Official websites use .gov
A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.
Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock ( ) or https:// means you’ve safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.
Do you still have COVID-19 funeral costs?
Read more
×
FEMA may still be able to help. Visit the COVID-19 Funeral Assistance page. Or to learn more and start an application, call 1-844-684-6333 .
Main navigation
Search
8 months ago
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0151 AM CST Fri Dec 13 2024
Valid 151200Z - 161200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorm potential is expected to remain limited on
Sunday.
...Synopsis...
An upper trough will migrate east from the Rockies into the Plains
on Sunday. As this occurs, a surface low will track across the
northern Plains. Meanwhile, a cold front will develop southeast
across much of the northern/central Plains through the day. The
front will continue southeast through the nighttime hours, becoming
positioned from near Lake Michigan southwestward toward the Red
River by Monday morning.
Southerly low-level flow ahead of the front will allow 60s F
dewpoints to spread north across east TX into southeast OK, and
eastward across AR/LA. While vertically veering wind profiles
typically would support some potential for organized convection,
thermodynamics are expected to remain rather poor due to low-level
inhibition and weak lapse rates. Furthermore, stronger height falls
are not expected across the region until late in the period, further
suppressing deep convective potential through much of the forecast
period. While isolated elevated convection is possible in the
low-level warm advection regime, severe potential appears limited.
..Leitman.. 12/13/2024
Read more
8 months ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1154 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024
Valid 141200Z - 151200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Saturday.
...Central/South-Central States...
An upper cyclone and attendant trough will lift east/northeast from
the central/southern Plains toward the Great Lakes on Saturday. Only
a weak reflection of this upper system is expected at the surface,
where a low over eastern KS during the morning hours will generally
weaken as it lifts northeast into the Upper Midwest. Southerly
low-level flow will transport 60s F surface dewpoints into the TX
coast and east TX and the Sabine Valley vicinity through evening.
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible in this low-level warm
advection regime ahead of the upper trough and weakening surface low
from east TX/LA into the Lower and Mid-MS Valley. A strong storm or
two may be possible across southeast TX into LA where deeper
boundary-layer moisture and modest surface-based destabilization
will overlap with weak vertical shear. However, large-scale ascent
will remain weak as large-scale ascent remains displaced to the
north. Additionally, low and midlevel lapse rates will remain poor.
Overall severe potential is expected to remain negligible, and
thunderstorm activity across the region should diminish during the
evening hours.
...Pacific Coast States...
Persistent onshore flow is forecast through the evening hours as an
upper trough located offshore the Pacific coast Saturday morning
moves inland toward the Rockies by Sunday morning. Isolated
thunderstorms are expected, especially during the 12-18z time frame
when large-scale ascent will be maximized amid steepening midlevel
lapse rates. A strong southwesterly low-level jet will overspread
portions of central CA during the morning to midday time period,
resulting in some hodograph curvature. However, cool surface
temperatures and very modest instability (generally less than 200
J/kg MLCAPE) will likely limit surface-based convection.
..Leitman.. 12/13/2024
Read more
8 months ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1154 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024
Valid 141200Z - 151200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Saturday.
...Central/South-Central States...
An upper cyclone and attendant trough will lift east/northeast from
the central/southern Plains toward the Great Lakes on Saturday. Only
a weak reflection of this upper system is expected at the surface,
where a low over eastern KS during the morning hours will generally
weaken as it lifts northeast into the Upper Midwest. Southerly
low-level flow will transport 60s F surface dewpoints into the TX
coast and east TX and the Sabine Valley vicinity through evening.
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible in this low-level warm
advection regime ahead of the upper trough and weakening surface low
from east TX/LA into the Lower and Mid-MS Valley. A strong storm or
two may be possible across southeast TX into LA where deeper
boundary-layer moisture and modest surface-based destabilization
will overlap with weak vertical shear. However, large-scale ascent
will remain weak as large-scale ascent remains displaced to the
north. Additionally, low and midlevel lapse rates will remain poor.
Overall severe potential is expected to remain negligible, and
thunderstorm activity across the region should diminish during the
evening hours.
...Pacific Coast States...
Persistent onshore flow is forecast through the evening hours as an
upper trough located offshore the Pacific coast Saturday morning
moves inland toward the Rockies by Sunday morning. Isolated
thunderstorms are expected, especially during the 12-18z time frame
when large-scale ascent will be maximized amid steepening midlevel
lapse rates. A strong southwesterly low-level jet will overspread
portions of central CA during the morning to midday time period,
resulting in some hodograph curvature. However, cool surface
temperatures and very modest instability (generally less than 200
J/kg MLCAPE) will likely limit surface-based convection.
..Leitman.. 12/13/2024
Read more
8 months ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1154 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024
Valid 141200Z - 151200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Saturday.
...Central/South-Central States...
An upper cyclone and attendant trough will lift east/northeast from
the central/southern Plains toward the Great Lakes on Saturday. Only
a weak reflection of this upper system is expected at the surface,
where a low over eastern KS during the morning hours will generally
weaken as it lifts northeast into the Upper Midwest. Southerly
low-level flow will transport 60s F surface dewpoints into the TX
coast and east TX and the Sabine Valley vicinity through evening.
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible in this low-level warm
advection regime ahead of the upper trough and weakening surface low
from east TX/LA into the Lower and Mid-MS Valley. A strong storm or
two may be possible across southeast TX into LA where deeper
boundary-layer moisture and modest surface-based destabilization
will overlap with weak vertical shear. However, large-scale ascent
will remain weak as large-scale ascent remains displaced to the
north. Additionally, low and midlevel lapse rates will remain poor.
Overall severe potential is expected to remain negligible, and
thunderstorm activity across the region should diminish during the
evening hours.
...Pacific Coast States...
Persistent onshore flow is forecast through the evening hours as an
upper trough located offshore the Pacific coast Saturday morning
moves inland toward the Rockies by Sunday morning. Isolated
thunderstorms are expected, especially during the 12-18z time frame
when large-scale ascent will be maximized amid steepening midlevel
lapse rates. A strong southwesterly low-level jet will overspread
portions of central CA during the morning to midday time period,
resulting in some hodograph curvature. However, cool surface
temperatures and very modest instability (generally less than 200
J/kg MLCAPE) will likely limit surface-based convection.
..Leitman.. 12/13/2024
Read more
8 months ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1154 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024
Valid 141200Z - 151200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Saturday.
...Central/South-Central States...
An upper cyclone and attendant trough will lift east/northeast from
the central/southern Plains toward the Great Lakes on Saturday. Only
a weak reflection of this upper system is expected at the surface,
where a low over eastern KS during the morning hours will generally
weaken as it lifts northeast into the Upper Midwest. Southerly
low-level flow will transport 60s F surface dewpoints into the TX
coast and east TX and the Sabine Valley vicinity through evening.
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible in this low-level warm
advection regime ahead of the upper trough and weakening surface low
from east TX/LA into the Lower and Mid-MS Valley. A strong storm or
two may be possible across southeast TX into LA where deeper
boundary-layer moisture and modest surface-based destabilization
will overlap with weak vertical shear. However, large-scale ascent
will remain weak as large-scale ascent remains displaced to the
north. Additionally, low and midlevel lapse rates will remain poor.
Overall severe potential is expected to remain negligible, and
thunderstorm activity across the region should diminish during the
evening hours.
...Pacific Coast States...
Persistent onshore flow is forecast through the evening hours as an
upper trough located offshore the Pacific coast Saturday morning
moves inland toward the Rockies by Sunday morning. Isolated
thunderstorms are expected, especially during the 12-18z time frame
when large-scale ascent will be maximized amid steepening midlevel
lapse rates. A strong southwesterly low-level jet will overspread
portions of central CA during the morning to midday time period,
resulting in some hodograph curvature. However, cool surface
temperatures and very modest instability (generally less than 200
J/kg MLCAPE) will likely limit surface-based convection.
..Leitman.. 12/13/2024
Read more
8 months ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1130 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024
Valid 131200Z - 141200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected.
...Central US...
Significant low-latitude energy currently extends across the
southwestern US, with a split-flow regime noted at 500mb.
Late-evening satellite imagery depicts a low-amplitude short-wave
trough ejecting northeast across northern Mexico, but a much
stronger feature approaching the Four Corners. This lead short wave
will encourage modified boundary-layer moisture to begin advancing
north across TX into the southern Plains early in the period. LLJ is
forecast to increase Friday night across eastern OK into the lower
MO Valley, as strong height falls spread into the central Plains.
Latest model guidance suggests gradual air mass destabilization will
occur within the warm-advection regime. Forecast soundings suggest
scattered convection should develop during the overnight hours when
elevated parcels become uninhibited by steepening lapse rates, and
weaker inhibition. Current thinking is this activity should prove
too weak to warrant any meaningful risk for severe hail.
...Northern California...
Short-wave ridging will dominate CA early in the period, then
substantial height falls will spread east ahead of a strong
short-wave trough. While this feature will not advance inland until
later in the day2 period, high-level diffluent flow will support
frontal convection. Although the majority of convection should be
focused along the boundary offshore, latest guidance suggests the
wind shift will approach the northern CA coast by 12z. Forecast
soundings exhibit weak, elevated MUCAPE ahead of the boundary, and
around 100 J/kg SBCAPE near the actual cold front as profiles cool.
A few flashes of lightning may be noted with the stronger updrafts.
..Darrow/Lyons.. 12/13/2024
Read more
8 months ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1130 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024
Valid 131200Z - 141200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected.
...Central US...
Significant low-latitude energy currently extends across the
southwestern US, with a split-flow regime noted at 500mb.
Late-evening satellite imagery depicts a low-amplitude short-wave
trough ejecting northeast across northern Mexico, but a much
stronger feature approaching the Four Corners. This lead short wave
will encourage modified boundary-layer moisture to begin advancing
north across TX into the southern Plains early in the period. LLJ is
forecast to increase Friday night across eastern OK into the lower
MO Valley, as strong height falls spread into the central Plains.
Latest model guidance suggests gradual air mass destabilization will
occur within the warm-advection regime. Forecast soundings suggest
scattered convection should develop during the overnight hours when
elevated parcels become uninhibited by steepening lapse rates, and
weaker inhibition. Current thinking is this activity should prove
too weak to warrant any meaningful risk for severe hail.
...Northern California...
Short-wave ridging will dominate CA early in the period, then
substantial height falls will spread east ahead of a strong
short-wave trough. While this feature will not advance inland until
later in the day2 period, high-level diffluent flow will support
frontal convection. Although the majority of convection should be
focused along the boundary offshore, latest guidance suggests the
wind shift will approach the northern CA coast by 12z. Forecast
soundings exhibit weak, elevated MUCAPE ahead of the boundary, and
around 100 J/kg SBCAPE near the actual cold front as profiles cool.
A few flashes of lightning may be noted with the stronger updrafts.
..Darrow/Lyons.. 12/13/2024
Read more
8 months ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1130 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024
Valid 131200Z - 141200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected.
...Central US...
Significant low-latitude energy currently extends across the
southwestern US, with a split-flow regime noted at 500mb.
Late-evening satellite imagery depicts a low-amplitude short-wave
trough ejecting northeast across northern Mexico, but a much
stronger feature approaching the Four Corners. This lead short wave
will encourage modified boundary-layer moisture to begin advancing
north across TX into the southern Plains early in the period. LLJ is
forecast to increase Friday night across eastern OK into the lower
MO Valley, as strong height falls spread into the central Plains.
Latest model guidance suggests gradual air mass destabilization will
occur within the warm-advection regime. Forecast soundings suggest
scattered convection should develop during the overnight hours when
elevated parcels become uninhibited by steepening lapse rates, and
weaker inhibition. Current thinking is this activity should prove
too weak to warrant any meaningful risk for severe hail.
...Northern California...
Short-wave ridging will dominate CA early in the period, then
substantial height falls will spread east ahead of a strong
short-wave trough. While this feature will not advance inland until
later in the day2 period, high-level diffluent flow will support
frontal convection. Although the majority of convection should be
focused along the boundary offshore, latest guidance suggests the
wind shift will approach the northern CA coast by 12z. Forecast
soundings exhibit weak, elevated MUCAPE ahead of the boundary, and
around 100 J/kg SBCAPE near the actual cold front as profiles cool.
A few flashes of lightning may be noted with the stronger updrafts.
..Darrow/Lyons.. 12/13/2024
Read more
8 months ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1130 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024
Valid 131200Z - 141200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected.
...Central US...
Significant low-latitude energy currently extends across the
southwestern US, with a split-flow regime noted at 500mb.
Late-evening satellite imagery depicts a low-amplitude short-wave
trough ejecting northeast across northern Mexico, but a much
stronger feature approaching the Four Corners. This lead short wave
will encourage modified boundary-layer moisture to begin advancing
north across TX into the southern Plains early in the period. LLJ is
forecast to increase Friday night across eastern OK into the lower
MO Valley, as strong height falls spread into the central Plains.
Latest model guidance suggests gradual air mass destabilization will
occur within the warm-advection regime. Forecast soundings suggest
scattered convection should develop during the overnight hours when
elevated parcels become uninhibited by steepening lapse rates, and
weaker inhibition. Current thinking is this activity should prove
too weak to warrant any meaningful risk for severe hail.
...Northern California...
Short-wave ridging will dominate CA early in the period, then
substantial height falls will spread east ahead of a strong
short-wave trough. While this feature will not advance inland until
later in the day2 period, high-level diffluent flow will support
frontal convection. Although the majority of convection should be
focused along the boundary offshore, latest guidance suggests the
wind shift will approach the northern CA coast by 12z. Forecast
soundings exhibit weak, elevated MUCAPE ahead of the boundary, and
around 100 J/kg SBCAPE near the actual cold front as profiles cool.
A few flashes of lightning may be noted with the stronger updrafts.
..Darrow/Lyons.. 12/13/2024
Read more
8 months ago
MD 2265 CONCERNING HEAVY SNOW FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NY STATE AND LAKE ERIE COAST
Mesoscale Discussion 2265
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0752 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024
Areas affected...portions of western NY State and Lake Erie Coast
Concerning...Heavy snow
Valid 130152Z - 130545Z
SUMMARY...Heavy lake-effect snow is likely to continue for a few
more hours across parts of western NY downstream from lake Erie. The
heaviest snow rates ~ 2-3 in/hr are expected before 4z before the
band begins to weaken and shift south.
DISCUSSION...As of 0145Z, composite radar imagery shows a
well-developed band of heavy lake-effect snow ongoing across
portions of western NY downstream from Lake Erie. After slight
weakening earlier this afternoon, a notable uptick in reflectivity
and band organization has been noted this evening. The axis of
heaviest snow has shifted north with rates of 1-3 in/hr moving into
the southern suburbs of BUF. This should continue for a a few more
hours this evening as flow in the lowest 2-3 km remains
west/southwesterly as observed from the 00Z KBUF RAOB. Peak snowfall
rates of 2-3 in/hr are likely in the next 1-2 hours while low-level
flow is best aligned with the lake fetch and remains fairly strong.
Snowfall rates will begin to decrease later this evening and
overnight as the stronger westerly flow weakens with the departing
upper cyclone over the Canadian Maritimes. As this occurs, low-level
winds are also expected to veer to northwesterly, supporting a
southward shift in the band as it weakens. While lake-effect snow
showers are likely to continue through the overnight, snowfall rates
should decrease below 1 in/hr after 6-8z.
..Lyons.. 12/13/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...BUF...
LAT...LON 42887906 42977873 42967841 42857834 42767830 42457896
42347938 42327960 42327968 42657953 42887906
Read more
8 months ago
MD 2264 CONCERNING HEAVY SNOW FOR COASTAL LAKE ONTARIO INTO TUG HILL VICINITY OF NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK STATE
Mesoscale Discussion 2264
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0725 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024
Areas affected...coastal Lake Ontario into Tug Hill vicinity of
north central New York state
Concerning...Heavy snow
Valid 130125Z - 130530Z
SUMMARY...An ongoing band of snow is forecast to shift or redevelop
northward across portions of the Tug Hill, toward the Watertown
vicinity, during the next few hours. As this occurs, it appears
that peak snow rates will intensify, perhaps locally as high as 3-4
inches per hour by 10 PM to Midnight EST.
DISCUSSION...Although heights are now rising, as stronger height
falls begin to shift northeast of the Canadian Maritimes, deep
mid-level troughing lingers across the Great Lakes region through
much of the Northeast. In response to the progression of
smaller-scale perturbations within this regime, including one
notable impulse digging east-southeast of the upper Great Lakes,
low/mid-level wind fields are in the process of backing across the
lower Great Lakes region. Gradually, it appears this will include
the eastern Lake Ontario into Tug Hill vicinity, where mean winds in
the lowest 2-3 km AGL are forecast to transition from
west-southwesterly to a more prominent southwesterly component
through 03-05Z.
It appears that this will coincide with strengthening large-scale
ascent aided by at least a subtly moistening upslope component
across the Tug Hill vicinity, near/southeast of Watertown. In the
presence of subfreezing and saturating lower/mid-tropospheric
thermodynamic profiles, forecast soundings indicate that this lift
may become maximized for several hours within a layer near/above 850
mb, where temperatures are around -15 C and the environment is most
conducive to dendritic ice crystal growth. Based on various model
output, it appears that this will promote heavy snow rates in excess
of 1 inch per, with guidance from the Rapid Refresh suggesting
localized peak rates as high as 3-4 inches per hour.
..Kerr.. 12/13/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...BUF...
LAT...LON 43987612 44007559 43807540 43727581 43767603 43847621
43987612
Read more
8 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0628 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024
Valid 130100Z - 131200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
The probability of lightning is low across the CONUS tonight.
...01z Update...
Seasonally cold upper trough will shift east across the Great Lakes
into the northeastern US later tonight. Steep low-level lapse rates
will continue to support shallow convection across the bigger/warmer
bodies of water, especially downstream of Lake Ontario and Lake
Erie. While a flash of lightning can not be ruled out with this
activity, the prospect for thunderstorms is very low across most of
the CONUS.
..Darrow.. 12/13/2024
Read more
8 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0628 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024
Valid 130100Z - 131200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
The probability of lightning is low across the CONUS tonight.
...01z Update...
Seasonally cold upper trough will shift east across the Great Lakes
into the northeastern US later tonight. Steep low-level lapse rates
will continue to support shallow convection across the bigger/warmer
bodies of water, especially downstream of Lake Ontario and Lake
Erie. While a flash of lightning can not be ruled out with this
activity, the prospect for thunderstorms is very low across most of
the CONUS.
..Darrow.. 12/13/2024
Read more
8 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0628 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024
Valid 130100Z - 131200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
The probability of lightning is low across the CONUS tonight.
...01z Update...
Seasonally cold upper trough will shift east across the Great Lakes
into the northeastern US later tonight. Steep low-level lapse rates
will continue to support shallow convection across the bigger/warmer
bodies of water, especially downstream of Lake Ontario and Lake
Erie. While a flash of lightning can not be ruled out with this
activity, the prospect for thunderstorms is very low across most of
the CONUS.
..Darrow.. 12/13/2024
Read more
8 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0628 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024
Valid 130100Z - 131200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
The probability of lightning is low across the CONUS tonight.
...01z Update...
Seasonally cold upper trough will shift east across the Great Lakes
into the northeastern US later tonight. Steep low-level lapse rates
will continue to support shallow convection across the bigger/warmer
bodies of water, especially downstream of Lake Ontario and Lake
Erie. While a flash of lightning can not be ruled out with this
activity, the prospect for thunderstorms is very low across most of
the CONUS.
..Darrow.. 12/13/2024
Read more
8 months ago
No watches are valid as of Thu Dec 12 22:16:02 UTC 2024.
8 months ago
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Thu Dec 12 22:16:02 UTC 2024.
8 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0328 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024
Valid 141200Z - 201200Z
A progressive pattern brings several storms across the CONUS with
potential for cool temperatures and widespread precipitation. This
will keep fire concerns low across much of the CONUS. Periods of
dry/windy conditions are expected across the High/Southern Plains,
however, fuels do not appear supportive of large-fire potential at
this time. A few periods of Elevated conditions may be warranted
where freeze cured grasses may carry some potential for increased
fire activity. ERC forecasts do indicate fuels will dry,
particularly across western Texas into eastern New Mexico, but
largely remain below Critical thresholds.
..Thornton.. 12/12/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
8 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0328 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024
Valid 141200Z - 201200Z
A progressive pattern brings several storms across the CONUS with
potential for cool temperatures and widespread precipitation. This
will keep fire concerns low across much of the CONUS. Periods of
dry/windy conditions are expected across the High/Southern Plains,
however, fuels do not appear supportive of large-fire potential at
this time. A few periods of Elevated conditions may be warranted
where freeze cured grasses may carry some potential for increased
fire activity. ERC forecasts do indicate fuels will dry,
particularly across western Texas into eastern New Mexico, but
largely remain below Critical thresholds.
..Thornton.. 12/12/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
8 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0328 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024
Valid 141200Z - 201200Z
A progressive pattern brings several storms across the CONUS with
potential for cool temperatures and widespread precipitation. This
will keep fire concerns low across much of the CONUS. Periods of
dry/windy conditions are expected across the High/Southern Plains,
however, fuels do not appear supportive of large-fire potential at
this time. A few periods of Elevated conditions may be warranted
where freeze cured grasses may carry some potential for increased
fire activity. ERC forecasts do indicate fuels will dry,
particularly across western Texas into eastern New Mexico, but
largely remain below Critical thresholds.
..Thornton.. 12/12/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more
Checked
5 years 10 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
Subscribe to Severe Storms feed