Severe Storms

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1134 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF SOUTHEAST AND WEST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms capable of damaging winds and occasional very large hail (in excess of 2 inches in diameter) can be expected across southeast Texas and far southwest Louisiana through this afternoon. Another area of significant severe weather potential will develop across west Texas this afternoon and evening. ...Southeast TX/Western LA... A large nocturnal MCS that continues to affect east TX has dramatically changed the overall forecast of severe storms for later today. The leading edge of the MCS will affect southeast TX and southwest LA this afternoon, in a very moist and extremely unstable environment. Sufficient deep-layer shear will promote supercell and bowing structures capable of damaging winds and very large hail until early evening when the primary activity moves offshore. ...West TX... The outflow boundary from the aforementioned MCS has surged westward across TX. A zone of strong heating and locally higher surface dewpoints on the north side of the boundary is expected to result in rapid thunderstorm development by late afternoon. These storms will be in a favorably sheared environment for intense supercells capable of all severe hazards. Activity will persist through much of the evening and spread into west-central TX. ...WI/IL/IN... Scattered afternoon thunderstorms will develop ahead of a shortwave trough over southeast MN. A few of the storms may produce locally gusty winds and hail, but the overall severe threat is expected to remain marginal. ...Outer Banks of NC... A weak surface boundary currently parallels the NC coast, with a very moist and moderately unstable air mass in place. Isolated afternoon thunderstorms are expected along this boundary, with a risk of locally damaging winds or hail in the most intense storms. ...ME... Isolated afternoon thunderstorms are expected to affect central and eastern ME as a shortwave trough moves across the area. Gusty winds and hail will be possible in the strongest cells. ..Hart/Squitieri.. 05/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1134 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF SOUTHEAST AND WEST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms capable of damaging winds and occasional very large hail (in excess of 2 inches in diameter) can be expected across southeast Texas and far southwest Louisiana through this afternoon. Another area of significant severe weather potential will develop across west Texas this afternoon and evening. ...Southeast TX/Western LA... A large nocturnal MCS that continues to affect east TX has dramatically changed the overall forecast of severe storms for later today. The leading edge of the MCS will affect southeast TX and southwest LA this afternoon, in a very moist and extremely unstable environment. Sufficient deep-layer shear will promote supercell and bowing structures capable of damaging winds and very large hail until early evening when the primary activity moves offshore. ...West TX... The outflow boundary from the aforementioned MCS has surged westward across TX. A zone of strong heating and locally higher surface dewpoints on the north side of the boundary is expected to result in rapid thunderstorm development by late afternoon. These storms will be in a favorably sheared environment for intense supercells capable of all severe hazards. Activity will persist through much of the evening and spread into west-central TX. ...WI/IL/IN... Scattered afternoon thunderstorms will develop ahead of a shortwave trough over southeast MN. A few of the storms may produce locally gusty winds and hail, but the overall severe threat is expected to remain marginal. ...Outer Banks of NC... A weak surface boundary currently parallels the NC coast, with a very moist and moderately unstable air mass in place. Isolated afternoon thunderstorms are expected along this boundary, with a risk of locally damaging winds or hail in the most intense storms. ...ME... Isolated afternoon thunderstorms are expected to affect central and eastern ME as a shortwave trough moves across the area. Gusty winds and hail will be possible in the strongest cells. ..Hart/Squitieri.. 05/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1134 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF SOUTHEAST AND WEST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms capable of damaging winds and occasional very large hail (in excess of 2 inches in diameter) can be expected across southeast Texas and far southwest Louisiana through this afternoon. Another area of significant severe weather potential will develop across west Texas this afternoon and evening. ...Southeast TX/Western LA... A large nocturnal MCS that continues to affect east TX has dramatically changed the overall forecast of severe storms for later today. The leading edge of the MCS will affect southeast TX and southwest LA this afternoon, in a very moist and extremely unstable environment. Sufficient deep-layer shear will promote supercell and bowing structures capable of damaging winds and very large hail until early evening when the primary activity moves offshore. ...West TX... The outflow boundary from the aforementioned MCS has surged westward across TX. A zone of strong heating and locally higher surface dewpoints on the north side of the boundary is expected to result in rapid thunderstorm development by late afternoon. These storms will be in a favorably sheared environment for intense supercells capable of all severe hazards. Activity will persist through much of the evening and spread into west-central TX. ...WI/IL/IN... Scattered afternoon thunderstorms will develop ahead of a shortwave trough over southeast MN. A few of the storms may produce locally gusty winds and hail, but the overall severe threat is expected to remain marginal. ...Outer Banks of NC... A weak surface boundary currently parallels the NC coast, with a very moist and moderately unstable air mass in place. Isolated afternoon thunderstorms are expected along this boundary, with a risk of locally damaging winds or hail in the most intense storms. ...ME... Isolated afternoon thunderstorms are expected to affect central and eastern ME as a shortwave trough moves across the area. Gusty winds and hail will be possible in the strongest cells. ..Hart/Squitieri.. 05/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1134 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF SOUTHEAST AND WEST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms capable of damaging winds and occasional very large hail (in excess of 2 inches in diameter) can be expected across southeast Texas and far southwest Louisiana through this afternoon. Another area of significant severe weather potential will develop across west Texas this afternoon and evening. ...Southeast TX/Western LA... A large nocturnal MCS that continues to affect east TX has dramatically changed the overall forecast of severe storms for later today. The leading edge of the MCS will affect southeast TX and southwest LA this afternoon, in a very moist and extremely unstable environment. Sufficient deep-layer shear will promote supercell and bowing structures capable of damaging winds and very large hail until early evening when the primary activity moves offshore. ...West TX... The outflow boundary from the aforementioned MCS has surged westward across TX. A zone of strong heating and locally higher surface dewpoints on the north side of the boundary is expected to result in rapid thunderstorm development by late afternoon. These storms will be in a favorably sheared environment for intense supercells capable of all severe hazards. Activity will persist through much of the evening and spread into west-central TX. ...WI/IL/IN... Scattered afternoon thunderstorms will develop ahead of a shortwave trough over southeast MN. A few of the storms may produce locally gusty winds and hail, but the overall severe threat is expected to remain marginal. ...Outer Banks of NC... A weak surface boundary currently parallels the NC coast, with a very moist and moderately unstable air mass in place. Isolated afternoon thunderstorms are expected along this boundary, with a risk of locally damaging winds or hail in the most intense storms. ...ME... Isolated afternoon thunderstorms are expected to affect central and eastern ME as a shortwave trough moves across the area. Gusty winds and hail will be possible in the strongest cells. ..Hart/Squitieri.. 05/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1134 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF SOUTHEAST AND WEST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms capable of damaging winds and occasional very large hail (in excess of 2 inches in diameter) can be expected across southeast Texas and far southwest Louisiana through this afternoon. Another area of significant severe weather potential will develop across west Texas this afternoon and evening. ...Southeast TX/Western LA... A large nocturnal MCS that continues to affect east TX has dramatically changed the overall forecast of severe storms for later today. The leading edge of the MCS will affect southeast TX and southwest LA this afternoon, in a very moist and extremely unstable environment. Sufficient deep-layer shear will promote supercell and bowing structures capable of damaging winds and very large hail until early evening when the primary activity moves offshore. ...West TX... The outflow boundary from the aforementioned MCS has surged westward across TX. A zone of strong heating and locally higher surface dewpoints on the north side of the boundary is expected to result in rapid thunderstorm development by late afternoon. These storms will be in a favorably sheared environment for intense supercells capable of all severe hazards. Activity will persist through much of the evening and spread into west-central TX. ...WI/IL/IN... Scattered afternoon thunderstorms will develop ahead of a shortwave trough over southeast MN. A few of the storms may produce locally gusty winds and hail, but the overall severe threat is expected to remain marginal. ...Outer Banks of NC... A weak surface boundary currently parallels the NC coast, with a very moist and moderately unstable air mass in place. Isolated afternoon thunderstorms are expected along this boundary, with a risk of locally damaging winds or hail in the most intense storms. ...ME... Isolated afternoon thunderstorms are expected to affect central and eastern ME as a shortwave trough moves across the area. Gusty winds and hail will be possible in the strongest cells. ..Hart/Squitieri.. 05/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1134 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF SOUTHEAST AND WEST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms capable of damaging winds and occasional very large hail (in excess of 2 inches in diameter) can be expected across southeast Texas and far southwest Louisiana through this afternoon. Another area of significant severe weather potential will develop across west Texas this afternoon and evening. ...Southeast TX/Western LA... A large nocturnal MCS that continues to affect east TX has dramatically changed the overall forecast of severe storms for later today. The leading edge of the MCS will affect southeast TX and southwest LA this afternoon, in a very moist and extremely unstable environment. Sufficient deep-layer shear will promote supercell and bowing structures capable of damaging winds and very large hail until early evening when the primary activity moves offshore. ...West TX... The outflow boundary from the aforementioned MCS has surged westward across TX. A zone of strong heating and locally higher surface dewpoints on the north side of the boundary is expected to result in rapid thunderstorm development by late afternoon. These storms will be in a favorably sheared environment for intense supercells capable of all severe hazards. Activity will persist through much of the evening and spread into west-central TX. ...WI/IL/IN... Scattered afternoon thunderstorms will develop ahead of a shortwave trough over southeast MN. A few of the storms may produce locally gusty winds and hail, but the overall severe threat is expected to remain marginal. ...Outer Banks of NC... A weak surface boundary currently parallels the NC coast, with a very moist and moderately unstable air mass in place. Isolated afternoon thunderstorms are expected along this boundary, with a risk of locally damaging winds or hail in the most intense storms. ...ME... Isolated afternoon thunderstorms are expected to affect central and eastern ME as a shortwave trough moves across the area. Gusty winds and hail will be possible in the strongest cells. ..Hart/Squitieri.. 05/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1134 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF SOUTHEAST AND WEST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms capable of damaging winds and occasional very large hail (in excess of 2 inches in diameter) can be expected across southeast Texas and far southwest Louisiana through this afternoon. Another area of significant severe weather potential will develop across west Texas this afternoon and evening. ...Southeast TX/Western LA... A large nocturnal MCS that continues to affect east TX has dramatically changed the overall forecast of severe storms for later today. The leading edge of the MCS will affect southeast TX and southwest LA this afternoon, in a very moist and extremely unstable environment. Sufficient deep-layer shear will promote supercell and bowing structures capable of damaging winds and very large hail until early evening when the primary activity moves offshore. ...West TX... The outflow boundary from the aforementioned MCS has surged westward across TX. A zone of strong heating and locally higher surface dewpoints on the north side of the boundary is expected to result in rapid thunderstorm development by late afternoon. These storms will be in a favorably sheared environment for intense supercells capable of all severe hazards. Activity will persist through much of the evening and spread into west-central TX. ...WI/IL/IN... Scattered afternoon thunderstorms will develop ahead of a shortwave trough over southeast MN. A few of the storms may produce locally gusty winds and hail, but the overall severe threat is expected to remain marginal. ...Outer Banks of NC... A weak surface boundary currently parallels the NC coast, with a very moist and moderately unstable air mass in place. Isolated afternoon thunderstorms are expected along this boundary, with a risk of locally damaging winds or hail in the most intense storms. ...ME... Isolated afternoon thunderstorms are expected to affect central and eastern ME as a shortwave trough moves across the area. Gusty winds and hail will be possible in the strongest cells. ..Hart/Squitieri.. 05/28/2024 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1134 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF SOUTHEAST AND WEST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms capable of damaging winds and occasional very large hail (in excess of 2 inches in diameter) can be expected across southeast Texas and far southwest Louisiana through this afternoon. Another area of significant severe weather potential will develop across west Texas this afternoon and evening. ...Southeast TX/Western LA... A large nocturnal MCS that continues to affect east TX has dramatically changed the overall forecast of severe storms for later today. The leading edge of the MCS will affect southeast TX and southwest LA this afternoon, in a very moist and extremely unstable environment. Sufficient deep-layer shear will promote supercell and bowing structures capable of damaging winds and very large hail until early evening when the primary activity moves offshore. ...West TX... The outflow boundary from the aforementioned MCS has surged westward across TX. A zone of strong heating and locally higher surface dewpoints on the north side of the boundary is expected to result in rapid thunderstorm development by late afternoon. These storms will be in a favorably sheared environment for intense supercells capable of all severe hazards. Activity will persist through much of the evening and spread into west-central TX. ...WI/IL/IN... Scattered afternoon thunderstorms will develop ahead of a shortwave trough over southeast MN. A few of the storms may produce locally gusty winds and hail, but the overall severe threat is expected to remain marginal. ...Outer Banks of NC... A weak surface boundary currently parallels the NC coast, with a very moist and moderately unstable air mass in place. Isolated afternoon thunderstorms are expected along this boundary, with a risk of locally damaging winds or hail in the most intense storms. ...ME... Isolated afternoon thunderstorms are expected to affect central and eastern ME as a shortwave trough moves across the area. Gusty winds and hail will be possible in the strongest cells. ..Hart/Squitieri.. 05/28/2024 Read more

MD 1038 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR NORTHWEST OK INTO ADJACENT SOUTHWEST KS
Mesoscale Discussion 1038 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1013 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Areas affected...northwest OK into adjacent southwest KS Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 281513Z - 281645Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Isolated hail to around 1.75 inches diameter is possible the next 1-2 hours across northwest Oklahoma into adjacent southwest Kansas. DISCUSSION...Elevated thunderstorms have developed this morning in an area of low-level east/southeasterly flow beneath upper northwest flow. Very steep midlevel lapse rates are supporting modest instability. VWP data from KVNX shows elongated hodographs above 2-3 km amid deeper shear supporting transient supercells. This activity will be capable of producing severe hail to near 1.75 inches over the next 1-2 hours. With southward extent, overnight convection and outflow has modified the airmass into parts of southwest and central OK. The expectation is that this cluster of storms should gradually decrease in intensity with southeast extent over the next couple of hours. Trends will be monitored but watch issuance is not currently expected. ..Leitman/Hart.. 05/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...AMA... LAT...LON 37120086 37370057 37379996 37059909 36649837 36389809 36029812 35759826 35679865 35739918 36029977 36610029 36890069 37120086 Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z No changes were needed to the ongoing forecast. Numerical guidance and current observations support the idea that wind speeds around 15 mph will be slightly more common than yesterday afternoon. This coupled with relative humidity falling into the single digits and the ongoing dry conditions will once again yield elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions across southern New Mexico and far West Texas. ..Marsh.. 05/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0114 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated conditions were observed at several locations Monday afternoon across far southern NM/far West TX, and similar wind/RH conditions are expected again this afternoon as a weak mid-level disturbance overspreads the region. Relative humidity values should quickly fall into the single digits amid strong diurnal heating, and strengthening winds through the boundary layer will allow for slightly more widespread winds near 15 mph (gusting to 20-30 mph) as compared to Monday. Fuels remain very dry after several days of very dry conditions, which should support the fire weather concern. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z No changes were needed to the ongoing forecast. Numerical guidance and current observations support the idea that wind speeds around 15 mph will be slightly more common than yesterday afternoon. This coupled with relative humidity falling into the single digits and the ongoing dry conditions will once again yield elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions across southern New Mexico and far West Texas. ..Marsh.. 05/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0114 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated conditions were observed at several locations Monday afternoon across far southern NM/far West TX, and similar wind/RH conditions are expected again this afternoon as a weak mid-level disturbance overspreads the region. Relative humidity values should quickly fall into the single digits amid strong diurnal heating, and strengthening winds through the boundary layer will allow for slightly more widespread winds near 15 mph (gusting to 20-30 mph) as compared to Monday. Fuels remain very dry after several days of very dry conditions, which should support the fire weather concern. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z No changes were needed to the ongoing forecast. Numerical guidance and current observations support the idea that wind speeds around 15 mph will be slightly more common than yesterday afternoon. This coupled with relative humidity falling into the single digits and the ongoing dry conditions will once again yield elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions across southern New Mexico and far West Texas. ..Marsh.. 05/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0114 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated conditions were observed at several locations Monday afternoon across far southern NM/far West TX, and similar wind/RH conditions are expected again this afternoon as a weak mid-level disturbance overspreads the region. Relative humidity values should quickly fall into the single digits amid strong diurnal heating, and strengthening winds through the boundary layer will allow for slightly more widespread winds near 15 mph (gusting to 20-30 mph) as compared to Monday. Fuels remain very dry after several days of very dry conditions, which should support the fire weather concern. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z No changes were needed to the ongoing forecast. Numerical guidance and current observations support the idea that wind speeds around 15 mph will be slightly more common than yesterday afternoon. This coupled with relative humidity falling into the single digits and the ongoing dry conditions will once again yield elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions across southern New Mexico and far West Texas. ..Marsh.. 05/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0114 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated conditions were observed at several locations Monday afternoon across far southern NM/far West TX, and similar wind/RH conditions are expected again this afternoon as a weak mid-level disturbance overspreads the region. Relative humidity values should quickly fall into the single digits amid strong diurnal heating, and strengthening winds through the boundary layer will allow for slightly more widespread winds near 15 mph (gusting to 20-30 mph) as compared to Monday. Fuels remain very dry after several days of very dry conditions, which should support the fire weather concern. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z No changes were needed to the ongoing forecast. Numerical guidance and current observations support the idea that wind speeds around 15 mph will be slightly more common than yesterday afternoon. This coupled with relative humidity falling into the single digits and the ongoing dry conditions will once again yield elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions across southern New Mexico and far West Texas. ..Marsh.. 05/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0114 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated conditions were observed at several locations Monday afternoon across far southern NM/far West TX, and similar wind/RH conditions are expected again this afternoon as a weak mid-level disturbance overspreads the region. Relative humidity values should quickly fall into the single digits amid strong diurnal heating, and strengthening winds through the boundary layer will allow for slightly more widespread winds near 15 mph (gusting to 20-30 mph) as compared to Monday. Fuels remain very dry after several days of very dry conditions, which should support the fire weather concern. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z No changes were needed to the ongoing forecast. Numerical guidance and current observations support the idea that wind speeds around 15 mph will be slightly more common than yesterday afternoon. This coupled with relative humidity falling into the single digits and the ongoing dry conditions will once again yield elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions across southern New Mexico and far West Texas. ..Marsh.. 05/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0114 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated conditions were observed at several locations Monday afternoon across far southern NM/far West TX, and similar wind/RH conditions are expected again this afternoon as a weak mid-level disturbance overspreads the region. Relative humidity values should quickly fall into the single digits amid strong diurnal heating, and strengthening winds through the boundary layer will allow for slightly more widespread winds near 15 mph (gusting to 20-30 mph) as compared to Monday. Fuels remain very dry after several days of very dry conditions, which should support the fire weather concern. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z No changes were needed to the ongoing forecast. Numerical guidance and current observations support the idea that wind speeds around 15 mph will be slightly more common than yesterday afternoon. This coupled with relative humidity falling into the single digits and the ongoing dry conditions will once again yield elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions across southern New Mexico and far West Texas. ..Marsh.. 05/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0114 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated conditions were observed at several locations Monday afternoon across far southern NM/far West TX, and similar wind/RH conditions are expected again this afternoon as a weak mid-level disturbance overspreads the region. Relative humidity values should quickly fall into the single digits amid strong diurnal heating, and strengthening winds through the boundary layer will allow for slightly more widespread winds near 15 mph (gusting to 20-30 mph) as compared to Monday. Fuels remain very dry after several days of very dry conditions, which should support the fire weather concern. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z No changes were needed to the ongoing forecast. Numerical guidance and current observations support the idea that wind speeds around 15 mph will be slightly more common than yesterday afternoon. This coupled with relative humidity falling into the single digits and the ongoing dry conditions will once again yield elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions across southern New Mexico and far West Texas. ..Marsh.. 05/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0114 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated conditions were observed at several locations Monday afternoon across far southern NM/far West TX, and similar wind/RH conditions are expected again this afternoon as a weak mid-level disturbance overspreads the region. Relative humidity values should quickly fall into the single digits amid strong diurnal heating, and strengthening winds through the boundary layer will allow for slightly more widespread winds near 15 mph (gusting to 20-30 mph) as compared to Monday. Fuels remain very dry after several days of very dry conditions, which should support the fire weather concern. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z No changes were needed to the ongoing forecast. Numerical guidance and current observations support the idea that wind speeds around 15 mph will be slightly more common than yesterday afternoon. This coupled with relative humidity falling into the single digits and the ongoing dry conditions will once again yield elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions across southern New Mexico and far West Texas. ..Marsh.. 05/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0114 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated conditions were observed at several locations Monday afternoon across far southern NM/far West TX, and similar wind/RH conditions are expected again this afternoon as a weak mid-level disturbance overspreads the region. Relative humidity values should quickly fall into the single digits amid strong diurnal heating, and strengthening winds through the boundary layer will allow for slightly more widespread winds near 15 mph (gusting to 20-30 mph) as compared to Monday. Fuels remain very dry after several days of very dry conditions, which should support the fire weather concern. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z No changes were needed to the ongoing forecast. Numerical guidance and current observations support the idea that wind speeds around 15 mph will be slightly more common than yesterday afternoon. This coupled with relative humidity falling into the single digits and the ongoing dry conditions will once again yield elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions across southern New Mexico and far West Texas. ..Marsh.. 05/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0114 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated conditions were observed at several locations Monday afternoon across far southern NM/far West TX, and similar wind/RH conditions are expected again this afternoon as a weak mid-level disturbance overspreads the region. Relative humidity values should quickly fall into the single digits amid strong diurnal heating, and strengthening winds through the boundary layer will allow for slightly more widespread winds near 15 mph (gusting to 20-30 mph) as compared to Monday. Fuels remain very dry after several days of very dry conditions, which should support the fire weather concern. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1136 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Valid 281700Z - 291200Z No changes were needed to the ongoing forecast. Numerical guidance and current observations support the idea that wind speeds around 15 mph will be slightly more common than yesterday afternoon. This coupled with relative humidity falling into the single digits and the ongoing dry conditions will once again yield elevated-to-locally-critical fire weather conditions across southern New Mexico and far West Texas. ..Marsh.. 05/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0114 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated conditions were observed at several locations Monday afternoon across far southern NM/far West TX, and similar wind/RH conditions are expected again this afternoon as a weak mid-level disturbance overspreads the region. Relative humidity values should quickly fall into the single digits amid strong diurnal heating, and strengthening winds through the boundary layer will allow for slightly more widespread winds near 15 mph (gusting to 20-30 mph) as compared to Monday. Fuels remain very dry after several days of very dry conditions, which should support the fire weather concern. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more