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SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1134 AM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST AND CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are possible across parts of the Southeast, Mid-Atlantic, and upper Ohio Valley on Sunday. ...Southeast and Mid-Atlantic Vicinity... A negative-tilt mid/upper trough will progress quickly northeast from the MS/TN Valley to the lower Great Lakes/Mid-Atlantic on Sunday. A strong 70-90 kt midlevel jet over the TN/OH Valley early in the period will weaken somewhat as the system lifts northeast. Nevertheless, abundant vertical shear will overspread the region through the daytime and evening hours. A mixed convective mode is expected, especially with southward extent into SC/GA and northern FL with a QLCS and semi-discrete cells possible. With northward extent and where stronger large-scale ascent will be focused, a narrow band of convection will move across portions of WV/VA/NC. Stronger instability will be focused to the south, from SC into north FL, where 60s F dewpoints will allow for 500-1200 J/kg MLCAPE. Weaker boundary-layer moisture and cooler temperatures with northward extent will limit surface-based instability. Nevertheless, fast moving linear convection will still pose a risk for sporadic strong to severe wind gusts from NC into VA/WV. Where stronger instability and potential for semi-discrete cells are forecast from SC southward, a greater risk for damaging gusts, a few tornadoes and marginally severe hail will exist. ...Ohio Valley... A synoptically favorable setup for cold-core convection will overspread the region during the afternoon as a surface low lifts northeast near the IN/OH border. A narrow corridor of mid-50s F dewpoints will nose into central OH ahead of the low and attendant surface front. Modest steepening of midlevel lapse rates associated with the ejecting upper trough will support minor destabilization (generally less than 250 J/kg MUCAPE) amid modest vertical shear. Thermodynamic profiles indicate low-topped convection is possible, though CAMs guidance is very anemic in the depiction of this convection given poor thermodynamics. Nevertheless, at least a conditional risk, mainly for strong gusts, will exist during the early to mid afternoon. ..Leitman.. 12/28/2024 Read more

WW 0718 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 718 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE TYR TO 20 ESE GGG TO 15 NW SHV. ..WENDT..12/28/24 ATTN...WFO...LCH...LIX...SHV...JAN...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 718 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC001-003-005-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-025-027-029-031-033- 037-039-041-043-047-049-053-055-059-061-063-065-069-073-077-079- 081-083-085-091-097-099-103-105-107-111-115-117-119-121-125-127- 281840- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ACADIA ALLEN ASCENSION AVOYELLES BEAUREGARD BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO CALCASIEU CALDWELL CATAHOULA CLAIBORNE CONCORDIA DE SOTO EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE FRANKLIN GRANT IBERVILLE JACKSON JEFFERSON DAVIS LAFAYETTE LA SALLE LINCOLN LIVINGSTON MADISON NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES RED RIVER RICHLAND SABINE ST. HELENA ST. LANDRY ST. MARTIN ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA TENSAS UNION VERNON WASHINGTON WEBSTER WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA WINN Read more

WW 0719 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 719 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S AUS TO 25 WNW CRS. ..WENDT..12/28/24 ATTN...WFO...FWD...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 719 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC001-041-051-145-161-185-289-291-293-313-331-339-395-407-471- 477-281840- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON BRAZOS BURLESON FALLS FREESTONE GRIMES LEON LIBERTY LIMESTONE MADISON MILAM MONTGOMERY ROBERTSON SAN JACINTO WALKER WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

MD 2298 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 718... FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN TEXAS INTO LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI
Mesoscale Discussion 2298 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0933 AM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 Areas affected...portions of eastern Texas into Louisiana and southwestern Mississippi Concerning...Tornado Watch 718... Valid 281533Z - 281730Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 718 continues. SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Tornado Watch 718. Damaging gusts, large hail, and a couple of tornadoes may occur through the remainder of the morning. DISCUSSION...Recent MRMS mosaic radar imagery depicts a decreasing trend in convective coverage and intensity across portions of the Lower MS Valley along the warm front, possibly due to localized subsidence preceding a rapidly approaching mid-level trough/speed max. Even so, the boundary layer continues to further destabilize with the onset of diurnal heating. South of the warm front, temperatures are rising over 70 F amid 68-70 F dewpoints over some locales, contributing to 1500-2000 J/kg MLCAPE per 15Z mesoanalysis. The low-level jet axis and upper-level speed maxima are still located over portions of eastern TX, contributing to modest warm-sector hodographs. When factoring in potential large-scale subsidence, the severe threat may remain on the more isolated end of the spectrum over the next few hours. However, the mid-level trough should rapidly translate eastward, resulting in increased forcing for ascent, as well as a further increase in both deep-layer and low-level shear past late morning. The increase in forcing and shear will coincide with an optimally buoyant boundary layer to support a more concentrated severe threat by afternoon, including the potential for strong tornadoes. Currently, a confluence band resides across the easternmost counties of Texas, which may serve as the impetus for potential supercell development later this afternoon. Any supercells that can mature and sustain themselves within this band will have the best chance for strong tornadoes. Otherwise, all severe hazards may accompany an approaching QLCS that is in the process of developing across central TX. ..Squitieri.. 12/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD... LAT...LON 32289491 32499254 32369033 31598953 30848935 30268968 30099113 30119270 30089370 30269451 30539503 30919553 31289554 31949539 32289491 Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1042 AM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z Elevated fire weather conditions are expected for a few hours this afternoon across portions of the Edwards Plateau and Rio Grande Plains in Texas, where sustained northwesterly winds of 15-20 mph overlap minimum RH values near 15% and at least modestly receptive fuels. Primary modification with this forecast update was to extend the Elevated Fire Weather area a bit farther east across the Edwards Plateau, where the latest guidance suggests fuels are critically receptive - this area is also in Severe-to-Extreme drought based on the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 12/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1138 PM CST Fri Dec 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will exit the Plains today before moving across the southeastern US. High pressure will build in across the western US, with heights rising over the Rockies. Cooler northwesterly flow will filter across the high terrain and into Plains, with increasing relative humidity. Increased northwesterly flow sustained around 15-20 mph (gusting 25-35 mph) will overlap relative-humidity reductions to around 15 percent across portions of far western Texas. Elevated fire weather concerns are expected across parts of the Texas Hill Country near the Rio Grande. Though 100-hour fuels remain around the 50-70th percentile, fine fuels and freeze cured grasses may support fire spread given potential for stronger winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1042 AM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z Elevated fire weather conditions are expected for a few hours this afternoon across portions of the Edwards Plateau and Rio Grande Plains in Texas, where sustained northwesterly winds of 15-20 mph overlap minimum RH values near 15% and at least modestly receptive fuels. Primary modification with this forecast update was to extend the Elevated Fire Weather area a bit farther east across the Edwards Plateau, where the latest guidance suggests fuels are critically receptive - this area is also in Severe-to-Extreme drought based on the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 12/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1138 PM CST Fri Dec 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will exit the Plains today before moving across the southeastern US. High pressure will build in across the western US, with heights rising over the Rockies. Cooler northwesterly flow will filter across the high terrain and into Plains, with increasing relative humidity. Increased northwesterly flow sustained around 15-20 mph (gusting 25-35 mph) will overlap relative-humidity reductions to around 15 percent across portions of far western Texas. Elevated fire weather concerns are expected across parts of the Texas Hill Country near the Rio Grande. Though 100-hour fuels remain around the 50-70th percentile, fine fuels and freeze cured grasses may support fire spread given potential for stronger winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1042 AM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z Elevated fire weather conditions are expected for a few hours this afternoon across portions of the Edwards Plateau and Rio Grande Plains in Texas, where sustained northwesterly winds of 15-20 mph overlap minimum RH values near 15% and at least modestly receptive fuels. Primary modification with this forecast update was to extend the Elevated Fire Weather area a bit farther east across the Edwards Plateau, where the latest guidance suggests fuels are critically receptive - this area is also in Severe-to-Extreme drought based on the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 12/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1138 PM CST Fri Dec 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will exit the Plains today before moving across the southeastern US. High pressure will build in across the western US, with heights rising over the Rockies. Cooler northwesterly flow will filter across the high terrain and into Plains, with increasing relative humidity. Increased northwesterly flow sustained around 15-20 mph (gusting 25-35 mph) will overlap relative-humidity reductions to around 15 percent across portions of far western Texas. Elevated fire weather concerns are expected across parts of the Texas Hill Country near the Rio Grande. Though 100-hour fuels remain around the 50-70th percentile, fine fuels and freeze cured grasses may support fire spread given potential for stronger winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1042 AM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z Elevated fire weather conditions are expected for a few hours this afternoon across portions of the Edwards Plateau and Rio Grande Plains in Texas, where sustained northwesterly winds of 15-20 mph overlap minimum RH values near 15% and at least modestly receptive fuels. Primary modification with this forecast update was to extend the Elevated Fire Weather area a bit farther east across the Edwards Plateau, where the latest guidance suggests fuels are critically receptive - this area is also in Severe-to-Extreme drought based on the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 12/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1138 PM CST Fri Dec 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will exit the Plains today before moving across the southeastern US. High pressure will build in across the western US, with heights rising over the Rockies. Cooler northwesterly flow will filter across the high terrain and into Plains, with increasing relative humidity. Increased northwesterly flow sustained around 15-20 mph (gusting 25-35 mph) will overlap relative-humidity reductions to around 15 percent across portions of far western Texas. Elevated fire weather concerns are expected across parts of the Texas Hill Country near the Rio Grande. Though 100-hour fuels remain around the 50-70th percentile, fine fuels and freeze cured grasses may support fire spread given potential for stronger winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1042 AM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z Elevated fire weather conditions are expected for a few hours this afternoon across portions of the Edwards Plateau and Rio Grande Plains in Texas, where sustained northwesterly winds of 15-20 mph overlap minimum RH values near 15% and at least modestly receptive fuels. Primary modification with this forecast update was to extend the Elevated Fire Weather area a bit farther east across the Edwards Plateau, where the latest guidance suggests fuels are critically receptive - this area is also in Severe-to-Extreme drought based on the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 12/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1138 PM CST Fri Dec 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will exit the Plains today before moving across the southeastern US. High pressure will build in across the western US, with heights rising over the Rockies. Cooler northwesterly flow will filter across the high terrain and into Plains, with increasing relative humidity. Increased northwesterly flow sustained around 15-20 mph (gusting 25-35 mph) will overlap relative-humidity reductions to around 15 percent across portions of far western Texas. Elevated fire weather concerns are expected across parts of the Texas Hill Country near the Rio Grande. Though 100-hour fuels remain around the 50-70th percentile, fine fuels and freeze cured grasses may support fire spread given potential for stronger winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1042 AM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z Elevated fire weather conditions are expected for a few hours this afternoon across portions of the Edwards Plateau and Rio Grande Plains in Texas, where sustained northwesterly winds of 15-20 mph overlap minimum RH values near 15% and at least modestly receptive fuels. Primary modification with this forecast update was to extend the Elevated Fire Weather area a bit farther east across the Edwards Plateau, where the latest guidance suggests fuels are critically receptive - this area is also in Severe-to-Extreme drought based on the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 12/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1138 PM CST Fri Dec 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will exit the Plains today before moving across the southeastern US. High pressure will build in across the western US, with heights rising over the Rockies. Cooler northwesterly flow will filter across the high terrain and into Plains, with increasing relative humidity. Increased northwesterly flow sustained around 15-20 mph (gusting 25-35 mph) will overlap relative-humidity reductions to around 15 percent across portions of far western Texas. Elevated fire weather concerns are expected across parts of the Texas Hill Country near the Rio Grande. Though 100-hour fuels remain around the 50-70th percentile, fine fuels and freeze cured grasses may support fire spread given potential for stronger winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1042 AM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z Elevated fire weather conditions are expected for a few hours this afternoon across portions of the Edwards Plateau and Rio Grande Plains in Texas, where sustained northwesterly winds of 15-20 mph overlap minimum RH values near 15% and at least modestly receptive fuels. Primary modification with this forecast update was to extend the Elevated Fire Weather area a bit farther east across the Edwards Plateau, where the latest guidance suggests fuels are critically receptive - this area is also in Severe-to-Extreme drought based on the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 12/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1138 PM CST Fri Dec 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will exit the Plains today before moving across the southeastern US. High pressure will build in across the western US, with heights rising over the Rockies. Cooler northwesterly flow will filter across the high terrain and into Plains, with increasing relative humidity. Increased northwesterly flow sustained around 15-20 mph (gusting 25-35 mph) will overlap relative-humidity reductions to around 15 percent across portions of far western Texas. Elevated fire weather concerns are expected across parts of the Texas Hill Country near the Rio Grande. Though 100-hour fuels remain around the 50-70th percentile, fine fuels and freeze cured grasses may support fire spread given potential for stronger winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1042 AM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z Elevated fire weather conditions are expected for a few hours this afternoon across portions of the Edwards Plateau and Rio Grande Plains in Texas, where sustained northwesterly winds of 15-20 mph overlap minimum RH values near 15% and at least modestly receptive fuels. Primary modification with this forecast update was to extend the Elevated Fire Weather area a bit farther east across the Edwards Plateau, where the latest guidance suggests fuels are critically receptive - this area is also in Severe-to-Extreme drought based on the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 12/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1138 PM CST Fri Dec 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will exit the Plains today before moving across the southeastern US. High pressure will build in across the western US, with heights rising over the Rockies. Cooler northwesterly flow will filter across the high terrain and into Plains, with increasing relative humidity. Increased northwesterly flow sustained around 15-20 mph (gusting 25-35 mph) will overlap relative-humidity reductions to around 15 percent across portions of far western Texas. Elevated fire weather concerns are expected across parts of the Texas Hill Country near the Rio Grande. Though 100-hour fuels remain around the 50-70th percentile, fine fuels and freeze cured grasses may support fire spread given potential for stronger winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1042 AM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z Elevated fire weather conditions are expected for a few hours this afternoon across portions of the Edwards Plateau and Rio Grande Plains in Texas, where sustained northwesterly winds of 15-20 mph overlap minimum RH values near 15% and at least modestly receptive fuels. Primary modification with this forecast update was to extend the Elevated Fire Weather area a bit farther east across the Edwards Plateau, where the latest guidance suggests fuels are critically receptive - this area is also in Severe-to-Extreme drought based on the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 12/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1138 PM CST Fri Dec 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will exit the Plains today before moving across the southeastern US. High pressure will build in across the western US, with heights rising over the Rockies. Cooler northwesterly flow will filter across the high terrain and into Plains, with increasing relative humidity. Increased northwesterly flow sustained around 15-20 mph (gusting 25-35 mph) will overlap relative-humidity reductions to around 15 percent across portions of far western Texas. Elevated fire weather concerns are expected across parts of the Texas Hill Country near the Rio Grande. Though 100-hour fuels remain around the 50-70th percentile, fine fuels and freeze cured grasses may support fire spread given potential for stronger winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1042 AM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z Elevated fire weather conditions are expected for a few hours this afternoon across portions of the Edwards Plateau and Rio Grande Plains in Texas, where sustained northwesterly winds of 15-20 mph overlap minimum RH values near 15% and at least modestly receptive fuels. Primary modification with this forecast update was to extend the Elevated Fire Weather area a bit farther east across the Edwards Plateau, where the latest guidance suggests fuels are critically receptive - this area is also in Severe-to-Extreme drought based on the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 12/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1138 PM CST Fri Dec 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will exit the Plains today before moving across the southeastern US. High pressure will build in across the western US, with heights rising over the Rockies. Cooler northwesterly flow will filter across the high terrain and into Plains, with increasing relative humidity. Increased northwesterly flow sustained around 15-20 mph (gusting 25-35 mph) will overlap relative-humidity reductions to around 15 percent across portions of far western Texas. Elevated fire weather concerns are expected across parts of the Texas Hill Country near the Rio Grande. Though 100-hour fuels remain around the 50-70th percentile, fine fuels and freeze cured grasses may support fire spread given potential for stronger winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1042 AM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z Elevated fire weather conditions are expected for a few hours this afternoon across portions of the Edwards Plateau and Rio Grande Plains in Texas, where sustained northwesterly winds of 15-20 mph overlap minimum RH values near 15% and at least modestly receptive fuels. Primary modification with this forecast update was to extend the Elevated Fire Weather area a bit farther east across the Edwards Plateau, where the latest guidance suggests fuels are critically receptive - this area is also in Severe-to-Extreme drought based on the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 12/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1138 PM CST Fri Dec 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will exit the Plains today before moving across the southeastern US. High pressure will build in across the western US, with heights rising over the Rockies. Cooler northwesterly flow will filter across the high terrain and into Plains, with increasing relative humidity. Increased northwesterly flow sustained around 15-20 mph (gusting 25-35 mph) will overlap relative-humidity reductions to around 15 percent across portions of far western Texas. Elevated fire weather concerns are expected across parts of the Texas Hill Country near the Rio Grande. Though 100-hour fuels remain around the 50-70th percentile, fine fuels and freeze cured grasses may support fire spread given potential for stronger winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1042 AM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z Elevated fire weather conditions are expected for a few hours this afternoon across portions of the Edwards Plateau and Rio Grande Plains in Texas, where sustained northwesterly winds of 15-20 mph overlap minimum RH values near 15% and at least modestly receptive fuels. Primary modification with this forecast update was to extend the Elevated Fire Weather area a bit farther east across the Edwards Plateau, where the latest guidance suggests fuels are critically receptive - this area is also in Severe-to-Extreme drought based on the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 12/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1138 PM CST Fri Dec 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will exit the Plains today before moving across the southeastern US. High pressure will build in across the western US, with heights rising over the Rockies. Cooler northwesterly flow will filter across the high terrain and into Plains, with increasing relative humidity. Increased northwesterly flow sustained around 15-20 mph (gusting 25-35 mph) will overlap relative-humidity reductions to around 15 percent across portions of far western Texas. Elevated fire weather concerns are expected across parts of the Texas Hill Country near the Rio Grande. Though 100-hour fuels remain around the 50-70th percentile, fine fuels and freeze cured grasses may support fire spread given potential for stronger winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1042 AM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z Elevated fire weather conditions are expected for a few hours this afternoon across portions of the Edwards Plateau and Rio Grande Plains in Texas, where sustained northwesterly winds of 15-20 mph overlap minimum RH values near 15% and at least modestly receptive fuels. Primary modification with this forecast update was to extend the Elevated Fire Weather area a bit farther east across the Edwards Plateau, where the latest guidance suggests fuels are critically receptive - this area is also in Severe-to-Extreme drought based on the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 12/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1138 PM CST Fri Dec 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will exit the Plains today before moving across the southeastern US. High pressure will build in across the western US, with heights rising over the Rockies. Cooler northwesterly flow will filter across the high terrain and into Plains, with increasing relative humidity. Increased northwesterly flow sustained around 15-20 mph (gusting 25-35 mph) will overlap relative-humidity reductions to around 15 percent across portions of far western Texas. Elevated fire weather concerns are expected across parts of the Texas Hill Country near the Rio Grande. Though 100-hour fuels remain around the 50-70th percentile, fine fuels and freeze cured grasses may support fire spread given potential for stronger winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1042 AM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z Elevated fire weather conditions are expected for a few hours this afternoon across portions of the Edwards Plateau and Rio Grande Plains in Texas, where sustained northwesterly winds of 15-20 mph overlap minimum RH values near 15% and at least modestly receptive fuels. Primary modification with this forecast update was to extend the Elevated Fire Weather area a bit farther east across the Edwards Plateau, where the latest guidance suggests fuels are critically receptive - this area is also in Severe-to-Extreme drought based on the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 12/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1138 PM CST Fri Dec 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will exit the Plains today before moving across the southeastern US. High pressure will build in across the western US, with heights rising over the Rockies. Cooler northwesterly flow will filter across the high terrain and into Plains, with increasing relative humidity. Increased northwesterly flow sustained around 15-20 mph (gusting 25-35 mph) will overlap relative-humidity reductions to around 15 percent across portions of far western Texas. Elevated fire weather concerns are expected across parts of the Texas Hill Country near the Rio Grande. Though 100-hour fuels remain around the 50-70th percentile, fine fuels and freeze cured grasses may support fire spread given potential for stronger winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1042 AM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z Elevated fire weather conditions are expected for a few hours this afternoon across portions of the Edwards Plateau and Rio Grande Plains in Texas, where sustained northwesterly winds of 15-20 mph overlap minimum RH values near 15% and at least modestly receptive fuels. Primary modification with this forecast update was to extend the Elevated Fire Weather area a bit farther east across the Edwards Plateau, where the latest guidance suggests fuels are critically receptive - this area is also in Severe-to-Extreme drought based on the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 12/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1138 PM CST Fri Dec 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will exit the Plains today before moving across the southeastern US. High pressure will build in across the western US, with heights rising over the Rockies. Cooler northwesterly flow will filter across the high terrain and into Plains, with increasing relative humidity. Increased northwesterly flow sustained around 15-20 mph (gusting 25-35 mph) will overlap relative-humidity reductions to around 15 percent across portions of far western Texas. Elevated fire weather concerns are expected across parts of the Texas Hill Country near the Rio Grande. Though 100-hour fuels remain around the 50-70th percentile, fine fuels and freeze cured grasses may support fire spread given potential for stronger winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1042 AM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z Elevated fire weather conditions are expected for a few hours this afternoon across portions of the Edwards Plateau and Rio Grande Plains in Texas, where sustained northwesterly winds of 15-20 mph overlap minimum RH values near 15% and at least modestly receptive fuels. Primary modification with this forecast update was to extend the Elevated Fire Weather area a bit farther east across the Edwards Plateau, where the latest guidance suggests fuels are critically receptive - this area is also in Severe-to-Extreme drought based on the latest U.S. Drought Monitor. Please see the previous discussion below for more information on today's fire weather forecast. ..Elliott.. 12/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1138 PM CST Fri Dec 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will exit the Plains today before moving across the southeastern US. High pressure will build in across the western US, with heights rising over the Rockies. Cooler northwesterly flow will filter across the high terrain and into Plains, with increasing relative humidity. Increased northwesterly flow sustained around 15-20 mph (gusting 25-35 mph) will overlap relative-humidity reductions to around 15 percent across portions of far western Texas. Elevated fire weather concerns are expected across parts of the Texas Hill Country near the Rio Grande. Though 100-hour fuels remain around the 50-70th percentile, fine fuels and freeze cured grasses may support fire spread given potential for stronger winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more