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SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... A marginal severe threat is expected on Thursday over parts of the southern High Plains, southern Rockies, and Southeast. ...Southern High Plains/Southern Rockies... Northwesterly mid-level flow will be in place across much of the High Plains on Thursday, as a trough moves southeastward through the central Plains. At the surface, an axis of low-level moisture will likely be located from eastern New Mexico northward into southern Colorado. As surface heating takes place, isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop in the higher terrain, with the storms moving eastward into the lower elevations in the afternoon. Although instability is forecast to remain weak, lapse rates will be steep, and deep-layer shear could be strong enough for a marginal severe threat. Hail and isolated severe wind gusts will be possible. ...Southeast... A broad low-amplitude cyclonic flow pattern is forecast across the Southeast on Thursday. At the surface, a moist airmass will be located along the Gulf Coast from Texas to Florida. Model forecasts suggest that scattered thunderstorms will develop in the Gulf Coast states early in the day as surface temperatures warm. The greatest convective coverage should be located along or near zones of focused low-level convergence. In spite of a lack of large-scale ascent, a few marginally severe storms could develop as low-level lapse rates become steep during the day. Severe gusts would be the primary threat. ..Broyles.. 05/27/2025 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... A marginal severe threat is expected on Thursday over parts of the southern High Plains, southern Rockies, and Southeast. ...Southern High Plains/Southern Rockies... Northwesterly mid-level flow will be in place across much of the High Plains on Thursday, as a trough moves southeastward through the central Plains. At the surface, an axis of low-level moisture will likely be located from eastern New Mexico northward into southern Colorado. As surface heating takes place, isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop in the higher terrain, with the storms moving eastward into the lower elevations in the afternoon. Although instability is forecast to remain weak, lapse rates will be steep, and deep-layer shear could be strong enough for a marginal severe threat. Hail and isolated severe wind gusts will be possible. ...Southeast... A broad low-amplitude cyclonic flow pattern is forecast across the Southeast on Thursday. At the surface, a moist airmass will be located along the Gulf Coast from Texas to Florida. Model forecasts suggest that scattered thunderstorms will develop in the Gulf Coast states early in the day as surface temperatures warm. The greatest convective coverage should be located along or near zones of focused low-level convergence. In spite of a lack of large-scale ascent, a few marginally severe storms could develop as low-level lapse rates become steep during the day. Severe gusts would be the primary threat. ..Broyles.. 05/27/2025 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... A marginal severe threat is expected on Thursday over parts of the southern High Plains, southern Rockies, and Southeast. ...Southern High Plains/Southern Rockies... Northwesterly mid-level flow will be in place across much of the High Plains on Thursday, as a trough moves southeastward through the central Plains. At the surface, an axis of low-level moisture will likely be located from eastern New Mexico northward into southern Colorado. As surface heating takes place, isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop in the higher terrain, with the storms moving eastward into the lower elevations in the afternoon. Although instability is forecast to remain weak, lapse rates will be steep, and deep-layer shear could be strong enough for a marginal severe threat. Hail and isolated severe wind gusts will be possible. ...Southeast... A broad low-amplitude cyclonic flow pattern is forecast across the Southeast on Thursday. At the surface, a moist airmass will be located along the Gulf Coast from Texas to Florida. Model forecasts suggest that scattered thunderstorms will develop in the Gulf Coast states early in the day as surface temperatures warm. The greatest convective coverage should be located along or near zones of focused low-level convergence. In spite of a lack of large-scale ascent, a few marginally severe storms could develop as low-level lapse rates become steep during the day. Severe gusts would be the primary threat. ..Broyles.. 05/27/2025 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... A marginal severe threat is expected on Thursday over parts of the southern High Plains, southern Rockies, and Southeast. ...Southern High Plains/Southern Rockies... Northwesterly mid-level flow will be in place across much of the High Plains on Thursday, as a trough moves southeastward through the central Plains. At the surface, an axis of low-level moisture will likely be located from eastern New Mexico northward into southern Colorado. As surface heating takes place, isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop in the higher terrain, with the storms moving eastward into the lower elevations in the afternoon. Although instability is forecast to remain weak, lapse rates will be steep, and deep-layer shear could be strong enough for a marginal severe threat. Hail and isolated severe wind gusts will be possible. ...Southeast... A broad low-amplitude cyclonic flow pattern is forecast across the Southeast on Thursday. At the surface, a moist airmass will be located along the Gulf Coast from Texas to Florida. Model forecasts suggest that scattered thunderstorms will develop in the Gulf Coast states early in the day as surface temperatures warm. The greatest convective coverage should be located along or near zones of focused low-level convergence. In spite of a lack of large-scale ascent, a few marginally severe storms could develop as low-level lapse rates become steep during the day. Severe gusts would be the primary threat. ..Broyles.. 05/27/2025 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... A marginal severe threat is expected on Thursday over parts of the southern High Plains, southern Rockies, and Southeast. ...Southern High Plains/Southern Rockies... Northwesterly mid-level flow will be in place across much of the High Plains on Thursday, as a trough moves southeastward through the central Plains. At the surface, an axis of low-level moisture will likely be located from eastern New Mexico northward into southern Colorado. As surface heating takes place, isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop in the higher terrain, with the storms moving eastward into the lower elevations in the afternoon. Although instability is forecast to remain weak, lapse rates will be steep, and deep-layer shear could be strong enough for a marginal severe threat. Hail and isolated severe wind gusts will be possible. ...Southeast... A broad low-amplitude cyclonic flow pattern is forecast across the Southeast on Thursday. At the surface, a moist airmass will be located along the Gulf Coast from Texas to Florida. Model forecasts suggest that scattered thunderstorms will develop in the Gulf Coast states early in the day as surface temperatures warm. The greatest convective coverage should be located along or near zones of focused low-level convergence. In spite of a lack of large-scale ascent, a few marginally severe storms could develop as low-level lapse rates become steep during the day. Severe gusts would be the primary threat. ..Broyles.. 05/27/2025 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... A marginal severe threat is expected on Thursday over parts of the southern High Plains, southern Rockies, and Southeast. ...Southern High Plains/Southern Rockies... Northwesterly mid-level flow will be in place across much of the High Plains on Thursday, as a trough moves southeastward through the central Plains. At the surface, an axis of low-level moisture will likely be located from eastern New Mexico northward into southern Colorado. As surface heating takes place, isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop in the higher terrain, with the storms moving eastward into the lower elevations in the afternoon. Although instability is forecast to remain weak, lapse rates will be steep, and deep-layer shear could be strong enough for a marginal severe threat. Hail and isolated severe wind gusts will be possible. ...Southeast... A broad low-amplitude cyclonic flow pattern is forecast across the Southeast on Thursday. At the surface, a moist airmass will be located along the Gulf Coast from Texas to Florida. Model forecasts suggest that scattered thunderstorms will develop in the Gulf Coast states early in the day as surface temperatures warm. The greatest convective coverage should be located along or near zones of focused low-level convergence. In spite of a lack of large-scale ascent, a few marginally severe storms could develop as low-level lapse rates become steep during the day. Severe gusts would be the primary threat. ..Broyles.. 05/27/2025 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0138 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...Synopsis... Mid-level moisture will increase from the east across portions of western and central New Mexico on Wednesday as a result of high pressure building in across Oklahoma and Texas. Thunderstorm coverage will be best across eastern New Mexico, but a few isolated high-based storms initiated along the higher terrain will be possible on the edge of the better moisture in western/central New Mexico. In this region, PW values will be < 0.50". An area of isolated dry thunderstorm chances was maintained near the Sandia Manzano Mountains west to the San Mateo Mountains in New Mexico with this outlook, as fuels in these region are near the 80th-90th percentile for dryness. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0138 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...Synopsis... Mid-level moisture will increase from the east across portions of western and central New Mexico on Wednesday as a result of high pressure building in across Oklahoma and Texas. Thunderstorm coverage will be best across eastern New Mexico, but a few isolated high-based storms initiated along the higher terrain will be possible on the edge of the better moisture in western/central New Mexico. In this region, PW values will be < 0.50". An area of isolated dry thunderstorm chances was maintained near the Sandia Manzano Mountains west to the San Mateo Mountains in New Mexico with this outlook, as fuels in these region are near the 80th-90th percentile for dryness. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0138 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...Synopsis... Mid-level moisture will increase from the east across portions of western and central New Mexico on Wednesday as a result of high pressure building in across Oklahoma and Texas. Thunderstorm coverage will be best across eastern New Mexico, but a few isolated high-based storms initiated along the higher terrain will be possible on the edge of the better moisture in western/central New Mexico. In this region, PW values will be < 0.50". An area of isolated dry thunderstorm chances was maintained near the Sandia Manzano Mountains west to the San Mateo Mountains in New Mexico with this outlook, as fuels in these region are near the 80th-90th percentile for dryness. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0138 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...Synopsis... Mid-level moisture will increase from the east across portions of western and central New Mexico on Wednesday as a result of high pressure building in across Oklahoma and Texas. Thunderstorm coverage will be best across eastern New Mexico, but a few isolated high-based storms initiated along the higher terrain will be possible on the edge of the better moisture in western/central New Mexico. In this region, PW values will be < 0.50". An area of isolated dry thunderstorm chances was maintained near the Sandia Manzano Mountains west to the San Mateo Mountains in New Mexico with this outlook, as fuels in these region are near the 80th-90th percentile for dryness. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0138 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...Synopsis... Mid-level moisture will increase from the east across portions of western and central New Mexico on Wednesday as a result of high pressure building in across Oklahoma and Texas. Thunderstorm coverage will be best across eastern New Mexico, but a few isolated high-based storms initiated along the higher terrain will be possible on the edge of the better moisture in western/central New Mexico. In this region, PW values will be < 0.50". An area of isolated dry thunderstorm chances was maintained near the Sandia Manzano Mountains west to the San Mateo Mountains in New Mexico with this outlook, as fuels in these region are near the 80th-90th percentile for dryness. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0138 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...Synopsis... Mid-level moisture will increase from the east across portions of western and central New Mexico on Wednesday as a result of high pressure building in across Oklahoma and Texas. Thunderstorm coverage will be best across eastern New Mexico, but a few isolated high-based storms initiated along the higher terrain will be possible on the edge of the better moisture in western/central New Mexico. In this region, PW values will be < 0.50". An area of isolated dry thunderstorm chances was maintained near the Sandia Manzano Mountains west to the San Mateo Mountains in New Mexico with this outlook, as fuels in these region are near the 80th-90th percentile for dryness. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0138 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...Synopsis... Mid-level moisture will increase from the east across portions of western and central New Mexico on Wednesday as a result of high pressure building in across Oklahoma and Texas. Thunderstorm coverage will be best across eastern New Mexico, but a few isolated high-based storms initiated along the higher terrain will be possible on the edge of the better moisture in western/central New Mexico. In this region, PW values will be < 0.50". An area of isolated dry thunderstorm chances was maintained near the Sandia Manzano Mountains west to the San Mateo Mountains in New Mexico with this outlook, as fuels in these region are near the 80th-90th percentile for dryness. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0138 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...Synopsis... Mid-level moisture will increase from the east across portions of western and central New Mexico on Wednesday as a result of high pressure building in across Oklahoma and Texas. Thunderstorm coverage will be best across eastern New Mexico, but a few isolated high-based storms initiated along the higher terrain will be possible on the edge of the better moisture in western/central New Mexico. In this region, PW values will be < 0.50". An area of isolated dry thunderstorm chances was maintained near the Sandia Manzano Mountains west to the San Mateo Mountains in New Mexico with this outlook, as fuels in these region are near the 80th-90th percentile for dryness. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0138 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...Synopsis... Mid-level moisture will increase from the east across portions of western and central New Mexico on Wednesday as a result of high pressure building in across Oklahoma and Texas. Thunderstorm coverage will be best across eastern New Mexico, but a few isolated high-based storms initiated along the higher terrain will be possible on the edge of the better moisture in western/central New Mexico. In this region, PW values will be < 0.50". An area of isolated dry thunderstorm chances was maintained near the Sandia Manzano Mountains west to the San Mateo Mountains in New Mexico with this outlook, as fuels in these region are near the 80th-90th percentile for dryness. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0138 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...Synopsis... Mid-level moisture will increase from the east across portions of western and central New Mexico on Wednesday as a result of high pressure building in across Oklahoma and Texas. Thunderstorm coverage will be best across eastern New Mexico, but a few isolated high-based storms initiated along the higher terrain will be possible on the edge of the better moisture in western/central New Mexico. In this region, PW values will be < 0.50". An area of isolated dry thunderstorm chances was maintained near the Sandia Manzano Mountains west to the San Mateo Mountains in New Mexico with this outlook, as fuels in these region are near the 80th-90th percentile for dryness. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0138 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...Synopsis... Mid-level moisture will increase from the east across portions of western and central New Mexico on Wednesday as a result of high pressure building in across Oklahoma and Texas. Thunderstorm coverage will be best across eastern New Mexico, but a few isolated high-based storms initiated along the higher terrain will be possible on the edge of the better moisture in western/central New Mexico. In this region, PW values will be < 0.50". An area of isolated dry thunderstorm chances was maintained near the Sandia Manzano Mountains west to the San Mateo Mountains in New Mexico with this outlook, as fuels in these region are near the 80th-90th percentile for dryness. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0138 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...Synopsis... Mid-level moisture will increase from the east across portions of western and central New Mexico on Wednesday as a result of high pressure building in across Oklahoma and Texas. Thunderstorm coverage will be best across eastern New Mexico, but a few isolated high-based storms initiated along the higher terrain will be possible on the edge of the better moisture in western/central New Mexico. In this region, PW values will be < 0.50". An area of isolated dry thunderstorm chances was maintained near the Sandia Manzano Mountains west to the San Mateo Mountains in New Mexico with this outlook, as fuels in these region are near the 80th-90th percentile for dryness. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0138 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...Synopsis... Mid-level moisture will increase from the east across portions of western and central New Mexico on Wednesday as a result of high pressure building in across Oklahoma and Texas. Thunderstorm coverage will be best across eastern New Mexico, but a few isolated high-based storms initiated along the higher terrain will be possible on the edge of the better moisture in western/central New Mexico. In this region, PW values will be < 0.50". An area of isolated dry thunderstorm chances was maintained near the Sandia Manzano Mountains west to the San Mateo Mountains in New Mexico with this outlook, as fuels in these region are near the 80th-90th percentile for dryness. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0138 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...Synopsis... Mid-level moisture will increase from the east across portions of western and central New Mexico on Wednesday as a result of high pressure building in across Oklahoma and Texas. Thunderstorm coverage will be best across eastern New Mexico, but a few isolated high-based storms initiated along the higher terrain will be possible on the edge of the better moisture in western/central New Mexico. In this region, PW values will be < 0.50". An area of isolated dry thunderstorm chances was maintained near the Sandia Manzano Mountains west to the San Mateo Mountains in New Mexico with this outlook, as fuels in these region are near the 80th-90th percentile for dryness. ..Thornton.. 05/27/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more