Severe Storms

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1223 AM CDT Fri Mar 15 2024 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A cutoff low will remain within the lower Colorado River Valley today. Within the northern Plains and parts of the upper Midwest, an upper-level trough will dig southward out of Canada. A surface low will deepen in southern Canada, increasing the surface pressure gradient in the northern Plains. Breezy conditions are likely across the Dakotas. RH may fall to near critical levels, particularly in pars of northern South Dakota. However, there is some uncertainty given the increase in mid/high-level clouds. Furthermore, the strongest surface winds appear probable to be displaced farther north where RH reductions are even less certain. Locally elevated conditions may occur near the North/South Dakota border. ..Wendt.. 03/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0045 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 45 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNE PRX TO 30 SE RKR TO 40 ENE LIT. WW 45 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 150500Z. ..HART..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 45 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC013-019-027-039-051-053-057-059-061-073-081-085-091-095-097- 099-103-109-113-117-119-125-133-139-150500- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALHOUN CLARK COLUMBIA DALLAS GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER LONOKE MILLER MONROE MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA PIKE POLK PRAIRIE PULASKI SALINE SEVIER UNION OKC089-150500- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE MCCURTAIN Read more

WW 0045 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 45 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNE PRX TO 30 SE RKR TO 40 ENE LIT. WW 45 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 150500Z. ..HART..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 45 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC013-019-027-039-051-053-057-059-061-073-081-085-091-095-097- 099-103-109-113-117-119-125-133-139-150500- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALHOUN CLARK COLUMBIA DALLAS GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER LONOKE MILLER MONROE MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA PIKE POLK PRAIRIE PULASKI SALINE SEVIER UNION OKC089-150500- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE MCCURTAIN Read more

WW 0045 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 45 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNE PRX TO 30 SE RKR TO 40 ENE LIT. WW 45 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 150500Z. ..HART..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 45 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC013-019-027-039-051-053-057-059-061-073-081-085-091-095-097- 099-103-109-113-117-119-125-133-139-150500- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALHOUN CLARK COLUMBIA DALLAS GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER LONOKE MILLER MONROE MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA PIKE POLK PRAIRIE PULASKI SALINE SEVIER UNION OKC089-150500- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE MCCURTAIN Read more

WW 45 TORNADO AR OK TX 142150Z - 150500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 45 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 450 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Central and Southwest Arkansas Southeast Oklahoma Northeast Texas * Effective this Thursday afternoon from 450 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph likely SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will increase in coverage through the afternoon and evening, with a few supercells expected. Very large hail is expected to be the primary risk, but a few tornadoes are also possible. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles east and west of a line from 10 miles northeast of Flippin AR to 30 miles south of Texarkana AR. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 42...WW 43...WW 44... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25030. ...Hart Read more

MD 0252 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 45...46... FOR FAR NORTHEAST TEXAS...FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0252 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1130 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024 Areas affected...Far Northeast Texas...Far Southeast Oklahoma...Southern Arkansas Concerning...Tornado Watch 45...46... Valid 150430Z - 150500Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 45, 46 continues. SUMMARY...The severe threat across southern Arkansas and the Ark-La-Tex is expected to continue to decrease over the next hour, and the ongoing watches will be allowed to expire at 05Z. DISCUSSION...An MCS is currently located from far northeast Texas extending east-northeastward across western and central Arkansas. The RAP suggests that instability has markedly decreased along the southern edge of the MCS over the last hour. This trend will continue, and the severe threat is expected to gradually diminish. For this reason, the ongoing watches will be allowed to expire at 05Z. It still remains possible that the severe threat could re-develop across parts of the region, but this would be later tonight. ..Broyles.. 03/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD... LAT...LON 33949121 33479247 33269385 33039497 32959559 33119590 33359602 33579595 33849573 34249477 34609278 34849150 34559110 33949121 Read more

MD 0250 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 45... FOR FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...FAR NORTHEAST TEXAS...ARKANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0250 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0956 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024 Areas affected...Far Southeast Oklahoma...Far Northeast Texas...Arkansas Concerning...Tornado Watch 45... Valid 150256Z - 150500Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 45 continues. SUMMARY...A severe threat will continue over the next few hours from far northeast Texas northeastward into central Arkansas. DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar imagery shows a broken line of strong to severe storms located across east-central Arkansas, with scattered more discrete cells from western Arkansas southward into the Ark-La-Tex. New convection appears likely to develop to the south of the ongoing storms across south-central Arkansas late this evening. In addition to moderate instability, 0-6 km shear in that areas is estimated to be near 50 knots according to the RAP. This will support continued severe storm development over the next couple of hours. Large hail and isolated wind damage will be possible with supercells. A locally greater wind-damage threat will possible ahead of short bowing line segments. In addition, low-level shear has increased across the region due to a strengthening jet near 850 mb. For this reason, a brief tornado still may occur. ..Broyles.. 03/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD... LAT...LON 34109560 34629522 34949432 35139326 35289229 35319168 35139144 34839146 34439168 33679206 33059291 33079454 33169530 33389560 33889566 34109560 Read more

WW 0046 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 46 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S PRX TO 15 NNE FTW TO 40 W GYI TO 30 E DUA TO 20 NW DEQ. WW 46 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 150500Z. ..HART..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 46 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC127-150500- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE PUSHMATAHA TXC085-097-119-121-147-181-223-231-277-150500- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLLIN COOKE DELTA DENTON FANNIN GRAYSON HOPKINS HUNT LAMAR THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0046 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 46 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S PRX TO 15 NNE FTW TO 40 W GYI TO 30 E DUA TO 20 NW DEQ. WW 46 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 150500Z. ..HART..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 46 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC127-150500- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE PUSHMATAHA TXC085-097-119-121-147-181-223-231-277-150500- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLLIN COOKE DELTA DENTON FANNIN GRAYSON HOPKINS HUNT LAMAR THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0046 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 46 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S PRX TO 15 NNE FTW TO 40 W GYI TO 30 E DUA TO 20 NW DEQ. WW 46 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 150500Z. ..HART..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 46 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC127-150500- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE PUSHMATAHA TXC085-097-119-121-147-181-223-231-277-150500- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLLIN COOKE DELTA DENTON FANNIN GRAYSON HOPKINS HUNT LAMAR THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 46 SEVERE TSTM AR OK TX 142210Z - 150500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 46 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 510 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of West Central Arkansas Southeast Oklahoma North Central Texas * Effective this Thursday afternoon from 510 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms will develop and track across the watch area through the late afternoon and evening hours, posing a risk of very large hail and damaging winds. An isolated tornado or two is also possible. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles southeast of Stephenville TX to 45 miles west northwest of Fort Smith AR. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 42...WW 43...WW 44...WW 45... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25030. ...Hart Read more

WW 0050 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 50 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 W UNI TO 30 WSW MGW. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0251 ..HART..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...RLX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 50 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OHC009-053-079-105-163-167-150540- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATHENS GALLIA JACKSON MEIGS VINTON WASHINGTON WVC013-017-021-033-035-041-053-073-085-087-095-105-107-150540- WV . WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALHOUN DODDRIDGE GILMER HARRISON JACKSON LEWIS MASON PLEASANTS RITCHIE ROANE TYLER WIRT WOOD THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL Read more

WW 0049 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 49 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E CKV TO 15 SSW SDF TO 40 WNW UNI. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0251 ..HART..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN...JKL... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 49 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC005-011-017-023-029-049-061-067-069-073-085-087-093-097-099- 103-113-123-135-141-155-161-167-173-179-181-187-191-201-205-209- 211-213-215-217-227-229-239-150540- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON BATH BOURBON BRACKEN BULLITT CLARK EDMONSON FAYETTE FLEMING FRANKLIN GRAYSON GREEN HARDIN HARRISON HART HENRY JESSAMINE LARUE LEWIS LOGAN MARION MASON MERCER MONTGOMERY NELSON NICHOLAS OWEN PENDLETON ROBERTSON ROWAN SCOTT SHELBY SIMPSON SPENCER TAYLOR WARREN WASHINGTON WOODFORD OHC001-015-131-145-150540- Read more

WW 0050 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0050 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0045 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 45 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N RKR TO 20 ESE RUE TO 20 S BVX TO 25 SW JBR. ..BROYLES..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 45 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC013-019-027-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-073-081-083-085-091- 095-097-099-103-105-109-113-117-119-125-127-133-139-145-147-149- 150440- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALHOUN CLARK COLUMBIA DALLAS FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER LOGAN LONOKE MILLER MONROE MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA PERRY PIKE POLK PRAIRIE PULASKI SALINE SCOTT SEVIER UNION WHITE WOODRUFF YELL OKC089-150440- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

WW 0046 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 46 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E CRS TO 25 S DAL TO 40 ESE SPS. ..BROYLES..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 46 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC033-047-131-150440- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CRAWFORD FRANKLIN SEBASTIAN OKC005-013-023-077-079-095-127-135-150440- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATOKA BRYAN CHOCTAW LATIMER LE FLORE MARSHALL PUSHMATAHA SEQUOYAH TXC085-097-119-121-147-181-213-223-231-257-277-379-397-467- 150440- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLLIN COOKE DELTA Read more

WW 0047 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 47 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW ARG TO 40 NNW DYR TO 45 NE PAH TO 35 NNE EVV. ..BROYLES..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...MEG...PAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 47 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC031-093-111-150440- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CRAIGHEAD MISSISSIPPI POINSETT INC051-125-147-163-173-150440- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GIBSON PIKE SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK KYC033-035-047-055-059-101-107-139-143-149-157-177-219-221-225- 233-150440- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALDWELL CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN DAVIESS HENDERSON Read more

WW 0047 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 47 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW ARG TO 40 NNW DYR TO 45 NE PAH TO 35 NNE EVV. ..BROYLES..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...MEG...PAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 47 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC031-093-111-150440- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CRAIGHEAD MISSISSIPPI POINSETT INC051-125-147-163-173-150440- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GIBSON PIKE SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK KYC033-035-047-055-059-101-107-139-143-149-157-177-219-221-225- 233-150440- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALDWELL CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN DAVIESS HENDERSON Read more

WW 0047 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 47 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW ARG TO 40 NNW DYR TO 45 NE PAH TO 35 NNE EVV. ..BROYLES..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...MEG...PAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 47 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC031-093-111-150440- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CRAIGHEAD MISSISSIPPI POINSETT INC051-125-147-163-173-150440- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GIBSON PIKE SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK KYC033-035-047-055-059-101-107-139-143-149-157-177-219-221-225- 233-150440- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALDWELL CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN DAVIESS HENDERSON Read more

WW 0047 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 47 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW ARG TO 40 NNW DYR TO 45 NE PAH TO 35 NNE EVV. ..BROYLES..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...MEG...PAH... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 47 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC031-093-111-150440- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CRAIGHEAD MISSISSIPPI POINSETT INC051-125-147-163-173-150440- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GIBSON PIKE SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK KYC033-035-047-055-059-101-107-139-143-149-157-177-219-221-225- 233-150440- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALDWELL CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN DAVIESS HENDERSON Read more