SPC Mar 15, 2024 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0746 AM CDT Fri Mar 15 2024 Valid 151300Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TX... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY FROM SOUTHEAST MS INTO CENTRAL AL... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms with very large hail and isolated damaging winds are expected through this evening from the Edwards Plateau into south central Texas. Damaging winds will be possible today from southeast Mississippi into central Alabama. ...Synopsis... As part of an evolving Rex block, a midlevel closed low will remain quasi-stationary over the lower CO River Valley through tonight. Farther east, subtle embedded speed maxima will eject northeastward from northern Mexico to TX, while within the northern stream a shortwave trough digs southeastward toward the upper Great Lakes overnight. Near and ahead of a surface cold front, an expansive band of convection has persisted through the early morning hours from the AR/LA border into northern AL. ...Edwards Plateau/south central TX through tonight... Isolated supercells are ongoing over the Edwards Plateau in association with a subtle speed max moving northeastward from Mexico. Steep midlevel lapse rates, boundary-layer dewpoints of 65-72 F south of a cold front, and sufficiently long hodographs will favor a continuation of the isolated supercell/very large hail threat this morning. Additional supercell development is expected later today through the afternoon into south central TX, with isolated storm development possible into parts of southeast TX. The more intense storms will be capable of producing swaths of very large hail (2-3 inches in diameter), along with isolated damaging winds of 60-70 mph. A storm cluster or two could also persist through tonight near or a little east of the Rio Grande, with a continued hail/wind threat into south TX. ...MS/AL today... The MS/AL convection will persist through the day as the moist boundary layer warms ahead of the storms. Low-level flow will tend to veer to westerly and slowly weaken through the day, though 50 kt midlevel flow will be maintained into the Southeast. This will support the potential for occasional/embedded line segments capable of producing damaging winds, mainly across southeast MS into central AL where the larger buoyancy is expected. ..Thompson/Dean.. 03/15/2024 Read more

SPC Mar 15, 2024 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0746 AM CDT Fri Mar 15 2024 Valid 151300Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TX... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY FROM SOUTHEAST MS INTO CENTRAL AL... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms with very large hail and isolated damaging winds are expected through this evening from the Edwards Plateau into south central Texas. Damaging winds will be possible today from southeast Mississippi into central Alabama. ...Synopsis... As part of an evolving Rex block, a midlevel closed low will remain quasi-stationary over the lower CO River Valley through tonight. Farther east, subtle embedded speed maxima will eject northeastward from northern Mexico to TX, while within the northern stream a shortwave trough digs southeastward toward the upper Great Lakes overnight. Near and ahead of a surface cold front, an expansive band of convection has persisted through the early morning hours from the AR/LA border into northern AL. ...Edwards Plateau/south central TX through tonight... Isolated supercells are ongoing over the Edwards Plateau in association with a subtle speed max moving northeastward from Mexico. Steep midlevel lapse rates, boundary-layer dewpoints of 65-72 F south of a cold front, and sufficiently long hodographs will favor a continuation of the isolated supercell/very large hail threat this morning. Additional supercell development is expected later today through the afternoon into south central TX, with isolated storm development possible into parts of southeast TX. The more intense storms will be capable of producing swaths of very large hail (2-3 inches in diameter), along with isolated damaging winds of 60-70 mph. A storm cluster or two could also persist through tonight near or a little east of the Rio Grande, with a continued hail/wind threat into south TX. ...MS/AL today... The MS/AL convection will persist through the day as the moist boundary layer warms ahead of the storms. Low-level flow will tend to veer to westerly and slowly weaken through the day, though 50 kt midlevel flow will be maintained into the Southeast. This will support the potential for occasional/embedded line segments capable of producing damaging winds, mainly across southeast MS into central AL where the larger buoyancy is expected. ..Thompson/Dean.. 03/15/2024 Read more

SPC Mar 15, 2024 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0746 AM CDT Fri Mar 15 2024 Valid 151300Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TX... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY FROM SOUTHEAST MS INTO CENTRAL AL... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms with very large hail and isolated damaging winds are expected through this evening from the Edwards Plateau into south central Texas. Damaging winds will be possible today from southeast Mississippi into central Alabama. ...Synopsis... As part of an evolving Rex block, a midlevel closed low will remain quasi-stationary over the lower CO River Valley through tonight. Farther east, subtle embedded speed maxima will eject northeastward from northern Mexico to TX, while within the northern stream a shortwave trough digs southeastward toward the upper Great Lakes overnight. Near and ahead of a surface cold front, an expansive band of convection has persisted through the early morning hours from the AR/LA border into northern AL. ...Edwards Plateau/south central TX through tonight... Isolated supercells are ongoing over the Edwards Plateau in association with a subtle speed max moving northeastward from Mexico. Steep midlevel lapse rates, boundary-layer dewpoints of 65-72 F south of a cold front, and sufficiently long hodographs will favor a continuation of the isolated supercell/very large hail threat this morning. Additional supercell development is expected later today through the afternoon into south central TX, with isolated storm development possible into parts of southeast TX. The more intense storms will be capable of producing swaths of very large hail (2-3 inches in diameter), along with isolated damaging winds of 60-70 mph. A storm cluster or two could also persist through tonight near or a little east of the Rio Grande, with a continued hail/wind threat into south TX. ...MS/AL today... The MS/AL convection will persist through the day as the moist boundary layer warms ahead of the storms. Low-level flow will tend to veer to westerly and slowly weaken through the day, though 50 kt midlevel flow will be maintained into the Southeast. This will support the potential for occasional/embedded line segments capable of producing damaging winds, mainly across southeast MS into central AL where the larger buoyancy is expected. ..Thompson/Dean.. 03/15/2024 Read more

SPC Mar 15, 2024 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0746 AM CDT Fri Mar 15 2024 Valid 151300Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TX... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY FROM SOUTHEAST MS INTO CENTRAL AL... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms with very large hail and isolated damaging winds are expected through this evening from the Edwards Plateau into south central Texas. Damaging winds will be possible today from southeast Mississippi into central Alabama. ...Synopsis... As part of an evolving Rex block, a midlevel closed low will remain quasi-stationary over the lower CO River Valley through tonight. Farther east, subtle embedded speed maxima will eject northeastward from northern Mexico to TX, while within the northern stream a shortwave trough digs southeastward toward the upper Great Lakes overnight. Near and ahead of a surface cold front, an expansive band of convection has persisted through the early morning hours from the AR/LA border into northern AL. ...Edwards Plateau/south central TX through tonight... Isolated supercells are ongoing over the Edwards Plateau in association with a subtle speed max moving northeastward from Mexico. Steep midlevel lapse rates, boundary-layer dewpoints of 65-72 F south of a cold front, and sufficiently long hodographs will favor a continuation of the isolated supercell/very large hail threat this morning. Additional supercell development is expected later today through the afternoon into south central TX, with isolated storm development possible into parts of southeast TX. The more intense storms will be capable of producing swaths of very large hail (2-3 inches in diameter), along with isolated damaging winds of 60-70 mph. A storm cluster or two could also persist through tonight near or a little east of the Rio Grande, with a continued hail/wind threat into south TX. ...MS/AL today... The MS/AL convection will persist through the day as the moist boundary layer warms ahead of the storms. Low-level flow will tend to veer to westerly and slowly weaken through the day, though 50 kt midlevel flow will be maintained into the Southeast. This will support the potential for occasional/embedded line segments capable of producing damaging winds, mainly across southeast MS into central AL where the larger buoyancy is expected. ..Thompson/Dean.. 03/15/2024 Read more

SPC Mar 15, 2024 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0746 AM CDT Fri Mar 15 2024 Valid 151300Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TX... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY FROM SOUTHEAST MS INTO CENTRAL AL... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms with very large hail and isolated damaging winds are expected through this evening from the Edwards Plateau into south central Texas. Damaging winds will be possible today from southeast Mississippi into central Alabama. ...Synopsis... As part of an evolving Rex block, a midlevel closed low will remain quasi-stationary over the lower CO River Valley through tonight. Farther east, subtle embedded speed maxima will eject northeastward from northern Mexico to TX, while within the northern stream a shortwave trough digs southeastward toward the upper Great Lakes overnight. Near and ahead of a surface cold front, an expansive band of convection has persisted through the early morning hours from the AR/LA border into northern AL. ...Edwards Plateau/south central TX through tonight... Isolated supercells are ongoing over the Edwards Plateau in association with a subtle speed max moving northeastward from Mexico. Steep midlevel lapse rates, boundary-layer dewpoints of 65-72 F south of a cold front, and sufficiently long hodographs will favor a continuation of the isolated supercell/very large hail threat this morning. Additional supercell development is expected later today through the afternoon into south central TX, with isolated storm development possible into parts of southeast TX. The more intense storms will be capable of producing swaths of very large hail (2-3 inches in diameter), along with isolated damaging winds of 60-70 mph. A storm cluster or two could also persist through tonight near or a little east of the Rio Grande, with a continued hail/wind threat into south TX. ...MS/AL today... The MS/AL convection will persist through the day as the moist boundary layer warms ahead of the storms. Low-level flow will tend to veer to westerly and slowly weaken through the day, though 50 kt midlevel flow will be maintained into the Southeast. This will support the potential for occasional/embedded line segments capable of producing damaging winds, mainly across southeast MS into central AL where the larger buoyancy is expected. ..Thompson/Dean.. 03/15/2024 Read more

SPC Mar 15, 2024 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0746 AM CDT Fri Mar 15 2024 Valid 151300Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TX... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY FROM SOUTHEAST MS INTO CENTRAL AL... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms with very large hail and isolated damaging winds are expected through this evening from the Edwards Plateau into south central Texas. Damaging winds will be possible today from southeast Mississippi into central Alabama. ...Synopsis... As part of an evolving Rex block, a midlevel closed low will remain quasi-stationary over the lower CO River Valley through tonight. Farther east, subtle embedded speed maxima will eject northeastward from northern Mexico to TX, while within the northern stream a shortwave trough digs southeastward toward the upper Great Lakes overnight. Near and ahead of a surface cold front, an expansive band of convection has persisted through the early morning hours from the AR/LA border into northern AL. ...Edwards Plateau/south central TX through tonight... Isolated supercells are ongoing over the Edwards Plateau in association with a subtle speed max moving northeastward from Mexico. Steep midlevel lapse rates, boundary-layer dewpoints of 65-72 F south of a cold front, and sufficiently long hodographs will favor a continuation of the isolated supercell/very large hail threat this morning. Additional supercell development is expected later today through the afternoon into south central TX, with isolated storm development possible into parts of southeast TX. The more intense storms will be capable of producing swaths of very large hail (2-3 inches in diameter), along with isolated damaging winds of 60-70 mph. A storm cluster or two could also persist through tonight near or a little east of the Rio Grande, with a continued hail/wind threat into south TX. ...MS/AL today... The MS/AL convection will persist through the day as the moist boundary layer warms ahead of the storms. Low-level flow will tend to veer to westerly and slowly weaken through the day, though 50 kt midlevel flow will be maintained into the Southeast. This will support the potential for occasional/embedded line segments capable of producing damaging winds, mainly across southeast MS into central AL where the larger buoyancy is expected. ..Thompson/Dean.. 03/15/2024 Read more

SPC Mar 15, 2024 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0746 AM CDT Fri Mar 15 2024 Valid 151300Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TX... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY FROM SOUTHEAST MS INTO CENTRAL AL... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms with very large hail and isolated damaging winds are expected through this evening from the Edwards Plateau into south central Texas. Damaging winds will be possible today from southeast Mississippi into central Alabama. ...Synopsis... As part of an evolving Rex block, a midlevel closed low will remain quasi-stationary over the lower CO River Valley through tonight. Farther east, subtle embedded speed maxima will eject northeastward from northern Mexico to TX, while within the northern stream a shortwave trough digs southeastward toward the upper Great Lakes overnight. Near and ahead of a surface cold front, an expansive band of convection has persisted through the early morning hours from the AR/LA border into northern AL. ...Edwards Plateau/south central TX through tonight... Isolated supercells are ongoing over the Edwards Plateau in association with a subtle speed max moving northeastward from Mexico. Steep midlevel lapse rates, boundary-layer dewpoints of 65-72 F south of a cold front, and sufficiently long hodographs will favor a continuation of the isolated supercell/very large hail threat this morning. Additional supercell development is expected later today through the afternoon into south central TX, with isolated storm development possible into parts of southeast TX. The more intense storms will be capable of producing swaths of very large hail (2-3 inches in diameter), along with isolated damaging winds of 60-70 mph. A storm cluster or two could also persist through tonight near or a little east of the Rio Grande, with a continued hail/wind threat into south TX. ...MS/AL today... The MS/AL convection will persist through the day as the moist boundary layer warms ahead of the storms. Low-level flow will tend to veer to westerly and slowly weaken through the day, though 50 kt midlevel flow will be maintained into the Southeast. This will support the potential for occasional/embedded line segments capable of producing damaging winds, mainly across southeast MS into central AL where the larger buoyancy is expected. ..Thompson/Dean.. 03/15/2024 Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 51 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0051 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 51 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNE MEI TO 45 NNE SEM TO 35 E ANB. ..LEITMAN..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 51 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC001-017-021-027-037-047-051-065-081-085-087-091-101-105-111- 119-123-151640- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUTAUGA CHAMBERS CHILTON CLAY COOSA DALLAS ELMORE HALE LEE LOWNDES MACON MARENGO MONTGOMERY PERRY RANDOLPH SUMTER TALLAPOOSA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 51 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0051 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 51 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNE MEI TO 45 NNE SEM TO 35 E ANB. ..LEITMAN..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 51 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC001-017-021-027-037-047-051-065-081-085-087-091-101-105-111- 119-123-151640- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUTAUGA CHAMBERS CHILTON CLAY COOSA DALLAS ELMORE HALE LEE LOWNDES MACON MARENGO MONTGOMERY PERRY RANDOLPH SUMTER TALLAPOOSA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 51 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0051 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 51 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE GWO TO 20 S CBM TO 20 W TCL TO 25 NW BHM TO 15 WNW GAD TO 10 W CHA. ..DEAN..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 51 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC007-049-055-063-065-073-107-115-117-119-125-151340- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BIBB DEKALB ETOWAH GREENE HALE JEFFERSON PICKENS ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER TUSCALOOSA MSC069-099-103-159-151340- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KEMPER NESHOBA NOXUBEE WINSTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 51 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0051 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 51 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE GWO TO 20 S CBM TO 20 W TCL TO 25 NW BHM TO 15 WNW GAD TO 10 W CHA. ..DEAN..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 51 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC007-049-055-063-065-073-107-115-117-119-125-151340- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BIBB DEKALB ETOWAH GREENE HALE JEFFERSON PICKENS ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER TUSCALOOSA MSC069-099-103-159-151340- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KEMPER NESHOBA NOXUBEE WINSTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 51 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0051 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 51 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE GWO TO 20 S CBM TO 20 W TCL TO 25 NW BHM TO 15 WNW GAD TO 10 W CHA. ..DEAN..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 51 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC007-049-055-063-065-073-107-115-117-119-125-151340- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BIBB DEKALB ETOWAH GREENE HALE JEFFERSON PICKENS ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER TUSCALOOSA MSC069-099-103-159-151340- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KEMPER NESHOBA NOXUBEE WINSTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 51 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0051 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 51 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE GWO TO 20 S CBM TO 20 W TCL TO 25 NW BHM TO 15 WNW GAD TO 10 W CHA. ..DEAN..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 51 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC007-049-055-063-065-073-107-115-117-119-125-151340- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BIBB DEKALB ETOWAH GREENE HALE JEFFERSON PICKENS ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER TUSCALOOSA MSC069-099-103-159-151340- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KEMPER NESHOBA NOXUBEE WINSTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 51

1 year 4 months ago
WW 51 SEVERE TSTM AL MS 150945Z - 151500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 51 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 445 AM CDT Fri Mar 15 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northern and central Alabama East central Mississippi * Effective this Friday morning from 445 AM until 1000 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A squall line with embedded north-south segments will pose a threat for damaging gusts of 60-70 mph, as well as a brief tornado or two with embedded circulations. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 10 miles east northeast of Huntsville AL to 50 miles west southwest of Tuscaloosa AL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 28035. ...Thompson Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 52 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0052 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 52 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..DEAN..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...SJT...EWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 52 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC105-137-267-319-327-413-435-465-151340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CROCKETT EDWARDS KIMBLE MASON MENARD SCHLEICHER SUTTON VAL VERDE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 52 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0052 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 52 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..DEAN..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...SJT...EWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 52 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC105-137-267-319-327-413-435-465-151340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CROCKETT EDWARDS KIMBLE MASON MENARD SCHLEICHER SUTTON VAL VERDE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 52 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0052 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 52 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..DEAN..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...SJT...EWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 52 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC105-137-267-319-327-413-435-465-151340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CROCKETT EDWARDS KIMBLE MASON MENARD SCHLEICHER SUTTON VAL VERDE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC MD 255

1 year 4 months ago
MD 0255 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF SOUTHWEST TX
Mesoscale Discussion 0255 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0521 AM CDT Fri Mar 15 2024 Areas affected...Parts of southwest TX Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 151021Z - 151215Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Isolated strong to potentially severe storms possible this morning. Large hail will be the primary threat. DISCUSSION...Convection is gradually increasing across parts of southwest TX this morning. This activity is possibly being aided by a subtle midlevel vorticity maximum moving out of northeast Mexico, and some increase in storm coverage and intensity will be possible over the next few hours. Low-level east/northeasterly flow has transported relatively rich low-level moisture beneath steep midlevel lapse rates, with MUCAPE increasing into the 1500-2000 J/kg range per recent objective mesoanalyses. Midlevel flow is not overly strong, but low-level easterlies veering to southwesterly aloft are supporting effective shear of greater than 40 kt, and a supercell or two could evolve with time this morning if storms can mature within the subtly forced environment. Large hail (potentially in the 1.5 - 2 inch diameter range) will likely be the primary hazard. Coverage of the severe threat may remain rather isolated through the morning, but watch issuance is possible if multiple strong/severe storms appear imminent. ..Dean/Thompson.. 03/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF... LAT...LON 29890204 29930231 30070292 30370292 30670303 30960260 31320166 31350041 31110006 30339936 29909944 29379986 28900061 29310106 29840155 29890204 Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 51 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0051 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 51 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE GWO TO 30 NW TCL TO 45 S MSL TO 35 SSW HSV TO 40 W CHA. ..DEAN..03/15/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 51 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC007-009-049-055-057-063-065-071-073-095-107-115-117-119-125- 127-151240- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BIBB BLOUNT DEKALB ETOWAH FAYETTE GREENE HALE JACKSON JEFFERSON MARSHALL PICKENS ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER TUSCALOOSA WALKER MSC069-099-103-159-151240- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KEMPER NESHOBA NOXUBEE WINSTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL Read more
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