SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 515 Status Reports

5 days 12 hours ago
WW 0515 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 515 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW CPR TO 50 NW CPR TO 30 W GCC. ..KERR..07/16/25 ATTN...WFO...RIW... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 515 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS WYC019-025-160340- WY . WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JOHNSON NATRONA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC MD 1681

5 days 12 hours ago
MD 1681 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 515... FOR PARTS PF CENTRAL WYOMING
Mesoscale Discussion 1681 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0756 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Areas affected...parts pf central Wyoming Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 515... Valid 160056Z - 160230Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 515 continues. SUMMARY...A small cluster of thunderstorms may pose a continuing risk for severe hail and wind east of Lander toward areas near and south of Casper through 8-9 PM MDT. DISCUSSION...A small cluster of thunderstorms is maintaining intensity east of Lander and appears supported by low-level updraft inflow emanating from a well mixed boundary-layer characterized by CAPE on the order of 500-1000 J/kg. Objective analysis and model output suggest this environment extends in a narrow corridor across and southwest of Casper, into the western slopes of the Laramie Mountains. Although westerly deep-layer mean flow is weak, this is partially due to pronounced veering from low-level easterlies to mid-level westerlies, with Rapid Refresh forecast soundings from around Casper indicating some strengthening of wind fields contributing to strong shear during the next couple of hours. ..Kerr.. 07/16/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CYS...RIW... LAT...LON 43050782 43240636 42490555 42080624 42550726 43050782 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 515 Status Reports

5 days 12 hours ago
WW 0515 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 515 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..KERR..07/16/25 ATTN...WFO...RIW... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 515 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS WYC003-013-017-019-025-043-160240- WY . WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BIG HORN FREMONT HOT SPRINGS JOHNSON NATRONA WASHAKIE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 514 Status Reports

5 days 13 hours ago
WW 0514 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 514 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WNW LBF TO 15 NW BBW TO 15 WSW ONL TO 25 WSW YKN TO 30 N YKN TO 25 NE MHE. ..KERR..07/16/25 ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...OAX...LBF...FSD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 514 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC137-147-160240- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE NORTON PHILLIPS NEC001-003-011-019-027-029-037-039-041-043-047-051-061-063-065- 071-073-077-079-083-085-087-089-093-099-101-107-111-115-117-119- 121-125-135-137-139-141-145-163-167-175-179-183-160240- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ANTELOPE BOONE BUFFALO CEDAR CHASE COLFAX CUMING CUSTER DAKOTA DAWSON DIXON FRANKLIN FRONTIER FURNAS GARFIELD GOSPER GREELEY HALL HARLAN HAYES HITCHCOCK HOLT HOWARD KEARNEY KEITH KNOX LINCOLN LOUP MCPHERSON Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 513 Status Reports

5 days 13 hours ago
WW 0513 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 513 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N EAU TO 35 ENE IWD TO 30 NNE MQT. ..THORNTON..07/16/25 ATTN...WFO...MQT...DLH...MPX...GRB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 513 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MIC013-053-071-103-131-160240- MI . MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARAGA GOGEBIC IRON MARQUETTE ONTONAGON WIC099-107-125-160240- WI . WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE PRICE RUSK VILAS LSZ248-160240- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 513 Status Reports

5 days 13 hours ago
WW 0513 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 513 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N EAU TO 35 ENE IWD TO 30 NNE MQT. ..THORNTON..07/16/25 ATTN...WFO...MQT...DLH...MPX...GRB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 513 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MIC013-053-071-103-131-160240- MI . MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARAGA GOGEBIC IRON MARQUETTE ONTONAGON WIC099-107-125-160240- WI . WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE PRICE RUSK VILAS LSZ248-160240- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 513 Status Reports

5 days 13 hours ago
WW 0513 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 513 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N EAU TO 35 ENE IWD TO 30 NNE MQT. ..THORNTON..07/16/25 ATTN...WFO...MQT...DLH...MPX...GRB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 513 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MIC013-053-071-103-131-160240- MI . MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARAGA GOGEBIC IRON MARQUETTE ONTONAGON WIC099-107-125-160240- WI . WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE PRICE RUSK VILAS LSZ248-160240- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 513 Status Reports

5 days 13 hours ago
WW 0513 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 513 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N EAU TO 35 ENE IWD TO 30 NNE MQT. ..THORNTON..07/16/25 ATTN...WFO...MQT...DLH...MPX...GRB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 513 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MIC013-053-071-103-131-160240- MI . MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARAGA GOGEBIC IRON MARQUETTE ONTONAGON WIC099-107-125-160240- WI . WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE PRICE RUSK VILAS LSZ248-160240- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 513 Status Reports

5 days 13 hours ago
WW 0513 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 513 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N EAU TO 35 ENE IWD TO 30 NNE MQT. ..THORNTON..07/16/25 ATTN...WFO...MQT...DLH...MPX...GRB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 513 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MIC013-053-071-103-131-160240- MI . MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARAGA GOGEBIC IRON MARQUETTE ONTONAGON WIC099-107-125-160240- WI . WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE PRICE RUSK VILAS LSZ248-160240- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 513 Status Reports

5 days 13 hours ago
WW 0513 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 513 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N EAU TO 35 ENE IWD TO 30 NNE MQT. ..THORNTON..07/16/25 ATTN...WFO...MQT...DLH...MPX...GRB... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 513 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MIC013-053-071-103-131-160240- MI . MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARAGA GOGEBIC IRON MARQUETTE ONTONAGON WIC099-107-125-160240- WI . WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE PRICE RUSK VILAS LSZ248-160240- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 513

5 days 13 hours ago
WW 513 SEVERE TSTM MI MN WI LS 151955Z - 160300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 513 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 255 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Upper Peninsula Michigan Central and North-Central Minnesota Northern Wisconsin Lake Superior * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 255 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Scattered clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms will likely develop through the remainder of the afternoon and persist into the evening. The stronger thunderstorms will be capable of a risk for large hail and severe gusts. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles south southwest of Alexandria MN to 115 miles east of Ironwood MI. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 26025. ...Smith Read more

SPC Jul 16, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 days 13 hours ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Valid 160100Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEBRASKA... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTH-CENTRAL WYOMING... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe gusts (some 75+ mph) and large hail are probable across parts of central Nebraska this evening. Isolated severe gusts are also possible from the Upper Midwest to Utah and Wyoming through mid-evening. ...SD/NE... An organized linear MCS has become established from eastern SD into central NE. These storms have product several reports of locally damaging winds and some large hail. This QLCS will progress east-southeastward through the evening into western IA and southeast NE, with a continued severe threat. Reference MCD #1679 and WW #514 for further details. ...Northern WY/Western Upper MI... A line of intense thunderstorms is tracking eastward along and south of the WI/Upper MI state line. These storms have produced sporadic damaging wind gusts over the last few hours, and are probably past-peak. Nevertheless, a few severe storms will remain possible for another 2-3 hours. Reference WW #513 for further details. ...WY... Scattered high-based thunderstorms continue to develop and spread across much of western and central WY. The strongest cells in this area will maintain some risk of damaging wind gusts for a few more hours until diurnal cooling diminishes the threat. Reference WW #515 for further details. ...Southeast AZ... Scattered thunderstorms continue to develop in a warm/moist environment over southeast AZ. This activity will slowly build westward for the next several hours, with a risk of gusty/damaging winds. Reference MCD #1680 for further details. ..Hart.. 07/16/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 16, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 days 13 hours ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Valid 160100Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEBRASKA... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTH-CENTRAL WYOMING... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe gusts (some 75+ mph) and large hail are probable across parts of central Nebraska this evening. Isolated severe gusts are also possible from the Upper Midwest to Utah and Wyoming through mid-evening. ...SD/NE... An organized linear MCS has become established from eastern SD into central NE. These storms have product several reports of locally damaging winds and some large hail. This QLCS will progress east-southeastward through the evening into western IA and southeast NE, with a continued severe threat. Reference MCD #1679 and WW #514 for further details. ...Northern WY/Western Upper MI... A line of intense thunderstorms is tracking eastward along and south of the WI/Upper MI state line. These storms have produced sporadic damaging wind gusts over the last few hours, and are probably past-peak. Nevertheless, a few severe storms will remain possible for another 2-3 hours. Reference WW #513 for further details. ...WY... Scattered high-based thunderstorms continue to develop and spread across much of western and central WY. The strongest cells in this area will maintain some risk of damaging wind gusts for a few more hours until diurnal cooling diminishes the threat. Reference WW #515 for further details. ...Southeast AZ... Scattered thunderstorms continue to develop in a warm/moist environment over southeast AZ. This activity will slowly build westward for the next several hours, with a risk of gusty/damaging winds. Reference MCD #1680 for further details. ..Hart.. 07/16/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 16, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 days 13 hours ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Valid 160100Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEBRASKA... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTH-CENTRAL WYOMING... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe gusts (some 75+ mph) and large hail are probable across parts of central Nebraska this evening. Isolated severe gusts are also possible from the Upper Midwest to Utah and Wyoming through mid-evening. ...SD/NE... An organized linear MCS has become established from eastern SD into central NE. These storms have product several reports of locally damaging winds and some large hail. This QLCS will progress east-southeastward through the evening into western IA and southeast NE, with a continued severe threat. Reference MCD #1679 and WW #514 for further details. ...Northern WY/Western Upper MI... A line of intense thunderstorms is tracking eastward along and south of the WI/Upper MI state line. These storms have produced sporadic damaging wind gusts over the last few hours, and are probably past-peak. Nevertheless, a few severe storms will remain possible for another 2-3 hours. Reference WW #513 for further details. ...WY... Scattered high-based thunderstorms continue to develop and spread across much of western and central WY. The strongest cells in this area will maintain some risk of damaging wind gusts for a few more hours until diurnal cooling diminishes the threat. Reference WW #515 for further details. ...Southeast AZ... Scattered thunderstorms continue to develop in a warm/moist environment over southeast AZ. This activity will slowly build westward for the next several hours, with a risk of gusty/damaging winds. Reference MCD #1680 for further details. ..Hart.. 07/16/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 16, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 days 13 hours ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Valid 160100Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEBRASKA... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTH-CENTRAL WYOMING... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe gusts (some 75+ mph) and large hail are probable across parts of central Nebraska this evening. Isolated severe gusts are also possible from the Upper Midwest to Utah and Wyoming through mid-evening. ...SD/NE... An organized linear MCS has become established from eastern SD into central NE. These storms have product several reports of locally damaging winds and some large hail. This QLCS will progress east-southeastward through the evening into western IA and southeast NE, with a continued severe threat. Reference MCD #1679 and WW #514 for further details. ...Northern WY/Western Upper MI... A line of intense thunderstorms is tracking eastward along and south of the WI/Upper MI state line. These storms have produced sporadic damaging wind gusts over the last few hours, and are probably past-peak. Nevertheless, a few severe storms will remain possible for another 2-3 hours. Reference WW #513 for further details. ...WY... Scattered high-based thunderstorms continue to develop and spread across much of western and central WY. The strongest cells in this area will maintain some risk of damaging wind gusts for a few more hours until diurnal cooling diminishes the threat. Reference WW #515 for further details. ...Southeast AZ... Scattered thunderstorms continue to develop in a warm/moist environment over southeast AZ. This activity will slowly build westward for the next several hours, with a risk of gusty/damaging winds. Reference MCD #1680 for further details. ..Hart.. 07/16/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 16, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 days 13 hours ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Valid 160100Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEBRASKA... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTH-CENTRAL WYOMING... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe gusts (some 75+ mph) and large hail are probable across parts of central Nebraska this evening. Isolated severe gusts are also possible from the Upper Midwest to Utah and Wyoming through mid-evening. ...SD/NE... An organized linear MCS has become established from eastern SD into central NE. These storms have product several reports of locally damaging winds and some large hail. This QLCS will progress east-southeastward through the evening into western IA and southeast NE, with a continued severe threat. Reference MCD #1679 and WW #514 for further details. ...Northern WY/Western Upper MI... A line of intense thunderstorms is tracking eastward along and south of the WI/Upper MI state line. These storms have produced sporadic damaging wind gusts over the last few hours, and are probably past-peak. Nevertheless, a few severe storms will remain possible for another 2-3 hours. Reference WW #513 for further details. ...WY... Scattered high-based thunderstorms continue to develop and spread across much of western and central WY. The strongest cells in this area will maintain some risk of damaging wind gusts for a few more hours until diurnal cooling diminishes the threat. Reference WW #515 for further details. ...Southeast AZ... Scattered thunderstorms continue to develop in a warm/moist environment over southeast AZ. This activity will slowly build westward for the next several hours, with a risk of gusty/damaging winds. Reference MCD #1680 for further details. ..Hart.. 07/16/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 16, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 days 13 hours ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Valid 160100Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEBRASKA... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTH-CENTRAL WYOMING... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe gusts (some 75+ mph) and large hail are probable across parts of central Nebraska this evening. Isolated severe gusts are also possible from the Upper Midwest to Utah and Wyoming through mid-evening. ...SD/NE... An organized linear MCS has become established from eastern SD into central NE. These storms have product several reports of locally damaging winds and some large hail. This QLCS will progress east-southeastward through the evening into western IA and southeast NE, with a continued severe threat. Reference MCD #1679 and WW #514 for further details. ...Northern WY/Western Upper MI... A line of intense thunderstorms is tracking eastward along and south of the WI/Upper MI state line. These storms have produced sporadic damaging wind gusts over the last few hours, and are probably past-peak. Nevertheless, a few severe storms will remain possible for another 2-3 hours. Reference WW #513 for further details. ...WY... Scattered high-based thunderstorms continue to develop and spread across much of western and central WY. The strongest cells in this area will maintain some risk of damaging wind gusts for a few more hours until diurnal cooling diminishes the threat. Reference WW #515 for further details. ...Southeast AZ... Scattered thunderstorms continue to develop in a warm/moist environment over southeast AZ. This activity will slowly build westward for the next several hours, with a risk of gusty/damaging winds. Reference MCD #1680 for further details. ..Hart.. 07/16/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 16, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 days 13 hours ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Valid 160100Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEBRASKA... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTH-CENTRAL WYOMING... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe gusts (some 75+ mph) and large hail are probable across parts of central Nebraska this evening. Isolated severe gusts are also possible from the Upper Midwest to Utah and Wyoming through mid-evening. ...SD/NE... An organized linear MCS has become established from eastern SD into central NE. These storms have product several reports of locally damaging winds and some large hail. This QLCS will progress east-southeastward through the evening into western IA and southeast NE, with a continued severe threat. Reference MCD #1679 and WW #514 for further details. ...Northern WY/Western Upper MI... A line of intense thunderstorms is tracking eastward along and south of the WI/Upper MI state line. These storms have produced sporadic damaging wind gusts over the last few hours, and are probably past-peak. Nevertheless, a few severe storms will remain possible for another 2-3 hours. Reference WW #513 for further details. ...WY... Scattered high-based thunderstorms continue to develop and spread across much of western and central WY. The strongest cells in this area will maintain some risk of damaging wind gusts for a few more hours until diurnal cooling diminishes the threat. Reference WW #515 for further details. ...Southeast AZ... Scattered thunderstorms continue to develop in a warm/moist environment over southeast AZ. This activity will slowly build westward for the next several hours, with a risk of gusty/damaging winds. Reference MCD #1680 for further details. ..Hart.. 07/16/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 16, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

5 days 13 hours ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Valid 160100Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEBRASKA... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTH-CENTRAL WYOMING... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe gusts (some 75+ mph) and large hail are probable across parts of central Nebraska this evening. Isolated severe gusts are also possible from the Upper Midwest to Utah and Wyoming through mid-evening. ...SD/NE... An organized linear MCS has become established from eastern SD into central NE. These storms have product several reports of locally damaging winds and some large hail. This QLCS will progress east-southeastward through the evening into western IA and southeast NE, with a continued severe threat. Reference MCD #1679 and WW #514 for further details. ...Northern WY/Western Upper MI... A line of intense thunderstorms is tracking eastward along and south of the WI/Upper MI state line. These storms have produced sporadic damaging wind gusts over the last few hours, and are probably past-peak. Nevertheless, a few severe storms will remain possible for another 2-3 hours. Reference WW #513 for further details. ...WY... Scattered high-based thunderstorms continue to develop and spread across much of western and central WY. The strongest cells in this area will maintain some risk of damaging wind gusts for a few more hours until diurnal cooling diminishes the threat. Reference WW #515 for further details. ...Southeast AZ... Scattered thunderstorms continue to develop in a warm/moist environment over southeast AZ. This activity will slowly build westward for the next several hours, with a risk of gusty/damaging winds. Reference MCD #1680 for further details. ..Hart.. 07/16/2025 Read more
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