Aggregator

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1212 AM CST Sat Feb 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... On Sunday, a surface low will slowly deepen across Texas as a mid-level trough overspreads the region. Windy conditions are expected in vicinity of this surface low. Some of these stronger winds will overspread a dry airmass near the Rio Grande. In this vicinity, winds of 25 mph with relative humidity in the teens is expected. However, ERC percentiles remain above average in this region due to the wet pattern. Some increase in initial attack may occur, but large-fire potential is expected to be too minimal to warrant an Elevated delineation. ..Bentley.. 02/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1212 AM CST Sat Feb 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... On Sunday, a surface low will slowly deepen across Texas as a mid-level trough overspreads the region. Windy conditions are expected in vicinity of this surface low. Some of these stronger winds will overspread a dry airmass near the Rio Grande. In this vicinity, winds of 25 mph with relative humidity in the teens is expected. However, ERC percentiles remain above average in this region due to the wet pattern. Some increase in initial attack may occur, but large-fire potential is expected to be too minimal to warrant an Elevated delineation. ..Bentley.. 02/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1212 AM CST Sat Feb 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... On Sunday, a surface low will slowly deepen across Texas as a mid-level trough overspreads the region. Windy conditions are expected in vicinity of this surface low. Some of these stronger winds will overspread a dry airmass near the Rio Grande. In this vicinity, winds of 25 mph with relative humidity in the teens is expected. However, ERC percentiles remain above average in this region due to the wet pattern. Some increase in initial attack may occur, but large-fire potential is expected to be too minimal to warrant an Elevated delineation. ..Bentley.. 02/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1212 AM CST Sat Feb 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... On Sunday, a surface low will slowly deepen across Texas as a mid-level trough overspreads the region. Windy conditions are expected in vicinity of this surface low. Some of these stronger winds will overspread a dry airmass near the Rio Grande. In this vicinity, winds of 25 mph with relative humidity in the teens is expected. However, ERC percentiles remain above average in this region due to the wet pattern. Some increase in initial attack may occur, but large-fire potential is expected to be too minimal to warrant an Elevated delineation. ..Bentley.. 02/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1212 AM CST Sat Feb 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... On Sunday, a surface low will slowly deepen across Texas as a mid-level trough overspreads the region. Windy conditions are expected in vicinity of this surface low. Some of these stronger winds will overspread a dry airmass near the Rio Grande. In this vicinity, winds of 25 mph with relative humidity in the teens is expected. However, ERC percentiles remain above average in this region due to the wet pattern. Some increase in initial attack may occur, but large-fire potential is expected to be too minimal to warrant an Elevated delineation. ..Bentley.. 02/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1212 AM CST Sat Feb 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... On Sunday, a surface low will slowly deepen across Texas as a mid-level trough overspreads the region. Windy conditions are expected in vicinity of this surface low. Some of these stronger winds will overspread a dry airmass near the Rio Grande. In this vicinity, winds of 25 mph with relative humidity in the teens is expected. However, ERC percentiles remain above average in this region due to the wet pattern. Some increase in initial attack may occur, but large-fire potential is expected to be too minimal to warrant an Elevated delineation. ..Bentley.. 02/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1212 AM CST Sat Feb 10 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Dry and breezy conditions are expected across northern New Mexico today as a strong mid-level jet digs into the region and a surface low develops in the southern High Plains. Some Elevated wind/relative humidity may extend into the Texas Big Bend, but given marginally dry fuels, no Elevated delineation is warranted. Elsewhere, cool and/or moist conditions are expected and fire-weather concerns should be minimal. ..Bentley.. 02/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1212 AM CST Sat Feb 10 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Dry and breezy conditions are expected across northern New Mexico today as a strong mid-level jet digs into the region and a surface low develops in the southern High Plains. Some Elevated wind/relative humidity may extend into the Texas Big Bend, but given marginally dry fuels, no Elevated delineation is warranted. Elsewhere, cool and/or moist conditions are expected and fire-weather concerns should be minimal. ..Bentley.. 02/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1212 AM CST Sat Feb 10 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Dry and breezy conditions are expected across northern New Mexico today as a strong mid-level jet digs into the region and a surface low develops in the southern High Plains. Some Elevated wind/relative humidity may extend into the Texas Big Bend, but given marginally dry fuels, no Elevated delineation is warranted. Elsewhere, cool and/or moist conditions are expected and fire-weather concerns should be minimal. ..Bentley.. 02/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1212 AM CST Sat Feb 10 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Dry and breezy conditions are expected across northern New Mexico today as a strong mid-level jet digs into the region and a surface low develops in the southern High Plains. Some Elevated wind/relative humidity may extend into the Texas Big Bend, but given marginally dry fuels, no Elevated delineation is warranted. Elsewhere, cool and/or moist conditions are expected and fire-weather concerns should be minimal. ..Bentley.. 02/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1212 AM CST Sat Feb 10 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Dry and breezy conditions are expected across northern New Mexico today as a strong mid-level jet digs into the region and a surface low develops in the southern High Plains. Some Elevated wind/relative humidity may extend into the Texas Big Bend, but given marginally dry fuels, no Elevated delineation is warranted. Elsewhere, cool and/or moist conditions are expected and fire-weather concerns should be minimal. ..Bentley.. 02/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1212 AM CST Sat Feb 10 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Dry and breezy conditions are expected across northern New Mexico today as a strong mid-level jet digs into the region and a surface low develops in the southern High Plains. Some Elevated wind/relative humidity may extend into the Texas Big Bend, but given marginally dry fuels, no Elevated delineation is warranted. Elsewhere, cool and/or moist conditions are expected and fire-weather concerns should be minimal. ..Bentley.. 02/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1212 AM CST Sat Feb 10 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Dry and breezy conditions are expected across northern New Mexico today as a strong mid-level jet digs into the region and a surface low develops in the southern High Plains. Some Elevated wind/relative humidity may extend into the Texas Big Bend, but given marginally dry fuels, no Elevated delineation is warranted. Elsewhere, cool and/or moist conditions are expected and fire-weather concerns should be minimal. ..Bentley.. 02/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

Central Texans were turning to their faith and prayer for rain as aquifers were extremely low and rivers were running dry. KXAN (Austin, Texas), Aug 23, 2023

The aging infrastructure in Odessa and Midland was breaking and spilling water due to the ground shifting or the high water demand and changes in pressure. KWES-TV NewsWest 9 (Odessa, Texas), Aug 24, 2023

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1137 PM CST Fri Feb 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms with large hail, isolated damaging winds, and a marginal tornado threat are expected across parts of Texas into Louisiana. Some hail may be large across portions of south Texas. ...TX/LA... Dominant upper trough, currently located from the Great Basin, south to the Baja Peninsula, is forecast to advance into the southern Rockies by the end of the period where a 500mb upper low is expected by 11/12z. As this trough shifts east, midlevel height falls will encourage a low-latitude short-wave trough to eject across northern Mexico toward south TX. This lead feature should aid some semblance of a LLJ across coastal TX into LA early, then a secondary LLJ should respond to the primary upper trough over west TX during the overnight hours. Both features will likely be responsible for bouts of convection, some of it potentially severe. Latest guidance suggests the primary surface front will advance into the Arklatex, arcing across central TX into southeast NM by 18z, then slowly shift southeast during the overnight hours. Surface dew points probably won't increase much across the warm sector ahead of the wind shift, but lower-mid 60s dew points will be common. Timing of the most robust convection is likely with the aforementioned short waves, modulated by the LLJ. Strong shear supports organized updrafts and isolated supercells are possible. The first bout of potential supercells is expected across south-central TX by early afternoon, with this activity shifting northeast ahead of the frontal zone toward LA. Upstream, strong boundary-layer heating will occur across far west TX into the frontal zone draped across the TX South Plains. This should aid buoyancy ahead of the second feature. Forecast soundings suggest lapse rates will steepen significantly after 03z, and substantial elevated instability (in excess of 1500 J/kg) will evolve across the Edwards Plateau. Strongly forced convection is expected to develop by late evening across this region and very large hail may accompany the most robust supercells. This activity will spread toward central/south-central TX after midnight. ..Darrow/Bentley.. 02/10/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1137 PM CST Fri Feb 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms with large hail, isolated damaging winds, and a marginal tornado threat are expected across parts of Texas into Louisiana. Some hail may be large across portions of south Texas. ...TX/LA... Dominant upper trough, currently located from the Great Basin, south to the Baja Peninsula, is forecast to advance into the southern Rockies by the end of the period where a 500mb upper low is expected by 11/12z. As this trough shifts east, midlevel height falls will encourage a low-latitude short-wave trough to eject across northern Mexico toward south TX. This lead feature should aid some semblance of a LLJ across coastal TX into LA early, then a secondary LLJ should respond to the primary upper trough over west TX during the overnight hours. Both features will likely be responsible for bouts of convection, some of it potentially severe. Latest guidance suggests the primary surface front will advance into the Arklatex, arcing across central TX into southeast NM by 18z, then slowly shift southeast during the overnight hours. Surface dew points probably won't increase much across the warm sector ahead of the wind shift, but lower-mid 60s dew points will be common. Timing of the most robust convection is likely with the aforementioned short waves, modulated by the LLJ. Strong shear supports organized updrafts and isolated supercells are possible. The first bout of potential supercells is expected across south-central TX by early afternoon, with this activity shifting northeast ahead of the frontal zone toward LA. Upstream, strong boundary-layer heating will occur across far west TX into the frontal zone draped across the TX South Plains. This should aid buoyancy ahead of the second feature. Forecast soundings suggest lapse rates will steepen significantly after 03z, and substantial elevated instability (in excess of 1500 J/kg) will evolve across the Edwards Plateau. Strongly forced convection is expected to develop by late evening across this region and very large hail may accompany the most robust supercells. This activity will spread toward central/south-central TX after midnight. ..Darrow/Bentley.. 02/10/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1137 PM CST Fri Feb 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms with large hail, isolated damaging winds, and a marginal tornado threat are expected across parts of Texas into Louisiana. Some hail may be large across portions of south Texas. ...TX/LA... Dominant upper trough, currently located from the Great Basin, south to the Baja Peninsula, is forecast to advance into the southern Rockies by the end of the period where a 500mb upper low is expected by 11/12z. As this trough shifts east, midlevel height falls will encourage a low-latitude short-wave trough to eject across northern Mexico toward south TX. This lead feature should aid some semblance of a LLJ across coastal TX into LA early, then a secondary LLJ should respond to the primary upper trough over west TX during the overnight hours. Both features will likely be responsible for bouts of convection, some of it potentially severe. Latest guidance suggests the primary surface front will advance into the Arklatex, arcing across central TX into southeast NM by 18z, then slowly shift southeast during the overnight hours. Surface dew points probably won't increase much across the warm sector ahead of the wind shift, but lower-mid 60s dew points will be common. Timing of the most robust convection is likely with the aforementioned short waves, modulated by the LLJ. Strong shear supports organized updrafts and isolated supercells are possible. The first bout of potential supercells is expected across south-central TX by early afternoon, with this activity shifting northeast ahead of the frontal zone toward LA. Upstream, strong boundary-layer heating will occur across far west TX into the frontal zone draped across the TX South Plains. This should aid buoyancy ahead of the second feature. Forecast soundings suggest lapse rates will steepen significantly after 03z, and substantial elevated instability (in excess of 1500 J/kg) will evolve across the Edwards Plateau. Strongly forced convection is expected to develop by late evening across this region and very large hail may accompany the most robust supercells. This activity will spread toward central/south-central TX after midnight. ..Darrow/Bentley.. 02/10/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1137 PM CST Fri Feb 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms with large hail, isolated damaging winds, and a marginal tornado threat are expected across parts of Texas into Louisiana. Some hail may be large across portions of south Texas. ...TX/LA... Dominant upper trough, currently located from the Great Basin, south to the Baja Peninsula, is forecast to advance into the southern Rockies by the end of the period where a 500mb upper low is expected by 11/12z. As this trough shifts east, midlevel height falls will encourage a low-latitude short-wave trough to eject across northern Mexico toward south TX. This lead feature should aid some semblance of a LLJ across coastal TX into LA early, then a secondary LLJ should respond to the primary upper trough over west TX during the overnight hours. Both features will likely be responsible for bouts of convection, some of it potentially severe. Latest guidance suggests the primary surface front will advance into the Arklatex, arcing across central TX into southeast NM by 18z, then slowly shift southeast during the overnight hours. Surface dew points probably won't increase much across the warm sector ahead of the wind shift, but lower-mid 60s dew points will be common. Timing of the most robust convection is likely with the aforementioned short waves, modulated by the LLJ. Strong shear supports organized updrafts and isolated supercells are possible. The first bout of potential supercells is expected across south-central TX by early afternoon, with this activity shifting northeast ahead of the frontal zone toward LA. Upstream, strong boundary-layer heating will occur across far west TX into the frontal zone draped across the TX South Plains. This should aid buoyancy ahead of the second feature. Forecast soundings suggest lapse rates will steepen significantly after 03z, and substantial elevated instability (in excess of 1500 J/kg) will evolve across the Edwards Plateau. Strongly forced convection is expected to develop by late evening across this region and very large hail may accompany the most robust supercells. This activity will spread toward central/south-central TX after midnight. ..Darrow/Bentley.. 02/10/2024 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1137 PM CST Fri Feb 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms with large hail, isolated damaging winds, and a marginal tornado threat are expected across parts of Texas into Louisiana. Some hail may be large across portions of south Texas. ...TX/LA... Dominant upper trough, currently located from the Great Basin, south to the Baja Peninsula, is forecast to advance into the southern Rockies by the end of the period where a 500mb upper low is expected by 11/12z. As this trough shifts east, midlevel height falls will encourage a low-latitude short-wave trough to eject across northern Mexico toward south TX. This lead feature should aid some semblance of a LLJ across coastal TX into LA early, then a secondary LLJ should respond to the primary upper trough over west TX during the overnight hours. Both features will likely be responsible for bouts of convection, some of it potentially severe. Latest guidance suggests the primary surface front will advance into the Arklatex, arcing across central TX into southeast NM by 18z, then slowly shift southeast during the overnight hours. Surface dew points probably won't increase much across the warm sector ahead of the wind shift, but lower-mid 60s dew points will be common. Timing of the most robust convection is likely with the aforementioned short waves, modulated by the LLJ. Strong shear supports organized updrafts and isolated supercells are possible. The first bout of potential supercells is expected across south-central TX by early afternoon, with this activity shifting northeast ahead of the frontal zone toward LA. Upstream, strong boundary-layer heating will occur across far west TX into the frontal zone draped across the TX South Plains. This should aid buoyancy ahead of the second feature. Forecast soundings suggest lapse rates will steepen significantly after 03z, and substantial elevated instability (in excess of 1500 J/kg) will evolve across the Edwards Plateau. Strongly forced convection is expected to develop by late evening across this region and very large hail may accompany the most robust supercells. This activity will spread toward central/south-central TX after midnight. ..Darrow/Bentley.. 02/10/2024 Read more