Severe Storms

WW 0005 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 5 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE CTY TO 15 E JAX TO 40 SSE SAV TO 35 NE SAV TO 15 ESE OGB TO 40 NW FLO TO 40 WNW SOP. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0038 ..THORNTON..01/09/24 ATTN...WFO...JAX...CHS...CAE...RAH...GSP...ILM... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 5 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC035-083-107-109-092240- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FLAGLER MARION PUTNAM ST. JOHNS NCC007-057-067-151-092240- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANSON DAVIDSON FORSYTH RANDOLPH SCC015-019-025-027-029-031-033-035-041-043-051-061-067-069-089- 092240- SC Read more

WW 0005 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 5 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE CTY TO 15 E JAX TO 40 SSE SAV TO 35 NE SAV TO 15 ESE OGB TO 40 NW FLO TO 40 WNW SOP. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0038 ..THORNTON..01/09/24 ATTN...WFO...JAX...CHS...CAE...RAH...GSP...ILM... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 5 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC035-083-107-109-092240- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FLAGLER MARION PUTNAM ST. JOHNS NCC007-057-067-151-092240- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANSON DAVIDSON FORSYTH RANDOLPH SCC015-019-025-027-029-031-033-035-041-043-051-061-067-069-089- 092240- SC Read more

WW 0005 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 5 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE CTY TO 15 E JAX TO 40 SSE SAV TO 35 NE SAV TO 15 ESE OGB TO 40 NW FLO TO 40 WNW SOP. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0038 ..THORNTON..01/09/24 ATTN...WFO...JAX...CHS...CAE...RAH...GSP...ILM... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 5 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC035-083-107-109-092240- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FLAGLER MARION PUTNAM ST. JOHNS NCC007-057-067-151-092240- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANSON DAVIDSON FORSYTH RANDOLPH SCC015-019-025-027-029-031-033-035-041-043-051-061-067-069-089- 092240- SC Read more

WW 0005 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 5 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE CTY TO 15 E JAX TO 40 SSE SAV TO 35 NE SAV TO 15 ESE OGB TO 40 NW FLO TO 40 WNW SOP. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0038 ..THORNTON..01/09/24 ATTN...WFO...JAX...CHS...CAE...RAH...GSP...ILM... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 5 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC035-083-107-109-092240- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FLAGLER MARION PUTNAM ST. JOHNS NCC007-057-067-151-092240- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANSON DAVIDSON FORSYTH RANDOLPH SCC015-019-025-027-029-031-033-035-041-043-051-061-067-069-089- 092240- SC Read more

WW 0005 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 5 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE CTY TO 15 E JAX TO 40 SSE SAV TO 35 NE SAV TO 15 ESE OGB TO 40 NW FLO TO 40 WNW SOP. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0038 ..THORNTON..01/09/24 ATTN...WFO...JAX...CHS...CAE...RAH...GSP...ILM... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 5 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS FLC035-083-107-109-092240- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FLAGLER MARION PUTNAM ST. JOHNS NCC007-057-067-151-092240- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANSON DAVIDSON FORSYTH RANDOLPH SCC015-019-025-027-029-031-033-035-041-043-051-061-067-069-089- 092240- SC Read more

WW 5 TORNADO FL GA NC SC CW 091640Z - 092300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 5 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1140 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of North Florida Southeast Georgia South Central North Carolina Much of South Carolina Coastal Waters * Effective this Tuesday morning and evening from 1140 AM until 600 PM EST. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible SUMMARY...A line of fast-moving thunderstorms will sweep eastward across the watch area this afternoon, posing a risk of damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 5 miles north northeast of Charlotte NC to 35 miles east southeast of Gainesville FL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 4... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 25040. ...Hart Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0248 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A strong upper-level trough will be in the process pivoting through the Southwest/northern Mexico on Thursday before quickly ejecting into the southern Plains by Friday morning. As this feature races northeastward it will become a strong upper low in the Upper Midwest with broadly cyclonic flow elsewhere across much of the central/eastern CONUS during the weekend. The upper-level pattern becomes a bit more uncertain into next week, though a trough in the East and a ridge in the West is the current general theme in forecast guidance. At the surface, a surface cyclone will deepen rapidly as it moves from the southern Plains into the lower Great Lakes region. Colder air will eventually filter into the Plains during the weekend with another reinforcing shot early next week. Low temperatures and precipitation should limit fire weather concerns in most areas. Dry and windy conditions are expected to occur in the Trans-Pecos on Thursday. Though locally elevated fire weather appears probable, limited fuel receptiveness should keep greater concerns from developing despite the near-critical/critical meteorological conditions. As the front moves southward on Friday, another northwesterly flow regime will develop in the Rio Grande Valley/South Texas. With the dry and windy conditions in the preceding days, fine fuels appear that they will be dry enough to support fire spread. Winds will be strongest in the morning into the early afternoon before diminishing. Highlights have been added for the few hours of expected elevated to near-critical fire weather. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0248 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A strong upper-level trough will be in the process pivoting through the Southwest/northern Mexico on Thursday before quickly ejecting into the southern Plains by Friday morning. As this feature races northeastward it will become a strong upper low in the Upper Midwest with broadly cyclonic flow elsewhere across much of the central/eastern CONUS during the weekend. The upper-level pattern becomes a bit more uncertain into next week, though a trough in the East and a ridge in the West is the current general theme in forecast guidance. At the surface, a surface cyclone will deepen rapidly as it moves from the southern Plains into the lower Great Lakes region. Colder air will eventually filter into the Plains during the weekend with another reinforcing shot early next week. Low temperatures and precipitation should limit fire weather concerns in most areas. Dry and windy conditions are expected to occur in the Trans-Pecos on Thursday. Though locally elevated fire weather appears probable, limited fuel receptiveness should keep greater concerns from developing despite the near-critical/critical meteorological conditions. As the front moves southward on Friday, another northwesterly flow regime will develop in the Rio Grande Valley/South Texas. With the dry and windy conditions in the preceding days, fine fuels appear that they will be dry enough to support fire spread. Winds will be strongest in the morning into the early afternoon before diminishing. Highlights have been added for the few hours of expected elevated to near-critical fire weather. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0248 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A strong upper-level trough will be in the process pivoting through the Southwest/northern Mexico on Thursday before quickly ejecting into the southern Plains by Friday morning. As this feature races northeastward it will become a strong upper low in the Upper Midwest with broadly cyclonic flow elsewhere across much of the central/eastern CONUS during the weekend. The upper-level pattern becomes a bit more uncertain into next week, though a trough in the East and a ridge in the West is the current general theme in forecast guidance. At the surface, a surface cyclone will deepen rapidly as it moves from the southern Plains into the lower Great Lakes region. Colder air will eventually filter into the Plains during the weekend with another reinforcing shot early next week. Low temperatures and precipitation should limit fire weather concerns in most areas. Dry and windy conditions are expected to occur in the Trans-Pecos on Thursday. Though locally elevated fire weather appears probable, limited fuel receptiveness should keep greater concerns from developing despite the near-critical/critical meteorological conditions. As the front moves southward on Friday, another northwesterly flow regime will develop in the Rio Grande Valley/South Texas. With the dry and windy conditions in the preceding days, fine fuels appear that they will be dry enough to support fire spread. Winds will be strongest in the morning into the early afternoon before diminishing. Highlights have been added for the few hours of expected elevated to near-critical fire weather. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0248 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A strong upper-level trough will be in the process pivoting through the Southwest/northern Mexico on Thursday before quickly ejecting into the southern Plains by Friday morning. As this feature races northeastward it will become a strong upper low in the Upper Midwest with broadly cyclonic flow elsewhere across much of the central/eastern CONUS during the weekend. The upper-level pattern becomes a bit more uncertain into next week, though a trough in the East and a ridge in the West is the current general theme in forecast guidance. At the surface, a surface cyclone will deepen rapidly as it moves from the southern Plains into the lower Great Lakes region. Colder air will eventually filter into the Plains during the weekend with another reinforcing shot early next week. Low temperatures and precipitation should limit fire weather concerns in most areas. Dry and windy conditions are expected to occur in the Trans-Pecos on Thursday. Though locally elevated fire weather appears probable, limited fuel receptiveness should keep greater concerns from developing despite the near-critical/critical meteorological conditions. As the front moves southward on Friday, another northwesterly flow regime will develop in the Rio Grande Valley/South Texas. With the dry and windy conditions in the preceding days, fine fuels appear that they will be dry enough to support fire spread. Winds will be strongest in the morning into the early afternoon before diminishing. Highlights have been added for the few hours of expected elevated to near-critical fire weather. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0248 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A strong upper-level trough will be in the process pivoting through the Southwest/northern Mexico on Thursday before quickly ejecting into the southern Plains by Friday morning. As this feature races northeastward it will become a strong upper low in the Upper Midwest with broadly cyclonic flow elsewhere across much of the central/eastern CONUS during the weekend. The upper-level pattern becomes a bit more uncertain into next week, though a trough in the East and a ridge in the West is the current general theme in forecast guidance. At the surface, a surface cyclone will deepen rapidly as it moves from the southern Plains into the lower Great Lakes region. Colder air will eventually filter into the Plains during the weekend with another reinforcing shot early next week. Low temperatures and precipitation should limit fire weather concerns in most areas. Dry and windy conditions are expected to occur in the Trans-Pecos on Thursday. Though locally elevated fire weather appears probable, limited fuel receptiveness should keep greater concerns from developing despite the near-critical/critical meteorological conditions. As the front moves southward on Friday, another northwesterly flow regime will develop in the Rio Grande Valley/South Texas. With the dry and windy conditions in the preceding days, fine fuels appear that they will be dry enough to support fire spread. Winds will be strongest in the morning into the early afternoon before diminishing. Highlights have been added for the few hours of expected elevated to near-critical fire weather. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0248 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A strong upper-level trough will be in the process pivoting through the Southwest/northern Mexico on Thursday before quickly ejecting into the southern Plains by Friday morning. As this feature races northeastward it will become a strong upper low in the Upper Midwest with broadly cyclonic flow elsewhere across much of the central/eastern CONUS during the weekend. The upper-level pattern becomes a bit more uncertain into next week, though a trough in the East and a ridge in the West is the current general theme in forecast guidance. At the surface, a surface cyclone will deepen rapidly as it moves from the southern Plains into the lower Great Lakes region. Colder air will eventually filter into the Plains during the weekend with another reinforcing shot early next week. Low temperatures and precipitation should limit fire weather concerns in most areas. Dry and windy conditions are expected to occur in the Trans-Pecos on Thursday. Though locally elevated fire weather appears probable, limited fuel receptiveness should keep greater concerns from developing despite the near-critical/critical meteorological conditions. As the front moves southward on Friday, another northwesterly flow regime will develop in the Rio Grande Valley/South Texas. With the dry and windy conditions in the preceding days, fine fuels appear that they will be dry enough to support fire spread. Winds will be strongest in the morning into the early afternoon before diminishing. Highlights have been added for the few hours of expected elevated to near-critical fire weather. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0248 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A strong upper-level trough will be in the process pivoting through the Southwest/northern Mexico on Thursday before quickly ejecting into the southern Plains by Friday morning. As this feature races northeastward it will become a strong upper low in the Upper Midwest with broadly cyclonic flow elsewhere across much of the central/eastern CONUS during the weekend. The upper-level pattern becomes a bit more uncertain into next week, though a trough in the East and a ridge in the West is the current general theme in forecast guidance. At the surface, a surface cyclone will deepen rapidly as it moves from the southern Plains into the lower Great Lakes region. Colder air will eventually filter into the Plains during the weekend with another reinforcing shot early next week. Low temperatures and precipitation should limit fire weather concerns in most areas. Dry and windy conditions are expected to occur in the Trans-Pecos on Thursday. Though locally elevated fire weather appears probable, limited fuel receptiveness should keep greater concerns from developing despite the near-critical/critical meteorological conditions. As the front moves southward on Friday, another northwesterly flow regime will develop in the Rio Grande Valley/South Texas. With the dry and windy conditions in the preceding days, fine fuels appear that they will be dry enough to support fire spread. Winds will be strongest in the morning into the early afternoon before diminishing. Highlights have been added for the few hours of expected elevated to near-critical fire weather. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0248 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A strong upper-level trough will be in the process pivoting through the Southwest/northern Mexico on Thursday before quickly ejecting into the southern Plains by Friday morning. As this feature races northeastward it will become a strong upper low in the Upper Midwest with broadly cyclonic flow elsewhere across much of the central/eastern CONUS during the weekend. The upper-level pattern becomes a bit more uncertain into next week, though a trough in the East and a ridge in the West is the current general theme in forecast guidance. At the surface, a surface cyclone will deepen rapidly as it moves from the southern Plains into the lower Great Lakes region. Colder air will eventually filter into the Plains during the weekend with another reinforcing shot early next week. Low temperatures and precipitation should limit fire weather concerns in most areas. Dry and windy conditions are expected to occur in the Trans-Pecos on Thursday. Though locally elevated fire weather appears probable, limited fuel receptiveness should keep greater concerns from developing despite the near-critical/critical meteorological conditions. As the front moves southward on Friday, another northwesterly flow regime will develop in the Rio Grande Valley/South Texas. With the dry and windy conditions in the preceding days, fine fuels appear that they will be dry enough to support fire spread. Winds will be strongest in the morning into the early afternoon before diminishing. Highlights have been added for the few hours of expected elevated to near-critical fire weather. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0248 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A strong upper-level trough will be in the process pivoting through the Southwest/northern Mexico on Thursday before quickly ejecting into the southern Plains by Friday morning. As this feature races northeastward it will become a strong upper low in the Upper Midwest with broadly cyclonic flow elsewhere across much of the central/eastern CONUS during the weekend. The upper-level pattern becomes a bit more uncertain into next week, though a trough in the East and a ridge in the West is the current general theme in forecast guidance. At the surface, a surface cyclone will deepen rapidly as it moves from the southern Plains into the lower Great Lakes region. Colder air will eventually filter into the Plains during the weekend with another reinforcing shot early next week. Low temperatures and precipitation should limit fire weather concerns in most areas. Dry and windy conditions are expected to occur in the Trans-Pecos on Thursday. Though locally elevated fire weather appears probable, limited fuel receptiveness should keep greater concerns from developing despite the near-critical/critical meteorological conditions. As the front moves southward on Friday, another northwesterly flow regime will develop in the Rio Grande Valley/South Texas. With the dry and windy conditions in the preceding days, fine fuels appear that they will be dry enough to support fire spread. Winds will be strongest in the morning into the early afternoon before diminishing. Highlights have been added for the few hours of expected elevated to near-critical fire weather. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0248 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A strong upper-level trough will be in the process pivoting through the Southwest/northern Mexico on Thursday before quickly ejecting into the southern Plains by Friday morning. As this feature races northeastward it will become a strong upper low in the Upper Midwest with broadly cyclonic flow elsewhere across much of the central/eastern CONUS during the weekend. The upper-level pattern becomes a bit more uncertain into next week, though a trough in the East and a ridge in the West is the current general theme in forecast guidance. At the surface, a surface cyclone will deepen rapidly as it moves from the southern Plains into the lower Great Lakes region. Colder air will eventually filter into the Plains during the weekend with another reinforcing shot early next week. Low temperatures and precipitation should limit fire weather concerns in most areas. Dry and windy conditions are expected to occur in the Trans-Pecos on Thursday. Though locally elevated fire weather appears probable, limited fuel receptiveness should keep greater concerns from developing despite the near-critical/critical meteorological conditions. As the front moves southward on Friday, another northwesterly flow regime will develop in the Rio Grande Valley/South Texas. With the dry and windy conditions in the preceding days, fine fuels appear that they will be dry enough to support fire spread. Winds will be strongest in the morning into the early afternoon before diminishing. Highlights have been added for the few hours of expected elevated to near-critical fire weather. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0248 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A strong upper-level trough will be in the process pivoting through the Southwest/northern Mexico on Thursday before quickly ejecting into the southern Plains by Friday morning. As this feature races northeastward it will become a strong upper low in the Upper Midwest with broadly cyclonic flow elsewhere across much of the central/eastern CONUS during the weekend. The upper-level pattern becomes a bit more uncertain into next week, though a trough in the East and a ridge in the West is the current general theme in forecast guidance. At the surface, a surface cyclone will deepen rapidly as it moves from the southern Plains into the lower Great Lakes region. Colder air will eventually filter into the Plains during the weekend with another reinforcing shot early next week. Low temperatures and precipitation should limit fire weather concerns in most areas. Dry and windy conditions are expected to occur in the Trans-Pecos on Thursday. Though locally elevated fire weather appears probable, limited fuel receptiveness should keep greater concerns from developing despite the near-critical/critical meteorological conditions. As the front moves southward on Friday, another northwesterly flow regime will develop in the Rio Grande Valley/South Texas. With the dry and windy conditions in the preceding days, fine fuels appear that they will be dry enough to support fire spread. Winds will be strongest in the morning into the early afternoon before diminishing. Highlights have been added for the few hours of expected elevated to near-critical fire weather. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0248 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A strong upper-level trough will be in the process pivoting through the Southwest/northern Mexico on Thursday before quickly ejecting into the southern Plains by Friday morning. As this feature races northeastward it will become a strong upper low in the Upper Midwest with broadly cyclonic flow elsewhere across much of the central/eastern CONUS during the weekend. The upper-level pattern becomes a bit more uncertain into next week, though a trough in the East and a ridge in the West is the current general theme in forecast guidance. At the surface, a surface cyclone will deepen rapidly as it moves from the southern Plains into the lower Great Lakes region. Colder air will eventually filter into the Plains during the weekend with another reinforcing shot early next week. Low temperatures and precipitation should limit fire weather concerns in most areas. Dry and windy conditions are expected to occur in the Trans-Pecos on Thursday. Though locally elevated fire weather appears probable, limited fuel receptiveness should keep greater concerns from developing despite the near-critical/critical meteorological conditions. As the front moves southward on Friday, another northwesterly flow regime will develop in the Rio Grande Valley/South Texas. With the dry and windy conditions in the preceding days, fine fuels appear that they will be dry enough to support fire spread. Winds will be strongest in the morning into the early afternoon before diminishing. Highlights have been added for the few hours of expected elevated to near-critical fire weather. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0248 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A strong upper-level trough will be in the process pivoting through the Southwest/northern Mexico on Thursday before quickly ejecting into the southern Plains by Friday morning. As this feature races northeastward it will become a strong upper low in the Upper Midwest with broadly cyclonic flow elsewhere across much of the central/eastern CONUS during the weekend. The upper-level pattern becomes a bit more uncertain into next week, though a trough in the East and a ridge in the West is the current general theme in forecast guidance. At the surface, a surface cyclone will deepen rapidly as it moves from the southern Plains into the lower Great Lakes region. Colder air will eventually filter into the Plains during the weekend with another reinforcing shot early next week. Low temperatures and precipitation should limit fire weather concerns in most areas. Dry and windy conditions are expected to occur in the Trans-Pecos on Thursday. Though locally elevated fire weather appears probable, limited fuel receptiveness should keep greater concerns from developing despite the near-critical/critical meteorological conditions. As the front moves southward on Friday, another northwesterly flow regime will develop in the Rio Grande Valley/South Texas. With the dry and windy conditions in the preceding days, fine fuels appear that they will be dry enough to support fire spread. Winds will be strongest in the morning into the early afternoon before diminishing. Highlights have been added for the few hours of expected elevated to near-critical fire weather. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0248 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A strong upper-level trough will be in the process pivoting through the Southwest/northern Mexico on Thursday before quickly ejecting into the southern Plains by Friday morning. As this feature races northeastward it will become a strong upper low in the Upper Midwest with broadly cyclonic flow elsewhere across much of the central/eastern CONUS during the weekend. The upper-level pattern becomes a bit more uncertain into next week, though a trough in the East and a ridge in the West is the current general theme in forecast guidance. At the surface, a surface cyclone will deepen rapidly as it moves from the southern Plains into the lower Great Lakes region. Colder air will eventually filter into the Plains during the weekend with another reinforcing shot early next week. Low temperatures and precipitation should limit fire weather concerns in most areas. Dry and windy conditions are expected to occur in the Trans-Pecos on Thursday. Though locally elevated fire weather appears probable, limited fuel receptiveness should keep greater concerns from developing despite the near-critical/critical meteorological conditions. As the front moves southward on Friday, another northwesterly flow regime will develop in the Rio Grande Valley/South Texas. With the dry and windy conditions in the preceding days, fine fuels appear that they will be dry enough to support fire spread. Winds will be strongest in the morning into the early afternoon before diminishing. Highlights have been added for the few hours of expected elevated to near-critical fire weather. ..Wendt.. 01/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more