Severe Storms

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1125 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday. ...Discussion... Prospects for severe thunderstorms appear negligible on Tuesday. An expansive mid/upper low centered on the NE/KS border area should drift east into northern MO through 12Z Wednesday. Thunder potential will be confined well downstream of this low, mainly within a persistent low-level warm conveyor ahead of a slowing occluded front. Modest mid-level lapse rates will maintain weak elevated buoyancy focused from the Carolinas to the south-central Appalachians, with sporadic/isolated thunderstorm development possible through the period. Meager surface-based buoyancy may develop closer to the SC coast, but a limited instability profile amid marginal deep-layer shear should preclude an appreciable severe thunderstorm threat. The bulk of deep convection will largely be confined off the south Atlantic Coast with greater offshore thunderstorm coverage during the first half of the period. ..Grams.. 12/25/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1125 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday. ...Discussion... Prospects for severe thunderstorms appear negligible on Tuesday. An expansive mid/upper low centered on the NE/KS border area should drift east into northern MO through 12Z Wednesday. Thunder potential will be confined well downstream of this low, mainly within a persistent low-level warm conveyor ahead of a slowing occluded front. Modest mid-level lapse rates will maintain weak elevated buoyancy focused from the Carolinas to the south-central Appalachians, with sporadic/isolated thunderstorm development possible through the period. Meager surface-based buoyancy may develop closer to the SC coast, but a limited instability profile amid marginal deep-layer shear should preclude an appreciable severe thunderstorm threat. The bulk of deep convection will largely be confined off the south Atlantic Coast with greater offshore thunderstorm coverage during the first half of the period. ..Grams.. 12/25/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1125 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday. ...Discussion... Prospects for severe thunderstorms appear negligible on Tuesday. An expansive mid/upper low centered on the NE/KS border area should drift east into northern MO through 12Z Wednesday. Thunder potential will be confined well downstream of this low, mainly within a persistent low-level warm conveyor ahead of a slowing occluded front. Modest mid-level lapse rates will maintain weak elevated buoyancy focused from the Carolinas to the south-central Appalachians, with sporadic/isolated thunderstorm development possible through the period. Meager surface-based buoyancy may develop closer to the SC coast, but a limited instability profile amid marginal deep-layer shear should preclude an appreciable severe thunderstorm threat. The bulk of deep convection will largely be confined off the south Atlantic Coast with greater offshore thunderstorm coverage during the first half of the period. ..Grams.. 12/25/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1125 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday. ...Discussion... Prospects for severe thunderstorms appear negligible on Tuesday. An expansive mid/upper low centered on the NE/KS border area should drift east into northern MO through 12Z Wednesday. Thunder potential will be confined well downstream of this low, mainly within a persistent low-level warm conveyor ahead of a slowing occluded front. Modest mid-level lapse rates will maintain weak elevated buoyancy focused from the Carolinas to the south-central Appalachians, with sporadic/isolated thunderstorm development possible through the period. Meager surface-based buoyancy may develop closer to the SC coast, but a limited instability profile amid marginal deep-layer shear should preclude an appreciable severe thunderstorm threat. The bulk of deep convection will largely be confined off the south Atlantic Coast with greater offshore thunderstorm coverage during the first half of the period. ..Grams.. 12/25/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1125 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday. ...Discussion... Prospects for severe thunderstorms appear negligible on Tuesday. An expansive mid/upper low centered on the NE/KS border area should drift east into northern MO through 12Z Wednesday. Thunder potential will be confined well downstream of this low, mainly within a persistent low-level warm conveyor ahead of a slowing occluded front. Modest mid-level lapse rates will maintain weak elevated buoyancy focused from the Carolinas to the south-central Appalachians, with sporadic/isolated thunderstorm development possible through the period. Meager surface-based buoyancy may develop closer to the SC coast, but a limited instability profile amid marginal deep-layer shear should preclude an appreciable severe thunderstorm threat. The bulk of deep convection will largely be confined off the south Atlantic Coast with greater offshore thunderstorm coverage during the first half of the period. ..Grams.. 12/25/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1125 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday. ...Discussion... Prospects for severe thunderstorms appear negligible on Tuesday. An expansive mid/upper low centered on the NE/KS border area should drift east into northern MO through 12Z Wednesday. Thunder potential will be confined well downstream of this low, mainly within a persistent low-level warm conveyor ahead of a slowing occluded front. Modest mid-level lapse rates will maintain weak elevated buoyancy focused from the Carolinas to the south-central Appalachians, with sporadic/isolated thunderstorm development possible through the period. Meager surface-based buoyancy may develop closer to the SC coast, but a limited instability profile amid marginal deep-layer shear should preclude an appreciable severe thunderstorm threat. The bulk of deep convection will largely be confined off the south Atlantic Coast with greater offshore thunderstorm coverage during the first half of the period. ..Grams.. 12/25/2023 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1125 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday. ...Discussion... Prospects for severe thunderstorms appear negligible on Tuesday. An expansive mid/upper low centered on the NE/KS border area should drift east into northern MO through 12Z Wednesday. Thunder potential will be confined well downstream of this low, mainly within a persistent low-level warm conveyor ahead of a slowing occluded front. Modest mid-level lapse rates will maintain weak elevated buoyancy focused from the Carolinas to the south-central Appalachians, with sporadic/isolated thunderstorm development possible through the period. Meager surface-based buoyancy may develop closer to the SC coast, but a limited instability profile amid marginal deep-layer shear should preclude an appreciable severe thunderstorm threat. The bulk of deep convection will largely be confined off the south Atlantic Coast with greater offshore thunderstorm coverage during the first half of the period. ..Grams.. 12/25/2023 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1051 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... On the backside of the expansive closed midlevel low over the central Plains, a belt of strong deep-layer west-northwesterly flow associated with the dry conveyor belt will overspread portions of the southern High Plains. From southeast NM into portions of West TX (particularly the Trans-Pecos), forecast soundings depict very dry air through the vertical profile, which coupled with surface temperatures in the 50s, will yield 10-15 percent afternoon RH. At the same time, downward momentum transport and a modest pressure gradient will favor 20+ mph sustained west-northwesterly surface winds (with gusts upwards of 30-40 mph). While the area did receive some precipitation in the last few days, freeze-cured grasses may still support locally elevated fire-weather conditions given 1 to 2 days of drying and the dry/breezy conditions. ..Weinman.. 12/25/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1243 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023/ ...Synopsis... Tuesday will feature a large, occluded cyclone drifting slowly east from the Plains to the Midwest. As the pressure gradient relaxes in response to the occluding cyclone, winds will also become weaker across the central CONUS. The only exception will be across portions of the Dakotas and western Nebraska where a deeply mixed boundary layer is likely and some stronger jet stream winds may mix to the surface. However, even within this region, fire-weather concerns will be quite low due to the below-freezing temperatures in the region. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1051 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... On the backside of the expansive closed midlevel low over the central Plains, a belt of strong deep-layer west-northwesterly flow associated with the dry conveyor belt will overspread portions of the southern High Plains. From southeast NM into portions of West TX (particularly the Trans-Pecos), forecast soundings depict very dry air through the vertical profile, which coupled with surface temperatures in the 50s, will yield 10-15 percent afternoon RH. At the same time, downward momentum transport and a modest pressure gradient will favor 20+ mph sustained west-northwesterly surface winds (with gusts upwards of 30-40 mph). While the area did receive some precipitation in the last few days, freeze-cured grasses may still support locally elevated fire-weather conditions given 1 to 2 days of drying and the dry/breezy conditions. ..Weinman.. 12/25/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1243 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023/ ...Synopsis... Tuesday will feature a large, occluded cyclone drifting slowly east from the Plains to the Midwest. As the pressure gradient relaxes in response to the occluding cyclone, winds will also become weaker across the central CONUS. The only exception will be across portions of the Dakotas and western Nebraska where a deeply mixed boundary layer is likely and some stronger jet stream winds may mix to the surface. However, even within this region, fire-weather concerns will be quite low due to the below-freezing temperatures in the region. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1051 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... On the backside of the expansive closed midlevel low over the central Plains, a belt of strong deep-layer west-northwesterly flow associated with the dry conveyor belt will overspread portions of the southern High Plains. From southeast NM into portions of West TX (particularly the Trans-Pecos), forecast soundings depict very dry air through the vertical profile, which coupled with surface temperatures in the 50s, will yield 10-15 percent afternoon RH. At the same time, downward momentum transport and a modest pressure gradient will favor 20+ mph sustained west-northwesterly surface winds (with gusts upwards of 30-40 mph). While the area did receive some precipitation in the last few days, freeze-cured grasses may still support locally elevated fire-weather conditions given 1 to 2 days of drying and the dry/breezy conditions. ..Weinman.. 12/25/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1243 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023/ ...Synopsis... Tuesday will feature a large, occluded cyclone drifting slowly east from the Plains to the Midwest. As the pressure gradient relaxes in response to the occluding cyclone, winds will also become weaker across the central CONUS. The only exception will be across portions of the Dakotas and western Nebraska where a deeply mixed boundary layer is likely and some stronger jet stream winds may mix to the surface. However, even within this region, fire-weather concerns will be quite low due to the below-freezing temperatures in the region. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1051 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... On the backside of the expansive closed midlevel low over the central Plains, a belt of strong deep-layer west-northwesterly flow associated with the dry conveyor belt will overspread portions of the southern High Plains. From southeast NM into portions of West TX (particularly the Trans-Pecos), forecast soundings depict very dry air through the vertical profile, which coupled with surface temperatures in the 50s, will yield 10-15 percent afternoon RH. At the same time, downward momentum transport and a modest pressure gradient will favor 20+ mph sustained west-northwesterly surface winds (with gusts upwards of 30-40 mph). While the area did receive some precipitation in the last few days, freeze-cured grasses may still support locally elevated fire-weather conditions given 1 to 2 days of drying and the dry/breezy conditions. ..Weinman.. 12/25/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1243 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023/ ...Synopsis... Tuesday will feature a large, occluded cyclone drifting slowly east from the Plains to the Midwest. As the pressure gradient relaxes in response to the occluding cyclone, winds will also become weaker across the central CONUS. The only exception will be across portions of the Dakotas and western Nebraska where a deeply mixed boundary layer is likely and some stronger jet stream winds may mix to the surface. However, even within this region, fire-weather concerns will be quite low due to the below-freezing temperatures in the region. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1051 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... On the backside of the expansive closed midlevel low over the central Plains, a belt of strong deep-layer west-northwesterly flow associated with the dry conveyor belt will overspread portions of the southern High Plains. From southeast NM into portions of West TX (particularly the Trans-Pecos), forecast soundings depict very dry air through the vertical profile, which coupled with surface temperatures in the 50s, will yield 10-15 percent afternoon RH. At the same time, downward momentum transport and a modest pressure gradient will favor 20+ mph sustained west-northwesterly surface winds (with gusts upwards of 30-40 mph). While the area did receive some precipitation in the last few days, freeze-cured grasses may still support locally elevated fire-weather conditions given 1 to 2 days of drying and the dry/breezy conditions. ..Weinman.. 12/25/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1243 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023/ ...Synopsis... Tuesday will feature a large, occluded cyclone drifting slowly east from the Plains to the Midwest. As the pressure gradient relaxes in response to the occluding cyclone, winds will also become weaker across the central CONUS. The only exception will be across portions of the Dakotas and western Nebraska where a deeply mixed boundary layer is likely and some stronger jet stream winds may mix to the surface. However, even within this region, fire-weather concerns will be quite low due to the below-freezing temperatures in the region. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1051 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... On the backside of the expansive closed midlevel low over the central Plains, a belt of strong deep-layer west-northwesterly flow associated with the dry conveyor belt will overspread portions of the southern High Plains. From southeast NM into portions of West TX (particularly the Trans-Pecos), forecast soundings depict very dry air through the vertical profile, which coupled with surface temperatures in the 50s, will yield 10-15 percent afternoon RH. At the same time, downward momentum transport and a modest pressure gradient will favor 20+ mph sustained west-northwesterly surface winds (with gusts upwards of 30-40 mph). While the area did receive some precipitation in the last few days, freeze-cured grasses may still support locally elevated fire-weather conditions given 1 to 2 days of drying and the dry/breezy conditions. ..Weinman.. 12/25/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1243 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023/ ...Synopsis... Tuesday will feature a large, occluded cyclone drifting slowly east from the Plains to the Midwest. As the pressure gradient relaxes in response to the occluding cyclone, winds will also become weaker across the central CONUS. The only exception will be across portions of the Dakotas and western Nebraska where a deeply mixed boundary layer is likely and some stronger jet stream winds may mix to the surface. However, even within this region, fire-weather concerns will be quite low due to the below-freezing temperatures in the region. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1051 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... On the backside of the expansive closed midlevel low over the central Plains, a belt of strong deep-layer west-northwesterly flow associated with the dry conveyor belt will overspread portions of the southern High Plains. From southeast NM into portions of West TX (particularly the Trans-Pecos), forecast soundings depict very dry air through the vertical profile, which coupled with surface temperatures in the 50s, will yield 10-15 percent afternoon RH. At the same time, downward momentum transport and a modest pressure gradient will favor 20+ mph sustained west-northwesterly surface winds (with gusts upwards of 30-40 mph). While the area did receive some precipitation in the last few days, freeze-cured grasses may still support locally elevated fire-weather conditions given 1 to 2 days of drying and the dry/breezy conditions. ..Weinman.. 12/25/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1243 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023/ ...Synopsis... Tuesday will feature a large, occluded cyclone drifting slowly east from the Plains to the Midwest. As the pressure gradient relaxes in response to the occluding cyclone, winds will also become weaker across the central CONUS. The only exception will be across portions of the Dakotas and western Nebraska where a deeply mixed boundary layer is likely and some stronger jet stream winds may mix to the surface. However, even within this region, fire-weather concerns will be quite low due to the below-freezing temperatures in the region. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1049 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 251700Z - 261200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The forecast remains on track. For details, see the previous discussion below. ..Weinman.. 12/25/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1242 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023/ ...Synopsis... Moist fuels are likely across most of the CONUS today. Therefore, even though there will be a surface cyclone across the central US, rain, cool temperatures, and antecedent wet conditions should keep relative humidity high. Therefore, windy conditions likely will not yield a significant fire-weather threat. Concerns for large fire will likely remain quite low elsewhere as high pressure builds into the western CONUS. Dormant grasses can respond somewhat fast during relatively short periods of dry weather in the winter, but the combination of cool temperatures and significant wetting rainfall should preclude fire-weather concerns today. Within the broader wind field of the surface cyclone, there may be some pockets of dry and breezy conditions, particularly across parts of eastern Wyoming and western South Dakota, amid strong northerly winds, but temperatures will remain below freezing. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1049 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 251700Z - 261200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The forecast remains on track. For details, see the previous discussion below. ..Weinman.. 12/25/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1242 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023/ ...Synopsis... Moist fuels are likely across most of the CONUS today. Therefore, even though there will be a surface cyclone across the central US, rain, cool temperatures, and antecedent wet conditions should keep relative humidity high. Therefore, windy conditions likely will not yield a significant fire-weather threat. Concerns for large fire will likely remain quite low elsewhere as high pressure builds into the western CONUS. Dormant grasses can respond somewhat fast during relatively short periods of dry weather in the winter, but the combination of cool temperatures and significant wetting rainfall should preclude fire-weather concerns today. Within the broader wind field of the surface cyclone, there may be some pockets of dry and breezy conditions, particularly across parts of eastern Wyoming and western South Dakota, amid strong northerly winds, but temperatures will remain below freezing. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1049 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 251700Z - 261200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The forecast remains on track. For details, see the previous discussion below. ..Weinman.. 12/25/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1242 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023/ ...Synopsis... Moist fuels are likely across most of the CONUS today. Therefore, even though there will be a surface cyclone across the central US, rain, cool temperatures, and antecedent wet conditions should keep relative humidity high. Therefore, windy conditions likely will not yield a significant fire-weather threat. Concerns for large fire will likely remain quite low elsewhere as high pressure builds into the western CONUS. Dormant grasses can respond somewhat fast during relatively short periods of dry weather in the winter, but the combination of cool temperatures and significant wetting rainfall should preclude fire-weather concerns today. Within the broader wind field of the surface cyclone, there may be some pockets of dry and breezy conditions, particularly across parts of eastern Wyoming and western South Dakota, amid strong northerly winds, but temperatures will remain below freezing. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1049 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 251700Z - 261200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The forecast remains on track. For details, see the previous discussion below. ..Weinman.. 12/25/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1242 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023/ ...Synopsis... Moist fuels are likely across most of the CONUS today. Therefore, even though there will be a surface cyclone across the central US, rain, cool temperatures, and antecedent wet conditions should keep relative humidity high. Therefore, windy conditions likely will not yield a significant fire-weather threat. Concerns for large fire will likely remain quite low elsewhere as high pressure builds into the western CONUS. Dormant grasses can respond somewhat fast during relatively short periods of dry weather in the winter, but the combination of cool temperatures and significant wetting rainfall should preclude fire-weather concerns today. Within the broader wind field of the surface cyclone, there may be some pockets of dry and breezy conditions, particularly across parts of eastern Wyoming and western South Dakota, amid strong northerly winds, but temperatures will remain below freezing. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1049 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 251700Z - 261200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The forecast remains on track. For details, see the previous discussion below. ..Weinman.. 12/25/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1242 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023/ ...Synopsis... Moist fuels are likely across most of the CONUS today. Therefore, even though there will be a surface cyclone across the central US, rain, cool temperatures, and antecedent wet conditions should keep relative humidity high. Therefore, windy conditions likely will not yield a significant fire-weather threat. Concerns for large fire will likely remain quite low elsewhere as high pressure builds into the western CONUS. Dormant grasses can respond somewhat fast during relatively short periods of dry weather in the winter, but the combination of cool temperatures and significant wetting rainfall should preclude fire-weather concerns today. Within the broader wind field of the surface cyclone, there may be some pockets of dry and breezy conditions, particularly across parts of eastern Wyoming and western South Dakota, amid strong northerly winds, but temperatures will remain below freezing. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1049 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023 Valid 251700Z - 261200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The forecast remains on track. For details, see the previous discussion below. ..Weinman.. 12/25/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1242 AM CST Mon Dec 25 2023/ ...Synopsis... Moist fuels are likely across most of the CONUS today. Therefore, even though there will be a surface cyclone across the central US, rain, cool temperatures, and antecedent wet conditions should keep relative humidity high. Therefore, windy conditions likely will not yield a significant fire-weather threat. Concerns for large fire will likely remain quite low elsewhere as high pressure builds into the western CONUS. Dormant grasses can respond somewhat fast during relatively short periods of dry weather in the winter, but the combination of cool temperatures and significant wetting rainfall should preclude fire-weather concerns today. Within the broader wind field of the surface cyclone, there may be some pockets of dry and breezy conditions, particularly across parts of eastern Wyoming and western South Dakota, amid strong northerly winds, but temperatures will remain below freezing. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more