Aggregator

WW 0091 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 91 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BENTLEY..04/08/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...SJT...LUB...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 91 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC009-023-033-059-081-107-125-151-169-173-207-227-253-263-269- 275-335-353-415-417-429-431-433-441-447-503-090140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARCHER BAYLOR BORDEN CALLAHAN COKE CROSBY DICKENS FISHER GARZA GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOWARD JONES KENT KING KNOX MITCHELL NOLAN SCURRY SHACKELFORD STEPHENS STERLING STONEWALL TAYLOR THROCKMORTON YOUNG THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 90 TORNADO LA TX 081825Z - 090100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 90 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 125 PM CDT Mon Apr 8 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northern and western Louisiana Central and east Texas * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 125 PM until 800 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter likely Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Supercells posing a threat for very large hail and a couple of tornadoes should gradually increase in coverage and intensity this afternoon as they spread east-northeastward. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles west northwest of College Station TX to 35 miles north northeast of Alexandria LA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Gleason Read more

WW 0091 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 91 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BENTLEY..04/08/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...SJT...LUB...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 91 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC009-023-033-059-081-107-125-151-169-173-207-227-253-263-269- 275-335-353-415-417-429-431-433-441-447-503-090140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARCHER BAYLOR BORDEN CALLAHAN COKE CROSBY DICKENS FISHER GARZA GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOWARD JONES KENT KING KNOX MITCHELL NOLAN SCURRY SHACKELFORD STEPHENS STERLING STONEWALL TAYLOR THROCKMORTON YOUNG THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 91 SEVERE TSTM TX 082225Z - 090400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 91 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 525 PM CDT Mon Apr 8 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northwest Texas * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 525 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms will increase in coverage and intensity this afternoon, with isolated supercells expected. The strongest storms will pose a risk of very large hail and damaging wind gusts. An isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles north of Big Spring TX to 75 miles northeast of Abilene TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 90... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 26030. ...Hart Read more

MD 0387 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 90... FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL/NORTHEAST TX INTO EXTREME NORTHWEST LA/SOUTHWEST AR
Mesoscale Discussion 0387 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0555 PM CDT Mon Apr 08 2024 Areas affected...Parts of central/northeast TX into extreme northwest LA/southwest AR Concerning...Tornado Watch 90... Valid 082255Z - 090030Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 90 continues. SUMMARY...The short-term severe threat remains uncertain, but a couple stronger supercells and/or storm clusters could evolve with time this evening, with all severe hazards possible. DISCUSSION...Convection has continued to spread northward from central into northeast TX, along the northern periphery of deeper returning low-level moisture. Despite MLCAPE in excess of 1500 J/kg and favorable deep-layer shear, convection has struggled to remain organized thus far, possibly due to a lack of stronger low-level flow and the impacts of northward-moving outflow. However, some short-term threat for hail and gusty winds may move north of WW 90 early this evening. As the low-level jet strengthens a little later this evening, ongoing convection may become more organized, with potential for a stronger supercell or two and/or an upscale growing cluster to develop with time. Should this occur, some increase in the tornado threat would be possible, in addition to an ongoing threat for hail and localized damaging gusts. Depending on short-term convective trends, WW 90 may need to be expanded to the north and west to cover the severe threat. Otherwise, there is some potential for additional watch issuance across parts of central/northeast TX later this evening, depending on the evolution of both ongoing convection and potential storm development to the west. ..Dean/Hart.. 04/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX... LAT...LON 30779765 32139697 33039492 33359377 32449346 31629486 30519749 30779765 Read more

MD 0386 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SOUTHEAST AR INTO NORTHERN MS AND SOUTHWEST TN
Mesoscale Discussion 0386 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0444 PM CDT Mon Apr 08 2024 Areas affected...Southeast AR into northern MS and southwest TN Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 082144Z - 082345Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Isolated large hail will remain possible through early evening. DISCUSSION...Scattered strong storms have developed this afternoon along the northern periphery of returning low-level moisture from southeast AR into northern MS and southwest TN. Low/mid 60s F dewpoints spreading northward into a region where temperatures have already warmed well into the 70s F has resulted in MLCAPE rising to 1000-1500 J/kg. Effective shear of 40-50 kt and elongated hodographs will remain supportive of supercell structures, with large hail as the primary short-term threat. Coverage of the threat will likely remain rather isolated, but one or two cells may be capable of producing hail in the 1.5 - 2 inch diameter range, as recently noted east of Memphis. Watch issuance is unlikely, unless coverage of hail-producing supercells becomes greater than currently anticipated. ..Dean/Hart.. 04/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OHX...HUN...MEG...JAN...LZK... LAT...LON 34599199 35489005 35928899 36078804 35898759 35618753 35198785 34838840 34189033 33729192 33879235 34599199 Read more

MD 0385 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF WEST/NORTHWEST TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0385 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0435 PM CDT Mon Apr 08 2024 Areas affected...Portions of West/Northwest Texas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 082135Z - 082330Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Supercells capable of large to very large hail (2-4 inches in diameter) are expected this evening, with convective initiation after 22z. Watch issuance is likely. DISCUSSION...Visible satellite trends show a steady increase in agitated cumulus development within a north-south oriented corridor across portions of West Texas. These trends are coincident with a southerly influx of richer low-level moisture across this region, characterized by surface dew point temperatures in the mid-to upper-50s F, beneath cooler mid-level temperatures with northward extent. Meanwhile, temperatures have risen into the upper 70s F amid strong heating, yielding 1000-1500 J/kg of MLCAPE. SPC mesoanalysis shows CIN has mostly eroded across the region in the last hour, indicating convective initiation may be imminent. The plume of richer low-level moisture is expected to continue advancing northward and impinge upon a diffuse cold front positioned across parts of Northwest Texas. The combined effects of surface convergence/heating will allow further destabilization and erosion of the cap after 22z, with scattered thunderstorms expected thereafter. Strong deep-layer shear and elongated/straight hodographs should yield discrete supercells, with large to very large hail (2-4 inches in diameter) the primary hazard initially. Relatively weak low-level shear is expected to limit the initial tornado potential, but as the low-level jet increases into the early evening hours, the tornado potential may increase if storms can remain discrete. ..Karstens/Bentley/Hart.. 04/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF... LAT...LON 30710081 30800165 32010196 32980225 33880102 33869956 33549869 33219844 32669805 31999836 31549955 31369989 30860030 30710081 Read more

WW 0090 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 90 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WNW BPT TO 10 SSE LFK TO 35 NW LFK TO 50 N UTS TO 35 N CLL TO 35 E AUS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0387 ..DEAN..04/08/24 ATTN...WFO...SHV...LCH...FWD...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 90 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC013-021-031-043-049-059-061-069-073-079-081-085-115-127- 090040- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BIENVILLE CALDWELL DE SOTO GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE LINCOLN NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RAPIDES RED RIVER SABINE VERNON WINN TXC001-005-073-145-161-241-289-293-331-347-351-365-395-401-403- 405-419-457-090040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON ANGELINA CHEROKEE FALLS FREESTONE JASPER LEON LIMESTONE MILAM NACOGDOCHES NEWTON PANOLA Read more

WW 90 TORNADO LA TX 081825Z - 090100Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 90 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 125 PM CDT Mon Apr 8 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northern and western Louisiana Central and east Texas * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 125 PM until 800 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter likely Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Supercells posing a threat for very large hail and a couple of tornadoes should gradually increase in coverage and intensity this afternoon as they spread east-northeastward. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles west northwest of College Station TX to 35 miles north northeast of Alexandria LA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Gleason Read more

WW 0091 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 63 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 WNW PKB TO 30 ENE PKB TO 35 WSW MGW. ..BENTLEY..03/31/24 ATTN...WFO...CLE...PBZ...ILN...RLX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 63 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS WVC001-017-033-041-073-083-085-095-097-107-310140- WV . WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBOUR DODDRIDGE HARRISON LEWIS PLEASANTS RANDOLPH RITCHIE TYLER UPSHUR WOOD THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0440 PM CDT Mon Apr 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z A closed low will propagate eastward across southern Arizona/southern New Mexico and into the central and southern Plains on D2-Tuesday, bringing potential for widespread wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures. The expected precipitation will help to moisten fuels and reduce fire weather concerns across portions of the Central/Southern Plains. Strong post frontal northwesterly flow will overlap dry conditions along the southern Texas/Mexico border on D3 - Wednesday but coverage should remain too limited to warrant probabilities. This region is expected to receive little to no rainfall on D2 Tuesday, with fuels remaining Critical. Dry and breezy conditions will be possible across portions of eastern Colorado into western Kansas, where less rainfall is expected. However, a relatively cool continental air mass should keep relative humidity above critical thresholds. For D4 - D5 Thursday to Friday, high pressure will build across the Great Plains, keeping winds low where fuels remain dry. Late in the period D6 - D7 Saturday to Sunday, another western trough is projected to begin spreading enhanced westerly flow across the southwest into the Rockies, which may bring additional periods of fire weather concerns to the central/southern Plains as well as some drying of fuels across portions of the Desert Southwest. ..Thornton.. 04/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0440 PM CDT Mon Apr 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z A closed low will propagate eastward across southern Arizona/southern New Mexico and into the central and southern Plains on D2-Tuesday, bringing potential for widespread wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures. The expected precipitation will help to moisten fuels and reduce fire weather concerns across portions of the Central/Southern Plains. Strong post frontal northwesterly flow will overlap dry conditions along the southern Texas/Mexico border on D3 - Wednesday but coverage should remain too limited to warrant probabilities. This region is expected to receive little to no rainfall on D2 Tuesday, with fuels remaining Critical. Dry and breezy conditions will be possible across portions of eastern Colorado into western Kansas, where less rainfall is expected. However, a relatively cool continental air mass should keep relative humidity above critical thresholds. For D4 - D5 Thursday to Friday, high pressure will build across the Great Plains, keeping winds low where fuels remain dry. Late in the period D6 - D7 Saturday to Sunday, another western trough is projected to begin spreading enhanced westerly flow across the southwest into the Rockies, which may bring additional periods of fire weather concerns to the central/southern Plains as well as some drying of fuels across portions of the Desert Southwest. ..Thornton.. 04/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0440 PM CDT Mon Apr 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z A closed low will propagate eastward across southern Arizona/southern New Mexico and into the central and southern Plains on D2-Tuesday, bringing potential for widespread wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures. The expected precipitation will help to moisten fuels and reduce fire weather concerns across portions of the Central/Southern Plains. Strong post frontal northwesterly flow will overlap dry conditions along the southern Texas/Mexico border on D3 - Wednesday but coverage should remain too limited to warrant probabilities. This region is expected to receive little to no rainfall on D2 Tuesday, with fuels remaining Critical. Dry and breezy conditions will be possible across portions of eastern Colorado into western Kansas, where less rainfall is expected. However, a relatively cool continental air mass should keep relative humidity above critical thresholds. For D4 - D5 Thursday to Friday, high pressure will build across the Great Plains, keeping winds low where fuels remain dry. Late in the period D6 - D7 Saturday to Sunday, another western trough is projected to begin spreading enhanced westerly flow across the southwest into the Rockies, which may bring additional periods of fire weather concerns to the central/southern Plains as well as some drying of fuels across portions of the Desert Southwest. ..Thornton.. 04/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0440 PM CDT Mon Apr 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z A closed low will propagate eastward across southern Arizona/southern New Mexico and into the central and southern Plains on D2-Tuesday, bringing potential for widespread wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures. The expected precipitation will help to moisten fuels and reduce fire weather concerns across portions of the Central/Southern Plains. Strong post frontal northwesterly flow will overlap dry conditions along the southern Texas/Mexico border on D3 - Wednesday but coverage should remain too limited to warrant probabilities. This region is expected to receive little to no rainfall on D2 Tuesday, with fuels remaining Critical. Dry and breezy conditions will be possible across portions of eastern Colorado into western Kansas, where less rainfall is expected. However, a relatively cool continental air mass should keep relative humidity above critical thresholds. For D4 - D5 Thursday to Friday, high pressure will build across the Great Plains, keeping winds low where fuels remain dry. Late in the period D6 - D7 Saturday to Sunday, another western trough is projected to begin spreading enhanced westerly flow across the southwest into the Rockies, which may bring additional periods of fire weather concerns to the central/southern Plains as well as some drying of fuels across portions of the Desert Southwest. ..Thornton.. 04/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0440 PM CDT Mon Apr 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z A closed low will propagate eastward across southern Arizona/southern New Mexico and into the central and southern Plains on D2-Tuesday, bringing potential for widespread wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures. The expected precipitation will help to moisten fuels and reduce fire weather concerns across portions of the Central/Southern Plains. Strong post frontal northwesterly flow will overlap dry conditions along the southern Texas/Mexico border on D3 - Wednesday but coverage should remain too limited to warrant probabilities. This region is expected to receive little to no rainfall on D2 Tuesday, with fuels remaining Critical. Dry and breezy conditions will be possible across portions of eastern Colorado into western Kansas, where less rainfall is expected. However, a relatively cool continental air mass should keep relative humidity above critical thresholds. For D4 - D5 Thursday to Friday, high pressure will build across the Great Plains, keeping winds low where fuels remain dry. Late in the period D6 - D7 Saturday to Sunday, another western trough is projected to begin spreading enhanced westerly flow across the southwest into the Rockies, which may bring additional periods of fire weather concerns to the central/southern Plains as well as some drying of fuels across portions of the Desert Southwest. ..Thornton.. 04/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0440 PM CDT Mon Apr 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z A closed low will propagate eastward across southern Arizona/southern New Mexico and into the central and southern Plains on D2-Tuesday, bringing potential for widespread wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures. The expected precipitation will help to moisten fuels and reduce fire weather concerns across portions of the Central/Southern Plains. Strong post frontal northwesterly flow will overlap dry conditions along the southern Texas/Mexico border on D3 - Wednesday but coverage should remain too limited to warrant probabilities. This region is expected to receive little to no rainfall on D2 Tuesday, with fuels remaining Critical. Dry and breezy conditions will be possible across portions of eastern Colorado into western Kansas, where less rainfall is expected. However, a relatively cool continental air mass should keep relative humidity above critical thresholds. For D4 - D5 Thursday to Friday, high pressure will build across the Great Plains, keeping winds low where fuels remain dry. Late in the period D6 - D7 Saturday to Sunday, another western trough is projected to begin spreading enhanced westerly flow across the southwest into the Rockies, which may bring additional periods of fire weather concerns to the central/southern Plains as well as some drying of fuels across portions of the Desert Southwest. ..Thornton.. 04/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0440 PM CDT Mon Apr 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z A closed low will propagate eastward across southern Arizona/southern New Mexico and into the central and southern Plains on D2-Tuesday, bringing potential for widespread wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures. The expected precipitation will help to moisten fuels and reduce fire weather concerns across portions of the Central/Southern Plains. Strong post frontal northwesterly flow will overlap dry conditions along the southern Texas/Mexico border on D3 - Wednesday but coverage should remain too limited to warrant probabilities. This region is expected to receive little to no rainfall on D2 Tuesday, with fuels remaining Critical. Dry and breezy conditions will be possible across portions of eastern Colorado into western Kansas, where less rainfall is expected. However, a relatively cool continental air mass should keep relative humidity above critical thresholds. For D4 - D5 Thursday to Friday, high pressure will build across the Great Plains, keeping winds low where fuels remain dry. Late in the period D6 - D7 Saturday to Sunday, another western trough is projected to begin spreading enhanced westerly flow across the southwest into the Rockies, which may bring additional periods of fire weather concerns to the central/southern Plains as well as some drying of fuels across portions of the Desert Southwest. ..Thornton.. 04/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0440 PM CDT Mon Apr 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z A closed low will propagate eastward across southern Arizona/southern New Mexico and into the central and southern Plains on D2-Tuesday, bringing potential for widespread wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures. The expected precipitation will help to moisten fuels and reduce fire weather concerns across portions of the Central/Southern Plains. Strong post frontal northwesterly flow will overlap dry conditions along the southern Texas/Mexico border on D3 - Wednesday but coverage should remain too limited to warrant probabilities. This region is expected to receive little to no rainfall on D2 Tuesday, with fuels remaining Critical. Dry and breezy conditions will be possible across portions of eastern Colorado into western Kansas, where less rainfall is expected. However, a relatively cool continental air mass should keep relative humidity above critical thresholds. For D4 - D5 Thursday to Friday, high pressure will build across the Great Plains, keeping winds low where fuels remain dry. Late in the period D6 - D7 Saturday to Sunday, another western trough is projected to begin spreading enhanced westerly flow across the southwest into the Rockies, which may bring additional periods of fire weather concerns to the central/southern Plains as well as some drying of fuels across portions of the Desert Southwest. ..Thornton.. 04/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0440 PM CDT Mon Apr 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z A closed low will propagate eastward across southern Arizona/southern New Mexico and into the central and southern Plains on D2-Tuesday, bringing potential for widespread wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures. The expected precipitation will help to moisten fuels and reduce fire weather concerns across portions of the Central/Southern Plains. Strong post frontal northwesterly flow will overlap dry conditions along the southern Texas/Mexico border on D3 - Wednesday but coverage should remain too limited to warrant probabilities. This region is expected to receive little to no rainfall on D2 Tuesday, with fuels remaining Critical. Dry and breezy conditions will be possible across portions of eastern Colorado into western Kansas, where less rainfall is expected. However, a relatively cool continental air mass should keep relative humidity above critical thresholds. For D4 - D5 Thursday to Friday, high pressure will build across the Great Plains, keeping winds low where fuels remain dry. Late in the period D6 - D7 Saturday to Sunday, another western trough is projected to begin spreading enhanced westerly flow across the southwest into the Rockies, which may bring additional periods of fire weather concerns to the central/southern Plains as well as some drying of fuels across portions of the Desert Southwest. ..Thornton.. 04/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0440 PM CDT Mon Apr 08 2024 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z A closed low will propagate eastward across southern Arizona/southern New Mexico and into the central and southern Plains on D2-Tuesday, bringing potential for widespread wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures. The expected precipitation will help to moisten fuels and reduce fire weather concerns across portions of the Central/Southern Plains. Strong post frontal northwesterly flow will overlap dry conditions along the southern Texas/Mexico border on D3 - Wednesday but coverage should remain too limited to warrant probabilities. This region is expected to receive little to no rainfall on D2 Tuesday, with fuels remaining Critical. Dry and breezy conditions will be possible across portions of eastern Colorado into western Kansas, where less rainfall is expected. However, a relatively cool continental air mass should keep relative humidity above critical thresholds. For D4 - D5 Thursday to Friday, high pressure will build across the Great Plains, keeping winds low where fuels remain dry. Late in the period D6 - D7 Saturday to Sunday, another western trough is projected to begin spreading enhanced westerly flow across the southwest into the Rockies, which may bring additional periods of fire weather concerns to the central/southern Plains as well as some drying of fuels across portions of the Desert Southwest. ..Thornton.. 04/08/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more