Severe Storms

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 03/30/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025/ ...Synopsis... Preceding an amplified large-scale trough over the western CONUS, midlevel westerly flow will strengthen across the southern/central Rockies -- promoting lee troughing over the High Plains. A modest pressure gradient along the southern periphery of the lee trough and boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft will yield dry/breezy conditions across much of NM into southeast CO during the afternoon. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 03/30/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025/ ...Synopsis... Preceding an amplified large-scale trough over the western CONUS, midlevel westerly flow will strengthen across the southern/central Rockies -- promoting lee troughing over the High Plains. A modest pressure gradient along the southern periphery of the lee trough and boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft will yield dry/breezy conditions across much of NM into southeast CO during the afternoon. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 03/30/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025/ ...Synopsis... Preceding an amplified large-scale trough over the western CONUS, midlevel westerly flow will strengthen across the southern/central Rockies -- promoting lee troughing over the High Plains. A modest pressure gradient along the southern periphery of the lee trough and boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft will yield dry/breezy conditions across much of NM into southeast CO during the afternoon. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 03/30/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025/ ...Synopsis... Preceding an amplified large-scale trough over the western CONUS, midlevel westerly flow will strengthen across the southern/central Rockies -- promoting lee troughing over the High Plains. A modest pressure gradient along the southern periphery of the lee trough and boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft will yield dry/breezy conditions across much of NM into southeast CO during the afternoon. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 03/30/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025/ ...Synopsis... Preceding an amplified large-scale trough over the western CONUS, midlevel westerly flow will strengthen across the southern/central Rockies -- promoting lee troughing over the High Plains. A modest pressure gradient along the southern periphery of the lee trough and boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft will yield dry/breezy conditions across much of NM into southeast CO during the afternoon. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 03/30/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025/ ...Synopsis... Preceding an amplified large-scale trough over the western CONUS, midlevel westerly flow will strengthen across the southern/central Rockies -- promoting lee troughing over the High Plains. A modest pressure gradient along the southern periphery of the lee trough and boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft will yield dry/breezy conditions across much of NM into southeast CO during the afternoon. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 03/30/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025/ ...Synopsis... Preceding an amplified large-scale trough over the western CONUS, midlevel westerly flow will strengthen across the southern/central Rockies -- promoting lee troughing over the High Plains. A modest pressure gradient along the southern periphery of the lee trough and boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft will yield dry/breezy conditions across much of NM into southeast CO during the afternoon. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 03/30/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025/ ...Synopsis... Preceding an amplified large-scale trough over the western CONUS, midlevel westerly flow will strengthen across the southern/central Rockies -- promoting lee troughing over the High Plains. A modest pressure gradient along the southern periphery of the lee trough and boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft will yield dry/breezy conditions across much of NM into southeast CO during the afternoon. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 03/30/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025/ ...Synopsis... Preceding an amplified large-scale trough over the western CONUS, midlevel westerly flow will strengthen across the southern/central Rockies -- promoting lee troughing over the High Plains. A modest pressure gradient along the southern periphery of the lee trough and boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft will yield dry/breezy conditions across much of NM into southeast CO during the afternoon. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 03/30/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025/ ...Synopsis... Preceding an amplified large-scale trough over the western CONUS, midlevel westerly flow will strengthen across the southern/central Rockies -- promoting lee troughing over the High Plains. A modest pressure gradient along the southern periphery of the lee trough and boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft will yield dry/breezy conditions across much of NM into southeast CO during the afternoon. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 03/30/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025/ ...Synopsis... Preceding an amplified large-scale trough over the western CONUS, midlevel westerly flow will strengthen across the southern/central Rockies -- promoting lee troughing over the High Plains. A modest pressure gradient along the southern periphery of the lee trough and boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft will yield dry/breezy conditions across much of NM into southeast CO during the afternoon. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 03/30/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025/ ...Synopsis... Preceding an amplified large-scale trough over the western CONUS, midlevel westerly flow will strengthen across the southern/central Rockies -- promoting lee troughing over the High Plains. A modest pressure gradient along the southern periphery of the lee trough and boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft will yield dry/breezy conditions across much of NM into southeast CO during the afternoon. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 03/30/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025/ ...Synopsis... Preceding an amplified large-scale trough over the western CONUS, midlevel westerly flow will strengthen across the southern/central Rockies -- promoting lee troughing over the High Plains. A modest pressure gradient along the southern periphery of the lee trough and boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft will yield dry/breezy conditions across much of NM into southeast CO during the afternoon. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 03/30/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025/ ...Synopsis... Preceding an amplified large-scale trough over the western CONUS, midlevel westerly flow will strengthen across the southern/central Rockies -- promoting lee troughing over the High Plains. A modest pressure gradient along the southern periphery of the lee trough and boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft will yield dry/breezy conditions across much of NM into southeast CO during the afternoon. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0151 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 03/30/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025/ ...Synopsis... Preceding an amplified large-scale trough over the western CONUS, midlevel westerly flow will strengthen across the southern/central Rockies -- promoting lee troughing over the High Plains. A modest pressure gradient along the southern periphery of the lee trough and boundary-layer mixing into the enhanced flow aloft will yield dry/breezy conditions across much of NM into southeast CO during the afternoon. As a result, elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0070 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 70 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..WENDT..03/30/25 ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...PAH...IND... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 70 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC005-019-021-023-025-027-029-033-035-041-045-047-049-051-055- 059-065-077-079-081-101-115-121-135-139-145-147-157-159-165-173- 183-185-189-191-193-199-301940- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOND CHAMPAIGN CHRISTIAN CLARK CLAY CLINTON COLES CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND DOUGLAS EDGAR EDWARDS EFFINGHAM FAYETTE FRANKLIN GALLATIN HAMILTON JACKSON JASPER JEFFERSON LAWRENCE MACON MARION MONTGOMERY MOULTRIE PERRY PIATT RANDOLPH RICHLAND SALINE SHELBY VERMILION WABASH WASHINGTON WAYNE WHITE WILLIAMSON INC005-011-013-015-021-023-027-035-045-051-055-057-059-063-065- 067-081-083-093-095-097-101-105-107-109-119-121-125-129-133-135- 139-145-147-153-157-159-163-165-167-171-173-301940- Read more

WW 0070 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 70 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..WENDT..03/30/25 ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...PAH...IND... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 70 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC005-019-021-023-025-027-029-033-035-041-045-047-049-051-055- 059-065-077-079-081-101-115-121-135-139-145-147-157-159-165-173- 183-185-189-191-193-199-301940- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOND CHAMPAIGN CHRISTIAN CLARK CLAY CLINTON COLES CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND DOUGLAS EDGAR EDWARDS EFFINGHAM FAYETTE FRANKLIN GALLATIN HAMILTON JACKSON JASPER JEFFERSON LAWRENCE MACON MARION MONTGOMERY MOULTRIE PERRY PIATT RANDOLPH RICHLAND SALINE SHELBY VERMILION WABASH WASHINGTON WAYNE WHITE WILLIAMSON INC005-011-013-015-021-023-027-035-045-051-055-057-059-063-065- 067-081-083-093-095-097-101-105-107-109-119-121-125-129-133-135- 139-145-147-153-157-159-163-165-167-171-173-301940- Read more

WW 0071 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 71 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..WENDT..03/30/25 ATTN...WFO...LOT...IWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 71 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC031-043-053-063-075-089-091-093-105-197-301940- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COOK DUPAGE FORD GRUNDY IROQUOIS KANE KANKAKEE KENDALL LIVINGSTON WILL INC001-003-007-009-017-033-039-049-053-069-073-075-085-087-089- 091-099-103-111-113-127-131-141-149-151-169-179-181-183- 301940- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ALLEN BENTON BLACKFORD CASS DE KALB ELKHART FULTON GRANT HUNTINGTON JASPER JAY KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE LAKE LA PORTE MARSHALL MIAMI NEWTON NOBLE PORTER PULASKI ST. JOSEPH STARKE Read more

WW 0071 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 71 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..WENDT..03/30/25 ATTN...WFO...LOT...IWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 71 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC031-043-053-063-075-089-091-093-105-197-301940- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COOK DUPAGE FORD GRUNDY IROQUOIS KANE KANKAKEE KENDALL LIVINGSTON WILL INC001-003-007-009-017-033-039-049-053-069-073-075-085-087-089- 091-099-103-111-113-127-131-141-149-151-169-179-181-183- 301940- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ALLEN BENTON BLACKFORD CASS DE KALB ELKHART FULTON GRANT HUNTINGTON JASPER JAY KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE LAKE LA PORTE MARSHALL MIAMI NEWTON NOBLE PORTER PULASKI ST. JOSEPH STARKE Read more

MD 0296 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR EAST-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
Mesoscale Discussion 0296 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1104 AM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Areas affected...East-central/southeast Missouri...southern Illinois Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 301604Z - 301800Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...A watch will likely be needed, particularly for areas near and east of the Mississippi River. All severe hazards are possible with a mix of linear segments and supercells. DISCUSSION...A prominent shortwave trough is evident on water vapor imagery in central Missouri. Tied to this feature, weak convection has been slowly deepening in parts of eastern Missouri as it moves northeastward. Downstream of this, temperatures in southern/central Illinois have risen into the low 70s F given the more broken cloud cover. The general consensus of short-term CAM guidance is that convection will strengthen in the vicinity of the Mississippi River. This seems reasonable given current environmental trends. That being said, the need for a watch in the short term is not entirely certain. Potential for a watch in the next couple of hours, particularly for portions of southern Illinois, are higher than points to the west. Storm mode is expected to be a mix of linear segments, especially with northward extent, and some supercells (more likely towards the Ohio Valley). Steep mid-level lapse rates will support large to very-large hail with initial or sustained supercells. Fast moving storms and enhanced low-level flow will promote swaths of wind damage. The tornado threat is somewhat less clear, but will be maximized with any discrete storms. Line-embedded circulations/QLCS tornadoes are also possible given sufficient low-level hodograph curvature. A strong tornado or two could occur. A watch will likely be needed by early afternoon. Exact timing is not clear and some locations west of the River may not destabilize enough in the short term for an organized severe threat. ..Wendt/Smith.. 03/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...LSX...SGF... LAT...LON 37079078 37259107 37579124 38099134 38649120 39069083 39749035 40118977 40188936 40118870 39698827 38438813 37738856 37128987 37079078 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more