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1 year 3 months ago
WW 0307 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 307
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LYONS..05/26/24
ATTN...WFO...SJT...FWD...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 307
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-081-083-093-095-133-143-151-193-207-237-253-281-307-
333-353-363-399-411-417-429-441-447-451-503-260140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COKE
COLEMAN COMANCHE CONCHO
EASTLAND ERATH FISHER
HAMILTON HASKELL JACK
JONES LAMPASAS MCCULLOCH
MILLS NOLAN PALO PINTO
RUNNELS SAN SABA SHACKELFORD
STEPHENS TAYLOR THROCKMORTON
TOM GREEN YOUNG
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
1 year 3 months ago
WW 0307 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 307
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LYONS..05/26/24
ATTN...WFO...SJT...FWD...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 307
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-081-083-093-095-133-143-151-193-207-237-253-281-307-
333-353-363-399-411-417-429-441-447-451-503-260140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COKE
COLEMAN COMANCHE CONCHO
EASTLAND ERATH FISHER
HAMILTON HASKELL JACK
JONES LAMPASAS MCCULLOCH
MILLS NOLAN PALO PINTO
RUNNELS SAN SABA SHACKELFORD
STEPHENS TAYLOR THROCKMORTON
TOM GREEN YOUNG
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
1 year 3 months ago
WW 307 TORNADO TX 251915Z - 260200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 307
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
215 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northwest Texas
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 4
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Isolated supercell thunderstorms will move east across the
watch area through early this evening. Very large hail, up to 4
inches in diameter, will be possible in addition to a couple of
tornadoes and damaging thunderstorm wind gusts.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 70 miles north northeast of Abilene TX
to 60 miles south southwest of Brownwood TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 306...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 4 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 27020.
...Bunting
Read more
1 year 3 months ago
WW 0309 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 309
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LYONS..05/26/24
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...DDC...GID...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 309
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-017-027-029-041-051-053-061-089-105-111-113-115-117-123-
127-141-143-149-157-159-161-163-165-167-169-183-197-201-
260140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON CHASE CLAY
CLOUD DICKINSON ELLIS
ELLSWORTH GEARY JEWELL
LINCOLN LYON MCPHERSON
MARION MARSHALL MITCHELL
MORRIS OSBORNE OTTAWA
POTTAWATOMIE REPUBLIC RICE
RILEY ROOKS RUSH
RUSSELL SALINE SMITH
WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
1 year 3 months ago
WW 0310 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 310
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ENE AKO
TO 35 SE MHN.
..LYONS..05/26/24
ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...LBF...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 310
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC125-260140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
YUMA
KSC023-039-065-137-147-153-260140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR GRAHAM
NORTON PHILLIPS RAWLINS
NEC001-019-029-035-041-047-057-059-061-063-065-073-077-079-081-
083-085-087-093-099-111-113-121-125-129-137-143-145-163-169-175-
181-185-260140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BUFFALO CHASE
Read more
1 year 3 months ago
WW 0308 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 308
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 WSW AVK
TO 30 WNW AVK TO 30 NW P28 TO 30 SSW RSL.
..LYONS..05/26/24
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...TSA...FWD...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 308
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-015-019-035-049-073-077-079-095-151-155-173-185-191-
260140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA
COWLEY ELK GREENWOOD
HARPER HARVEY KINGMAN
PRATT RENO SEDGWICK
STAFFORD SUMNER
OKC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-033-037-039-043-
045-047-049-051-053-055-057-063-065-067-069-071-073-075-081-083-
085-087-093-095-099-103-107-109-113-117-119-123-125-129-133-137-
141-149-151-153-260140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA ATOKA BECKHAM
BLAINE BRYAN CADDO
CANADIAN CARTER CLEVELAND
COAL COMANCHE COTTON
Read more
1 year 3 months ago
WW 0308 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 308
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 WSW AVK
TO 30 WNW AVK TO 30 NW P28 TO 30 SSW RSL.
..LYONS..05/26/24
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...TSA...FWD...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 308
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-015-019-035-049-073-077-079-095-151-155-173-185-191-
260140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA
COWLEY ELK GREENWOOD
HARPER HARVEY KINGMAN
PRATT RENO SEDGWICK
STAFFORD SUMNER
OKC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-033-037-039-043-
045-047-049-051-053-055-057-063-065-067-069-071-073-075-081-083-
085-087-093-095-099-103-107-109-113-117-119-123-125-129-133-137-
141-149-151-153-260140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA ATOKA BECKHAM
BLAINE BRYAN CADDO
CANADIAN CARTER CLEVELAND
COAL COMANCHE COTTON
Read more
1 year 3 months ago
MD 0958 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 308... FOR NORTHWEST OK...SOUTH-CENTRAL KS
Mesoscale Discussion 0958
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0607 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024
Areas affected...Northwest OK...South-Central KS
Concerning...Tornado Watch 308...
Valid 252307Z - 260030Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 308 continues.
SUMMARY...Threat for tornadoes and very large hail up to 4" in
diameter continues across northwest Oklahoma and south-Central KS.
DISCUSSION...Regional radar imagery has shown several splitting
supercells over the past hour or so, with the right-moving supercell
over Comanche County KS appearing to be the strongest at this time.
Recent VAD profile from KVNX has shown a notable increase in
low-level shear, with the most recent scans sampling over 200 m2/s2
of 0-1 km storm-relative helicity. Organized structure of this storm
coupled with ample downstream shear and buoyancy suggests this storm
will likely maintain its intensity for at least the next hour.
Consequently, there is likely a corridor of greater tornado
potential for the next hour or two. Very large hail will also remain
possible with the left-split moving across Edwards County.
The storm farther south in Woodward County also has a favorable
environment downstream, but potential interactions with the
supercell moving northward across Blaine and Kingfisher casts some
doubt regarding its evolution. Even with this uncertainty, the
strength of the vertical shear suggest that eventual re-organization
is likely even if negative interference is realized. As with the
northern storms, very large hail will remain possible with any
left-splits, including the one currently moving in northern Woodward
and eastern Harper Counties.
..Mosier/Moore.. 05/25/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...
LAT...LON 37699973 38179930 38019787 37559742 36229772 35939936
36669968 37699973
Read more
1 year 3 months ago
MD 0957 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 308... FOR SOUTHWEST/CENTRAL/SOUTH-CENTRAL OK...FAR NORTHWEST/NORTH-CENTRAL TX
Mesoscale Discussion 0957
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0540 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024
Areas affected...Southwest/Central/South-Central OK...Far
Northwest/North-Central TX
Concerning...Tornado Watch 308...
Valid 252240Z - 260015Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 308 continues.
SUMMARY...All severe hazards, including very large hail up to 4" and
strong tornadoes, remain possible into central/south-central OK and
north-central TX.
DISCUSSION...Regional radar imagery has shown a messy convective
evolution across northwest TX and southwest OK over the past two
hours, with the initially close-proximity initiation and numerous
left-splits contributing to numerous interactions. Some trend back
to a more discrete mode may be evolving, with 2 right-moving
supercells now apparent over Cotton County OK, and Archer and Clay
Counties in northwest TX. The southernmost supercell appears to be
the strongest currently, with strong low-level rotation and 60 kft
echo tops both noted in recent radar imagery.
Despite some boundary-layer cooling due to anvil shading, the
airmass ahead of these cells is still extremely buoyant.
Mesoanalysis estimates a large area of 3500-4000 J/kg of MLCAPE
remains from northwest TX/southwest OK into central/south-central OK
and north-central TX. Strong vertical shear exists as well, with
over 60 kt of 0-6 km bulk shear sampled with the VAD profiles at
both KFDR and KTLX. Some modest convective inhibition is likely in
place downstream, particularly given the now cooler surface
temperatures. However, the organized character to the ongoing storms
coupled with increasing large-scale ascent, should help these storms
persist in spite of this inhibition. The overall environment remains
supportive of very large hail up to 4" in diameter, strong damaging
gusts, and tornadoes.
Some additional development is possible in the wake of this main
cluster across southwest OK where the airmass remains unstable.
There may be some influence from storm outflow, but the large-scale
ascent is just now beginning to arrive in this area, with additional
convective initiation still possible.
..Mosier.. 05/25/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...
LAT...LON 34819989 35569933 35789629 34439607 33559643 33449945
34819989
Read more
1 year 3 months ago
WW 0306 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 306
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N TOI TO
30 NNE DHN TO 20 WSW ABY TO 10 N MGR TO 35 ENE MGR TO 35 NW AYS
TO 15 SSE VDI.
..LYONS..05/25/24
ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...JAX...FFC...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 306
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC031-045-061-067-069-109-252340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COFFEE DALE GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON PIKE
FLC059-063-131-133-252340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOLMES JACKSON WALTON
WASHINGTON
GAC007-019-027-071-075-087-099-131-173-185-201-205-253-275-
252340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
Read more
1 year 3 months ago
WW 0306 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 306
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N TOI TO
30 NNE DHN TO 20 WSW ABY TO 10 N MGR TO 35 ENE MGR TO 35 NW AYS
TO 15 SSE VDI.
..LYONS..05/25/24
ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...JAX...FFC...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 306
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC031-045-061-067-069-109-252340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COFFEE DALE GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON PIKE
FLC059-063-131-133-252340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOLMES JACKSON WALTON
WASHINGTON
GAC007-019-027-071-075-087-099-131-173-185-201-205-253-275-
252340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
Read more
1 year 3 months ago
WW 0306 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 306
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N TOI TO
30 NNE DHN TO 20 WSW ABY TO 10 N MGR TO 35 ENE MGR TO 35 NW AYS
TO 15 SSE VDI.
..LYONS..05/25/24
ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...JAX...FFC...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 306
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC031-045-061-067-069-109-252340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COFFEE DALE GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON PIKE
FLC059-063-131-133-252340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOLMES JACKSON WALTON
WASHINGTON
GAC007-019-027-071-075-087-099-131-173-185-201-205-253-275-
252340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
Read more
1 year 3 months ago
WW 0306 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 306
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N TOI TO
30 NNE DHN TO 20 WSW ABY TO 10 N MGR TO 35 ENE MGR TO 35 NW AYS
TO 15 SSE VDI.
..LYONS..05/25/24
ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...JAX...FFC...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 306
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC031-045-061-067-069-109-252340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COFFEE DALE GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON PIKE
FLC059-063-131-133-252340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOLMES JACKSON WALTON
WASHINGTON
GAC007-019-027-071-075-087-099-131-173-185-201-205-253-275-
252340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
Read more
1 year 3 months ago
WW 0306 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 306
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N TOI TO
30 NNE DHN TO 20 WSW ABY TO 10 N MGR TO 35 ENE MGR TO 35 NW AYS
TO 15 SSE VDI.
..LYONS..05/25/24
ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...JAX...FFC...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 306
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC031-045-061-067-069-109-252340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COFFEE DALE GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON PIKE
FLC059-063-131-133-252340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOLMES JACKSON WALTON
WASHINGTON
GAC007-019-027-071-075-087-099-131-173-185-201-205-253-275-
252340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
Read more
1 year 3 months ago
MD 0958 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 308... FOR NORTHWEST OK...SOUTH-CENTRAL KS
Mesoscale Discussion 0958
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0607 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024
Areas affected...Northwest OK...South-Central KS
Concerning...Tornado Watch 308...
Valid 252307Z - 260030Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 308 continues.
SUMMARY...Threat for tornadoes and very large hail up to 4" in
diameter continues across northwest Oklahoma and south-Central KS.
DISCUSSION...Regional radar imagery has shown several splitting
supercells over the past hour or so, with the right-moving supercell
over Comanche County KS appearing to be the strongest at this time.
Recent VAD profile from KVNX has shown a notable increase in
low-level shear, with the most recent scans sampling over 200 m2/s2
of 0-1 km storm-relative helicity. Organized structure of this storm
coupled with ample downstream shear and buoyancy suggests this storm
will likely maintain its intensity for at least the next hour.
Consequently, there is likely a corridor of greater tornado
potential for the next hour or two. Very large hail will also remain
possible with the left-split moving across Edwards County.
The storm farther south in Woodward County also has a favorable
environment downstream, but potential interactions with the
supercell moving northward across Blaine and Kingfisher casts some
doubt regarding its evolution. Even with this uncertainty, the
strength of the vertical shear suggest that eventual re-organization
is likely even if negative interference is realized. As with the
northern storms, very large hail will remain possible with any
left-splits, including the one currently moving in northern Woodward
and eastern Harper Counties.
..Mosier/Moore.. 05/25/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...
LAT...LON 37699973 38179930 38019787 37559742 36229772 35939936
36669968 37699973
Read more
1 year 3 months ago
MD 0957 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 308... FOR SOUTHWEST/CENTRAL/SOUTH-CENTRAL OK...FAR NORTHWEST/NORTH-CENTRAL TX
Mesoscale Discussion 0957
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0540 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024
Areas affected...Southwest/Central/South-Central OK...Far
Northwest/North-Central TX
Concerning...Tornado Watch 308...
Valid 252240Z - 260015Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 308 continues.
SUMMARY...All severe hazards, including very large hail up to 4" and
strong tornadoes, remain possible into central/south-central OK and
north-central TX.
DISCUSSION...Regional radar imagery has shown a messy convective
evolution across northwest TX and southwest OK over the past two
hours, with the initially close-proximity initiation and numerous
left-splits contributing to numerous interactions. Some trend back
to a more discrete mode may be evolving, with 2 right-moving
supercells now apparent over Cotton County OK, and Archer and Clay
Counties in northwest TX. The southernmost supercell appears to be
the strongest currently, with strong low-level rotation and 60 kft
echo tops both noted in recent radar imagery.
Despite some boundary-layer cooling due to anvil shading, the
airmass ahead of these cells is still extremely buoyant.
Mesoanalysis estimates a large area of 3500-4000 J/kg of MLCAPE
remains from northwest TX/southwest OK into central/south-central OK
and north-central TX. Strong vertical shear exists as well, with
over 60 kt of 0-6 km bulk shear sampled with the VAD profiles at
both KFDR and KTLX. Some modest convective inhibition is likely in
place downstream, particularly given the now cooler surface
temperatures. However, the organized character to the ongoing storms
coupled with increasing large-scale ascent, should help these storms
persist in spite of this inhibition. The overall environment remains
supportive of very large hail up to 4" in diameter, strong damaging
gusts, and tornadoes.
Some additional development is possible in the wake of this main
cluster across southwest OK where the airmass remains unstable.
There may be some influence from storm outflow, but the large-scale
ascent is just now beginning to arrive in this area, with additional
convective initiation still possible.
..Mosier.. 05/25/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...
LAT...LON 34819989 35569933 35789629 34439607 33559643 33449945
34819989
Read more
1 year 3 months ago
MD 0956 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR NORTHWEST KANSAS INTO NEBRASKA AND FAR NORTHEAST COLORADO
Mesoscale Discussion 0956
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0441 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024
Areas affected...Northwest Kansas into Nebraska and far northeast
Colorado
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely
Valid 252141Z - 252345Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms across Nebraska and far northeast Colorado
will gradually intensify through early evening with an increase in
storm coverage expected across northwest Kansas in the coming hours.
One or more watches will likely be needed for these regions to
address these concerns given a destabilizing convective environment.
DISCUSSION...Over the past hour, initially high-based convection
developing across the central High Plains has intensified to severe
limits with a 1.0 inch hailstone recently reported out of northeast
CO. Despite marginal moisture return thus far (dewpoints in the
upper 40s to low 50s), cold temperatures aloft are supporting MLCAPE
values upwards of 1000 J/kg downstream across much of NE. Continued
northward moisture advection through early evening will steadily
improve buoyancy, which should result in a gradual intensification
of ongoing convection as it moves east. Initially discrete cells
should see some degree of upscale growth given dry low-level
conditions that will promote cold pool expansion over the next
couple of hours. Strong mid-level flow sampled by regional VWPs
should promote storm organization into one or more linear segments
with an increasing severe wind threat.
To the south across northwest KS and far eastern CO, GOES visible
imagery shows steady vertical development within a broad cumulus
field in the vicinity of the deepening surface low. While some MLCIN
remains in place, continued low-level moistening/heating combined
with steady mesoscale ascent near the low should promote
thunderstorm development in the next couple of hours. 50-knot
deep-layer shear should promote initially discrete cells with an
attendant risk for large hail (possibly up to 2.0 inches in
diameter). Trends will be monitored for both regions, and one or
more watches will likely be needed in the coming 1-2 hours.
..Moore/Smith.. 05/25/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...OAX...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...BOU...CYS...
LAT...LON 38780127 39000160 40010235 40300288 40440328 40560364
40820393 41250398 41950372 42630297 42810241 42960151
42970032 42839922 42419851 41959816 41329796 40219803
39649848 39259895 38730044 38670098 38780127
Read more
1 year 3 months ago
MD 0954 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY FOR MUCH OF WESTERN INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...NORTHWEST TEXAS...AND SOUTH-CENTRAL KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0954
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0256 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024
Areas affected...much of western into central Oklahoma...northwest
Texas...and south-central Kansas
Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely
Valid 251956Z - 252330Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent
SUMMARY...Tornadic supercells capable of dangerous tornadoes and
extreme hail are expected to develop from northwest Texas into much
of southwest and southern Oklahoma through evening. A similar threat
is expected to develop with rapidly changing conditions this evening
from northern Oklahoma into southern Kansas.
DISCUSSION...Moisture continues to rapidly increase from northwest
TX into southern OK, with 70s F dewpoints and increasing shear.
Extreme instability will favor particularly large supercells, with
right-moving cells possibly traveling for over 100 miles, producing
periodic tornadoes and giant hail.
The initial threat is from activity now developing over northwest
TX, and this should spread north of the Red River and move into
south-central OK by evening.
Farther north, destabilization and a rapidly increasing low-level
jet will result in a developing tornadic supercell threat into the
evening. Storms may initialize near the TX Panhandle/OK border ot
even toward the KS border over the next few hours.
..Jewell/Bunting.. 05/25/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...FWD...OUN...DDC...SJT...LUB...AMA...
LAT...LON 33370044 35180015 36779989 37479925 37759846 37849755
37779704 37569676 37079671 34199711 33789729 33429769
33369801 33370044
Read more
1 year 3 months ago
WW 0310 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0310 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
Read more
1 year 3 months ago
WW 310 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE 252325Z - 260600Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 310
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
625 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Colorado
Northwest Kansas
Southwest and Central Nebraska
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 625 PM
until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are forecast to develop this
evening and potentially be capable of severe gusts and large hail.
A couple of severe clusters may evolve with time as this activity
moves east across southern Nebraska through the evening and into the
early overnight hours.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles west southwest
of Imperial NE to 40 miles east of Grand Island NE. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 306...WW 307...WW
308...WW 309...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24030.
...Smith
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Checked
5 years 11 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
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