SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

6 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0201 AM CST Tue Feb 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...Synopsis... Enhanced mid-level flow over the Western US is forecast to shift eastward as a shortwave trough spills over the Rockies and into the Plains Wednesday. As the upper trough approaches, a lee low should deepen over eastern CO, supporting stronger west/southwesterly winds over much of the High Plains. Continued dry conditions and the increase in winds favors some potential for elevated fire-weather concerns. ...Southern High Plains... As the shortwave trough and stronger mid-level flow cross the central Rockies, a lee low should intensify over eastern CO. Behind the surface low, west/southwesterly downslope flow, aided by fairly strong mid-level flow, is expected across much of the southern High Plains. Gusty surface winds of 15-25 mph and higher gusts are possible across parts of eastern NM and western TX. Dry conditions are also expected, with RH reductions falling to near/below 20% likely from dry continental trajectories and warm temperatures. Elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely for a few hours over parts of eastern NM and West TX where several days of drying have resulted in more receptive fuels. Some localized critical conditions are also possible, mainly over eastern NM, where larger drier and more dense fuels loads could intersect with the stronger gusts and lower RH. ..Lyons.. 02/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

6 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0201 AM CST Tue Feb 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...Synopsis... Enhanced mid-level flow over the Western US is forecast to shift eastward as a shortwave trough spills over the Rockies and into the Plains Wednesday. As the upper trough approaches, a lee low should deepen over eastern CO, supporting stronger west/southwesterly winds over much of the High Plains. Continued dry conditions and the increase in winds favors some potential for elevated fire-weather concerns. ...Southern High Plains... As the shortwave trough and stronger mid-level flow cross the central Rockies, a lee low should intensify over eastern CO. Behind the surface low, west/southwesterly downslope flow, aided by fairly strong mid-level flow, is expected across much of the southern High Plains. Gusty surface winds of 15-25 mph and higher gusts are possible across parts of eastern NM and western TX. Dry conditions are also expected, with RH reductions falling to near/below 20% likely from dry continental trajectories and warm temperatures. Elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely for a few hours over parts of eastern NM and West TX where several days of drying have resulted in more receptive fuels. Some localized critical conditions are also possible, mainly over eastern NM, where larger drier and more dense fuels loads could intersect with the stronger gusts and lower RH. ..Lyons.. 02/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

6 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0201 AM CST Tue Feb 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...Synopsis... Enhanced mid-level flow over the Western US is forecast to shift eastward as a shortwave trough spills over the Rockies and into the Plains Wednesday. As the upper trough approaches, a lee low should deepen over eastern CO, supporting stronger west/southwesterly winds over much of the High Plains. Continued dry conditions and the increase in winds favors some potential for elevated fire-weather concerns. ...Southern High Plains... As the shortwave trough and stronger mid-level flow cross the central Rockies, a lee low should intensify over eastern CO. Behind the surface low, west/southwesterly downslope flow, aided by fairly strong mid-level flow, is expected across much of the southern High Plains. Gusty surface winds of 15-25 mph and higher gusts are possible across parts of eastern NM and western TX. Dry conditions are also expected, with RH reductions falling to near/below 20% likely from dry continental trajectories and warm temperatures. Elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely for a few hours over parts of eastern NM and West TX where several days of drying have resulted in more receptive fuels. Some localized critical conditions are also possible, mainly over eastern NM, where larger drier and more dense fuels loads could intersect with the stronger gusts and lower RH. ..Lyons.. 02/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

6 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0201 AM CST Tue Feb 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...Synopsis... Enhanced mid-level flow over the Western US is forecast to shift eastward as a shortwave trough spills over the Rockies and into the Plains Wednesday. As the upper trough approaches, a lee low should deepen over eastern CO, supporting stronger west/southwesterly winds over much of the High Plains. Continued dry conditions and the increase in winds favors some potential for elevated fire-weather concerns. ...Southern High Plains... As the shortwave trough and stronger mid-level flow cross the central Rockies, a lee low should intensify over eastern CO. Behind the surface low, west/southwesterly downslope flow, aided by fairly strong mid-level flow, is expected across much of the southern High Plains. Gusty surface winds of 15-25 mph and higher gusts are possible across parts of eastern NM and western TX. Dry conditions are also expected, with RH reductions falling to near/below 20% likely from dry continental trajectories and warm temperatures. Elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely for a few hours over parts of eastern NM and West TX where several days of drying have resulted in more receptive fuels. Some localized critical conditions are also possible, mainly over eastern NM, where larger drier and more dense fuels loads could intersect with the stronger gusts and lower RH. ..Lyons.. 02/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

6 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0201 AM CST Tue Feb 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...Synopsis... Enhanced mid-level flow over the Western US is forecast to shift eastward as a shortwave trough spills over the Rockies and into the Plains Wednesday. As the upper trough approaches, a lee low should deepen over eastern CO, supporting stronger west/southwesterly winds over much of the High Plains. Continued dry conditions and the increase in winds favors some potential for elevated fire-weather concerns. ...Southern High Plains... As the shortwave trough and stronger mid-level flow cross the central Rockies, a lee low should intensify over eastern CO. Behind the surface low, west/southwesterly downslope flow, aided by fairly strong mid-level flow, is expected across much of the southern High Plains. Gusty surface winds of 15-25 mph and higher gusts are possible across parts of eastern NM and western TX. Dry conditions are also expected, with RH reductions falling to near/below 20% likely from dry continental trajectories and warm temperatures. Elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely for a few hours over parts of eastern NM and West TX where several days of drying have resulted in more receptive fuels. Some localized critical conditions are also possible, mainly over eastern NM, where larger drier and more dense fuels loads could intersect with the stronger gusts and lower RH. ..Lyons.. 02/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

6 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 AM CST Tue Feb 04 2025 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Ridging aloft is forecast to intensify over the central US, while a deepening trough moves over much of the West. Several embedded perturbations will cross the southern Rockies deepening a lee low over the southern High Plains and a second low over the Great Basin. This could support gusty winds and periods of locally elevated fire-weather potential over parts of central NM and eastern AZ. ...Southwest... A backdoor cold front will move south over the Plains and into eastern NM early this morning associated with a weak lee low. The influx of cooler air and more moisture should moderate RH over the High Plains. To the west over the High country of central NM, periodic gusty winds and low humidity are still expected to overlap for several hours. Some localized fire-weather risk is possible over central NM and eastern AZ. However, more widespread fire-weather concerns are not currently expected given the relatively minor overlap of sustained winds, low humidity and sporadic receptive fuels. ..Lyons.. 02/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

6 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 AM CST Tue Feb 04 2025 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Ridging aloft is forecast to intensify over the central US, while a deepening trough moves over much of the West. Several embedded perturbations will cross the southern Rockies deepening a lee low over the southern High Plains and a second low over the Great Basin. This could support gusty winds and periods of locally elevated fire-weather potential over parts of central NM and eastern AZ. ...Southwest... A backdoor cold front will move south over the Plains and into eastern NM early this morning associated with a weak lee low. The influx of cooler air and more moisture should moderate RH over the High Plains. To the west over the High country of central NM, periodic gusty winds and low humidity are still expected to overlap for several hours. Some localized fire-weather risk is possible over central NM and eastern AZ. However, more widespread fire-weather concerns are not currently expected given the relatively minor overlap of sustained winds, low humidity and sporadic receptive fuels. ..Lyons.. 02/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

6 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 AM CST Tue Feb 04 2025 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Ridging aloft is forecast to intensify over the central US, while a deepening trough moves over much of the West. Several embedded perturbations will cross the southern Rockies deepening a lee low over the southern High Plains and a second low over the Great Basin. This could support gusty winds and periods of locally elevated fire-weather potential over parts of central NM and eastern AZ. ...Southwest... A backdoor cold front will move south over the Plains and into eastern NM early this morning associated with a weak lee low. The influx of cooler air and more moisture should moderate RH over the High Plains. To the west over the High country of central NM, periodic gusty winds and low humidity are still expected to overlap for several hours. Some localized fire-weather risk is possible over central NM and eastern AZ. However, more widespread fire-weather concerns are not currently expected given the relatively minor overlap of sustained winds, low humidity and sporadic receptive fuels. ..Lyons.. 02/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

6 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 AM CST Tue Feb 04 2025 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Ridging aloft is forecast to intensify over the central US, while a deepening trough moves over much of the West. Several embedded perturbations will cross the southern Rockies deepening a lee low over the southern High Plains and a second low over the Great Basin. This could support gusty winds and periods of locally elevated fire-weather potential over parts of central NM and eastern AZ. ...Southwest... A backdoor cold front will move south over the Plains and into eastern NM early this morning associated with a weak lee low. The influx of cooler air and more moisture should moderate RH over the High Plains. To the west over the High country of central NM, periodic gusty winds and low humidity are still expected to overlap for several hours. Some localized fire-weather risk is possible over central NM and eastern AZ. However, more widespread fire-weather concerns are not currently expected given the relatively minor overlap of sustained winds, low humidity and sporadic receptive fuels. ..Lyons.. 02/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

6 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 AM CST Tue Feb 04 2025 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Ridging aloft is forecast to intensify over the central US, while a deepening trough moves over much of the West. Several embedded perturbations will cross the southern Rockies deepening a lee low over the southern High Plains and a second low over the Great Basin. This could support gusty winds and periods of locally elevated fire-weather potential over parts of central NM and eastern AZ. ...Southwest... A backdoor cold front will move south over the Plains and into eastern NM early this morning associated with a weak lee low. The influx of cooler air and more moisture should moderate RH over the High Plains. To the west over the High country of central NM, periodic gusty winds and low humidity are still expected to overlap for several hours. Some localized fire-weather risk is possible over central NM and eastern AZ. However, more widespread fire-weather concerns are not currently expected given the relatively minor overlap of sustained winds, low humidity and sporadic receptive fuels. ..Lyons.. 02/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

6 months 2 weeks ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0159 AM CST Tue Feb 04 2025 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Ridging aloft is forecast to intensify over the central US, while a deepening trough moves over much of the West. Several embedded perturbations will cross the southern Rockies deepening a lee low over the southern High Plains and a second low over the Great Basin. This could support gusty winds and periods of locally elevated fire-weather potential over parts of central NM and eastern AZ. ...Southwest... A backdoor cold front will move south over the Plains and into eastern NM early this morning associated with a weak lee low. The influx of cooler air and more moisture should moderate RH over the High Plains. To the west over the High country of central NM, periodic gusty winds and low humidity are still expected to overlap for several hours. Some localized fire-weather risk is possible over central NM and eastern AZ. However, more widespread fire-weather concerns are not currently expected given the relatively minor overlap of sustained winds, low humidity and sporadic receptive fuels. ..Lyons.. 02/04/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Feb 4, 2025 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

6 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0108 AM CST Tue Feb 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA REGION NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AREA... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to potentially severe storms may occur across portions of the Mid South Wednesday. ...Synopsis... Within a background low-amplitude upper flow field, an embedded short-wave trough is forecast to shift across the Plains and into/across the Midwest/Ohio Valley region with time. As this occurs, a weak surface frontal wave along the lingering west-to-east baroclinic zone is expected to shift from the Oklahoma area during the afternoon, across the Mid Mississippi and later the Ohio Valley region. Showers and thunderstorms are expected across the Mid South region and vicinity, in response, particularly during the latter half of the period. ...Tennessee/Kentucky and vicinity... Convection is forecast to gradually increase into the afternoon and evening hours across the Mid and Lower Mississippi/Tennessee Valleys, and eventually Ohio Valley, with a broad zone of warm advection/quasigeostrophic forcing for ascent ahead of the advancing mid-level wave. While weak lapse rates and only partially modified low-level air will exist across the warm sector, shear will be favorable across the region for updraft organization. The lack of more substantial CAPE is expected to largely temper severe-weather potential, but a few stronger storms are expected, mainly from mid afternoon mid evening. Any vigorous/sustained updraft which can evolve, will be capable of producing gusty winds -- perhaps reaching severe levels locally. A brief tornado or two could also occur, given shear sufficient for both low- and mid-level updraft rotation. ..Goss.. 02/04/2025 Read more

SPC Feb 4, 2025 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

6 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0108 AM CST Tue Feb 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA REGION NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AREA... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to potentially severe storms may occur across portions of the Mid South Wednesday. ...Synopsis... Within a background low-amplitude upper flow field, an embedded short-wave trough is forecast to shift across the Plains and into/across the Midwest/Ohio Valley region with time. As this occurs, a weak surface frontal wave along the lingering west-to-east baroclinic zone is expected to shift from the Oklahoma area during the afternoon, across the Mid Mississippi and later the Ohio Valley region. Showers and thunderstorms are expected across the Mid South region and vicinity, in response, particularly during the latter half of the period. ...Tennessee/Kentucky and vicinity... Convection is forecast to gradually increase into the afternoon and evening hours across the Mid and Lower Mississippi/Tennessee Valleys, and eventually Ohio Valley, with a broad zone of warm advection/quasigeostrophic forcing for ascent ahead of the advancing mid-level wave. While weak lapse rates and only partially modified low-level air will exist across the warm sector, shear will be favorable across the region for updraft organization. The lack of more substantial CAPE is expected to largely temper severe-weather potential, but a few stronger storms are expected, mainly from mid afternoon mid evening. Any vigorous/sustained updraft which can evolve, will be capable of producing gusty winds -- perhaps reaching severe levels locally. A brief tornado or two could also occur, given shear sufficient for both low- and mid-level updraft rotation. ..Goss.. 02/04/2025 Read more

SPC Feb 4, 2025 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

6 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0108 AM CST Tue Feb 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA REGION NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AREA... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to potentially severe storms may occur across portions of the Mid South Wednesday. ...Synopsis... Within a background low-amplitude upper flow field, an embedded short-wave trough is forecast to shift across the Plains and into/across the Midwest/Ohio Valley region with time. As this occurs, a weak surface frontal wave along the lingering west-to-east baroclinic zone is expected to shift from the Oklahoma area during the afternoon, across the Mid Mississippi and later the Ohio Valley region. Showers and thunderstorms are expected across the Mid South region and vicinity, in response, particularly during the latter half of the period. ...Tennessee/Kentucky and vicinity... Convection is forecast to gradually increase into the afternoon and evening hours across the Mid and Lower Mississippi/Tennessee Valleys, and eventually Ohio Valley, with a broad zone of warm advection/quasigeostrophic forcing for ascent ahead of the advancing mid-level wave. While weak lapse rates and only partially modified low-level air will exist across the warm sector, shear will be favorable across the region for updraft organization. The lack of more substantial CAPE is expected to largely temper severe-weather potential, but a few stronger storms are expected, mainly from mid afternoon mid evening. Any vigorous/sustained updraft which can evolve, will be capable of producing gusty winds -- perhaps reaching severe levels locally. A brief tornado or two could also occur, given shear sufficient for both low- and mid-level updraft rotation. ..Goss.. 02/04/2025 Read more

SPC Feb 4, 2025 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

6 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0108 AM CST Tue Feb 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA REGION NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AREA... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to potentially severe storms may occur across portions of the Mid South Wednesday. ...Synopsis... Within a background low-amplitude upper flow field, an embedded short-wave trough is forecast to shift across the Plains and into/across the Midwest/Ohio Valley region with time. As this occurs, a weak surface frontal wave along the lingering west-to-east baroclinic zone is expected to shift from the Oklahoma area during the afternoon, across the Mid Mississippi and later the Ohio Valley region. Showers and thunderstorms are expected across the Mid South region and vicinity, in response, particularly during the latter half of the period. ...Tennessee/Kentucky and vicinity... Convection is forecast to gradually increase into the afternoon and evening hours across the Mid and Lower Mississippi/Tennessee Valleys, and eventually Ohio Valley, with a broad zone of warm advection/quasigeostrophic forcing for ascent ahead of the advancing mid-level wave. While weak lapse rates and only partially modified low-level air will exist across the warm sector, shear will be favorable across the region for updraft organization. The lack of more substantial CAPE is expected to largely temper severe-weather potential, but a few stronger storms are expected, mainly from mid afternoon mid evening. Any vigorous/sustained updraft which can evolve, will be capable of producing gusty winds -- perhaps reaching severe levels locally. A brief tornado or two could also occur, given shear sufficient for both low- and mid-level updraft rotation. ..Goss.. 02/04/2025 Read more

SPC Feb 4, 2025 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

6 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0108 AM CST Tue Feb 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA REGION NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AREA... ...SUMMARY... A couple of strong to potentially severe storms may occur across portions of the Mid South Wednesday. ...Synopsis... Within a background low-amplitude upper flow field, an embedded short-wave trough is forecast to shift across the Plains and into/across the Midwest/Ohio Valley region with time. As this occurs, a weak surface frontal wave along the lingering west-to-east baroclinic zone is expected to shift from the Oklahoma area during the afternoon, across the Mid Mississippi and later the Ohio Valley region. Showers and thunderstorms are expected across the Mid South region and vicinity, in response, particularly during the latter half of the period. ...Tennessee/Kentucky and vicinity... Convection is forecast to gradually increase into the afternoon and evening hours across the Mid and Lower Mississippi/Tennessee Valleys, and eventually Ohio Valley, with a broad zone of warm advection/quasigeostrophic forcing for ascent ahead of the advancing mid-level wave. While weak lapse rates and only partially modified low-level air will exist across the warm sector, shear will be favorable across the region for updraft organization. The lack of more substantial CAPE is expected to largely temper severe-weather potential, but a few stronger storms are expected, mainly from mid afternoon mid evening. Any vigorous/sustained updraft which can evolve, will be capable of producing gusty winds -- perhaps reaching severe levels locally. A brief tornado or two could also occur, given shear sufficient for both low- and mid-level updraft rotation. ..Goss.. 02/04/2025 Read more

Emergency water conservation ordinance in Punta Gorda, Florida

6 months 2 weeks ago
Punta Gorda was under an emergency ordinance due to ongoing drought and high demand on the city’s water system. Under the new ordinance, lawn watering is permitted once weekly. Gulf Coast News (Fort Myers, Fla.), Feb 5, 2025 The Punta Gorda City Council will vote on an emergency water conservation ordinance that would limit lawn watering to once per week. The ordinance states that the city’s “supply system is experiencing higher than normal potable water demand due in part to current drought and cold weather conditions.” FOX4Now (Cape Coral, Fla.), Feb 4, 2025

SPC Feb 4, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

6 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1148 PM CST Mon Feb 03 2025 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered thunderstorm development will be possible today in parts of the western U.S., but no severe storms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... At mid-levels, a ridge will move eastward across the central U.S. today, as a trough approaches the West Coast. Ahead of the trough, a few thunderstorms may develop in parts of north-central California from San Francisco eastward into the Sierra. Isolated lighting strikes may also occur along the Oregon coast. No severe threat is expected. ..Broyles/Lyons.. 02/04/2025 Read more

SPC Feb 4, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

6 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1148 PM CST Mon Feb 03 2025 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered thunderstorm development will be possible today in parts of the western U.S., but no severe storms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... At mid-levels, a ridge will move eastward across the central U.S. today, as a trough approaches the West Coast. Ahead of the trough, a few thunderstorms may develop in parts of north-central California from San Francisco eastward into the Sierra. Isolated lighting strikes may also occur along the Oregon coast. No severe threat is expected. ..Broyles/Lyons.. 02/04/2025 Read more

SPC Feb 4, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

6 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1148 PM CST Mon Feb 03 2025 Valid 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered thunderstorm development will be possible today in parts of the western U.S., but no severe storms are expected. ...DISCUSSION... At mid-levels, a ridge will move eastward across the central U.S. today, as a trough approaches the West Coast. Ahead of the trough, a few thunderstorms may develop in parts of north-central California from San Francisco eastward into the Sierra. Isolated lighting strikes may also occur along the Oregon coast. No severe threat is expected. ..Broyles/Lyons.. 02/04/2025 Read more