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MD 1068 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 352... FOR NORTH-CENTRAL TX
Mesoscale Discussion 1068 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0739 PM CDT Sun Jun 01 2025 Areas affected...North-central TX Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 352... Valid 020039Z - 020215Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 352 continues. SUMMARY...A damaging hail/wind threat will continue this evening. DISCUSSION...A left-moving supercell has recently developed and produced 2+ inch hail on the south side of Fort Worth. This cell may continue propagating eastward along a surging outflow into the eastern part of the Metroplex. Large to very large hail and severe outflow gusts will continue to be a short-term threat with this cell. Additional cells continue to develop south and west of the Metroplex. Hodographs will continue to support splitting cells, though right-moving cells have struggled to persist within an environment with increasing MLCINH. It remains possible that a right-moving cell or two could persist and propagate southward, with a threat for hail, localized severe gusts, and possibly a tornado. Left-moving cells may continue to thrive in the short term. Another apparent left-moving supercell has developed west of the Metroplex, and there is some potential for this cell to continue eastward atop the expanding outflow, with a damaging hail/wind threat. With a continued severe threat near the north edge of the watch and potentially to the east of the watch, local watch expansion is being considered. ..Dean/Hart.. 06/02/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FWD... LAT...LON 32069562 31729580 31229669 31279744 31779801 32579863 32979814 33029673 32829582 32499562 32379557 32069562 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

WW 0352 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 352 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1068 ..DEAN..06/02/25 ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 352 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC015-027-035-041-051-093-099-113-133-139-143-145-157-161-185- 193-201-217-221-225-251-289-291-293-309-313-331-339-349-363-367- 373-395-407-425-439-455-471-473-477-020240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUSTIN BELL BOSQUE BRAZOS BURLESON COMANCHE CORYELL DALLAS EASTLAND ELLIS ERATH FALLS FORT BEND FREESTONE GRIMES HAMILTON HARRIS HILL HOOD HOUSTON JOHNSON LEON LIBERTY LIMESTONE MCLENNAN MADISON MILAM MONTGOMERY NAVARRO PALO PINTO PARKER POLK ROBERTSON SAN JACINTO SOMERVELL TARRANT TRINITY WALKER WALLER WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

WW 0352 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 352 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1068 ..DEAN..06/02/25 ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 352 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC015-027-035-041-051-093-099-113-133-139-143-145-157-161-185- 193-201-217-221-225-251-289-291-293-309-313-331-339-349-363-367- 373-395-407-425-439-455-471-473-477-020240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUSTIN BELL BOSQUE BRAZOS BURLESON COMANCHE CORYELL DALLAS EASTLAND ELLIS ERATH FALLS FORT BEND FREESTONE GRIMES HAMILTON HARRIS HILL HOOD HOUSTON JOHNSON LEON LIBERTY LIMESTONE MCLENNAN MADISON MILAM MONTGOMERY NAVARRO PALO PINTO PARKER POLK ROBERTSON SAN JACINTO SOMERVELL TARRANT TRINITY WALKER WALLER WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

WW 0352 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 352 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1068 ..DEAN..06/02/25 ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 352 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC015-027-035-041-051-093-099-113-133-139-143-145-157-161-185- 193-201-217-221-225-251-289-291-293-309-313-331-339-349-363-367- 373-395-407-425-439-455-471-473-477-020240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUSTIN BELL BOSQUE BRAZOS BURLESON COMANCHE CORYELL DALLAS EASTLAND ELLIS ERATH FALLS FORT BEND FREESTONE GRIMES HAMILTON HARRIS HILL HOOD HOUSTON JOHNSON LEON LIBERTY LIMESTONE MCLENNAN MADISON MILAM MONTGOMERY NAVARRO PALO PINTO PARKER POLK ROBERTSON SAN JACINTO SOMERVELL TARRANT TRINITY WALKER WALLER WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

WW 352 SEVERE TSTM TX 011840Z - 020300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 352 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 140 PM CDT Sun Jun 1 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of North-Central and East Texas * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 140 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Severe storms including supercell development are expected this afternoon as a moist environment heats and destabilizes. Large hail is expected with the most intense storms, with wind damage also possible as these storms generally spread southeastward through early/mid-evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles north of Stephenville TX to 75 miles south southeast of Huntsville TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector 33025. ...Guyer Read more

MD 1067 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SOUTHEAST NC INTO EXTREME NORTHEAST SC
Mesoscale Discussion 1067 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0650 PM CDT Sun Jun 01 2025 Areas affected...Southeast NC into extreme northeast SC Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 012350Z - 020115Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Locally damaging wind may accompany an ongoing storm cluster before it moves offshore, with some redevelopment possible along its southwest flank. DISCUSSION...A small but vigorous storm cluster has developed across southeast NC early this evening. This cluster is approaching a low-level moisture/instability gradient, and may tend to weaken once it moves into the less unstable environment. However, localized wind damage could accompany this cluster as it approaches the coast. The western portion of the outflow with this cluster will move through a somewhat more moist/unstable environment, with potential for strong storm development within a modestly sheared environment into extreme northeast SC/southeast NC through the evening. ..Dean/Hart.. 06/01/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CAE... LAT...LON 33657888 34407978 34798024 34928020 34837971 34717816 34487761 34187768 34067777 33857794 33757813 33657888 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 PM CDT Sun Jun 01 2025 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered large hail and isolated damaging winds remain possible this evening across portions of Texas. ...01z Update... Early-evening water-vapor imagery depicts a notable short-wave trough digging southeast across the lower MS Valley region. The tail end of this feature extends into northeast TX where it appears to be partially influential in ongoing strong/severe thunderstorm activity. Slow-moving surface boundary is currently draped across the south side of the Metroplex, extending into northwest TX, north of Abilene. 00z sounding from FWD exhibited seasonally strong instability with around 3000 J/kg MLCAPE, and adequate 0-6km bulk shear for organized updrafts. Later this evening, some increase in the LLJ is forecast across the TX South Plains, but low-level inflow is expected to remain somewhat weak farther east along the I-35 corridor. Even so, southward propagation along the instability axis is expected with these hail-producing clusters into the late-evening hours. ..Darrow.. 06/02/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 PM CDT Sun Jun 01 2025 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered large hail and isolated damaging winds remain possible this evening across portions of Texas. ...01z Update... Early-evening water-vapor imagery depicts a notable short-wave trough digging southeast across the lower MS Valley region. The tail end of this feature extends into northeast TX where it appears to be partially influential in ongoing strong/severe thunderstorm activity. Slow-moving surface boundary is currently draped across the south side of the Metroplex, extending into northwest TX, north of Abilene. 00z sounding from FWD exhibited seasonally strong instability with around 3000 J/kg MLCAPE, and adequate 0-6km bulk shear for organized updrafts. Later this evening, some increase in the LLJ is forecast across the TX South Plains, but low-level inflow is expected to remain somewhat weak farther east along the I-35 corridor. Even so, southward propagation along the instability axis is expected with these hail-producing clusters into the late-evening hours. ..Darrow.. 06/02/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 PM CDT Sun Jun 01 2025 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered large hail and isolated damaging winds remain possible this evening across portions of Texas. ...01z Update... Early-evening water-vapor imagery depicts a notable short-wave trough digging southeast across the lower MS Valley region. The tail end of this feature extends into northeast TX where it appears to be partially influential in ongoing strong/severe thunderstorm activity. Slow-moving surface boundary is currently draped across the south side of the Metroplex, extending into northwest TX, north of Abilene. 00z sounding from FWD exhibited seasonally strong instability with around 3000 J/kg MLCAPE, and adequate 0-6km bulk shear for organized updrafts. Later this evening, some increase in the LLJ is forecast across the TX South Plains, but low-level inflow is expected to remain somewhat weak farther east along the I-35 corridor. Even so, southward propagation along the instability axis is expected with these hail-producing clusters into the late-evening hours. ..Darrow.. 06/02/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 PM CDT Sun Jun 01 2025 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered large hail and isolated damaging winds remain possible this evening across portions of Texas. ...01z Update... Early-evening water-vapor imagery depicts a notable short-wave trough digging southeast across the lower MS Valley region. The tail end of this feature extends into northeast TX where it appears to be partially influential in ongoing strong/severe thunderstorm activity. Slow-moving surface boundary is currently draped across the south side of the Metroplex, extending into northwest TX, north of Abilene. 00z sounding from FWD exhibited seasonally strong instability with around 3000 J/kg MLCAPE, and adequate 0-6km bulk shear for organized updrafts. Later this evening, some increase in the LLJ is forecast across the TX South Plains, but low-level inflow is expected to remain somewhat weak farther east along the I-35 corridor. Even so, southward propagation along the instability axis is expected with these hail-producing clusters into the late-evening hours. ..Darrow.. 06/02/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 PM CDT Sun Jun 01 2025 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered large hail and isolated damaging winds remain possible this evening across portions of Texas. ...01z Update... Early-evening water-vapor imagery depicts a notable short-wave trough digging southeast across the lower MS Valley region. The tail end of this feature extends into northeast TX where it appears to be partially influential in ongoing strong/severe thunderstorm activity. Slow-moving surface boundary is currently draped across the south side of the Metroplex, extending into northwest TX, north of Abilene. 00z sounding from FWD exhibited seasonally strong instability with around 3000 J/kg MLCAPE, and adequate 0-6km bulk shear for organized updrafts. Later this evening, some increase in the LLJ is forecast across the TX South Plains, but low-level inflow is expected to remain somewhat weak farther east along the I-35 corridor. Even so, southward propagation along the instability axis is expected with these hail-producing clusters into the late-evening hours. ..Darrow.. 06/02/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 PM CDT Sun Jun 01 2025 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered large hail and isolated damaging winds remain possible this evening across portions of Texas. ...01z Update... Early-evening water-vapor imagery depicts a notable short-wave trough digging southeast across the lower MS Valley region. The tail end of this feature extends into northeast TX where it appears to be partially influential in ongoing strong/severe thunderstorm activity. Slow-moving surface boundary is currently draped across the south side of the Metroplex, extending into northwest TX, north of Abilene. 00z sounding from FWD exhibited seasonally strong instability with around 3000 J/kg MLCAPE, and adequate 0-6km bulk shear for organized updrafts. Later this evening, some increase in the LLJ is forecast across the TX South Plains, but low-level inflow is expected to remain somewhat weak farther east along the I-35 corridor. Even so, southward propagation along the instability axis is expected with these hail-producing clusters into the late-evening hours. ..Darrow.. 06/02/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 PM CDT Sun Jun 01 2025 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered large hail and isolated damaging winds remain possible this evening across portions of Texas. ...01z Update... Early-evening water-vapor imagery depicts a notable short-wave trough digging southeast across the lower MS Valley region. The tail end of this feature extends into northeast TX where it appears to be partially influential in ongoing strong/severe thunderstorm activity. Slow-moving surface boundary is currently draped across the south side of the Metroplex, extending into northwest TX, north of Abilene. 00z sounding from FWD exhibited seasonally strong instability with around 3000 J/kg MLCAPE, and adequate 0-6km bulk shear for organized updrafts. Later this evening, some increase in the LLJ is forecast across the TX South Plains, but low-level inflow is expected to remain somewhat weak farther east along the I-35 corridor. Even so, southward propagation along the instability axis is expected with these hail-producing clusters into the late-evening hours. ..Darrow.. 06/02/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 PM CDT Sun Jun 01 2025 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered large hail and isolated damaging winds remain possible this evening across portions of Texas. ...01z Update... Early-evening water-vapor imagery depicts a notable short-wave trough digging southeast across the lower MS Valley region. The tail end of this feature extends into northeast TX where it appears to be partially influential in ongoing strong/severe thunderstorm activity. Slow-moving surface boundary is currently draped across the south side of the Metroplex, extending into northwest TX, north of Abilene. 00z sounding from FWD exhibited seasonally strong instability with around 3000 J/kg MLCAPE, and adequate 0-6km bulk shear for organized updrafts. Later this evening, some increase in the LLJ is forecast across the TX South Plains, but low-level inflow is expected to remain somewhat weak farther east along the I-35 corridor. Even so, southward propagation along the instability axis is expected with these hail-producing clusters into the late-evening hours. ..Darrow.. 06/02/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 PM CDT Sun Jun 01 2025 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered large hail and isolated damaging winds remain possible this evening across portions of Texas. ...01z Update... Early-evening water-vapor imagery depicts a notable short-wave trough digging southeast across the lower MS Valley region. The tail end of this feature extends into northeast TX where it appears to be partially influential in ongoing strong/severe thunderstorm activity. Slow-moving surface boundary is currently draped across the south side of the Metroplex, extending into northwest TX, north of Abilene. 00z sounding from FWD exhibited seasonally strong instability with around 3000 J/kg MLCAPE, and adequate 0-6km bulk shear for organized updrafts. Later this evening, some increase in the LLJ is forecast across the TX South Plains, but low-level inflow is expected to remain somewhat weak farther east along the I-35 corridor. Even so, southward propagation along the instability axis is expected with these hail-producing clusters into the late-evening hours. ..Darrow.. 06/02/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 PM CDT Sun Jun 01 2025 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered large hail and isolated damaging winds remain possible this evening across portions of Texas. ...01z Update... Early-evening water-vapor imagery depicts a notable short-wave trough digging southeast across the lower MS Valley region. The tail end of this feature extends into northeast TX where it appears to be partially influential in ongoing strong/severe thunderstorm activity. Slow-moving surface boundary is currently draped across the south side of the Metroplex, extending into northwest TX, north of Abilene. 00z sounding from FWD exhibited seasonally strong instability with around 3000 J/kg MLCAPE, and adequate 0-6km bulk shear for organized updrafts. Later this evening, some increase in the LLJ is forecast across the TX South Plains, but low-level inflow is expected to remain somewhat weak farther east along the I-35 corridor. Even so, southward propagation along the instability axis is expected with these hail-producing clusters into the late-evening hours. ..Darrow.. 06/02/2025 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 PM CDT Sun Jun 01 2025 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered large hail and isolated damaging winds remain possible this evening across portions of Texas. ...01z Update... Early-evening water-vapor imagery depicts a notable short-wave trough digging southeast across the lower MS Valley region. The tail end of this feature extends into northeast TX where it appears to be partially influential in ongoing strong/severe thunderstorm activity. Slow-moving surface boundary is currently draped across the south side of the Metroplex, extending into northwest TX, north of Abilene. 00z sounding from FWD exhibited seasonally strong instability with around 3000 J/kg MLCAPE, and adequate 0-6km bulk shear for organized updrafts. Later this evening, some increase in the LLJ is forecast across the TX South Plains, but low-level inflow is expected to remain somewhat weak farther east along the I-35 corridor. Even so, southward propagation along the instability axis is expected with these hail-producing clusters into the late-evening hours. ..Darrow.. 06/02/2025 Read more

WW 0352 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 352 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1068 ..DEAN..06/02/25 ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 352 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC015-027-035-041-051-093-099-133-139-143-145-157-161-185-193- 201-217-221-225-251-289-291-293-309-313-331-339-349-363-367-373- 395-407-425-455-471-473-477-020140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUSTIN BELL BOSQUE BRAZOS BURLESON COMANCHE CORYELL EASTLAND ELLIS ERATH FALLS FORT BEND FREESTONE GRIMES HAMILTON HARRIS HILL HOOD HOUSTON JOHNSON LEON LIBERTY LIMESTONE MCLENNAN MADISON MILAM MONTGOMERY NAVARRO PALO PINTO PARKER POLK ROBERTSON SAN JACINTO SOMERVELL TRINITY WALKER WALLER WASHINGTON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL Read more

MD 1066 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 352... FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL/NORTH-CENTRAL TX
Mesoscale Discussion 1066 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0618 PM CDT Sun Jun 01 2025 Areas affected...Parts of central/north-central TX Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 352... Valid 012318Z - 020045Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 352 continues. SUMMARY...A few supercells remain possible into this evening, with a threat of large hail, locally damaging wind, and possibly a tornado. DISCUSSION...One longer-lived supercell is ongoing northeast of Austin as of 2315 UTC, along a southward-moving outflow. Other renewed storm development is ongoing across north-central TX, near the intersection of the modifying outflow and a quasistationary west-to-east oriented surface boundary. MLCAPE of 2500 J/kg or greater and 35-45 kt of northwesterly deep-layer shear will continue to support supercell development through the early evening, with a threat of very large hail and localized damaging gusts. While low-level flow is generally weak, strongly veering flow in the lowest 3 km is supporting effective SRH of greater than 150 m2/s2 to the cool side of the modifying outflow boundary. This could support some tornado potential with any intense right-moving supercells that are able to propagate southward in the vicinity of the boundary. Longevity of the southernmost cell is uncertain as it encounters gradually warming midlevel temperatures and decreasing buoyancy, but local expansion of WW 352 may be needed if it continues to propagate southward across central TX. ..Dean/Hart.. 06/01/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT... LAT...LON 32989932 32939803 32939725 32749693 32469675 31899652 31289641 30929640 30629640 30369646 30179685 30229737 30639777 31139802 31499834 31769857 32109892 32679934 32989932 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

MD 1067 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SOUTHEAST NC INTO EXTREME NORTHEAST SC
Mesoscale Discussion 1067 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0650 PM CDT Sun Jun 01 2025 Areas affected...Southeast NC into extreme northeast SC Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 012350Z - 020115Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Locally damaging wind may accompany an ongoing storm cluster before it moves offshore, with some redevelopment possible along its southwest flank. DISCUSSION...A small but vigorous storm cluster has developed across southeast NC early this evening. This cluster is approaching a low-level moisture/instability gradient, and may tend to weaken once it moves into the less unstable environment. However, localized wind damage could accompany this cluster as it approaches the coast. The western portion of the outflow with this cluster will move through a somewhat more moist/unstable environment, with potential for strong storm development within a modestly sheared environment into extreme northeast SC/southeast NC through the evening. ..Dean/Hart.. 06/01/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CAE... LAT...LON 33657888 34407978 34798024 34928020 34837971 34717816 34487761 34187768 34067777 33857794 33757813 33657888 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more