Severe Storms

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0316 PM CDT Sat May 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z As an upper-level low shifts eastward out of the Southwest on D3/Monday, a surface low will deepen across western Texas/southern New Mexico. Windy/dry conditions will overlap across portions of central and southern New Mexico into western Texas behind the dryline Monday afternoon. Light to locally moderate rainfall has occurred over the last 24-48 hours across central New Mexico, however, fuels in this region remain critically dry with dry/windy conditions forecast on D2/Sunday. Some overlap of afternoon elevated to locally critical wind and relative humidity appears likely again Monday. A 40 percent delineation was added to cover this risk. Further south and east, fuels in southeastern New Mexico have seen more recent rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with ERCs in the 50th percentile. Some additional rainfall is expected across this region and into western Texas late D2/Sunday into D3/Monday, which will likely mitigate the fire risk. Some localized Elevated concerns will remain possible where less rainfall is received. Beyond D3/Monday, some windy/dry conditions will continue across far west Texas as southern stream westerly flow aloft continues. Heights will rise across the southwest bringing lighter winds across the areas where fuels remain the driest. This will keep fire concerns low through much of the extended. ..Thornton.. 05/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0316 PM CDT Sat May 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z As an upper-level low shifts eastward out of the Southwest on D3/Monday, a surface low will deepen across western Texas/southern New Mexico. Windy/dry conditions will overlap across portions of central and southern New Mexico into western Texas behind the dryline Monday afternoon. Light to locally moderate rainfall has occurred over the last 24-48 hours across central New Mexico, however, fuels in this region remain critically dry with dry/windy conditions forecast on D2/Sunday. Some overlap of afternoon elevated to locally critical wind and relative humidity appears likely again Monday. A 40 percent delineation was added to cover this risk. Further south and east, fuels in southeastern New Mexico have seen more recent rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with ERCs in the 50th percentile. Some additional rainfall is expected across this region and into western Texas late D2/Sunday into D3/Monday, which will likely mitigate the fire risk. Some localized Elevated concerns will remain possible where less rainfall is received. Beyond D3/Monday, some windy/dry conditions will continue across far west Texas as southern stream westerly flow aloft continues. Heights will rise across the southwest bringing lighter winds across the areas where fuels remain the driest. This will keep fire concerns low through much of the extended. ..Thornton.. 05/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0316 PM CDT Sat May 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z As an upper-level low shifts eastward out of the Southwest on D3/Monday, a surface low will deepen across western Texas/southern New Mexico. Windy/dry conditions will overlap across portions of central and southern New Mexico into western Texas behind the dryline Monday afternoon. Light to locally moderate rainfall has occurred over the last 24-48 hours across central New Mexico, however, fuels in this region remain critically dry with dry/windy conditions forecast on D2/Sunday. Some overlap of afternoon elevated to locally critical wind and relative humidity appears likely again Monday. A 40 percent delineation was added to cover this risk. Further south and east, fuels in southeastern New Mexico have seen more recent rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with ERCs in the 50th percentile. Some additional rainfall is expected across this region and into western Texas late D2/Sunday into D3/Monday, which will likely mitigate the fire risk. Some localized Elevated concerns will remain possible where less rainfall is received. Beyond D3/Monday, some windy/dry conditions will continue across far west Texas as southern stream westerly flow aloft continues. Heights will rise across the southwest bringing lighter winds across the areas where fuels remain the driest. This will keep fire concerns low through much of the extended. ..Thornton.. 05/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0316 PM CDT Sat May 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z As an upper-level low shifts eastward out of the Southwest on D3/Monday, a surface low will deepen across western Texas/southern New Mexico. Windy/dry conditions will overlap across portions of central and southern New Mexico into western Texas behind the dryline Monday afternoon. Light to locally moderate rainfall has occurred over the last 24-48 hours across central New Mexico, however, fuels in this region remain critically dry with dry/windy conditions forecast on D2/Sunday. Some overlap of afternoon elevated to locally critical wind and relative humidity appears likely again Monday. A 40 percent delineation was added to cover this risk. Further south and east, fuels in southeastern New Mexico have seen more recent rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with ERCs in the 50th percentile. Some additional rainfall is expected across this region and into western Texas late D2/Sunday into D3/Monday, which will likely mitigate the fire risk. Some localized Elevated concerns will remain possible where less rainfall is received. Beyond D3/Monday, some windy/dry conditions will continue across far west Texas as southern stream westerly flow aloft continues. Heights will rise across the southwest bringing lighter winds across the areas where fuels remain the driest. This will keep fire concerns low through much of the extended. ..Thornton.. 05/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0316 PM CDT Sat May 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z As an upper-level low shifts eastward out of the Southwest on D3/Monday, a surface low will deepen across western Texas/southern New Mexico. Windy/dry conditions will overlap across portions of central and southern New Mexico into western Texas behind the dryline Monday afternoon. Light to locally moderate rainfall has occurred over the last 24-48 hours across central New Mexico, however, fuels in this region remain critically dry with dry/windy conditions forecast on D2/Sunday. Some overlap of afternoon elevated to locally critical wind and relative humidity appears likely again Monday. A 40 percent delineation was added to cover this risk. Further south and east, fuels in southeastern New Mexico have seen more recent rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with ERCs in the 50th percentile. Some additional rainfall is expected across this region and into western Texas late D2/Sunday into D3/Monday, which will likely mitigate the fire risk. Some localized Elevated concerns will remain possible where less rainfall is received. Beyond D3/Monday, some windy/dry conditions will continue across far west Texas as southern stream westerly flow aloft continues. Heights will rise across the southwest bringing lighter winds across the areas where fuels remain the driest. This will keep fire concerns low through much of the extended. ..Thornton.. 05/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0316 PM CDT Sat May 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z As an upper-level low shifts eastward out of the Southwest on D3/Monday, a surface low will deepen across western Texas/southern New Mexico. Windy/dry conditions will overlap across portions of central and southern New Mexico into western Texas behind the dryline Monday afternoon. Light to locally moderate rainfall has occurred over the last 24-48 hours across central New Mexico, however, fuels in this region remain critically dry with dry/windy conditions forecast on D2/Sunday. Some overlap of afternoon elevated to locally critical wind and relative humidity appears likely again Monday. A 40 percent delineation was added to cover this risk. Further south and east, fuels in southeastern New Mexico have seen more recent rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with ERCs in the 50th percentile. Some additional rainfall is expected across this region and into western Texas late D2/Sunday into D3/Monday, which will likely mitigate the fire risk. Some localized Elevated concerns will remain possible where less rainfall is received. Beyond D3/Monday, some windy/dry conditions will continue across far west Texas as southern stream westerly flow aloft continues. Heights will rise across the southwest bringing lighter winds across the areas where fuels remain the driest. This will keep fire concerns low through much of the extended. ..Thornton.. 05/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0316 PM CDT Sat May 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z As an upper-level low shifts eastward out of the Southwest on D3/Monday, a surface low will deepen across western Texas/southern New Mexico. Windy/dry conditions will overlap across portions of central and southern New Mexico into western Texas behind the dryline Monday afternoon. Light to locally moderate rainfall has occurred over the last 24-48 hours across central New Mexico, however, fuels in this region remain critically dry with dry/windy conditions forecast on D2/Sunday. Some overlap of afternoon elevated to locally critical wind and relative humidity appears likely again Monday. A 40 percent delineation was added to cover this risk. Further south and east, fuels in southeastern New Mexico have seen more recent rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with ERCs in the 50th percentile. Some additional rainfall is expected across this region and into western Texas late D2/Sunday into D3/Monday, which will likely mitigate the fire risk. Some localized Elevated concerns will remain possible where less rainfall is received. Beyond D3/Monday, some windy/dry conditions will continue across far west Texas as southern stream westerly flow aloft continues. Heights will rise across the southwest bringing lighter winds across the areas where fuels remain the driest. This will keep fire concerns low through much of the extended. ..Thornton.. 05/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0316 PM CDT Sat May 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z As an upper-level low shifts eastward out of the Southwest on D3/Monday, a surface low will deepen across western Texas/southern New Mexico. Windy/dry conditions will overlap across portions of central and southern New Mexico into western Texas behind the dryline Monday afternoon. Light to locally moderate rainfall has occurred over the last 24-48 hours across central New Mexico, however, fuels in this region remain critically dry with dry/windy conditions forecast on D2/Sunday. Some overlap of afternoon elevated to locally critical wind and relative humidity appears likely again Monday. A 40 percent delineation was added to cover this risk. Further south and east, fuels in southeastern New Mexico have seen more recent rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with ERCs in the 50th percentile. Some additional rainfall is expected across this region and into western Texas late D2/Sunday into D3/Monday, which will likely mitigate the fire risk. Some localized Elevated concerns will remain possible where less rainfall is received. Beyond D3/Monday, some windy/dry conditions will continue across far west Texas as southern stream westerly flow aloft continues. Heights will rise across the southwest bringing lighter winds across the areas where fuels remain the driest. This will keep fire concerns low through much of the extended. ..Thornton.. 05/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0316 PM CDT Sat May 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z As an upper-level low shifts eastward out of the Southwest on D3/Monday, a surface low will deepen across western Texas/southern New Mexico. Windy/dry conditions will overlap across portions of central and southern New Mexico into western Texas behind the dryline Monday afternoon. Light to locally moderate rainfall has occurred over the last 24-48 hours across central New Mexico, however, fuels in this region remain critically dry with dry/windy conditions forecast on D2/Sunday. Some overlap of afternoon elevated to locally critical wind and relative humidity appears likely again Monday. A 40 percent delineation was added to cover this risk. Further south and east, fuels in southeastern New Mexico have seen more recent rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with ERCs in the 50th percentile. Some additional rainfall is expected across this region and into western Texas late D2/Sunday into D3/Monday, which will likely mitigate the fire risk. Some localized Elevated concerns will remain possible where less rainfall is received. Beyond D3/Monday, some windy/dry conditions will continue across far west Texas as southern stream westerly flow aloft continues. Heights will rise across the southwest bringing lighter winds across the areas where fuels remain the driest. This will keep fire concerns low through much of the extended. ..Thornton.. 05/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0316 PM CDT Sat May 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z As an upper-level low shifts eastward out of the Southwest on D3/Monday, a surface low will deepen across western Texas/southern New Mexico. Windy/dry conditions will overlap across portions of central and southern New Mexico into western Texas behind the dryline Monday afternoon. Light to locally moderate rainfall has occurred over the last 24-48 hours across central New Mexico, however, fuels in this region remain critically dry with dry/windy conditions forecast on D2/Sunday. Some overlap of afternoon elevated to locally critical wind and relative humidity appears likely again Monday. A 40 percent delineation was added to cover this risk. Further south and east, fuels in southeastern New Mexico have seen more recent rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with ERCs in the 50th percentile. Some additional rainfall is expected across this region and into western Texas late D2/Sunday into D3/Monday, which will likely mitigate the fire risk. Some localized Elevated concerns will remain possible where less rainfall is received. Beyond D3/Monday, some windy/dry conditions will continue across far west Texas as southern stream westerly flow aloft continues. Heights will rise across the southwest bringing lighter winds across the areas where fuels remain the driest. This will keep fire concerns low through much of the extended. ..Thornton.. 05/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0316 PM CDT Sat May 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z As an upper-level low shifts eastward out of the Southwest on D3/Monday, a surface low will deepen across western Texas/southern New Mexico. Windy/dry conditions will overlap across portions of central and southern New Mexico into western Texas behind the dryline Monday afternoon. Light to locally moderate rainfall has occurred over the last 24-48 hours across central New Mexico, however, fuels in this region remain critically dry with dry/windy conditions forecast on D2/Sunday. Some overlap of afternoon elevated to locally critical wind and relative humidity appears likely again Monday. A 40 percent delineation was added to cover this risk. Further south and east, fuels in southeastern New Mexico have seen more recent rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with ERCs in the 50th percentile. Some additional rainfall is expected across this region and into western Texas late D2/Sunday into D3/Monday, which will likely mitigate the fire risk. Some localized Elevated concerns will remain possible where less rainfall is received. Beyond D3/Monday, some windy/dry conditions will continue across far west Texas as southern stream westerly flow aloft continues. Heights will rise across the southwest bringing lighter winds across the areas where fuels remain the driest. This will keep fire concerns low through much of the extended. ..Thornton.. 05/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0316 PM CDT Sat May 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z As an upper-level low shifts eastward out of the Southwest on D3/Monday, a surface low will deepen across western Texas/southern New Mexico. Windy/dry conditions will overlap across portions of central and southern New Mexico into western Texas behind the dryline Monday afternoon. Light to locally moderate rainfall has occurred over the last 24-48 hours across central New Mexico, however, fuels in this region remain critically dry with dry/windy conditions forecast on D2/Sunday. Some overlap of afternoon elevated to locally critical wind and relative humidity appears likely again Monday. A 40 percent delineation was added to cover this risk. Further south and east, fuels in southeastern New Mexico have seen more recent rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with ERCs in the 50th percentile. Some additional rainfall is expected across this region and into western Texas late D2/Sunday into D3/Monday, which will likely mitigate the fire risk. Some localized Elevated concerns will remain possible where less rainfall is received. Beyond D3/Monday, some windy/dry conditions will continue across far west Texas as southern stream westerly flow aloft continues. Heights will rise across the southwest bringing lighter winds across the areas where fuels remain the driest. This will keep fire concerns low through much of the extended. ..Thornton.. 05/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0316 PM CDT Sat May 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z As an upper-level low shifts eastward out of the Southwest on D3/Monday, a surface low will deepen across western Texas/southern New Mexico. Windy/dry conditions will overlap across portions of central and southern New Mexico into western Texas behind the dryline Monday afternoon. Light to locally moderate rainfall has occurred over the last 24-48 hours across central New Mexico, however, fuels in this region remain critically dry with dry/windy conditions forecast on D2/Sunday. Some overlap of afternoon elevated to locally critical wind and relative humidity appears likely again Monday. A 40 percent delineation was added to cover this risk. Further south and east, fuels in southeastern New Mexico have seen more recent rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with ERCs in the 50th percentile. Some additional rainfall is expected across this region and into western Texas late D2/Sunday into D3/Monday, which will likely mitigate the fire risk. Some localized Elevated concerns will remain possible where less rainfall is received. Beyond D3/Monday, some windy/dry conditions will continue across far west Texas as southern stream westerly flow aloft continues. Heights will rise across the southwest bringing lighter winds across the areas where fuels remain the driest. This will keep fire concerns low through much of the extended. ..Thornton.. 05/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0316 PM CDT Sat May 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z As an upper-level low shifts eastward out of the Southwest on D3/Monday, a surface low will deepen across western Texas/southern New Mexico. Windy/dry conditions will overlap across portions of central and southern New Mexico into western Texas behind the dryline Monday afternoon. Light to locally moderate rainfall has occurred over the last 24-48 hours across central New Mexico, however, fuels in this region remain critically dry with dry/windy conditions forecast on D2/Sunday. Some overlap of afternoon elevated to locally critical wind and relative humidity appears likely again Monday. A 40 percent delineation was added to cover this risk. Further south and east, fuels in southeastern New Mexico have seen more recent rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with ERCs in the 50th percentile. Some additional rainfall is expected across this region and into western Texas late D2/Sunday into D3/Monday, which will likely mitigate the fire risk. Some localized Elevated concerns will remain possible where less rainfall is received. Beyond D3/Monday, some windy/dry conditions will continue across far west Texas as southern stream westerly flow aloft continues. Heights will rise across the southwest bringing lighter winds across the areas where fuels remain the driest. This will keep fire concerns low through much of the extended. ..Thornton.. 05/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0316 PM CDT Sat May 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z As an upper-level low shifts eastward out of the Southwest on D3/Monday, a surface low will deepen across western Texas/southern New Mexico. Windy/dry conditions will overlap across portions of central and southern New Mexico into western Texas behind the dryline Monday afternoon. Light to locally moderate rainfall has occurred over the last 24-48 hours across central New Mexico, however, fuels in this region remain critically dry with dry/windy conditions forecast on D2/Sunday. Some overlap of afternoon elevated to locally critical wind and relative humidity appears likely again Monday. A 40 percent delineation was added to cover this risk. Further south and east, fuels in southeastern New Mexico have seen more recent rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with ERCs in the 50th percentile. Some additional rainfall is expected across this region and into western Texas late D2/Sunday into D3/Monday, which will likely mitigate the fire risk. Some localized Elevated concerns will remain possible where less rainfall is received. Beyond D3/Monday, some windy/dry conditions will continue across far west Texas as southern stream westerly flow aloft continues. Heights will rise across the southwest bringing lighter winds across the areas where fuels remain the driest. This will keep fire concerns low through much of the extended. ..Thornton.. 05/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0316 PM CDT Sat May 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z As an upper-level low shifts eastward out of the Southwest on D3/Monday, a surface low will deepen across western Texas/southern New Mexico. Windy/dry conditions will overlap across portions of central and southern New Mexico into western Texas behind the dryline Monday afternoon. Light to locally moderate rainfall has occurred over the last 24-48 hours across central New Mexico, however, fuels in this region remain critically dry with dry/windy conditions forecast on D2/Sunday. Some overlap of afternoon elevated to locally critical wind and relative humidity appears likely again Monday. A 40 percent delineation was added to cover this risk. Further south and east, fuels in southeastern New Mexico have seen more recent rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with ERCs in the 50th percentile. Some additional rainfall is expected across this region and into western Texas late D2/Sunday into D3/Monday, which will likely mitigate the fire risk. Some localized Elevated concerns will remain possible where less rainfall is received. Beyond D3/Monday, some windy/dry conditions will continue across far west Texas as southern stream westerly flow aloft continues. Heights will rise across the southwest bringing lighter winds across the areas where fuels remain the driest. This will keep fire concerns low through much of the extended. ..Thornton.. 05/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0316 PM CDT Sat May 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z As an upper-level low shifts eastward out of the Southwest on D3/Monday, a surface low will deepen across western Texas/southern New Mexico. Windy/dry conditions will overlap across portions of central and southern New Mexico into western Texas behind the dryline Monday afternoon. Light to locally moderate rainfall has occurred over the last 24-48 hours across central New Mexico, however, fuels in this region remain critically dry with dry/windy conditions forecast on D2/Sunday. Some overlap of afternoon elevated to locally critical wind and relative humidity appears likely again Monday. A 40 percent delineation was added to cover this risk. Further south and east, fuels in southeastern New Mexico have seen more recent rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with ERCs in the 50th percentile. Some additional rainfall is expected across this region and into western Texas late D2/Sunday into D3/Monday, which will likely mitigate the fire risk. Some localized Elevated concerns will remain possible where less rainfall is received. Beyond D3/Monday, some windy/dry conditions will continue across far west Texas as southern stream westerly flow aloft continues. Heights will rise across the southwest bringing lighter winds across the areas where fuels remain the driest. This will keep fire concerns low through much of the extended. ..Thornton.. 05/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0316 PM CDT Sat May 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z As an upper-level low shifts eastward out of the Southwest on D3/Monday, a surface low will deepen across western Texas/southern New Mexico. Windy/dry conditions will overlap across portions of central and southern New Mexico into western Texas behind the dryline Monday afternoon. Light to locally moderate rainfall has occurred over the last 24-48 hours across central New Mexico, however, fuels in this region remain critically dry with dry/windy conditions forecast on D2/Sunday. Some overlap of afternoon elevated to locally critical wind and relative humidity appears likely again Monday. A 40 percent delineation was added to cover this risk. Further south and east, fuels in southeastern New Mexico have seen more recent rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with ERCs in the 50th percentile. Some additional rainfall is expected across this region and into western Texas late D2/Sunday into D3/Monday, which will likely mitigate the fire risk. Some localized Elevated concerns will remain possible where less rainfall is received. Beyond D3/Monday, some windy/dry conditions will continue across far west Texas as southern stream westerly flow aloft continues. Heights will rise across the southwest bringing lighter winds across the areas where fuels remain the driest. This will keep fire concerns low through much of the extended. ..Thornton.. 05/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0316 PM CDT Sat May 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z As an upper-level low shifts eastward out of the Southwest on D3/Monday, a surface low will deepen across western Texas/southern New Mexico. Windy/dry conditions will overlap across portions of central and southern New Mexico into western Texas behind the dryline Monday afternoon. Light to locally moderate rainfall has occurred over the last 24-48 hours across central New Mexico, however, fuels in this region remain critically dry with dry/windy conditions forecast on D2/Sunday. Some overlap of afternoon elevated to locally critical wind and relative humidity appears likely again Monday. A 40 percent delineation was added to cover this risk. Further south and east, fuels in southeastern New Mexico have seen more recent rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with ERCs in the 50th percentile. Some additional rainfall is expected across this region and into western Texas late D2/Sunday into D3/Monday, which will likely mitigate the fire risk. Some localized Elevated concerns will remain possible where less rainfall is received. Beyond D3/Monday, some windy/dry conditions will continue across far west Texas as southern stream westerly flow aloft continues. Heights will rise across the southwest bringing lighter winds across the areas where fuels remain the driest. This will keep fire concerns low through much of the extended. ..Thornton.. 05/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0316 PM CDT Sat May 03 2025 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z As an upper-level low shifts eastward out of the Southwest on D3/Monday, a surface low will deepen across western Texas/southern New Mexico. Windy/dry conditions will overlap across portions of central and southern New Mexico into western Texas behind the dryline Monday afternoon. Light to locally moderate rainfall has occurred over the last 24-48 hours across central New Mexico, however, fuels in this region remain critically dry with dry/windy conditions forecast on D2/Sunday. Some overlap of afternoon elevated to locally critical wind and relative humidity appears likely again Monday. A 40 percent delineation was added to cover this risk. Further south and east, fuels in southeastern New Mexico have seen more recent rainfall in the last 7-14 days, with ERCs in the 50th percentile. Some additional rainfall is expected across this region and into western Texas late D2/Sunday into D3/Monday, which will likely mitigate the fire risk. Some localized Elevated concerns will remain possible where less rainfall is received. Beyond D3/Monday, some windy/dry conditions will continue across far west Texas as southern stream westerly flow aloft continues. Heights will rise across the southwest bringing lighter winds across the areas where fuels remain the driest. This will keep fire concerns low through much of the extended. ..Thornton.. 05/03/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more