Severe Storms

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0136 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Fire concerns are expected to be low today. In the wake of a large scale trough and frontal passage, a cool air mass is expected to be in place across much of the southern High Plains and southwestern US where the driest conditions are likely today. Height rises with building high pressure aloft will also keep winds generally light, outside of a few localized terrain influences. ..Thornton.. 02/16/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Lightning potential will remain minimal across the U.S. on Monday. ...Synopsis... Mainly zonal upper flow is expected east of the Rockies on Monday. Strong surface high pressure will stretch from the northern Rockies to the Southeast with a cold and stable boundary-layer precluding thunderstorm activity for much of the CONUS. An upper trough will begin to deepen over the western U.S., and a resulting surface low will deepen over the southern High Plains. This low will track east into central TX toward the end of the period, and southerly low-level flow over the western Gulf will allow modest boundary-layer moisture to return across the TX Coastal Plain. Warm temperatures aloft will keep the boundary-layer capped despite low-level warm advection, and little destabilization is forecast, precluding thunderstorm potential. ..Leitman.. 02/16/2025 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Lightning potential will remain minimal across the U.S. on Monday. ...Synopsis... Mainly zonal upper flow is expected east of the Rockies on Monday. Strong surface high pressure will stretch from the northern Rockies to the Southeast with a cold and stable boundary-layer precluding thunderstorm activity for much of the CONUS. An upper trough will begin to deepen over the western U.S., and a resulting surface low will deepen over the southern High Plains. This low will track east into central TX toward the end of the period, and southerly low-level flow over the western Gulf will allow modest boundary-layer moisture to return across the TX Coastal Plain. Warm temperatures aloft will keep the boundary-layer capped despite low-level warm advection, and little destabilization is forecast, precluding thunderstorm potential. ..Leitman.. 02/16/2025 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Lightning potential will remain minimal across the U.S. on Monday. ...Synopsis... Mainly zonal upper flow is expected east of the Rockies on Monday. Strong surface high pressure will stretch from the northern Rockies to the Southeast with a cold and stable boundary-layer precluding thunderstorm activity for much of the CONUS. An upper trough will begin to deepen over the western U.S., and a resulting surface low will deepen over the southern High Plains. This low will track east into central TX toward the end of the period, and southerly low-level flow over the western Gulf will allow modest boundary-layer moisture to return across the TX Coastal Plain. Warm temperatures aloft will keep the boundary-layer capped despite low-level warm advection, and little destabilization is forecast, precluding thunderstorm potential. ..Leitman.. 02/16/2025 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Lightning potential will remain minimal across the U.S. on Monday. ...Synopsis... Mainly zonal upper flow is expected east of the Rockies on Monday. Strong surface high pressure will stretch from the northern Rockies to the Southeast with a cold and stable boundary-layer precluding thunderstorm activity for much of the CONUS. An upper trough will begin to deepen over the western U.S., and a resulting surface low will deepen over the southern High Plains. This low will track east into central TX toward the end of the period, and southerly low-level flow over the western Gulf will allow modest boundary-layer moisture to return across the TX Coastal Plain. Warm temperatures aloft will keep the boundary-layer capped despite low-level warm advection, and little destabilization is forecast, precluding thunderstorm potential. ..Leitman.. 02/16/2025 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Lightning potential will remain minimal across the U.S. on Monday. ...Synopsis... Mainly zonal upper flow is expected east of the Rockies on Monday. Strong surface high pressure will stretch from the northern Rockies to the Southeast with a cold and stable boundary-layer precluding thunderstorm activity for much of the CONUS. An upper trough will begin to deepen over the western U.S., and a resulting surface low will deepen over the southern High Plains. This low will track east into central TX toward the end of the period, and southerly low-level flow over the western Gulf will allow modest boundary-layer moisture to return across the TX Coastal Plain. Warm temperatures aloft will keep the boundary-layer capped despite low-level warm advection, and little destabilization is forecast, precluding thunderstorm potential. ..Leitman.. 02/16/2025 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Lightning potential will remain minimal across the U.S. on Monday. ...Synopsis... Mainly zonal upper flow is expected east of the Rockies on Monday. Strong surface high pressure will stretch from the northern Rockies to the Southeast with a cold and stable boundary-layer precluding thunderstorm activity for much of the CONUS. An upper trough will begin to deepen over the western U.S., and a resulting surface low will deepen over the southern High Plains. This low will track east into central TX toward the end of the period, and southerly low-level flow over the western Gulf will allow modest boundary-layer moisture to return across the TX Coastal Plain. Warm temperatures aloft will keep the boundary-layer capped despite low-level warm advection, and little destabilization is forecast, precluding thunderstorm potential. ..Leitman.. 02/16/2025 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Lightning potential will remain minimal across the U.S. on Monday. ...Synopsis... Mainly zonal upper flow is expected east of the Rockies on Monday. Strong surface high pressure will stretch from the northern Rockies to the Southeast with a cold and stable boundary-layer precluding thunderstorm activity for much of the CONUS. An upper trough will begin to deepen over the western U.S., and a resulting surface low will deepen over the southern High Plains. This low will track east into central TX toward the end of the period, and southerly low-level flow over the western Gulf will allow modest boundary-layer moisture to return across the TX Coastal Plain. Warm temperatures aloft will keep the boundary-layer capped despite low-level warm advection, and little destabilization is forecast, precluding thunderstorm potential. ..Leitman.. 02/16/2025 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Lightning potential will remain minimal across the U.S. on Monday. ...Synopsis... Mainly zonal upper flow is expected east of the Rockies on Monday. Strong surface high pressure will stretch from the northern Rockies to the Southeast with a cold and stable boundary-layer precluding thunderstorm activity for much of the CONUS. An upper trough will begin to deepen over the western U.S., and a resulting surface low will deepen over the southern High Plains. This low will track east into central TX toward the end of the period, and southerly low-level flow over the western Gulf will allow modest boundary-layer moisture to return across the TX Coastal Plain. Warm temperatures aloft will keep the boundary-layer capped despite low-level warm advection, and little destabilization is forecast, precluding thunderstorm potential. ..Leitman.. 02/16/2025 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Lightning potential will remain minimal across the U.S. on Monday. ...Synopsis... Mainly zonal upper flow is expected east of the Rockies on Monday. Strong surface high pressure will stretch from the northern Rockies to the Southeast with a cold and stable boundary-layer precluding thunderstorm activity for much of the CONUS. An upper trough will begin to deepen over the western U.S., and a resulting surface low will deepen over the southern High Plains. This low will track east into central TX toward the end of the period, and southerly low-level flow over the western Gulf will allow modest boundary-layer moisture to return across the TX Coastal Plain. Warm temperatures aloft will keep the boundary-layer capped despite low-level warm advection, and little destabilization is forecast, precluding thunderstorm potential. ..Leitman.. 02/16/2025 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Lightning potential will remain minimal across the U.S. on Monday. ...Synopsis... Mainly zonal upper flow is expected east of the Rockies on Monday. Strong surface high pressure will stretch from the northern Rockies to the Southeast with a cold and stable boundary-layer precluding thunderstorm activity for much of the CONUS. An upper trough will begin to deepen over the western U.S., and a resulting surface low will deepen over the southern High Plains. This low will track east into central TX toward the end of the period, and southerly low-level flow over the western Gulf will allow modest boundary-layer moisture to return across the TX Coastal Plain. Warm temperatures aloft will keep the boundary-layer capped despite low-level warm advection, and little destabilization is forecast, precluding thunderstorm potential. ..Leitman.. 02/16/2025 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Lightning potential will remain minimal across the U.S. on Monday. ...Synopsis... Mainly zonal upper flow is expected east of the Rockies on Monday. Strong surface high pressure will stretch from the northern Rockies to the Southeast with a cold and stable boundary-layer precluding thunderstorm activity for much of the CONUS. An upper trough will begin to deepen over the western U.S., and a resulting surface low will deepen over the southern High Plains. This low will track east into central TX toward the end of the period, and southerly low-level flow over the western Gulf will allow modest boundary-layer moisture to return across the TX Coastal Plain. Warm temperatures aloft will keep the boundary-layer capped despite low-level warm advection, and little destabilization is forecast, precluding thunderstorm potential. ..Leitman.. 02/16/2025 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Lightning potential will remain minimal across the U.S. on Monday. ...Synopsis... Mainly zonal upper flow is expected east of the Rockies on Monday. Strong surface high pressure will stretch from the northern Rockies to the Southeast with a cold and stable boundary-layer precluding thunderstorm activity for much of the CONUS. An upper trough will begin to deepen over the western U.S., and a resulting surface low will deepen over the southern High Plains. This low will track east into central TX toward the end of the period, and southerly low-level flow over the western Gulf will allow modest boundary-layer moisture to return across the TX Coastal Plain. Warm temperatures aloft will keep the boundary-layer capped despite low-level warm advection, and little destabilization is forecast, precluding thunderstorm potential. ..Leitman.. 02/16/2025 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Lightning potential will remain minimal across the U.S. on Monday. ...Synopsis... Mainly zonal upper flow is expected east of the Rockies on Monday. Strong surface high pressure will stretch from the northern Rockies to the Southeast with a cold and stable boundary-layer precluding thunderstorm activity for much of the CONUS. An upper trough will begin to deepen over the western U.S., and a resulting surface low will deepen over the southern High Plains. This low will track east into central TX toward the end of the period, and southerly low-level flow over the western Gulf will allow modest boundary-layer moisture to return across the TX Coastal Plain. Warm temperatures aloft will keep the boundary-layer capped despite low-level warm advection, and little destabilization is forecast, precluding thunderstorm potential. ..Leitman.. 02/16/2025 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Lightning potential will remain minimal across the U.S. on Monday. ...Synopsis... Mainly zonal upper flow is expected east of the Rockies on Monday. Strong surface high pressure will stretch from the northern Rockies to the Southeast with a cold and stable boundary-layer precluding thunderstorm activity for much of the CONUS. An upper trough will begin to deepen over the western U.S., and a resulting surface low will deepen over the southern High Plains. This low will track east into central TX toward the end of the period, and southerly low-level flow over the western Gulf will allow modest boundary-layer moisture to return across the TX Coastal Plain. Warm temperatures aloft will keep the boundary-layer capped despite low-level warm advection, and little destabilization is forecast, precluding thunderstorm potential. ..Leitman.. 02/16/2025 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Lightning potential will remain minimal across the U.S. on Monday. ...Synopsis... Mainly zonal upper flow is expected east of the Rockies on Monday. Strong surface high pressure will stretch from the northern Rockies to the Southeast with a cold and stable boundary-layer precluding thunderstorm activity for much of the CONUS. An upper trough will begin to deepen over the western U.S., and a resulting surface low will deepen over the southern High Plains. This low will track east into central TX toward the end of the period, and southerly low-level flow over the western Gulf will allow modest boundary-layer moisture to return across the TX Coastal Plain. Warm temperatures aloft will keep the boundary-layer capped despite low-level warm advection, and little destabilization is forecast, precluding thunderstorm potential. ..Leitman.. 02/16/2025 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Lightning potential will remain minimal across the U.S. on Monday. ...Synopsis... Mainly zonal upper flow is expected east of the Rockies on Monday. Strong surface high pressure will stretch from the northern Rockies to the Southeast with a cold and stable boundary-layer precluding thunderstorm activity for much of the CONUS. An upper trough will begin to deepen over the western U.S., and a resulting surface low will deepen over the southern High Plains. This low will track east into central TX toward the end of the period, and southerly low-level flow over the western Gulf will allow modest boundary-layer moisture to return across the TX Coastal Plain. Warm temperatures aloft will keep the boundary-layer capped despite low-level warm advection, and little destabilization is forecast, precluding thunderstorm potential. ..Leitman.. 02/16/2025 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Lightning potential will remain minimal across the U.S. on Monday. ...Synopsis... Mainly zonal upper flow is expected east of the Rockies on Monday. Strong surface high pressure will stretch from the northern Rockies to the Southeast with a cold and stable boundary-layer precluding thunderstorm activity for much of the CONUS. An upper trough will begin to deepen over the western U.S., and a resulting surface low will deepen over the southern High Plains. This low will track east into central TX toward the end of the period, and southerly low-level flow over the western Gulf will allow modest boundary-layer moisture to return across the TX Coastal Plain. Warm temperatures aloft will keep the boundary-layer capped despite low-level warm advection, and little destabilization is forecast, precluding thunderstorm potential. ..Leitman.. 02/16/2025 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Lightning potential will remain minimal across the U.S. on Monday. ...Synopsis... Mainly zonal upper flow is expected east of the Rockies on Monday. Strong surface high pressure will stretch from the northern Rockies to the Southeast with a cold and stable boundary-layer precluding thunderstorm activity for much of the CONUS. An upper trough will begin to deepen over the western U.S., and a resulting surface low will deepen over the southern High Plains. This low will track east into central TX toward the end of the period, and southerly low-level flow over the western Gulf will allow modest boundary-layer moisture to return across the TX Coastal Plain. Warm temperatures aloft will keep the boundary-layer capped despite low-level warm advection, and little destabilization is forecast, precluding thunderstorm potential. ..Leitman.. 02/16/2025 Read more

SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 AM CST Sun Feb 16 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Lightning potential will remain minimal across the U.S. on Monday. ...Synopsis... Mainly zonal upper flow is expected east of the Rockies on Monday. Strong surface high pressure will stretch from the northern Rockies to the Southeast with a cold and stable boundary-layer precluding thunderstorm activity for much of the CONUS. An upper trough will begin to deepen over the western U.S., and a resulting surface low will deepen over the southern High Plains. This low will track east into central TX toward the end of the period, and southerly low-level flow over the western Gulf will allow modest boundary-layer moisture to return across the TX Coastal Plain. Warm temperatures aloft will keep the boundary-layer capped despite low-level warm advection, and little destabilization is forecast, precluding thunderstorm potential. ..Leitman.. 02/16/2025 Read more