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3 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1242 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025
Valid 271200Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND SOUTHEAST...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe storms are expected across parts of the
southern Plains and over portions of the Southeast. Hail and wind
are the primary threats.
...Southern Plains...
Large-scale pattern will change little through the upcoming day1
period, and remains bifurcated with a distinct southern stream
extending from northern Mexico into the Gulf States. Latest model
guidance suggests at least one notable weak short-wave trough will
approach the Big Bend later this evening. Water-vapor imagery
depicts this feature near the northern Baja Peninsula. As this
feature approaches far west TX, southeasterly boundary-layer flow
will force higher moisture deep into the Big Bend. Ongoing
convection across south central TX should also contribute to this
westward push of low-level moisture. Strong surface heating west of
this returning moisture will allow convective temperatures to easily
be breached and isolated robust convection is expected to develop
after 21z, both across the higher terrain of west TX into northeast
Mexico west of DRT. While 500mb flow is not forecast to be that
strong, forecast soundings suggest slow-moving supercells are
possible. Very large hail is the most likely severe threat. Some
increase in the LLJ is expected during the latter half of the
period. This may encourage one or more MCS-type complexes near the
international border.
...Southeast...
Slow-moving MCS has matured over south central into southeast TX.
This complex will forward propagate into the lower MS Valley by
sunrise. A weak short-wave trough is likely affiliated with this MCS
and some increase in mid-level flow is expected across MS into GA by
mid day, which should aid potential convective organization. While
some weakening may be noted early in the period, boundary-layer
heating will aid destabilization and new updrafts should develop
along the leading convective outflow. A few weak supercells are
possible, but the primary storm mode should be mixed with clusters
and line segments. This favors damaging winds, though some hail can
not be ruled out.
..Darrow/Thornton.. 05/27/2025
Read more
3 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1242 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025
Valid 271200Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND SOUTHEAST...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe storms are expected across parts of the
southern Plains and over portions of the Southeast. Hail and wind
are the primary threats.
...Southern Plains...
Large-scale pattern will change little through the upcoming day1
period, and remains bifurcated with a distinct southern stream
extending from northern Mexico into the Gulf States. Latest model
guidance suggests at least one notable weak short-wave trough will
approach the Big Bend later this evening. Water-vapor imagery
depicts this feature near the northern Baja Peninsula. As this
feature approaches far west TX, southeasterly boundary-layer flow
will force higher moisture deep into the Big Bend. Ongoing
convection across south central TX should also contribute to this
westward push of low-level moisture. Strong surface heating west of
this returning moisture will allow convective temperatures to easily
be breached and isolated robust convection is expected to develop
after 21z, both across the higher terrain of west TX into northeast
Mexico west of DRT. While 500mb flow is not forecast to be that
strong, forecast soundings suggest slow-moving supercells are
possible. Very large hail is the most likely severe threat. Some
increase in the LLJ is expected during the latter half of the
period. This may encourage one or more MCS-type complexes near the
international border.
...Southeast...
Slow-moving MCS has matured over south central into southeast TX.
This complex will forward propagate into the lower MS Valley by
sunrise. A weak short-wave trough is likely affiliated with this MCS
and some increase in mid-level flow is expected across MS into GA by
mid day, which should aid potential convective organization. While
some weakening may be noted early in the period, boundary-layer
heating will aid destabilization and new updrafts should develop
along the leading convective outflow. A few weak supercells are
possible, but the primary storm mode should be mixed with clusters
and line segments. This favors damaging winds, though some hail can
not be ruled out.
..Darrow/Thornton.. 05/27/2025
Read more
3 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1242 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025
Valid 271200Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND SOUTHEAST...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe storms are expected across parts of the
southern Plains and over portions of the Southeast. Hail and wind
are the primary threats.
...Southern Plains...
Large-scale pattern will change little through the upcoming day1
period, and remains bifurcated with a distinct southern stream
extending from northern Mexico into the Gulf States. Latest model
guidance suggests at least one notable weak short-wave trough will
approach the Big Bend later this evening. Water-vapor imagery
depicts this feature near the northern Baja Peninsula. As this
feature approaches far west TX, southeasterly boundary-layer flow
will force higher moisture deep into the Big Bend. Ongoing
convection across south central TX should also contribute to this
westward push of low-level moisture. Strong surface heating west of
this returning moisture will allow convective temperatures to easily
be breached and isolated robust convection is expected to develop
after 21z, both across the higher terrain of west TX into northeast
Mexico west of DRT. While 500mb flow is not forecast to be that
strong, forecast soundings suggest slow-moving supercells are
possible. Very large hail is the most likely severe threat. Some
increase in the LLJ is expected during the latter half of the
period. This may encourage one or more MCS-type complexes near the
international border.
...Southeast...
Slow-moving MCS has matured over south central into southeast TX.
This complex will forward propagate into the lower MS Valley by
sunrise. A weak short-wave trough is likely affiliated with this MCS
and some increase in mid-level flow is expected across MS into GA by
mid day, which should aid potential convective organization. While
some weakening may be noted early in the period, boundary-layer
heating will aid destabilization and new updrafts should develop
along the leading convective outflow. A few weak supercells are
possible, but the primary storm mode should be mixed with clusters
and line segments. This favors damaging winds, though some hail can
not be ruled out.
..Darrow/Thornton.. 05/27/2025
Read more
3 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1242 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025
Valid 271200Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND SOUTHEAST...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe storms are expected across parts of the
southern Plains and over portions of the Southeast. Hail and wind
are the primary threats.
...Southern Plains...
Large-scale pattern will change little through the upcoming day1
period, and remains bifurcated with a distinct southern stream
extending from northern Mexico into the Gulf States. Latest model
guidance suggests at least one notable weak short-wave trough will
approach the Big Bend later this evening. Water-vapor imagery
depicts this feature near the northern Baja Peninsula. As this
feature approaches far west TX, southeasterly boundary-layer flow
will force higher moisture deep into the Big Bend. Ongoing
convection across south central TX should also contribute to this
westward push of low-level moisture. Strong surface heating west of
this returning moisture will allow convective temperatures to easily
be breached and isolated robust convection is expected to develop
after 21z, both across the higher terrain of west TX into northeast
Mexico west of DRT. While 500mb flow is not forecast to be that
strong, forecast soundings suggest slow-moving supercells are
possible. Very large hail is the most likely severe threat. Some
increase in the LLJ is expected during the latter half of the
period. This may encourage one or more MCS-type complexes near the
international border.
...Southeast...
Slow-moving MCS has matured over south central into southeast TX.
This complex will forward propagate into the lower MS Valley by
sunrise. A weak short-wave trough is likely affiliated with this MCS
and some increase in mid-level flow is expected across MS into GA by
mid day, which should aid potential convective organization. While
some weakening may be noted early in the period, boundary-layer
heating will aid destabilization and new updrafts should develop
along the leading convective outflow. A few weak supercells are
possible, but the primary storm mode should be mixed with clusters
and line segments. This favors damaging winds, though some hail can
not be ruled out.
..Darrow/Thornton.. 05/27/2025
Read more
3 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1242 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025
Valid 271200Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND SOUTHEAST...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe storms are expected across parts of the
southern Plains and over portions of the Southeast. Hail and wind
are the primary threats.
...Southern Plains...
Large-scale pattern will change little through the upcoming day1
period, and remains bifurcated with a distinct southern stream
extending from northern Mexico into the Gulf States. Latest model
guidance suggests at least one notable weak short-wave trough will
approach the Big Bend later this evening. Water-vapor imagery
depicts this feature near the northern Baja Peninsula. As this
feature approaches far west TX, southeasterly boundary-layer flow
will force higher moisture deep into the Big Bend. Ongoing
convection across south central TX should also contribute to this
westward push of low-level moisture. Strong surface heating west of
this returning moisture will allow convective temperatures to easily
be breached and isolated robust convection is expected to develop
after 21z, both across the higher terrain of west TX into northeast
Mexico west of DRT. While 500mb flow is not forecast to be that
strong, forecast soundings suggest slow-moving supercells are
possible. Very large hail is the most likely severe threat. Some
increase in the LLJ is expected during the latter half of the
period. This may encourage one or more MCS-type complexes near the
international border.
...Southeast...
Slow-moving MCS has matured over south central into southeast TX.
This complex will forward propagate into the lower MS Valley by
sunrise. A weak short-wave trough is likely affiliated with this MCS
and some increase in mid-level flow is expected across MS into GA by
mid day, which should aid potential convective organization. While
some weakening may be noted early in the period, boundary-layer
heating will aid destabilization and new updrafts should develop
along the leading convective outflow. A few weak supercells are
possible, but the primary storm mode should be mixed with clusters
and line segments. This favors damaging winds, though some hail can
not be ruled out.
..Darrow/Thornton.. 05/27/2025
Read more
3 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1242 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025
Valid 271200Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND SOUTHEAST...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe storms are expected across parts of the
southern Plains and over portions of the Southeast. Hail and wind
are the primary threats.
...Southern Plains...
Large-scale pattern will change little through the upcoming day1
period, and remains bifurcated with a distinct southern stream
extending from northern Mexico into the Gulf States. Latest model
guidance suggests at least one notable weak short-wave trough will
approach the Big Bend later this evening. Water-vapor imagery
depicts this feature near the northern Baja Peninsula. As this
feature approaches far west TX, southeasterly boundary-layer flow
will force higher moisture deep into the Big Bend. Ongoing
convection across south central TX should also contribute to this
westward push of low-level moisture. Strong surface heating west of
this returning moisture will allow convective temperatures to easily
be breached and isolated robust convection is expected to develop
after 21z, both across the higher terrain of west TX into northeast
Mexico west of DRT. While 500mb flow is not forecast to be that
strong, forecast soundings suggest slow-moving supercells are
possible. Very large hail is the most likely severe threat. Some
increase in the LLJ is expected during the latter half of the
period. This may encourage one or more MCS-type complexes near the
international border.
...Southeast...
Slow-moving MCS has matured over south central into southeast TX.
This complex will forward propagate into the lower MS Valley by
sunrise. A weak short-wave trough is likely affiliated with this MCS
and some increase in mid-level flow is expected across MS into GA by
mid day, which should aid potential convective organization. While
some weakening may be noted early in the period, boundary-layer
heating will aid destabilization and new updrafts should develop
along the leading convective outflow. A few weak supercells are
possible, but the primary storm mode should be mixed with clusters
and line segments. This favors damaging winds, though some hail can
not be ruled out.
..Darrow/Thornton.. 05/27/2025
Read more
3 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1242 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025
Valid 271200Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND SOUTHEAST...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe storms are expected across parts of the
southern Plains and over portions of the Southeast. Hail and wind
are the primary threats.
...Southern Plains...
Large-scale pattern will change little through the upcoming day1
period, and remains bifurcated with a distinct southern stream
extending from northern Mexico into the Gulf States. Latest model
guidance suggests at least one notable weak short-wave trough will
approach the Big Bend later this evening. Water-vapor imagery
depicts this feature near the northern Baja Peninsula. As this
feature approaches far west TX, southeasterly boundary-layer flow
will force higher moisture deep into the Big Bend. Ongoing
convection across south central TX should also contribute to this
westward push of low-level moisture. Strong surface heating west of
this returning moisture will allow convective temperatures to easily
be breached and isolated robust convection is expected to develop
after 21z, both across the higher terrain of west TX into northeast
Mexico west of DRT. While 500mb flow is not forecast to be that
strong, forecast soundings suggest slow-moving supercells are
possible. Very large hail is the most likely severe threat. Some
increase in the LLJ is expected during the latter half of the
period. This may encourage one or more MCS-type complexes near the
international border.
...Southeast...
Slow-moving MCS has matured over south central into southeast TX.
This complex will forward propagate into the lower MS Valley by
sunrise. A weak short-wave trough is likely affiliated with this MCS
and some increase in mid-level flow is expected across MS into GA by
mid day, which should aid potential convective organization. While
some weakening may be noted early in the period, boundary-layer
heating will aid destabilization and new updrafts should develop
along the leading convective outflow. A few weak supercells are
possible, but the primary storm mode should be mixed with clusters
and line segments. This favors damaging winds, though some hail can
not be ruled out.
..Darrow/Thornton.. 05/27/2025
Read more
3 months 2 weeks ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1242 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025
Valid 271200Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND SOUTHEAST...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe storms are expected across parts of the
southern Plains and over portions of the Southeast. Hail and wind
are the primary threats.
...Southern Plains...
Large-scale pattern will change little through the upcoming day1
period, and remains bifurcated with a distinct southern stream
extending from northern Mexico into the Gulf States. Latest model
guidance suggests at least one notable weak short-wave trough will
approach the Big Bend later this evening. Water-vapor imagery
depicts this feature near the northern Baja Peninsula. As this
feature approaches far west TX, southeasterly boundary-layer flow
will force higher moisture deep into the Big Bend. Ongoing
convection across south central TX should also contribute to this
westward push of low-level moisture. Strong surface heating west of
this returning moisture will allow convective temperatures to easily
be breached and isolated robust convection is expected to develop
after 21z, both across the higher terrain of west TX into northeast
Mexico west of DRT. While 500mb flow is not forecast to be that
strong, forecast soundings suggest slow-moving supercells are
possible. Very large hail is the most likely severe threat. Some
increase in the LLJ is expected during the latter half of the
period. This may encourage one or more MCS-type complexes near the
international border.
...Southeast...
Slow-moving MCS has matured over south central into southeast TX.
This complex will forward propagate into the lower MS Valley by
sunrise. A weak short-wave trough is likely affiliated with this MCS
and some increase in mid-level flow is expected across MS into GA by
mid day, which should aid potential convective organization. While
some weakening may be noted early in the period, boundary-layer
heating will aid destabilization and new updrafts should develop
along the leading convective outflow. A few weak supercells are
possible, but the primary storm mode should be mixed with clusters
and line segments. This favors damaging winds, though some hail can
not be ruled out.
..Darrow/Thornton.. 05/27/2025
Read more
3 months 2 weeks ago
MD 1004 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 335... FOR SOUTH TX
Mesoscale Discussion 1004
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1120 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025
Areas affected...south TX
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 335...
Valid 270420Z - 270545Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 335
continues.
SUMMARY...Uncertainty exists over the longevity and potential
evolution of ongoing strong to severe storms in south Texas,
especially to the south of WW 335 overnight.
DISCUSSION...Deep convective cores have largely been relegated along
and north of the southward-sagging outflow boundary associated with
the extensive MCS arcing across east to south TX. Large buoyancy and
a 45-50 kt low-level jet per CRP VWP data are positives to
maintaining a potential severe threat overnight across parts of the
Brush Country. But the west/east-orientation of the convective
cluster along with stout MLCIN with southern extent into the Lower
Rio Grande Valley casts considerable uncertainty on cold pool
acceleration. It is possible that convection may remain strong to
locally severe as it ripples south along the sagging large-scale
outflow.
..Grams/Mosier.. 05/27/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...
LAT...LON 29069855 28579821 28249786 28069758 27729764 27549786
27669866 27999942 28580008 28989982 29069855
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
Read more
3 months 2 weeks ago
MD 1003 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 335... FOR SOUTHEAST TX
Mesoscale Discussion 1003
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1057 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025
Areas affected...southeast TX
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 335...
Valid 270357Z - 270530Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 335
continues.
SUMMARY...Strong to isolated severe gusts should persist overnight
with the forward-propagating portion of an extensive QLCS moving
east across southeast Texas.
DISCUSSION...The eastern flank of a broad arcing QLCS has been
steadily progressing east at 35-40 kts. Despite earlier intense
radar wind signatures, measured severe gusts have seemingly peaked
around 50 kts with numerous strong, sub-severe gusts along the line.
The forward-propagating portion of the QLCS may become detached from
the trailing very deep convective cores along its southwest flank
over the Brush Country of south TX. Prior convective overturning
from earlier in the day activity, well sampled by the 00Z LCH/SHV
soundings, suggests the northeast portion of the QLCS should
struggle amid weak instability. Modification atop the prior outflow
is underway per strong low-level southerlies in the CRP VWP and
moderate southwesterlies in the HGX VWP. This suggests the greatest
damaging wind potential may lie to the cool side of the pronounced
MLCAPE gradient across northern parts of the Houston Metro towards
Beaumont.
..Grams/Mosier.. 05/27/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...EWX...
LAT...LON 31649514 31589426 30989360 30819358 30049381 29849405
29509459 29579519 29589572 29739634 30009665 30479617
31009574 31649514
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
Read more
3 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0335 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 335
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE AUS TO
10 SSE CLL TO 35 NNE CLL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS 1003/1004.
..GRAMS..05/27/25
ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 335
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC015-025-039-057-071-089-123-149-157-167-175-177-185-201-225-
239-255-283-285-291-297-311-313-321-339-373-407-455-469-471-473-
477-481-270540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUSTIN BEE BRAZORIA
CALHOUN CHAMBERS COLORADO
DEWITT FAYETTE FORT BEND
GALVESTON GOLIAD GONZALES
GRIMES HARRIS HOUSTON
JACKSON KARNES LA SALLE
LAVACA LIBERTY LIVE OAK
MCMULLEN MADISON MATAGORDA
MONTGOMERY POLK SAN JACINTO
TRINITY VICTORIA WALKER
WALLER WASHINGTON WHARTON
GMZ237-330-335-270540-
CW
Read more
3 months 2 weeks ago
MD 1002 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR WEST-CENTRAL OK
Mesoscale Discussion 1002
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1006 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025
Areas affected...west-central OK
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 270306Z - 270430Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...A pair of well-established supercells may continue to pose
a large hail threat across west-central Oklahoma through about
midnight, before likely subsiding overnight.
DISCUSSION...A long-lived supercell that started producing
significant severe hail over Roger Mills County has now moved into
Custer County, with a separate strong supercell over Dewey County.
This activity has seemingly overachieved relative to the anticipated
environment to the south of an MCV now in southern KS. Given how
well-established this pair of supercells has become, the moist
low-levels sampled in the 00Z OUN sounding suggest that MLCIN will
remain slow to increase. But decreasing MLCAPE within the weak
buoyancy range (below 1000 J/kg) and lack of appreciable low-level
ascent do suggest that the large hail threat should subside
overnight.
..Grams/Mosier.. 05/27/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
LAT...LON 36019886 35839813 35519784 34979797 34789838 34829867
34979905 35309938 35589947 36019886
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
Read more
3 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0333 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 333
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WSW LBB
TO 15 ESE PVW.
WW 333 IS SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE AT 270500Z.
..GRAMS..05/27/25
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 333
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC045-065-075-087-107-129-153-169-179-191-211-303-305-393-483-
270500-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISCOE CARSON CHILDRESS
COLLINGSWORTH CROSBY DONLEY
FLOYD GARZA GRAY
HALL HEMPHILL LUBBOCK
LYNN ROBERTS WHEELER
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
3 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0333 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 333
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WSW LBB
TO 15 ESE PVW.
WW 333 IS SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE AT 270500Z.
..GRAMS..05/27/25
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 333
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC045-065-075-087-107-129-153-169-179-191-211-303-305-393-483-
270500-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISCOE CARSON CHILDRESS
COLLINGSWORTH CROSBY DONLEY
FLOYD GARZA GRAY
HALL HEMPHILL LUBBOCK
LYNN ROBERTS WHEELER
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
3 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0333 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 333
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WSW LBB
TO 15 ESE PVW.
WW 333 IS SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE AT 270500Z.
..GRAMS..05/27/25
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 333
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC045-065-075-087-107-129-153-169-179-191-211-303-305-393-483-
270500-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISCOE CARSON CHILDRESS
COLLINGSWORTH CROSBY DONLEY
FLOYD GARZA GRAY
HALL HEMPHILL LUBBOCK
LYNN ROBERTS WHEELER
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
3 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0333 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 333
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WSW LBB
TO 15 ESE PVW.
WW 333 IS SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE AT 270500Z.
..GRAMS..05/27/25
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 333
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC045-065-075-087-107-129-153-169-179-191-211-303-305-393-483-
270500-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISCOE CARSON CHILDRESS
COLLINGSWORTH CROSBY DONLEY
FLOYD GARZA GRAY
HALL HEMPHILL LUBBOCK
LYNN ROBERTS WHEELER
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
3 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0333 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 333
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WSW LBB
TO 15 ESE PVW.
WW 333 IS SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE AT 270500Z.
..GRAMS..05/27/25
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 333
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC045-065-075-087-107-129-153-169-179-191-211-303-305-393-483-
270500-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISCOE CARSON CHILDRESS
COLLINGSWORTH CROSBY DONLEY
FLOYD GARZA GRAY
HALL HEMPHILL LUBBOCK
LYNN ROBERTS WHEELER
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
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3 months 2 weeks ago
WW 333 SEVERE TSTM NM TX 262210Z - 270500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 333
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
410 PM MDT Mon May 26 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern New Mexico
Texas Panhandle
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 410 PM until
1100 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms ongoing across the higher terrain of central
New Mexico are expected to continue eastward over the next several
hours, while growing upscale into a coherent convective line. Large
hail is the primary risk for the next few hours before then
transitioning to damaging gusts as the convective line moves
eastward.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles north and south of a line from 60 miles south
southwest of Las Vegas NM to 35 miles north northeast of Plainview
TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 330...WW 331...WW 332...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Mosier
Read more
3 months 2 weeks ago
MD 1001 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 333... FOR TX SOUTH PLAINS
Mesoscale Discussion 1001
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0943 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025
Areas affected...TX South Plains
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 333...
Valid 270243Z - 270345Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 333
continues.
SUMMARY...A localized severe threat should persist across a portion
of the Texas South Plains before weakening by Midnight CDT. An
additional watch is not expected.
DISCUSSION...A pair of supercells persist in/near the southwest
corner of WW 333 along the NM/TX border. The lack of low-level jet
response ahead of this activity, with only weak easterlies, and
increasing MLCIN with southeast extent, per modified 00Z MAF
sounding, suggest that storms should diminish towards midnight.
Still, given the longer-lived organization will support a brief
tornado and large hail threat until the updrafts subside.
..Grams/Mosier.. 05/27/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LUB...MAF...
LAT...LON 33380268 33240231 33040186 32820171 32590177 32500200
32490244 32680279 32960296 33380268
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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3 months 2 weeks ago
WW 0334 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 334
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW CLL TO
45 SSE CRS.
..GRAMS..05/27/25
ATTN...WFO...FWD...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 334
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC289-395-270440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEON ROBERTSON
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
Checked
5 years 11 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
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