Severe Storms

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1241 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW YORK AND NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA...AND INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Storms may produce scattered damaging gusts over parts of the Northeast on Thursday. Isolated severe storms are also expected over parts of the central High Plains. ...The Northeast/New England... On the northern fringe of a west-to-east-oriented mid-level ridge from the central U.S. into the western Atlantic, a belt of moderate mid-level westerlies will reside atop the Great Lakes region and into northern New England. As a short-wave trough shifts across Quebec toward the Maritimes, a cold front sagging southeastward across the Northeast will likely focus scattered storm development as the warm sector heats/destabilizes through the afternoon. Though shear should remain somewhat modest with respect to supporting well-organized convection, a few stronger multicell storms/clusters are expected. Locally strong/damaging gusts are expected with the strongest convection, with marginal hail also possible locally. Risk should diminish after sunset, with the onset of nocturnal boundary-layer stabilization. ...Central High Plains... A weak low is forecast to develop over the central High Plains area during the afternoon, along a west-to-east surface baroclinic zone extending from the Midwest into the central Plains. As the boundary layer heats/mixes during the day ahead of the low, resulting CAPE development will eventually support initiation of isolated/high-based storms -- initially over southeastern Wyoming and into northeastern Colorado. With low-level southerlies beneath moderate mid-level westerlies, ample shear for a few stronger/organized storms is apparent in model forecasts. As such, damaging gusts -- aided by some sub-cloud evaporative potential -- will be possible locally. Hail may also occur with a few of the strongest storms early in the convective cycle. With time, some congealing/upscale growth may occur, with convection shifting off the higher terrain and spreading eastward into the Nebraska Panhandle during the evening, where local risk for gusty/damaging winds will be possible, before storms weaken nocturnally. ..Goss.. 06/19/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1241 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW YORK AND NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA...AND INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Storms may produce scattered damaging gusts over parts of the Northeast on Thursday. Isolated severe storms are also expected over parts of the central High Plains. ...The Northeast/New England... On the northern fringe of a west-to-east-oriented mid-level ridge from the central U.S. into the western Atlantic, a belt of moderate mid-level westerlies will reside atop the Great Lakes region and into northern New England. As a short-wave trough shifts across Quebec toward the Maritimes, a cold front sagging southeastward across the Northeast will likely focus scattered storm development as the warm sector heats/destabilizes through the afternoon. Though shear should remain somewhat modest with respect to supporting well-organized convection, a few stronger multicell storms/clusters are expected. Locally strong/damaging gusts are expected with the strongest convection, with marginal hail also possible locally. Risk should diminish after sunset, with the onset of nocturnal boundary-layer stabilization. ...Central High Plains... A weak low is forecast to develop over the central High Plains area during the afternoon, along a west-to-east surface baroclinic zone extending from the Midwest into the central Plains. As the boundary layer heats/mixes during the day ahead of the low, resulting CAPE development will eventually support initiation of isolated/high-based storms -- initially over southeastern Wyoming and into northeastern Colorado. With low-level southerlies beneath moderate mid-level westerlies, ample shear for a few stronger/organized storms is apparent in model forecasts. As such, damaging gusts -- aided by some sub-cloud evaporative potential -- will be possible locally. Hail may also occur with a few of the strongest storms early in the convective cycle. With time, some congealing/upscale growth may occur, with convection shifting off the higher terrain and spreading eastward into the Nebraska Panhandle during the evening, where local risk for gusty/damaging winds will be possible, before storms weaken nocturnally. ..Goss.. 06/19/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1241 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW YORK AND NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA...AND INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Storms may produce scattered damaging gusts over parts of the Northeast on Thursday. Isolated severe storms are also expected over parts of the central High Plains. ...The Northeast/New England... On the northern fringe of a west-to-east-oriented mid-level ridge from the central U.S. into the western Atlantic, a belt of moderate mid-level westerlies will reside atop the Great Lakes region and into northern New England. As a short-wave trough shifts across Quebec toward the Maritimes, a cold front sagging southeastward across the Northeast will likely focus scattered storm development as the warm sector heats/destabilizes through the afternoon. Though shear should remain somewhat modest with respect to supporting well-organized convection, a few stronger multicell storms/clusters are expected. Locally strong/damaging gusts are expected with the strongest convection, with marginal hail also possible locally. Risk should diminish after sunset, with the onset of nocturnal boundary-layer stabilization. ...Central High Plains... A weak low is forecast to develop over the central High Plains area during the afternoon, along a west-to-east surface baroclinic zone extending from the Midwest into the central Plains. As the boundary layer heats/mixes during the day ahead of the low, resulting CAPE development will eventually support initiation of isolated/high-based storms -- initially over southeastern Wyoming and into northeastern Colorado. With low-level southerlies beneath moderate mid-level westerlies, ample shear for a few stronger/organized storms is apparent in model forecasts. As such, damaging gusts -- aided by some sub-cloud evaporative potential -- will be possible locally. Hail may also occur with a few of the strongest storms early in the convective cycle. With time, some congealing/upscale growth may occur, with convection shifting off the higher terrain and spreading eastward into the Nebraska Panhandle during the evening, where local risk for gusty/damaging winds will be possible, before storms weaken nocturnally. ..Goss.. 06/19/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1241 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW YORK AND NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA...AND INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Storms may produce scattered damaging gusts over parts of the Northeast on Thursday. Isolated severe storms are also expected over parts of the central High Plains. ...The Northeast/New England... On the northern fringe of a west-to-east-oriented mid-level ridge from the central U.S. into the western Atlantic, a belt of moderate mid-level westerlies will reside atop the Great Lakes region and into northern New England. As a short-wave trough shifts across Quebec toward the Maritimes, a cold front sagging southeastward across the Northeast will likely focus scattered storm development as the warm sector heats/destabilizes through the afternoon. Though shear should remain somewhat modest with respect to supporting well-organized convection, a few stronger multicell storms/clusters are expected. Locally strong/damaging gusts are expected with the strongest convection, with marginal hail also possible locally. Risk should diminish after sunset, with the onset of nocturnal boundary-layer stabilization. ...Central High Plains... A weak low is forecast to develop over the central High Plains area during the afternoon, along a west-to-east surface baroclinic zone extending from the Midwest into the central Plains. As the boundary layer heats/mixes during the day ahead of the low, resulting CAPE development will eventually support initiation of isolated/high-based storms -- initially over southeastern Wyoming and into northeastern Colorado. With low-level southerlies beneath moderate mid-level westerlies, ample shear for a few stronger/organized storms is apparent in model forecasts. As such, damaging gusts -- aided by some sub-cloud evaporative potential -- will be possible locally. Hail may also occur with a few of the strongest storms early in the convective cycle. With time, some congealing/upscale growth may occur, with convection shifting off the higher terrain and spreading eastward into the Nebraska Panhandle during the evening, where local risk for gusty/damaging winds will be possible, before storms weaken nocturnally. ..Goss.. 06/19/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1241 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW YORK AND NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA...AND INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Storms may produce scattered damaging gusts over parts of the Northeast on Thursday. Isolated severe storms are also expected over parts of the central High Plains. ...The Northeast/New England... On the northern fringe of a west-to-east-oriented mid-level ridge from the central U.S. into the western Atlantic, a belt of moderate mid-level westerlies will reside atop the Great Lakes region and into northern New England. As a short-wave trough shifts across Quebec toward the Maritimes, a cold front sagging southeastward across the Northeast will likely focus scattered storm development as the warm sector heats/destabilizes through the afternoon. Though shear should remain somewhat modest with respect to supporting well-organized convection, a few stronger multicell storms/clusters are expected. Locally strong/damaging gusts are expected with the strongest convection, with marginal hail also possible locally. Risk should diminish after sunset, with the onset of nocturnal boundary-layer stabilization. ...Central High Plains... A weak low is forecast to develop over the central High Plains area during the afternoon, along a west-to-east surface baroclinic zone extending from the Midwest into the central Plains. As the boundary layer heats/mixes during the day ahead of the low, resulting CAPE development will eventually support initiation of isolated/high-based storms -- initially over southeastern Wyoming and into northeastern Colorado. With low-level southerlies beneath moderate mid-level westerlies, ample shear for a few stronger/organized storms is apparent in model forecasts. As such, damaging gusts -- aided by some sub-cloud evaporative potential -- will be possible locally. Hail may also occur with a few of the strongest storms early in the convective cycle. With time, some congealing/upscale growth may occur, with convection shifting off the higher terrain and spreading eastward into the Nebraska Panhandle during the evening, where local risk for gusty/damaging winds will be possible, before storms weaken nocturnally. ..Goss.. 06/19/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1241 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW YORK AND NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA...AND INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Storms may produce scattered damaging gusts over parts of the Northeast on Thursday. Isolated severe storms are also expected over parts of the central High Plains. ...The Northeast/New England... On the northern fringe of a west-to-east-oriented mid-level ridge from the central U.S. into the western Atlantic, a belt of moderate mid-level westerlies will reside atop the Great Lakes region and into northern New England. As a short-wave trough shifts across Quebec toward the Maritimes, a cold front sagging southeastward across the Northeast will likely focus scattered storm development as the warm sector heats/destabilizes through the afternoon. Though shear should remain somewhat modest with respect to supporting well-organized convection, a few stronger multicell storms/clusters are expected. Locally strong/damaging gusts are expected with the strongest convection, with marginal hail also possible locally. Risk should diminish after sunset, with the onset of nocturnal boundary-layer stabilization. ...Central High Plains... A weak low is forecast to develop over the central High Plains area during the afternoon, along a west-to-east surface baroclinic zone extending from the Midwest into the central Plains. As the boundary layer heats/mixes during the day ahead of the low, resulting CAPE development will eventually support initiation of isolated/high-based storms -- initially over southeastern Wyoming and into northeastern Colorado. With low-level southerlies beneath moderate mid-level westerlies, ample shear for a few stronger/organized storms is apparent in model forecasts. As such, damaging gusts -- aided by some sub-cloud evaporative potential -- will be possible locally. Hail may also occur with a few of the strongest storms early in the convective cycle. With time, some congealing/upscale growth may occur, with convection shifting off the higher terrain and spreading eastward into the Nebraska Panhandle during the evening, where local risk for gusty/damaging winds will be possible, before storms weaken nocturnally. ..Goss.. 06/19/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1241 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW YORK AND NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA...AND INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Storms may produce scattered damaging gusts over parts of the Northeast on Thursday. Isolated severe storms are also expected over parts of the central High Plains. ...The Northeast/New England... On the northern fringe of a west-to-east-oriented mid-level ridge from the central U.S. into the western Atlantic, a belt of moderate mid-level westerlies will reside atop the Great Lakes region and into northern New England. As a short-wave trough shifts across Quebec toward the Maritimes, a cold front sagging southeastward across the Northeast will likely focus scattered storm development as the warm sector heats/destabilizes through the afternoon. Though shear should remain somewhat modest with respect to supporting well-organized convection, a few stronger multicell storms/clusters are expected. Locally strong/damaging gusts are expected with the strongest convection, with marginal hail also possible locally. Risk should diminish after sunset, with the onset of nocturnal boundary-layer stabilization. ...Central High Plains... A weak low is forecast to develop over the central High Plains area during the afternoon, along a west-to-east surface baroclinic zone extending from the Midwest into the central Plains. As the boundary layer heats/mixes during the day ahead of the low, resulting CAPE development will eventually support initiation of isolated/high-based storms -- initially over southeastern Wyoming and into northeastern Colorado. With low-level southerlies beneath moderate mid-level westerlies, ample shear for a few stronger/organized storms is apparent in model forecasts. As such, damaging gusts -- aided by some sub-cloud evaporative potential -- will be possible locally. Hail may also occur with a few of the strongest storms early in the convective cycle. With time, some congealing/upscale growth may occur, with convection shifting off the higher terrain and spreading eastward into the Nebraska Panhandle during the evening, where local risk for gusty/damaging winds will be possible, before storms weaken nocturnally. ..Goss.. 06/19/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1241 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW YORK AND NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA...AND INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Storms may produce scattered damaging gusts over parts of the Northeast on Thursday. Isolated severe storms are also expected over parts of the central High Plains. ...The Northeast/New England... On the northern fringe of a west-to-east-oriented mid-level ridge from the central U.S. into the western Atlantic, a belt of moderate mid-level westerlies will reside atop the Great Lakes region and into northern New England. As a short-wave trough shifts across Quebec toward the Maritimes, a cold front sagging southeastward across the Northeast will likely focus scattered storm development as the warm sector heats/destabilizes through the afternoon. Though shear should remain somewhat modest with respect to supporting well-organized convection, a few stronger multicell storms/clusters are expected. Locally strong/damaging gusts are expected with the strongest convection, with marginal hail also possible locally. Risk should diminish after sunset, with the onset of nocturnal boundary-layer stabilization. ...Central High Plains... A weak low is forecast to develop over the central High Plains area during the afternoon, along a west-to-east surface baroclinic zone extending from the Midwest into the central Plains. As the boundary layer heats/mixes during the day ahead of the low, resulting CAPE development will eventually support initiation of isolated/high-based storms -- initially over southeastern Wyoming and into northeastern Colorado. With low-level southerlies beneath moderate mid-level westerlies, ample shear for a few stronger/organized storms is apparent in model forecasts. As such, damaging gusts -- aided by some sub-cloud evaporative potential -- will be possible locally. Hail may also occur with a few of the strongest storms early in the convective cycle. With time, some congealing/upscale growth may occur, with convection shifting off the higher terrain and spreading eastward into the Nebraska Panhandle during the evening, where local risk for gusty/damaging winds will be possible, before storms weaken nocturnally. ..Goss.. 06/19/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1241 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW YORK AND NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA...AND INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Storms may produce scattered damaging gusts over parts of the Northeast on Thursday. Isolated severe storms are also expected over parts of the central High Plains. ...The Northeast/New England... On the northern fringe of a west-to-east-oriented mid-level ridge from the central U.S. into the western Atlantic, a belt of moderate mid-level westerlies will reside atop the Great Lakes region and into northern New England. As a short-wave trough shifts across Quebec toward the Maritimes, a cold front sagging southeastward across the Northeast will likely focus scattered storm development as the warm sector heats/destabilizes through the afternoon. Though shear should remain somewhat modest with respect to supporting well-organized convection, a few stronger multicell storms/clusters are expected. Locally strong/damaging gusts are expected with the strongest convection, with marginal hail also possible locally. Risk should diminish after sunset, with the onset of nocturnal boundary-layer stabilization. ...Central High Plains... A weak low is forecast to develop over the central High Plains area during the afternoon, along a west-to-east surface baroclinic zone extending from the Midwest into the central Plains. As the boundary layer heats/mixes during the day ahead of the low, resulting CAPE development will eventually support initiation of isolated/high-based storms -- initially over southeastern Wyoming and into northeastern Colorado. With low-level southerlies beneath moderate mid-level westerlies, ample shear for a few stronger/organized storms is apparent in model forecasts. As such, damaging gusts -- aided by some sub-cloud evaporative potential -- will be possible locally. Hail may also occur with a few of the strongest storms early in the convective cycle. With time, some congealing/upscale growth may occur, with convection shifting off the higher terrain and spreading eastward into the Nebraska Panhandle during the evening, where local risk for gusty/damaging winds will be possible, before storms weaken nocturnally. ..Goss.. 06/19/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1241 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW YORK AND NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA...AND INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Storms may produce scattered damaging gusts over parts of the Northeast on Thursday. Isolated severe storms are also expected over parts of the central High Plains. ...The Northeast/New England... On the northern fringe of a west-to-east-oriented mid-level ridge from the central U.S. into the western Atlantic, a belt of moderate mid-level westerlies will reside atop the Great Lakes region and into northern New England. As a short-wave trough shifts across Quebec toward the Maritimes, a cold front sagging southeastward across the Northeast will likely focus scattered storm development as the warm sector heats/destabilizes through the afternoon. Though shear should remain somewhat modest with respect to supporting well-organized convection, a few stronger multicell storms/clusters are expected. Locally strong/damaging gusts are expected with the strongest convection, with marginal hail also possible locally. Risk should diminish after sunset, with the onset of nocturnal boundary-layer stabilization. ...Central High Plains... A weak low is forecast to develop over the central High Plains area during the afternoon, along a west-to-east surface baroclinic zone extending from the Midwest into the central Plains. As the boundary layer heats/mixes during the day ahead of the low, resulting CAPE development will eventually support initiation of isolated/high-based storms -- initially over southeastern Wyoming and into northeastern Colorado. With low-level southerlies beneath moderate mid-level westerlies, ample shear for a few stronger/organized storms is apparent in model forecasts. As such, damaging gusts -- aided by some sub-cloud evaporative potential -- will be possible locally. Hail may also occur with a few of the strongest storms early in the convective cycle. With time, some congealing/upscale growth may occur, with convection shifting off the higher terrain and spreading eastward into the Nebraska Panhandle during the evening, where local risk for gusty/damaging winds will be possible, before storms weaken nocturnally. ..Goss.. 06/19/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1241 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW YORK AND NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA...AND INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Storms may produce scattered damaging gusts over parts of the Northeast on Thursday. Isolated severe storms are also expected over parts of the central High Plains. ...The Northeast/New England... On the northern fringe of a west-to-east-oriented mid-level ridge from the central U.S. into the western Atlantic, a belt of moderate mid-level westerlies will reside atop the Great Lakes region and into northern New England. As a short-wave trough shifts across Quebec toward the Maritimes, a cold front sagging southeastward across the Northeast will likely focus scattered storm development as the warm sector heats/destabilizes through the afternoon. Though shear should remain somewhat modest with respect to supporting well-organized convection, a few stronger multicell storms/clusters are expected. Locally strong/damaging gusts are expected with the strongest convection, with marginal hail also possible locally. Risk should diminish after sunset, with the onset of nocturnal boundary-layer stabilization. ...Central High Plains... A weak low is forecast to develop over the central High Plains area during the afternoon, along a west-to-east surface baroclinic zone extending from the Midwest into the central Plains. As the boundary layer heats/mixes during the day ahead of the low, resulting CAPE development will eventually support initiation of isolated/high-based storms -- initially over southeastern Wyoming and into northeastern Colorado. With low-level southerlies beneath moderate mid-level westerlies, ample shear for a few stronger/organized storms is apparent in model forecasts. As such, damaging gusts -- aided by some sub-cloud evaporative potential -- will be possible locally. Hail may also occur with a few of the strongest storms early in the convective cycle. With time, some congealing/upscale growth may occur, with convection shifting off the higher terrain and spreading eastward into the Nebraska Panhandle during the evening, where local risk for gusty/damaging winds will be possible, before storms weaken nocturnally. ..Goss.. 06/19/2024 Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1138 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Valid 191700Z - 201200Z No changes. See previous discussion below. ..Bentley.. 06/19/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0155 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024/ ...Synopsis... Moisture along the southwestern periphery of the mid-level ridge will push westward across New Mexico today, bringing isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some wetting rains will occur across the eastern half of New Mexico where deeper moisture is expected. Along the edge of the deeper moisture, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible over portions of west-central and southern New Mexico into far southeastern Arizona during the afternoon and evening. Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible where relative humidity reductions to 10-15 percent will overlap winds 10-15 mph (occasionally around 20 mph). Across northern Florida, easterly surface winds around 15 mph will develop this afternoon overlapping relative humidity less than 35-40 percent. This overlap appears very short lived and mainly across far northern Florida and the Panhandle, where less receptive fuels persist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1138 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Valid 191700Z - 201200Z No changes. See previous discussion below. ..Bentley.. 06/19/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0155 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024/ ...Synopsis... Moisture along the southwestern periphery of the mid-level ridge will push westward across New Mexico today, bringing isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some wetting rains will occur across the eastern half of New Mexico where deeper moisture is expected. Along the edge of the deeper moisture, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible over portions of west-central and southern New Mexico into far southeastern Arizona during the afternoon and evening. Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible where relative humidity reductions to 10-15 percent will overlap winds 10-15 mph (occasionally around 20 mph). Across northern Florida, easterly surface winds around 15 mph will develop this afternoon overlapping relative humidity less than 35-40 percent. This overlap appears very short lived and mainly across far northern Florida and the Panhandle, where less receptive fuels persist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1138 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Valid 191700Z - 201200Z No changes. See previous discussion below. ..Bentley.. 06/19/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0155 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024/ ...Synopsis... Moisture along the southwestern periphery of the mid-level ridge will push westward across New Mexico today, bringing isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some wetting rains will occur across the eastern half of New Mexico where deeper moisture is expected. Along the edge of the deeper moisture, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible over portions of west-central and southern New Mexico into far southeastern Arizona during the afternoon and evening. Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible where relative humidity reductions to 10-15 percent will overlap winds 10-15 mph (occasionally around 20 mph). Across northern Florida, easterly surface winds around 15 mph will develop this afternoon overlapping relative humidity less than 35-40 percent. This overlap appears very short lived and mainly across far northern Florida and the Panhandle, where less receptive fuels persist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1138 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Valid 191700Z - 201200Z No changes. See previous discussion below. ..Bentley.. 06/19/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0155 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024/ ...Synopsis... Moisture along the southwestern periphery of the mid-level ridge will push westward across New Mexico today, bringing isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some wetting rains will occur across the eastern half of New Mexico where deeper moisture is expected. Along the edge of the deeper moisture, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible over portions of west-central and southern New Mexico into far southeastern Arizona during the afternoon and evening. Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible where relative humidity reductions to 10-15 percent will overlap winds 10-15 mph (occasionally around 20 mph). Across northern Florida, easterly surface winds around 15 mph will develop this afternoon overlapping relative humidity less than 35-40 percent. This overlap appears very short lived and mainly across far northern Florida and the Panhandle, where less receptive fuels persist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1138 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Valid 191700Z - 201200Z No changes. See previous discussion below. ..Bentley.. 06/19/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0155 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024/ ...Synopsis... Moisture along the southwestern periphery of the mid-level ridge will push westward across New Mexico today, bringing isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some wetting rains will occur across the eastern half of New Mexico where deeper moisture is expected. Along the edge of the deeper moisture, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible over portions of west-central and southern New Mexico into far southeastern Arizona during the afternoon and evening. Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible where relative humidity reductions to 10-15 percent will overlap winds 10-15 mph (occasionally around 20 mph). Across northern Florida, easterly surface winds around 15 mph will develop this afternoon overlapping relative humidity less than 35-40 percent. This overlap appears very short lived and mainly across far northern Florida and the Panhandle, where less receptive fuels persist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1138 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Valid 191700Z - 201200Z No changes. See previous discussion below. ..Bentley.. 06/19/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0155 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024/ ...Synopsis... Moisture along the southwestern periphery of the mid-level ridge will push westward across New Mexico today, bringing isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some wetting rains will occur across the eastern half of New Mexico where deeper moisture is expected. Along the edge of the deeper moisture, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible over portions of west-central and southern New Mexico into far southeastern Arizona during the afternoon and evening. Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible where relative humidity reductions to 10-15 percent will overlap winds 10-15 mph (occasionally around 20 mph). Across northern Florida, easterly surface winds around 15 mph will develop this afternoon overlapping relative humidity less than 35-40 percent. This overlap appears very short lived and mainly across far northern Florida and the Panhandle, where less receptive fuels persist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1138 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Valid 191700Z - 201200Z No changes. See previous discussion below. ..Bentley.. 06/19/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0155 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024/ ...Synopsis... Moisture along the southwestern periphery of the mid-level ridge will push westward across New Mexico today, bringing isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some wetting rains will occur across the eastern half of New Mexico where deeper moisture is expected. Along the edge of the deeper moisture, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible over portions of west-central and southern New Mexico into far southeastern Arizona during the afternoon and evening. Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible where relative humidity reductions to 10-15 percent will overlap winds 10-15 mph (occasionally around 20 mph). Across northern Florida, easterly surface winds around 15 mph will develop this afternoon overlapping relative humidity less than 35-40 percent. This overlap appears very short lived and mainly across far northern Florida and the Panhandle, where less receptive fuels persist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1138 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Valid 191700Z - 201200Z No changes. See previous discussion below. ..Bentley.. 06/19/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0155 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024/ ...Synopsis... Moisture along the southwestern periphery of the mid-level ridge will push westward across New Mexico today, bringing isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some wetting rains will occur across the eastern half of New Mexico where deeper moisture is expected. Along the edge of the deeper moisture, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible over portions of west-central and southern New Mexico into far southeastern Arizona during the afternoon and evening. Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible where relative humidity reductions to 10-15 percent will overlap winds 10-15 mph (occasionally around 20 mph). Across northern Florida, easterly surface winds around 15 mph will develop this afternoon overlapping relative humidity less than 35-40 percent. This overlap appears very short lived and mainly across far northern Florida and the Panhandle, where less receptive fuels persist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1138 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 Valid 191700Z - 201200Z No changes. See previous discussion below. ..Bentley.. 06/19/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0155 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024/ ...Synopsis... Moisture along the southwestern periphery of the mid-level ridge will push westward across New Mexico today, bringing isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some wetting rains will occur across the eastern half of New Mexico where deeper moisture is expected. Along the edge of the deeper moisture, isolated dry thunderstorms will be possible over portions of west-central and southern New Mexico into far southeastern Arizona during the afternoon and evening. Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible where relative humidity reductions to 10-15 percent will overlap winds 10-15 mph (occasionally around 20 mph). Across northern Florida, easterly surface winds around 15 mph will develop this afternoon overlapping relative humidity less than 35-40 percent. This overlap appears very short lived and mainly across far northern Florida and the Panhandle, where less receptive fuels persist. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more