Severe Storms

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1240 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low today. Winds are expected to be much lighter as surface gradients decrease across the southern Plains, where the driest conditions will overlap the driest fuels. A cold front will move southward across the Southern Plains late Thursday, accompanied by much cooler temperatures and increasing precipitation chances. ..Thornton.. 03/14/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1240 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low today. Winds are expected to be much lighter as surface gradients decrease across the southern Plains, where the driest conditions will overlap the driest fuels. A cold front will move southward across the Southern Plains late Thursday, accompanied by much cooler temperatures and increasing precipitation chances. ..Thornton.. 03/14/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1240 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low today. Winds are expected to be much lighter as surface gradients decrease across the southern Plains, where the driest conditions will overlap the driest fuels. A cold front will move southward across the Southern Plains late Thursday, accompanied by much cooler temperatures and increasing precipitation chances. ..Thornton.. 03/14/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1240 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low today. Winds are expected to be much lighter as surface gradients decrease across the southern Plains, where the driest conditions will overlap the driest fuels. A cold front will move southward across the Southern Plains late Thursday, accompanied by much cooler temperatures and increasing precipitation chances. ..Thornton.. 03/14/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1240 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low today. Winds are expected to be much lighter as surface gradients decrease across the southern Plains, where the driest conditions will overlap the driest fuels. A cold front will move southward across the Southern Plains late Thursday, accompanied by much cooler temperatures and increasing precipitation chances. ..Thornton.. 03/14/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1240 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns are expected to remain low today. Winds are expected to be much lighter as surface gradients decrease across the southern Plains, where the driest conditions will overlap the driest fuels. A cold front will move southward across the Southern Plains late Thursday, accompanied by much cooler temperatures and increasing precipitation chances. ..Thornton.. 03/14/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0038 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 38 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..DEAN..03/14/24 ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 38 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC001-067-071-109-187-140640- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS HANCOCK HENDERSON MCDONOUGH WARREN IAC057-087-111-177-140640- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DES MOINES HENRY LEE VAN BUREN KSC001-003-005-011-015-019-031-035-037-043-045-049-059-073-087- 091-099-103-107-111-121-125-133-139-177-205-207-209-140640- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN ANDERSON ATCHISON BOURBON BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA Read more

WW 0036 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 36 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW HUT TO 15 WSW CNK TO 25 ESE HSI. ..BROYLES..03/14/24 ATTN...WFO...TOP...DDC...ICT...GLD...GID...OAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 36 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC013-027-029-117-131-143-157-169-201-140540- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROWN CLAY CLOUD MARSHALL NEMAHA OTTAWA REPUBLIC SALINE WASHINGTON NEC067-095-097-127-133-147-169-140540- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GAGE JEFFERSON JOHNSON NEMAHA PAWNEE RICHARDSON THAYER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0036 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 36 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW HUT TO 15 WSW CNK TO 25 ESE HSI. ..BROYLES..03/14/24 ATTN...WFO...TOP...DDC...ICT...GLD...GID...OAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 36 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC013-027-029-117-131-143-157-169-201-140540- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROWN CLAY CLOUD MARSHALL NEMAHA OTTAWA REPUBLIC SALINE WASHINGTON NEC067-095-097-127-133-147-169-140540- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GAGE JEFFERSON JOHNSON NEMAHA PAWNEE RICHARDSON THAYER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0036 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 36 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW HUT TO 15 WSW CNK TO 25 ESE HSI. ..BROYLES..03/14/24 ATTN...WFO...TOP...DDC...ICT...GLD...GID...OAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 36 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC013-027-029-117-131-143-157-169-201-140540- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROWN CLAY CLOUD MARSHALL NEMAHA OTTAWA REPUBLIC SALINE WASHINGTON NEC067-095-097-127-133-147-169-140540- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GAGE JEFFERSON JOHNSON NEMAHA PAWNEE RICHARDSON THAYER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0036 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 36 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW HUT TO 15 WSW CNK TO 25 ESE HSI. ..BROYLES..03/14/24 ATTN...WFO...TOP...DDC...ICT...GLD...GID...OAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 36 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC013-027-029-117-131-143-157-169-201-140540- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROWN CLAY CLOUD MARSHALL NEMAHA OTTAWA REPUBLIC SALINE WASHINGTON NEC067-095-097-127-133-147-169-140540- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GAGE JEFFERSON JOHNSON NEMAHA PAWNEE RICHARDSON THAYER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0036 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 36 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW HUT TO 15 WSW CNK TO 25 ESE HSI. ..BROYLES..03/14/24 ATTN...WFO...TOP...DDC...ICT...GLD...GID...OAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 36 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC013-027-029-117-131-143-157-169-201-140540- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROWN CLAY CLOUD MARSHALL NEMAHA OTTAWA REPUBLIC SALINE WASHINGTON NEC067-095-097-127-133-147-169-140540- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GAGE JEFFERSON JOHNSON NEMAHA PAWNEE RICHARDSON THAYER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0036 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 36 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW HUT TO 15 WSW CNK TO 25 ESE HSI. ..BROYLES..03/14/24 ATTN...WFO...TOP...DDC...ICT...GLD...GID...OAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 36 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC013-027-029-117-131-143-157-169-201-140540- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROWN CLAY CLOUD MARSHALL NEMAHA OTTAWA REPUBLIC SALINE WASHINGTON NEC067-095-097-127-133-147-169-140540- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GAGE JEFFERSON JOHNSON NEMAHA PAWNEE RICHARDSON THAYER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

MD 0225 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR EASTERN KANSAS...WESTERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI
Mesoscale Discussion 0225 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1010 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2024 Areas affected...Eastern Kansas...Western and Central Missouri Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 140310Z - 140515Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...A severe threat is expected to develop across the remainder of eastern Kansas around midnight. The storms are forecast to spread east-northeastward into Missouri during the early overnight period. Weather watch issuance will likely be needed across the region within the next 90 minutes. DISCUSSION...The latest water vapor imagery shows an upper-level trough over the Desert Southwest, with a mid-level jet in the base of the system extending east-northeastward into the southern Plains and northern Ozarks. A distinct mid-level vorticity max is located over far southwest Kansas. This feature will move across the central Plains late this evening. As large-scale ascent increases ahead of the vorticity max, scattered strong thunderstorms are expected to develop across south-central Kansas, and move east-northeastward across eastern Kansas and Missouri. According to the RAP, MLCAPE within this area is between 1000 and 1500 J/kg, 0-6 km shear is in the 40 to 50 knot range, and 700-500 mb lapse rates are from 7.5 to 8 C/km. This should support a severe threat overnight, especially the stronger cells interact with the low-level jet. Supercells with large hail appear likely, and wind damage will also be possible. ..Broyles/Hart.. 03/14/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT... LAT...LON 37899643 38439646 39129617 40039316 40209236 40029169 39339119 38329112 37779177 37279309 37059441 37019556 37059581 37329634 37899643 Read more

WW 36 SEVERE TSTM KS NE 132230Z - 140500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 36 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 530 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northern Kansas Southern Nebraska * Effective this Wednesday afternoon from 530 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will increase in coverage and intensity through the late afternoon and evening across the watch area. A few of the storms will likely become severe, with large hail the primary concern. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles west of Hill City KS to 15 miles south southeast of Falls City NE. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 35... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 25030. ...Hart Read more

WW 0038 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 38 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BROYLES..03/14/24 ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 38 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC001-067-109-140540- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS HANCOCK MCDONOUGH IAC111-177-140540- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LEE VAN BUREN KSC001-003-005-011-015-019-031-035-037-043-045-049-059-073-087- 091-099-103-107-111-121-125-133-139-177-205-207-209-140540- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN ANDERSON ATCHISON BOURBON BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA COFFEY COWLEY CRAWFORD DONIPHAN DOUGLAS ELK Read more

MD 0224 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 37... FOR NORTHEAST KANSAS...NORTHWEST MISSOURI
Mesoscale Discussion 0224 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0853 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2024 Areas affected...Northeast Kansas...Northwest Missouri Concerning...Tornado Watch 37... Valid 140153Z - 140400Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 37 continues. SUMMARY...Severe storms, associated with large hail, wind damage and perhaps a tornado or two, will continue across parts of northeast Kansas and northwest Missouri. Hailstones over 2 inches in diameter could occur with the more intense cores. DISCUSSION...The latest high-resolution radar imagery from Topeka shows a cluster of severe storms over northeast Kansas, near and around the vicinity of Manhattan, Kansas. Further east, a second severe cluster is located near the Kansas City Metro. Both clusters are associated with several intense supercells that are located near an east-to-west warm front. These storms are likely producing large to very large hail. According to RAP forecast soundings, the environment in these areas is characterized by moderate instability (MLCAPE near 1500 J/kg), 0-6 km shear of 45 to 50 knots and 700-500 mb lapse rates near 8 C/km. This continue to be favorable for supercells with large hail. Hailstones of greater than 2 inches in diameter will be possible with the more intense cores. In addition, low-level shear has markedly increased over the last couple of hours as the low-level jet has strengthened, with 0-3 km storm-relative helicity near 350 m2/s2. This should continue to support a tornado threat with the more dominant supercells, although a stabilizing boundary-layer will lessen the tornado threat with time. Wind damage will also be possible. ..Broyles.. 03/14/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP... LAT...LON 39679593 39779324 39549268 39149273 38919323 38819530 38869654 39269684 39679593 Read more

MD 0223 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 36... FOR NORTH-CENTRAL KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0223 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0813 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2024 Areas affected...North-central Kansas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 36... Valid 140113Z - 140315Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 36 continues. SUMMARY...A severe threat will likely continue across parts of north-central Kansas for several more hours. Large hail and wind damage will be the primary threats. DISCUSSION...The latest high-resolution radar imagery from Hastings, Nebraska shows a strong to severe convective cluster over Trego and Rooks Counties in north-central Kansas. These storms are located along an east-to-west gradient of instability, where MLCAPE is estimated by the RAP to be near 1000 J/kg. The storms are also located along the northern edge of a plume of steep mid-level lapse rates, where 700-500 mb lapse rates are estimated to be near 8 C/km. This environment, along with moderate deep-layer shear will be favorable for supercells with large hail. Hailstones of greater than 2 inches in diameter will be possible within the more intense cores. The severe threat is expected to continue for several more hours, as the convective cluster moves east-northeastward across north-central Kansas. Additional severe storms with large hail may also develop further to the east as low-level flow continues to increase this evening. ..Broyles.. 03/14/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD... LAT...LON 38759931 38809987 39010015 39460014 39719970 39759900 39779777 39539744 39199741 38869765 38779825 38759931 Read more

WW 0036 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 36 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 S HLC TO 50 ENE HLC TO 20 ESE HSI. ..BROYLES..03/14/24 ATTN...WFO...TOP...DDC...ICT...GLD...GID...OAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 36 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC013-027-029-051-053-089-105-117-123-131-141-143-157-167-169- 183-201-140340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROWN CLAY CLOUD ELLIS ELLSWORTH JEWELL LINCOLN MARSHALL MITCHELL NEMAHA OSBORNE OTTAWA REPUBLIC RUSSELL SALINE SMITH WASHINGTON NEC067-095-097-127-129-133-147-169-140340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GAGE JEFFERSON JOHNSON NEMAHA NUCKOLLS PAWNEE RICHARDSON THAYER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

WW 0036 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 36 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 S HLC TO 50 ENE HLC TO 20 ESE HSI. ..BROYLES..03/14/24 ATTN...WFO...TOP...DDC...ICT...GLD...GID...OAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 36 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC013-027-029-051-053-089-105-117-123-131-141-143-157-167-169- 183-201-140340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BROWN CLAY CLOUD ELLIS ELLSWORTH JEWELL LINCOLN MARSHALL MITCHELL NEMAHA OSBORNE OTTAWA REPUBLIC RUSSELL SALINE SMITH WASHINGTON NEC067-095-097-127-129-133-147-169-140340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GAGE JEFFERSON JOHNSON NEMAHA NUCKOLLS PAWNEE RICHARDSON THAYER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more