Severe Storms

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Dry thunderstorm chances were removed from the D2 Fire Weather Outlook with this update. Portions of central New Mexico into eastern Arizona will likely receive wetting rainfall on D1. Precipitable water values will remain near or just under 0.50" for D2, with slow storm motions forecast to continue. Additional wetting rainfall will be possible in this regime as scattered thunderstorms are expected. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will continue to be focused across the Southwest as isolated to scattered thunderstorms develop through late Saturday afternoon. Upper ridging is expected to spread across the High Plains through the day as an upper wave begins to approach the West Coast. Southerly low/mid-level flow ahead of the upper wave will help maintain a modestly moist air mass (characterized by 0.4 to 0.6 inch PWAT values) across the Southwest into the Great Basin. Increasing broad scale ascent, coupled with antecedent steep mid-level lapse rates, will promote isolated thunderstorms from central NM to central NV by late afternoon. Limited moisture throughout the column combined with deep boundary layers will act to limit precipitation amounts and support dry lightning strikes. While this potential is noted across a broad swath of the region, the fire weather threat will be greatest across eastern AZ into NM where fuel conditions are currently the driest per recent fuel and drought guidance. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Dry thunderstorm chances were removed from the D2 Fire Weather Outlook with this update. Portions of central New Mexico into eastern Arizona will likely receive wetting rainfall on D1. Precipitable water values will remain near or just under 0.50" for D2, with slow storm motions forecast to continue. Additional wetting rainfall will be possible in this regime as scattered thunderstorms are expected. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will continue to be focused across the Southwest as isolated to scattered thunderstorms develop through late Saturday afternoon. Upper ridging is expected to spread across the High Plains through the day as an upper wave begins to approach the West Coast. Southerly low/mid-level flow ahead of the upper wave will help maintain a modestly moist air mass (characterized by 0.4 to 0.6 inch PWAT values) across the Southwest into the Great Basin. Increasing broad scale ascent, coupled with antecedent steep mid-level lapse rates, will promote isolated thunderstorms from central NM to central NV by late afternoon. Limited moisture throughout the column combined with deep boundary layers will act to limit precipitation amounts and support dry lightning strikes. While this potential is noted across a broad swath of the region, the fire weather threat will be greatest across eastern AZ into NM where fuel conditions are currently the driest per recent fuel and drought guidance. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Dry thunderstorm chances were removed from the D2 Fire Weather Outlook with this update. Portions of central New Mexico into eastern Arizona will likely receive wetting rainfall on D1. Precipitable water values will remain near or just under 0.50" for D2, with slow storm motions forecast to continue. Additional wetting rainfall will be possible in this regime as scattered thunderstorms are expected. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will continue to be focused across the Southwest as isolated to scattered thunderstorms develop through late Saturday afternoon. Upper ridging is expected to spread across the High Plains through the day as an upper wave begins to approach the West Coast. Southerly low/mid-level flow ahead of the upper wave will help maintain a modestly moist air mass (characterized by 0.4 to 0.6 inch PWAT values) across the Southwest into the Great Basin. Increasing broad scale ascent, coupled with antecedent steep mid-level lapse rates, will promote isolated thunderstorms from central NM to central NV by late afternoon. Limited moisture throughout the column combined with deep boundary layers will act to limit precipitation amounts and support dry lightning strikes. While this potential is noted across a broad swath of the region, the fire weather threat will be greatest across eastern AZ into NM where fuel conditions are currently the driest per recent fuel and drought guidance. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Dry thunderstorm chances were removed from the D2 Fire Weather Outlook with this update. Portions of central New Mexico into eastern Arizona will likely receive wetting rainfall on D1. Precipitable water values will remain near or just under 0.50" for D2, with slow storm motions forecast to continue. Additional wetting rainfall will be possible in this regime as scattered thunderstorms are expected. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will continue to be focused across the Southwest as isolated to scattered thunderstorms develop through late Saturday afternoon. Upper ridging is expected to spread across the High Plains through the day as an upper wave begins to approach the West Coast. Southerly low/mid-level flow ahead of the upper wave will help maintain a modestly moist air mass (characterized by 0.4 to 0.6 inch PWAT values) across the Southwest into the Great Basin. Increasing broad scale ascent, coupled with antecedent steep mid-level lapse rates, will promote isolated thunderstorms from central NM to central NV by late afternoon. Limited moisture throughout the column combined with deep boundary layers will act to limit precipitation amounts and support dry lightning strikes. While this potential is noted across a broad swath of the region, the fire weather threat will be greatest across eastern AZ into NM where fuel conditions are currently the driest per recent fuel and drought guidance. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Dry thunderstorm chances were removed from the D2 Fire Weather Outlook with this update. Portions of central New Mexico into eastern Arizona will likely receive wetting rainfall on D1. Precipitable water values will remain near or just under 0.50" for D2, with slow storm motions forecast to continue. Additional wetting rainfall will be possible in this regime as scattered thunderstorms are expected. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will continue to be focused across the Southwest as isolated to scattered thunderstorms develop through late Saturday afternoon. Upper ridging is expected to spread across the High Plains through the day as an upper wave begins to approach the West Coast. Southerly low/mid-level flow ahead of the upper wave will help maintain a modestly moist air mass (characterized by 0.4 to 0.6 inch PWAT values) across the Southwest into the Great Basin. Increasing broad scale ascent, coupled with antecedent steep mid-level lapse rates, will promote isolated thunderstorms from central NM to central NV by late afternoon. Limited moisture throughout the column combined with deep boundary layers will act to limit precipitation amounts and support dry lightning strikes. While this potential is noted across a broad swath of the region, the fire weather threat will be greatest across eastern AZ into NM where fuel conditions are currently the driest per recent fuel and drought guidance. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Dry thunderstorm chances were removed from the D2 Fire Weather Outlook with this update. Portions of central New Mexico into eastern Arizona will likely receive wetting rainfall on D1. Precipitable water values will remain near or just under 0.50" for D2, with slow storm motions forecast to continue. Additional wetting rainfall will be possible in this regime as scattered thunderstorms are expected. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will continue to be focused across the Southwest as isolated to scattered thunderstorms develop through late Saturday afternoon. Upper ridging is expected to spread across the High Plains through the day as an upper wave begins to approach the West Coast. Southerly low/mid-level flow ahead of the upper wave will help maintain a modestly moist air mass (characterized by 0.4 to 0.6 inch PWAT values) across the Southwest into the Great Basin. Increasing broad scale ascent, coupled with antecedent steep mid-level lapse rates, will promote isolated thunderstorms from central NM to central NV by late afternoon. Limited moisture throughout the column combined with deep boundary layers will act to limit precipitation amounts and support dry lightning strikes. While this potential is noted across a broad swath of the region, the fire weather threat will be greatest across eastern AZ into NM where fuel conditions are currently the driest per recent fuel and drought guidance. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Dry thunderstorm chances were removed from the D2 Fire Weather Outlook with this update. Portions of central New Mexico into eastern Arizona will likely receive wetting rainfall on D1. Precipitable water values will remain near or just under 0.50" for D2, with slow storm motions forecast to continue. Additional wetting rainfall will be possible in this regime as scattered thunderstorms are expected. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will continue to be focused across the Southwest as isolated to scattered thunderstorms develop through late Saturday afternoon. Upper ridging is expected to spread across the High Plains through the day as an upper wave begins to approach the West Coast. Southerly low/mid-level flow ahead of the upper wave will help maintain a modestly moist air mass (characterized by 0.4 to 0.6 inch PWAT values) across the Southwest into the Great Basin. Increasing broad scale ascent, coupled with antecedent steep mid-level lapse rates, will promote isolated thunderstorms from central NM to central NV by late afternoon. Limited moisture throughout the column combined with deep boundary layers will act to limit precipitation amounts and support dry lightning strikes. While this potential is noted across a broad swath of the region, the fire weather threat will be greatest across eastern AZ into NM where fuel conditions are currently the driest per recent fuel and drought guidance. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Dry thunderstorm chances were removed from the D2 Fire Weather Outlook with this update. Portions of central New Mexico into eastern Arizona will likely receive wetting rainfall on D1. Precipitable water values will remain near or just under 0.50" for D2, with slow storm motions forecast to continue. Additional wetting rainfall will be possible in this regime as scattered thunderstorms are expected. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will continue to be focused across the Southwest as isolated to scattered thunderstorms develop through late Saturday afternoon. Upper ridging is expected to spread across the High Plains through the day as an upper wave begins to approach the West Coast. Southerly low/mid-level flow ahead of the upper wave will help maintain a modestly moist air mass (characterized by 0.4 to 0.6 inch PWAT values) across the Southwest into the Great Basin. Increasing broad scale ascent, coupled with antecedent steep mid-level lapse rates, will promote isolated thunderstorms from central NM to central NV by late afternoon. Limited moisture throughout the column combined with deep boundary layers will act to limit precipitation amounts and support dry lightning strikes. While this potential is noted across a broad swath of the region, the fire weather threat will be greatest across eastern AZ into NM where fuel conditions are currently the driest per recent fuel and drought guidance. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Dry thunderstorm chances were removed from the D2 Fire Weather Outlook with this update. Portions of central New Mexico into eastern Arizona will likely receive wetting rainfall on D1. Precipitable water values will remain near or just under 0.50" for D2, with slow storm motions forecast to continue. Additional wetting rainfall will be possible in this regime as scattered thunderstorms are expected. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will continue to be focused across the Southwest as isolated to scattered thunderstorms develop through late Saturday afternoon. Upper ridging is expected to spread across the High Plains through the day as an upper wave begins to approach the West Coast. Southerly low/mid-level flow ahead of the upper wave will help maintain a modestly moist air mass (characterized by 0.4 to 0.6 inch PWAT values) across the Southwest into the Great Basin. Increasing broad scale ascent, coupled with antecedent steep mid-level lapse rates, will promote isolated thunderstorms from central NM to central NV by late afternoon. Limited moisture throughout the column combined with deep boundary layers will act to limit precipitation amounts and support dry lightning strikes. While this potential is noted across a broad swath of the region, the fire weather threat will be greatest across eastern AZ into NM where fuel conditions are currently the driest per recent fuel and drought guidance. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Dry thunderstorm chances were removed from the D2 Fire Weather Outlook with this update. Portions of central New Mexico into eastern Arizona will likely receive wetting rainfall on D1. Precipitable water values will remain near or just under 0.50" for D2, with slow storm motions forecast to continue. Additional wetting rainfall will be possible in this regime as scattered thunderstorms are expected. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will continue to be focused across the Southwest as isolated to scattered thunderstorms develop through late Saturday afternoon. Upper ridging is expected to spread across the High Plains through the day as an upper wave begins to approach the West Coast. Southerly low/mid-level flow ahead of the upper wave will help maintain a modestly moist air mass (characterized by 0.4 to 0.6 inch PWAT values) across the Southwest into the Great Basin. Increasing broad scale ascent, coupled with antecedent steep mid-level lapse rates, will promote isolated thunderstorms from central NM to central NV by late afternoon. Limited moisture throughout the column combined with deep boundary layers will act to limit precipitation amounts and support dry lightning strikes. While this potential is noted across a broad swath of the region, the fire weather threat will be greatest across eastern AZ into NM where fuel conditions are currently the driest per recent fuel and drought guidance. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Dry thunderstorm chances were removed from the D2 Fire Weather Outlook with this update. Portions of central New Mexico into eastern Arizona will likely receive wetting rainfall on D1. Precipitable water values will remain near or just under 0.50" for D2, with slow storm motions forecast to continue. Additional wetting rainfall will be possible in this regime as scattered thunderstorms are expected. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will continue to be focused across the Southwest as isolated to scattered thunderstorms develop through late Saturday afternoon. Upper ridging is expected to spread across the High Plains through the day as an upper wave begins to approach the West Coast. Southerly low/mid-level flow ahead of the upper wave will help maintain a modestly moist air mass (characterized by 0.4 to 0.6 inch PWAT values) across the Southwest into the Great Basin. Increasing broad scale ascent, coupled with antecedent steep mid-level lapse rates, will promote isolated thunderstorms from central NM to central NV by late afternoon. Limited moisture throughout the column combined with deep boundary layers will act to limit precipitation amounts and support dry lightning strikes. While this potential is noted across a broad swath of the region, the fire weather threat will be greatest across eastern AZ into NM where fuel conditions are currently the driest per recent fuel and drought guidance. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Dry thunderstorm chances were removed from the D2 Fire Weather Outlook with this update. Portions of central New Mexico into eastern Arizona will likely receive wetting rainfall on D1. Precipitable water values will remain near or just under 0.50" for D2, with slow storm motions forecast to continue. Additional wetting rainfall will be possible in this regime as scattered thunderstorms are expected. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will continue to be focused across the Southwest as isolated to scattered thunderstorms develop through late Saturday afternoon. Upper ridging is expected to spread across the High Plains through the day as an upper wave begins to approach the West Coast. Southerly low/mid-level flow ahead of the upper wave will help maintain a modestly moist air mass (characterized by 0.4 to 0.6 inch PWAT values) across the Southwest into the Great Basin. Increasing broad scale ascent, coupled with antecedent steep mid-level lapse rates, will promote isolated thunderstorms from central NM to central NV by late afternoon. Limited moisture throughout the column combined with deep boundary layers will act to limit precipitation amounts and support dry lightning strikes. While this potential is noted across a broad swath of the region, the fire weather threat will be greatest across eastern AZ into NM where fuel conditions are currently the driest per recent fuel and drought guidance. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Dry thunderstorm chances were removed from the D2 Fire Weather Outlook with this update. Portions of central New Mexico into eastern Arizona will likely receive wetting rainfall on D1. Precipitable water values will remain near or just under 0.50" for D2, with slow storm motions forecast to continue. Additional wetting rainfall will be possible in this regime as scattered thunderstorms are expected. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will continue to be focused across the Southwest as isolated to scattered thunderstorms develop through late Saturday afternoon. Upper ridging is expected to spread across the High Plains through the day as an upper wave begins to approach the West Coast. Southerly low/mid-level flow ahead of the upper wave will help maintain a modestly moist air mass (characterized by 0.4 to 0.6 inch PWAT values) across the Southwest into the Great Basin. Increasing broad scale ascent, coupled with antecedent steep mid-level lapse rates, will promote isolated thunderstorms from central NM to central NV by late afternoon. Limited moisture throughout the column combined with deep boundary layers will act to limit precipitation amounts and support dry lightning strikes. While this potential is noted across a broad swath of the region, the fire weather threat will be greatest across eastern AZ into NM where fuel conditions are currently the driest per recent fuel and drought guidance. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Dry thunderstorm chances were removed from the D2 Fire Weather Outlook with this update. Portions of central New Mexico into eastern Arizona will likely receive wetting rainfall on D1. Precipitable water values will remain near or just under 0.50" for D2, with slow storm motions forecast to continue. Additional wetting rainfall will be possible in this regime as scattered thunderstorms are expected. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will continue to be focused across the Southwest as isolated to scattered thunderstorms develop through late Saturday afternoon. Upper ridging is expected to spread across the High Plains through the day as an upper wave begins to approach the West Coast. Southerly low/mid-level flow ahead of the upper wave will help maintain a modestly moist air mass (characterized by 0.4 to 0.6 inch PWAT values) across the Southwest into the Great Basin. Increasing broad scale ascent, coupled with antecedent steep mid-level lapse rates, will promote isolated thunderstorms from central NM to central NV by late afternoon. Limited moisture throughout the column combined with deep boundary layers will act to limit precipitation amounts and support dry lightning strikes. While this potential is noted across a broad swath of the region, the fire weather threat will be greatest across eastern AZ into NM where fuel conditions are currently the driest per recent fuel and drought guidance. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Dry thunderstorm chances were removed from the D2 Fire Weather Outlook with this update. Portions of central New Mexico into eastern Arizona will likely receive wetting rainfall on D1. Precipitable water values will remain near or just under 0.50" for D2, with slow storm motions forecast to continue. Additional wetting rainfall will be possible in this regime as scattered thunderstorms are expected. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will continue to be focused across the Southwest as isolated to scattered thunderstorms develop through late Saturday afternoon. Upper ridging is expected to spread across the High Plains through the day as an upper wave begins to approach the West Coast. Southerly low/mid-level flow ahead of the upper wave will help maintain a modestly moist air mass (characterized by 0.4 to 0.6 inch PWAT values) across the Southwest into the Great Basin. Increasing broad scale ascent, coupled with antecedent steep mid-level lapse rates, will promote isolated thunderstorms from central NM to central NV by late afternoon. Limited moisture throughout the column combined with deep boundary layers will act to limit precipitation amounts and support dry lightning strikes. While this potential is noted across a broad swath of the region, the fire weather threat will be greatest across eastern AZ into NM where fuel conditions are currently the driest per recent fuel and drought guidance. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Dry thunderstorm chances were removed from the D2 Fire Weather Outlook with this update. Portions of central New Mexico into eastern Arizona will likely receive wetting rainfall on D1. Precipitable water values will remain near or just under 0.50" for D2, with slow storm motions forecast to continue. Additional wetting rainfall will be possible in this regime as scattered thunderstorms are expected. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will continue to be focused across the Southwest as isolated to scattered thunderstorms develop through late Saturday afternoon. Upper ridging is expected to spread across the High Plains through the day as an upper wave begins to approach the West Coast. Southerly low/mid-level flow ahead of the upper wave will help maintain a modestly moist air mass (characterized by 0.4 to 0.6 inch PWAT values) across the Southwest into the Great Basin. Increasing broad scale ascent, coupled with antecedent steep mid-level lapse rates, will promote isolated thunderstorms from central NM to central NV by late afternoon. Limited moisture throughout the column combined with deep boundary layers will act to limit precipitation amounts and support dry lightning strikes. While this potential is noted across a broad swath of the region, the fire weather threat will be greatest across eastern AZ into NM where fuel conditions are currently the driest per recent fuel and drought guidance. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Dry thunderstorm chances were removed from the D2 Fire Weather Outlook with this update. Portions of central New Mexico into eastern Arizona will likely receive wetting rainfall on D1. Precipitable water values will remain near or just under 0.50" for D2, with slow storm motions forecast to continue. Additional wetting rainfall will be possible in this regime as scattered thunderstorms are expected. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will continue to be focused across the Southwest as isolated to scattered thunderstorms develop through late Saturday afternoon. Upper ridging is expected to spread across the High Plains through the day as an upper wave begins to approach the West Coast. Southerly low/mid-level flow ahead of the upper wave will help maintain a modestly moist air mass (characterized by 0.4 to 0.6 inch PWAT values) across the Southwest into the Great Basin. Increasing broad scale ascent, coupled with antecedent steep mid-level lapse rates, will promote isolated thunderstorms from central NM to central NV by late afternoon. Limited moisture throughout the column combined with deep boundary layers will act to limit precipitation amounts and support dry lightning strikes. While this potential is noted across a broad swath of the region, the fire weather threat will be greatest across eastern AZ into NM where fuel conditions are currently the driest per recent fuel and drought guidance. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Dry thunderstorm chances were removed from the D2 Fire Weather Outlook with this update. Portions of central New Mexico into eastern Arizona will likely receive wetting rainfall on D1. Precipitable water values will remain near or just under 0.50" for D2, with slow storm motions forecast to continue. Additional wetting rainfall will be possible in this regime as scattered thunderstorms are expected. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will continue to be focused across the Southwest as isolated to scattered thunderstorms develop through late Saturday afternoon. Upper ridging is expected to spread across the High Plains through the day as an upper wave begins to approach the West Coast. Southerly low/mid-level flow ahead of the upper wave will help maintain a modestly moist air mass (characterized by 0.4 to 0.6 inch PWAT values) across the Southwest into the Great Basin. Increasing broad scale ascent, coupled with antecedent steep mid-level lapse rates, will promote isolated thunderstorms from central NM to central NV by late afternoon. Limited moisture throughout the column combined with deep boundary layers will act to limit precipitation amounts and support dry lightning strikes. While this potential is noted across a broad swath of the region, the fire weather threat will be greatest across eastern AZ into NM where fuel conditions are currently the driest per recent fuel and drought guidance. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Dry thunderstorm chances were removed from the D2 Fire Weather Outlook with this update. Portions of central New Mexico into eastern Arizona will likely receive wetting rainfall on D1. Precipitable water values will remain near or just under 0.50" for D2, with slow storm motions forecast to continue. Additional wetting rainfall will be possible in this regime as scattered thunderstorms are expected. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will continue to be focused across the Southwest as isolated to scattered thunderstorms develop through late Saturday afternoon. Upper ridging is expected to spread across the High Plains through the day as an upper wave begins to approach the West Coast. Southerly low/mid-level flow ahead of the upper wave will help maintain a modestly moist air mass (characterized by 0.4 to 0.6 inch PWAT values) across the Southwest into the Great Basin. Increasing broad scale ascent, coupled with antecedent steep mid-level lapse rates, will promote isolated thunderstorms from central NM to central NV by late afternoon. Limited moisture throughout the column combined with deep boundary layers will act to limit precipitation amounts and support dry lightning strikes. While this potential is noted across a broad swath of the region, the fire weather threat will be greatest across eastern AZ into NM where fuel conditions are currently the driest per recent fuel and drought guidance. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Dry thunderstorm chances were removed from the D2 Fire Weather Outlook with this update. Portions of central New Mexico into eastern Arizona will likely receive wetting rainfall on D1. Precipitable water values will remain near or just under 0.50" for D2, with slow storm motions forecast to continue. Additional wetting rainfall will be possible in this regime as scattered thunderstorms are expected. ..Thornton.. 05/02/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0140 AM CDT Fri May 02 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will continue to be focused across the Southwest as isolated to scattered thunderstorms develop through late Saturday afternoon. Upper ridging is expected to spread across the High Plains through the day as an upper wave begins to approach the West Coast. Southerly low/mid-level flow ahead of the upper wave will help maintain a modestly moist air mass (characterized by 0.4 to 0.6 inch PWAT values) across the Southwest into the Great Basin. Increasing broad scale ascent, coupled with antecedent steep mid-level lapse rates, will promote isolated thunderstorms from central NM to central NV by late afternoon. Limited moisture throughout the column combined with deep boundary layers will act to limit precipitation amounts and support dry lightning strikes. While this potential is noted across a broad swath of the region, the fire weather threat will be greatest across eastern AZ into NM where fuel conditions are currently the driest per recent fuel and drought guidance. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more