valley and Southeast as the wave moves northeastward. Strengthening low to mid-level flow is anticipated ahead of this system as well. Overall progression of this system will displace it north of the more favorable low-level moisture, which will be confined to the upper TX Coast early Sunday before advecting northeastward into more of the Lower MS Valley/Mid-South throughout the day. Warm-air advection across this moistening warm sector and modest buoyancy may result in elevated thunderstorms embedded within the larger precipitation shield. Deep-layer vertical shear will be strong but the limited buoyancy should keep the overall severe potential low. ..Mosier.. 12/06/2024 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0219 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from southeast Texas into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Mid-South on Sunday. The probability for severe thunderstorms is very low. ...Synopsis... Upper low expected to be over the TX Panhandle early Sunday is forecast to devolve into an open wave as it progresses northeastward across OK and the Ozarks into the Mid MS Valley. Enhanced mid-level southwesterly flow will accompany this system, spreading from the Mid/Lower MS Valley and into the TN Valley and Southeast as the wave moves northeastward. Strengthening low to mid-level flow is anticipated ahead of this system as well. Overall progression of this system will displace it north of the more favorable low-level moisture, which will be confined to the upper TX Coast early Sunday before advecting northeastward into more of the Lower MS Valley/Mid-South throughout the day. Warm-air advection across this moistening warm sector and modest buoyancy may result in elevated thunderstorms embedded within the larger precipitation shield. Deep-layer vertical shear will be strong but the limited buoyancy should keep the overall severe potential low. ..Mosier.. 12/06/2024 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0138 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2024 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Limited fire weather concerns are expected for Saturday across the country, though localized concerns are possible within the higher terrain of the southern CA coast. The persistent offshore flow regime over southern CA is expected to slowly abate through the day Saturday as the upper trough currently over southern AZ ejects into the southern Plains, resulting in weakening low to mid-level flow across the region. Areas of elevated fire weather conditions (featuring 15-25 mph winds and 15-20% RH) will likely be ongoing at the start of the period within the higher terrain, but should become more isolated after 18 UTC. While similar wind/RH conditions are possible early Saturday compared to today (Friday), latest high-res guidance suggests the overall coverage of such conditions should be more limited, which precludes highlights at this time, though trends will continue to be monitored. ..Moore.. 12/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0138 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2024 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Limited fire weather concerns are expected for Saturday across the country, though localized concerns are possible within the higher terrain of the southern CA coast. The persistent offshore flow regime over southern CA is expected to slowly abate through the day Saturday as the upper trough currently over southern AZ ejects into the southern Plains, resulting in weakening low to mid-level flow across the region. Areas of elevated fire weather conditions (featuring 15-25 mph winds and 15-20% RH) will likely be ongoing at the start of the period within the higher terrain, but should become more isolated after 18 UTC. While similar wind/RH conditions are possible early Saturday compared to today (Friday), latest high-res guidance suggests the overall coverage of such conditions should be more limited, which precludes highlights at this time, though trends will continue to be monitored. ..Moore.. 12/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0138 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2024 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Limited fire weather concerns are expected for Saturday across the country, though localized concerns are possible within the higher terrain of the southern CA coast. The persistent offshore flow regime over southern CA is expected to slowly abate through the day Saturday as the upper trough currently over southern AZ ejects into the southern Plains, resulting in weakening low to mid-level flow across the region. Areas of elevated fire weather conditions (featuring 15-25 mph winds and 15-20% RH) will likely be ongoing at the start of the period within the higher terrain, but should become more isolated after 18 UTC. While similar wind/RH conditions are possible early Saturday compared to today (Friday), latest high-res guidance suggests the overall coverage of such conditions should be more limited, which precludes highlights at this time, though trends will continue to be monitored. ..Moore.. 12/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more