SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 6 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0149 AM CST Thu Feb 15 2024 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A lee cyclone will develop across eastern Colorado today. This will lead to some breezy conditions in portions of the central and Southern High Plains. Some locally Elevated meteorological fire weather conditions are expected across portions of eastern New Mexico. However, fuels are quite moist in the area and therefore the threat for large fires remains minimal. ..Bentley.. 02/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Feb 15, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

1 year 6 months ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1217 AM CST Thu Feb 15 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United States on Friday. ...Synopsis... A low-amplitude disturbance initially over OK will quickly move east into increasingly confluent mid-level flow over the Mid South. A larger scale mid-level trough will pivot southeast across the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes. A weak elongated area of low pressure will develop east from OK to the VA/NC coast during the period as a cold front sweeps southeast across the Arklatex/lower MS Valley. Isolated to scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are possible over the Arklatex into the Mid South mainly during the day and early evening. Scant to weak buoyancy will limit storm vigor and likely preclude severe thunderstorm activity. ..Smith.. 02/15/2024 Read more

SPC Feb 15, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

1 year 6 months ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1217 AM CST Thu Feb 15 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United States on Friday. ...Synopsis... A low-amplitude disturbance initially over OK will quickly move east into increasingly confluent mid-level flow over the Mid South. A larger scale mid-level trough will pivot southeast across the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes. A weak elongated area of low pressure will develop east from OK to the VA/NC coast during the period as a cold front sweeps southeast across the Arklatex/lower MS Valley. Isolated to scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are possible over the Arklatex into the Mid South mainly during the day and early evening. Scant to weak buoyancy will limit storm vigor and likely preclude severe thunderstorm activity. ..Smith.. 02/15/2024 Read more

SPC Feb 15, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

1 year 6 months ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1217 AM CST Thu Feb 15 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United States on Friday. ...Synopsis... A low-amplitude disturbance initially over OK will quickly move east into increasingly confluent mid-level flow over the Mid South. A larger scale mid-level trough will pivot southeast across the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes. A weak elongated area of low pressure will develop east from OK to the VA/NC coast during the period as a cold front sweeps southeast across the Arklatex/lower MS Valley. Isolated to scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are possible over the Arklatex into the Mid South mainly during the day and early evening. Scant to weak buoyancy will limit storm vigor and likely preclude severe thunderstorm activity. ..Smith.. 02/15/2024 Read more

SPC Feb 15, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

1 year 6 months ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1217 AM CST Thu Feb 15 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United States on Friday. ...Synopsis... A low-amplitude disturbance initially over OK will quickly move east into increasingly confluent mid-level flow over the Mid South. A larger scale mid-level trough will pivot southeast across the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes. A weak elongated area of low pressure will develop east from OK to the VA/NC coast during the period as a cold front sweeps southeast across the Arklatex/lower MS Valley. Isolated to scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are possible over the Arklatex into the Mid South mainly during the day and early evening. Scant to weak buoyancy will limit storm vigor and likely preclude severe thunderstorm activity. ..Smith.. 02/15/2024 Read more

SPC Feb 15, 2024 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

1 year 6 months ago
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1217 AM CST Thu Feb 15 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United States on Friday. ...Synopsis... A low-amplitude disturbance initially over OK will quickly move east into increasingly confluent mid-level flow over the Mid South. A larger scale mid-level trough will pivot southeast across the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes. A weak elongated area of low pressure will develop east from OK to the VA/NC coast during the period as a cold front sweeps southeast across the Arklatex/lower MS Valley. Isolated to scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are possible over the Arklatex into the Mid South mainly during the day and early evening. Scant to weak buoyancy will limit storm vigor and likely preclude severe thunderstorm activity. ..Smith.. 02/15/2024 Read more

Drought, freezing weather contributed to crawfish scarcity, high prices in Texas, Louisiana

1 year 6 months ago
Drought and freezing temperatures have delayed the crawfish season in Louisiana and East Texas. The crawfish season usually begins in January and stretches until July, but the January harvest was roughly 10% of usual, according to a crawfish distributor in Austin. The crawfish were also smaller, so they were difficult to eat and less likely to survive the eight-hour trip to Central Texas. The freezing weather in January was also hard on the crawfish as the crustaceans struggled to get enough oxygen in the frozen ponds. With fewer crawfish available, restaurants were charging $16 to $22 per pound just to break even, according to local vendors. A restaurant in Georgetown planned to begin selling mudbugs this year, but was deterred by the high prices. Another restaurant owner began driving to Louisiana to get some crawfish, but found that half of them were dead by the time he returned with them. Selling crawfish was not profitable yet this year. Community Impact – Austin (Texas), Feb 13, 2024 Farmers and restaurateurs were in a supply crisis as crawfish season began after a summer of drought and intense heat in Louisiana. Gov. John Bel Edwards declared a state of emergency due to the heat. In October, there was not enough freshwater to flood the fields, which encourages crawfish to emerge from their burrows and repopulate. The January freeze also hurt the crustaceans. Altogether, the loss to Louisiana’s $230 million crawfish industry was an estimated 60%. A crawfish distributor in Crowley, Louisiana who sells to H-E-B has normally bought from 100,000 to 150,000 pounds of mudbugs in the first week of February, but this year, he only bought 6,000 pounds, which is not enough for the grocery chain, so he sold to restaurants. At two farms in Acadia and Allen parishes in early February, just ten pounds of crawfish were harvested, in comparison to the normal of nearly 400 pounds. The marine extension agent for LSU AgCenter thought that 75% to 90% of Louisiana’s farm-raised crawfish could be lost this year due to extreme weather. In Texas, crawfish farmers were faring slightly better for a number of possible reasons, according to an aquaculture extension specialist and marine extension agent of Texas A&M. Texas producers typically begin to harvest in late February, so it was not yet clear how Texas crawfish were affected by the drought and heat of the summer. Producers in the Hamshire and Sour Lake area of Harris County in Southeast Texas were not too worried about the crawfish. A crawfish restaurant in Crosby, about 25 miles east of Houston, opened on January 31 and sold them for $13 per pound. The owner has since closed to wait for prices to fall a bit because he felt badly charging so much for crawfish. A Beaumont restaurant usually sees sales jump 15% to 20% during crawfish season. This year, crawdads will not be sold until the wholesale price came down to $5 per pound. One of the co-owners has seen competitors selling them for $12 to $17 per pound, buy did not feel that his customers would tolerate that. An Austin seafood market received up to 40 calls per day from people seeking crawfish for the Super Bowl. The owner is not sure whether she will carry crawfish at all this year. A Houston restaurant owner initially sold mudbugs for $16 per pound in early January, which led to accusations of price gouging. On January 20, the price was lowered to $12.99 per pound. As of mid-February, the cost is $11.99. This year, total sales in January amounted to $2,900. Last January, sales were between $100,000 and $120,000. Texas Monthly (Austin), Feb 13, 2024 A San Antonio restaurant has gotten some field run crawfish in, which is a mix of sizes rather than all larger crawfish. They were selling for $13.99 per pound, although the price would usually be $7.99 per pound or sometimes maybe $6.99. KENS5 (San Antonio, Texas), Feb 13, 2024 A restaurant that sells crawfish in Bryan was having trouble getting the mudbugs. Sales of the crustaceans was down 5,500 pounds this year compared to 2023. The week of the Super Bowl this year, they sold about 600 pounds, in comparison with about 6,000 pounds last year. The effect of the reduction to the crawfish population was being felt industrywide, from the fishermen to the suppliers to the restaurants. KBTX (Bryan, Texas), Feb 13, 2024

SPC Feb 15, 2024 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 6 months ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1121 PM CST Wed Feb 14 2024 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm probabilities are very low today. ...Discussion... Active, progressive northern stream will continue across the CONUS today. Several notable short-wave troughs will advance inland across the Pacific Northwest, and over the OH Valley/Great Lakes. While large-scale ascent/midlevel moistening will be noted ahead of each of these features, forecast soundings don't exhibit more than very weak buoyancy. Any convection that develops in response to these short waves will be shallow and the threat for lightning is very low. ..Darrow/Bentley.. 02/15/2024 Read more

SPC Feb 15, 2024 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 6 months ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1121 PM CST Wed Feb 14 2024 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm probabilities are very low today. ...Discussion... Active, progressive northern stream will continue across the CONUS today. Several notable short-wave troughs will advance inland across the Pacific Northwest, and over the OH Valley/Great Lakes. While large-scale ascent/midlevel moistening will be noted ahead of each of these features, forecast soundings don't exhibit more than very weak buoyancy. Any convection that develops in response to these short waves will be shallow and the threat for lightning is very low. ..Darrow/Bentley.. 02/15/2024 Read more

SPC Feb 15, 2024 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 6 months ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1121 PM CST Wed Feb 14 2024 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm probabilities are very low today. ...Discussion... Active, progressive northern stream will continue across the CONUS today. Several notable short-wave troughs will advance inland across the Pacific Northwest, and over the OH Valley/Great Lakes. While large-scale ascent/midlevel moistening will be noted ahead of each of these features, forecast soundings don't exhibit more than very weak buoyancy. Any convection that develops in response to these short waves will be shallow and the threat for lightning is very low. ..Darrow/Bentley.. 02/15/2024 Read more

SPC Feb 15, 2024 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 6 months ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1121 PM CST Wed Feb 14 2024 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm probabilities are very low today. ...Discussion... Active, progressive northern stream will continue across the CONUS today. Several notable short-wave troughs will advance inland across the Pacific Northwest, and over the OH Valley/Great Lakes. While large-scale ascent/midlevel moistening will be noted ahead of each of these features, forecast soundings don't exhibit more than very weak buoyancy. Any convection that develops in response to these short waves will be shallow and the threat for lightning is very low. ..Darrow/Bentley.. 02/15/2024 Read more

SPC Feb 15, 2024 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 6 months ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1121 PM CST Wed Feb 14 2024 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm probabilities are very low today. ...Discussion... Active, progressive northern stream will continue across the CONUS today. Several notable short-wave troughs will advance inland across the Pacific Northwest, and over the OH Valley/Great Lakes. While large-scale ascent/midlevel moistening will be noted ahead of each of these features, forecast soundings don't exhibit more than very weak buoyancy. Any convection that develops in response to these short waves will be shallow and the threat for lightning is very low. ..Darrow/Bentley.. 02/15/2024 Read more

SPC Feb 15, 2024 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 6 months ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1121 PM CST Wed Feb 14 2024 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm probabilities are very low today. ...Discussion... Active, progressive northern stream will continue across the CONUS today. Several notable short-wave troughs will advance inland across the Pacific Northwest, and over the OH Valley/Great Lakes. While large-scale ascent/midlevel moistening will be noted ahead of each of these features, forecast soundings don't exhibit more than very weak buoyancy. Any convection that develops in response to these short waves will be shallow and the threat for lightning is very low. ..Darrow/Bentley.. 02/15/2024 Read more

SPC Feb 15, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 6 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0642 PM CST Wed Feb 14 2024 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast tonight. ...01z Update... Most of the CONUS will remain lightning-free tonight but a few areas may experience isolated thunderstorms. One area is over the lower MO/mid-MS Valley region. Notable short-wave trough is approaching this region. Forecast soundings suggest sustained large-scale ascent/moistening should lead to weak elevated instability later tonight. Weak convection may develop in response to this feature and lightning can not be ruled out with a few updrafts. Strong short-wave trough is also advancing toward the northern CA Coast early this evening. Cooling midlevel temperatures will contribute to weak buoyancy and a few thunderstorms may evolve north of the upper jet as it translates inland. ..Darrow.. 02/15/2024 Read more

SPC Feb 15, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 6 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0642 PM CST Wed Feb 14 2024 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast tonight. ...01z Update... Most of the CONUS will remain lightning-free tonight but a few areas may experience isolated thunderstorms. One area is over the lower MO/mid-MS Valley region. Notable short-wave trough is approaching this region. Forecast soundings suggest sustained large-scale ascent/moistening should lead to weak elevated instability later tonight. Weak convection may develop in response to this feature and lightning can not be ruled out with a few updrafts. Strong short-wave trough is also advancing toward the northern CA Coast early this evening. Cooling midlevel temperatures will contribute to weak buoyancy and a few thunderstorms may evolve north of the upper jet as it translates inland. ..Darrow.. 02/15/2024 Read more

SPC Feb 15, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 6 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0642 PM CST Wed Feb 14 2024 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast tonight. ...01z Update... Most of the CONUS will remain lightning-free tonight but a few areas may experience isolated thunderstorms. One area is over the lower MO/mid-MS Valley region. Notable short-wave trough is approaching this region. Forecast soundings suggest sustained large-scale ascent/moistening should lead to weak elevated instability later tonight. Weak convection may develop in response to this feature and lightning can not be ruled out with a few updrafts. Strong short-wave trough is also advancing toward the northern CA Coast early this evening. Cooling midlevel temperatures will contribute to weak buoyancy and a few thunderstorms may evolve north of the upper jet as it translates inland. ..Darrow.. 02/15/2024 Read more

SPC Feb 15, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 year 6 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0642 PM CST Wed Feb 14 2024 Valid 150100Z - 151200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast tonight. ...01z Update... Most of the CONUS will remain lightning-free tonight but a few areas may experience isolated thunderstorms. One area is over the lower MO/mid-MS Valley region. Notable short-wave trough is approaching this region. Forecast soundings suggest sustained large-scale ascent/moistening should lead to weak elevated instability later tonight. Weak convection may develop in response to this feature and lightning can not be ruled out with a few updrafts. Strong short-wave trough is also advancing toward the northern CA Coast early this evening. Cooling midlevel temperatures will contribute to weak buoyancy and a few thunderstorms may evolve north of the upper jet as it translates inland. ..Darrow.. 02/15/2024 Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 6 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0326 PM CST Wed Feb 14 2024 Valid 161200Z - 221200Z From D3/Friday through D5/Sunday, an expansive post-frontal air mass will encompass much of the central CONUS, with cold surface temperatures generally limiting fire-weather potential. Thereafter, westerly midlevel flow will strengthen across the Rockies, with multiple embedded shortwave troughs encouraging weak lee troughing and the potential for dry/breezy conditions across the southern/central High Plains. This will especially be the case on D7-D8/Tuesday-Wednesday over the southern High Plains, though confidence in the development of critical conditions is low owing to continued model disagreement and marginal fuels across the area. ..Weinman.. 02/14/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more