Severe Storms

WW 0006 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 6 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW MSY TO 30 ESE TCL. ..WEINMAN..02/13/25 ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 6 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-023-025-035-047-053-091-097-099-129-131-130340- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN CHOCTAW CLARKE CONECUH DALLAS ESCAMBIA MARENGO MOBILE MONROE WASHINGTON WILCOX MSC035-039-041-067-073-111-131-153-130340- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FORREST GEORGE GREENE JONES LAMAR PERRY STONE WAYNE GMZ630-631-632-130340- CW Read more

WW 0006 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 6 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW MSY TO 30 ESE TCL. ..WEINMAN..02/13/25 ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 6 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-023-025-035-047-053-091-097-099-129-131-130340- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN CHOCTAW CLARKE CONECUH DALLAS ESCAMBIA MARENGO MOBILE MONROE WASHINGTON WILCOX MSC035-039-041-067-073-111-131-153-130340- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FORREST GEORGE GREENE JONES LAMAR PERRY STONE WAYNE GMZ630-631-632-130340- CW Read more

WW 0006 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 6 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW MSY TO 30 ESE TCL. ..WEINMAN..02/13/25 ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 6 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-023-025-035-047-053-091-097-099-129-131-130340- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN CHOCTAW CLARKE CONECUH DALLAS ESCAMBIA MARENGO MOBILE MONROE WASHINGTON WILCOX MSC035-039-041-067-073-111-131-153-130340- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FORREST GEORGE GREENE JONES LAMAR PERRY STONE WAYNE GMZ630-631-632-130340- CW Read more

WW 0006 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 6 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW MSY TO 30 ESE TCL. ..WEINMAN..02/13/25 ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 6 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-023-025-035-047-053-091-097-099-129-131-130340- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN CHOCTAW CLARKE CONECUH DALLAS ESCAMBIA MARENGO MOBILE MONROE WASHINGTON WILCOX MSC035-039-041-067-073-111-131-153-130340- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FORREST GEORGE GREENE JONES LAMAR PERRY STONE WAYNE GMZ630-631-632-130340- CW Read more

WW 6 TORNADO AL LA MS CW 121930Z - 130400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 6 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 130 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southwest Alabama Eastern Louisiana Southern and South-Central Mississippi Coastal Waters * Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 130 PM until 1000 PM CST. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible SUMMARY...Conditions favorable for rotating storms capable of tornadoes and damaging winds will increasingly expand north-northeastward across the region through the afternoon and early evening. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles north northwest of Mc Comb MS to 90 miles northeast of Mobile AL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 5... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 22035. ...Guyer Read more

MD 0091 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 6... FOR SOUTHERN AL AND SOUTHEAST MS
Mesoscale Discussion 0091 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0645 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Areas affected...southern AL and southeast MS Concerning...Tornado Watch 6... Valid 130045Z - 130215Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 6 continues. SUMMARY...Strong tornado potential should persist along the surface warm front, expanding east of Tornado Watch 6 into an initially confined portion of southeast Alabama. DISCUSSION...A recently intense supercell from Washington to Clarke County, AL produced a potentially strong tornado near the wavy surface warm front. This boundary arcs more east-northeast ahead of this cell through Wilcox to southern Montgomery County, then pivots southeast into Barbour County per latest surface observations. 00Z LIX sounding sampled a rather favorable supercell environment, amply buoyant with strong deep-layer shear. Enhanced vorticity along the slow-moving front will be most favorable for strong tornado potential into late evening. With neutral mid-level height change through the evening, the number of additional warm-sector supercells may be limited. The northern portion of the tornado threat will wane quickly where surface dew points hold below 65-66 F. ..Grams.. 02/13/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN... LAT...LON 32558718 32638620 32548570 32338555 32008560 31758583 31628630 31548704 31468773 31298854 31208896 31198960 31498960 31818914 32198846 32558718 Read more

WW 0006 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 6 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSW MCB TO 25 SW MEI TO 20 S TCL. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0091 ..WEINMAN..02/13/25 ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 6 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-023-025-035-047-053-091-097-099-119-129-131-130240- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN CHOCTAW CLARKE CONECUH DALLAS ESCAMBIA MARENGO MOBILE MONROE SUMTER WASHINGTON WILCOX MSC023-031-035-039-041-061-065-067-073-091-111-131-153-130240- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARKE COVINGTON FORREST GEORGE GREENE JASPER JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES LAMAR MARION PERRY STONE WAYNE Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0700 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 130100Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI INTO SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF ALABAMA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are forecast through late tonight from southeast Louisiana through Alabama into western Georgia. The primary hazard will be the potential for a couple of strong tornadoes this evening into late tonight. ...Central Gulf Coast states into GA... Early evening surface analysis places a slow northward-moving warm front over south-central AL. Only minor northward progress is expected through late tonight into east-central AL and adjacent parts of far western GA, which is in agreement with short-term model guidance. A very moist airmass over the northern Gulf of America and coastal plain (south of the warm front) will maintain a fetch of weakly to moderately buoyant air for thunderstorm activity through tonight in the warm sector. The Slidell, LA 00 UTC raob showed 1700 J/kg MLCAPE whereas only 500 J/kg MUCAPE was sampled atop a cool/stable layer at Birmingham, AL. The main severe risk will continue to be supercells capable of tornadoes (possibly strong due to enlarged hodographs) across the Enhanced Risk area and shifting west to east through this evening into the overnight. Damaging gusts will also focus with any bowing line segments or embedded supercells that get engulfed in the eastward shifting band. Farther north, the airmass due to the residual wedge front over northern GA/north-central AL will be slow to modify. As a result, have annotated a small southward shift of tornado/wind probabilities and associated the categorical outlook. ..Smith.. 02/13/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0700 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 130100Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI INTO SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF ALABAMA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are forecast through late tonight from southeast Louisiana through Alabama into western Georgia. The primary hazard will be the potential for a couple of strong tornadoes this evening into late tonight. ...Central Gulf Coast states into GA... Early evening surface analysis places a slow northward-moving warm front over south-central AL. Only minor northward progress is expected through late tonight into east-central AL and adjacent parts of far western GA, which is in agreement with short-term model guidance. A very moist airmass over the northern Gulf of America and coastal plain (south of the warm front) will maintain a fetch of weakly to moderately buoyant air for thunderstorm activity through tonight in the warm sector. The Slidell, LA 00 UTC raob showed 1700 J/kg MLCAPE whereas only 500 J/kg MUCAPE was sampled atop a cool/stable layer at Birmingham, AL. The main severe risk will continue to be supercells capable of tornadoes (possibly strong due to enlarged hodographs) across the Enhanced Risk area and shifting west to east through this evening into the overnight. Damaging gusts will also focus with any bowing line segments or embedded supercells that get engulfed in the eastward shifting band. Farther north, the airmass due to the residual wedge front over northern GA/north-central AL will be slow to modify. As a result, have annotated a small southward shift of tornado/wind probabilities and associated the categorical outlook. ..Smith.. 02/13/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0700 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 130100Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI INTO SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF ALABAMA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are forecast through late tonight from southeast Louisiana through Alabama into western Georgia. The primary hazard will be the potential for a couple of strong tornadoes this evening into late tonight. ...Central Gulf Coast states into GA... Early evening surface analysis places a slow northward-moving warm front over south-central AL. Only minor northward progress is expected through late tonight into east-central AL and adjacent parts of far western GA, which is in agreement with short-term model guidance. A very moist airmass over the northern Gulf of America and coastal plain (south of the warm front) will maintain a fetch of weakly to moderately buoyant air for thunderstorm activity through tonight in the warm sector. The Slidell, LA 00 UTC raob showed 1700 J/kg MLCAPE whereas only 500 J/kg MUCAPE was sampled atop a cool/stable layer at Birmingham, AL. The main severe risk will continue to be supercells capable of tornadoes (possibly strong due to enlarged hodographs) across the Enhanced Risk area and shifting west to east through this evening into the overnight. Damaging gusts will also focus with any bowing line segments or embedded supercells that get engulfed in the eastward shifting band. Farther north, the airmass due to the residual wedge front over northern GA/north-central AL will be slow to modify. As a result, have annotated a small southward shift of tornado/wind probabilities and associated the categorical outlook. ..Smith.. 02/13/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0700 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 130100Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI INTO SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF ALABAMA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are forecast through late tonight from southeast Louisiana through Alabama into western Georgia. The primary hazard will be the potential for a couple of strong tornadoes this evening into late tonight. ...Central Gulf Coast states into GA... Early evening surface analysis places a slow northward-moving warm front over south-central AL. Only minor northward progress is expected through late tonight into east-central AL and adjacent parts of far western GA, which is in agreement with short-term model guidance. A very moist airmass over the northern Gulf of America and coastal plain (south of the warm front) will maintain a fetch of weakly to moderately buoyant air for thunderstorm activity through tonight in the warm sector. The Slidell, LA 00 UTC raob showed 1700 J/kg MLCAPE whereas only 500 J/kg MUCAPE was sampled atop a cool/stable layer at Birmingham, AL. The main severe risk will continue to be supercells capable of tornadoes (possibly strong due to enlarged hodographs) across the Enhanced Risk area and shifting west to east through this evening into the overnight. Damaging gusts will also focus with any bowing line segments or embedded supercells that get engulfed in the eastward shifting band. Farther north, the airmass due to the residual wedge front over northern GA/north-central AL will be slow to modify. As a result, have annotated a small southward shift of tornado/wind probabilities and associated the categorical outlook. ..Smith.. 02/13/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0700 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 130100Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI INTO SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF ALABAMA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are forecast through late tonight from southeast Louisiana through Alabama into western Georgia. The primary hazard will be the potential for a couple of strong tornadoes this evening into late tonight. ...Central Gulf Coast states into GA... Early evening surface analysis places a slow northward-moving warm front over south-central AL. Only minor northward progress is expected through late tonight into east-central AL and adjacent parts of far western GA, which is in agreement with short-term model guidance. A very moist airmass over the northern Gulf of America and coastal plain (south of the warm front) will maintain a fetch of weakly to moderately buoyant air for thunderstorm activity through tonight in the warm sector. The Slidell, LA 00 UTC raob showed 1700 J/kg MLCAPE whereas only 500 J/kg MUCAPE was sampled atop a cool/stable layer at Birmingham, AL. The main severe risk will continue to be supercells capable of tornadoes (possibly strong due to enlarged hodographs) across the Enhanced Risk area and shifting west to east through this evening into the overnight. Damaging gusts will also focus with any bowing line segments or embedded supercells that get engulfed in the eastward shifting band. Farther north, the airmass due to the residual wedge front over northern GA/north-central AL will be slow to modify. As a result, have annotated a small southward shift of tornado/wind probabilities and associated the categorical outlook. ..Smith.. 02/13/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0700 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 130100Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI INTO SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF ALABAMA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are forecast through late tonight from southeast Louisiana through Alabama into western Georgia. The primary hazard will be the potential for a couple of strong tornadoes this evening into late tonight. ...Central Gulf Coast states into GA... Early evening surface analysis places a slow northward-moving warm front over south-central AL. Only minor northward progress is expected through late tonight into east-central AL and adjacent parts of far western GA, which is in agreement with short-term model guidance. A very moist airmass over the northern Gulf of America and coastal plain (south of the warm front) will maintain a fetch of weakly to moderately buoyant air for thunderstorm activity through tonight in the warm sector. The Slidell, LA 00 UTC raob showed 1700 J/kg MLCAPE whereas only 500 J/kg MUCAPE was sampled atop a cool/stable layer at Birmingham, AL. The main severe risk will continue to be supercells capable of tornadoes (possibly strong due to enlarged hodographs) across the Enhanced Risk area and shifting west to east through this evening into the overnight. Damaging gusts will also focus with any bowing line segments or embedded supercells that get engulfed in the eastward shifting band. Farther north, the airmass due to the residual wedge front over northern GA/north-central AL will be slow to modify. As a result, have annotated a small southward shift of tornado/wind probabilities and associated the categorical outlook. ..Smith.. 02/13/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0700 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 130100Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI INTO SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF ALABAMA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are forecast through late tonight from southeast Louisiana through Alabama into western Georgia. The primary hazard will be the potential for a couple of strong tornadoes this evening into late tonight. ...Central Gulf Coast states into GA... Early evening surface analysis places a slow northward-moving warm front over south-central AL. Only minor northward progress is expected through late tonight into east-central AL and adjacent parts of far western GA, which is in agreement with short-term model guidance. A very moist airmass over the northern Gulf of America and coastal plain (south of the warm front) will maintain a fetch of weakly to moderately buoyant air for thunderstorm activity through tonight in the warm sector. The Slidell, LA 00 UTC raob showed 1700 J/kg MLCAPE whereas only 500 J/kg MUCAPE was sampled atop a cool/stable layer at Birmingham, AL. The main severe risk will continue to be supercells capable of tornadoes (possibly strong due to enlarged hodographs) across the Enhanced Risk area and shifting west to east through this evening into the overnight. Damaging gusts will also focus with any bowing line segments or embedded supercells that get engulfed in the eastward shifting band. Farther north, the airmass due to the residual wedge front over northern GA/north-central AL will be slow to modify. As a result, have annotated a small southward shift of tornado/wind probabilities and associated the categorical outlook. ..Smith.. 02/13/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0700 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 130100Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI INTO SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF ALABAMA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are forecast through late tonight from southeast Louisiana through Alabama into western Georgia. The primary hazard will be the potential for a couple of strong tornadoes this evening into late tonight. ...Central Gulf Coast states into GA... Early evening surface analysis places a slow northward-moving warm front over south-central AL. Only minor northward progress is expected through late tonight into east-central AL and adjacent parts of far western GA, which is in agreement with short-term model guidance. A very moist airmass over the northern Gulf of America and coastal plain (south of the warm front) will maintain a fetch of weakly to moderately buoyant air for thunderstorm activity through tonight in the warm sector. The Slidell, LA 00 UTC raob showed 1700 J/kg MLCAPE whereas only 500 J/kg MUCAPE was sampled atop a cool/stable layer at Birmingham, AL. The main severe risk will continue to be supercells capable of tornadoes (possibly strong due to enlarged hodographs) across the Enhanced Risk area and shifting west to east through this evening into the overnight. Damaging gusts will also focus with any bowing line segments or embedded supercells that get engulfed in the eastward shifting band. Farther north, the airmass due to the residual wedge front over northern GA/north-central AL will be slow to modify. As a result, have annotated a small southward shift of tornado/wind probabilities and associated the categorical outlook. ..Smith.. 02/13/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0700 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 130100Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI INTO SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF ALABAMA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are forecast through late tonight from southeast Louisiana through Alabama into western Georgia. The primary hazard will be the potential for a couple of strong tornadoes this evening into late tonight. ...Central Gulf Coast states into GA... Early evening surface analysis places a slow northward-moving warm front over south-central AL. Only minor northward progress is expected through late tonight into east-central AL and adjacent parts of far western GA, which is in agreement with short-term model guidance. A very moist airmass over the northern Gulf of America and coastal plain (south of the warm front) will maintain a fetch of weakly to moderately buoyant air for thunderstorm activity through tonight in the warm sector. The Slidell, LA 00 UTC raob showed 1700 J/kg MLCAPE whereas only 500 J/kg MUCAPE was sampled atop a cool/stable layer at Birmingham, AL. The main severe risk will continue to be supercells capable of tornadoes (possibly strong due to enlarged hodographs) across the Enhanced Risk area and shifting west to east through this evening into the overnight. Damaging gusts will also focus with any bowing line segments or embedded supercells that get engulfed in the eastward shifting band. Farther north, the airmass due to the residual wedge front over northern GA/north-central AL will be slow to modify. As a result, have annotated a small southward shift of tornado/wind probabilities and associated the categorical outlook. ..Smith.. 02/13/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0700 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 130100Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI INTO SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF ALABAMA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are forecast through late tonight from southeast Louisiana through Alabama into western Georgia. The primary hazard will be the potential for a couple of strong tornadoes this evening into late tonight. ...Central Gulf Coast states into GA... Early evening surface analysis places a slow northward-moving warm front over south-central AL. Only minor northward progress is expected through late tonight into east-central AL and adjacent parts of far western GA, which is in agreement with short-term model guidance. A very moist airmass over the northern Gulf of America and coastal plain (south of the warm front) will maintain a fetch of weakly to moderately buoyant air for thunderstorm activity through tonight in the warm sector. The Slidell, LA 00 UTC raob showed 1700 J/kg MLCAPE whereas only 500 J/kg MUCAPE was sampled atop a cool/stable layer at Birmingham, AL. The main severe risk will continue to be supercells capable of tornadoes (possibly strong due to enlarged hodographs) across the Enhanced Risk area and shifting west to east through this evening into the overnight. Damaging gusts will also focus with any bowing line segments or embedded supercells that get engulfed in the eastward shifting band. Farther north, the airmass due to the residual wedge front over northern GA/north-central AL will be slow to modify. As a result, have annotated a small southward shift of tornado/wind probabilities and associated the categorical outlook. ..Smith.. 02/13/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0700 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 130100Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI INTO SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF ALABAMA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are forecast through late tonight from southeast Louisiana through Alabama into western Georgia. The primary hazard will be the potential for a couple of strong tornadoes this evening into late tonight. ...Central Gulf Coast states into GA... Early evening surface analysis places a slow northward-moving warm front over south-central AL. Only minor northward progress is expected through late tonight into east-central AL and adjacent parts of far western GA, which is in agreement with short-term model guidance. A very moist airmass over the northern Gulf of America and coastal plain (south of the warm front) will maintain a fetch of weakly to moderately buoyant air for thunderstorm activity through tonight in the warm sector. The Slidell, LA 00 UTC raob showed 1700 J/kg MLCAPE whereas only 500 J/kg MUCAPE was sampled atop a cool/stable layer at Birmingham, AL. The main severe risk will continue to be supercells capable of tornadoes (possibly strong due to enlarged hodographs) across the Enhanced Risk area and shifting west to east through this evening into the overnight. Damaging gusts will also focus with any bowing line segments or embedded supercells that get engulfed in the eastward shifting band. Farther north, the airmass due to the residual wedge front over northern GA/north-central AL will be slow to modify. As a result, have annotated a small southward shift of tornado/wind probabilities and associated the categorical outlook. ..Smith.. 02/13/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0700 PM CST Wed Feb 12 2025 Valid 130100Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI INTO SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF ALABAMA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are forecast through late tonight from southeast Louisiana through Alabama into western Georgia. The primary hazard will be the potential for a couple of strong tornadoes this evening into late tonight. ...Central Gulf Coast states into GA... Early evening surface analysis places a slow northward-moving warm front over south-central AL. Only minor northward progress is expected through late tonight into east-central AL and adjacent parts of far western GA, which is in agreement with short-term model guidance. A very moist airmass over the northern Gulf of America and coastal plain (south of the warm front) will maintain a fetch of weakly to moderately buoyant air for thunderstorm activity through tonight in the warm sector. The Slidell, LA 00 UTC raob showed 1700 J/kg MLCAPE whereas only 500 J/kg MUCAPE was sampled atop a cool/stable layer at Birmingham, AL. The main severe risk will continue to be supercells capable of tornadoes (possibly strong due to enlarged hodographs) across the Enhanced Risk area and shifting west to east through this evening into the overnight. Damaging gusts will also focus with any bowing line segments or embedded supercells that get engulfed in the eastward shifting band. Farther north, the airmass due to the residual wedge front over northern GA/north-central AL will be slow to modify. As a result, have annotated a small southward shift of tornado/wind probabilities and associated the categorical outlook. ..Smith.. 02/13/2025 Read more

WW 0006 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 6 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W MCB TO 40 WNW PIB TO 40 S CBM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0090 ..WEINMAN..02/13/25 ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 6 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC003-023-025-035-047-053-091-097-099-119-129-131-130140- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALDWIN CHOCTAW CLARKE CONECUH DALLAS ESCAMBIA MARENGO MOBILE MONROE SUMTER WASHINGTON WILCOX MSC023-031-035-039-041-061-065-067-069-073-075-077-091-101-111- 129-131-153-130140- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARKE COVINGTON FORREST GEORGE GREENE JASPER JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE MARION NEWTON PERRY SMITH STONE WAYNE Read more