SPC Apr 26, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0349 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z ...DISCUSSION... A less amplified flow regime is expected to evolve through at least early next week, with the strongest mid/upper-level westerlies generally confined to the northern CONUS. However, a reservoir of rich low-level moisture will persist across the southern Plains and lower MS Valley, which may occasionally be drawn northward in response to shortwave troughs moving through the primary belt of westerlies. While no synoptically evident severe thunderstorm episodes are currently apparent in extended-range guidance, some threat could evolve each day through at least mid week. ...D4/Monday - Southern Plains into the ArkLaTex region... Guidance generally suggests that a low-amplitude shortwave trough will move across the southern Plains on Monday, though timing remains somewhat uncertain. If the shortwave ends up being favorably timed with the diurnal cycle, then a few strong to severe storms will be possible from eastern portions of the southern Plains into the lower MS Valley, with large hail and locally gusty winds likely being the primary threats. ...D5/Tuesday - Great Plains into the upper Midwest... Most extended-range guidance depicts a relatively strong shortwave trough and attendant surface low moving across the northern Plains on Tuesday. While stronger deep-layer flow/shear and large-scale ascent will likely be displaced north of the more favorable instability, a few strong storms could develop along the trailing cold front somewhere from the central Plains into the upper Midwest. ...D6/Wednesday - Parts of the central/southern Plains... The cold front that moves southeastward through the Great Plains region on Tuesday will likely stall on Wednesday and potentially move northward as a warm front, though guidance varies regarding the placement of this boundary. Rich low-level moisture and moderate to strong buoyancy will be in place along/south of the boundary during the afternoon, and modest westerly flow aloft may be marginally sufficient for a few strong to severe storms. ...D7/Thursday into D8/Friday... There is some potential for a stronger cold front to move into parts of the southern Plains and Southeast by the end of the week, though spread in extended-range guidance notably increases at this forecast range. If a stronger front does materialize, some strong to severe thunderstorms could accompany the front, with generally dry and stable conditions in its wake. Read more

SPC Apr 26, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0349 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z ...DISCUSSION... A less amplified flow regime is expected to evolve through at least early next week, with the strongest mid/upper-level westerlies generally confined to the northern CONUS. However, a reservoir of rich low-level moisture will persist across the southern Plains and lower MS Valley, which may occasionally be drawn northward in response to shortwave troughs moving through the primary belt of westerlies. While no synoptically evident severe thunderstorm episodes are currently apparent in extended-range guidance, some threat could evolve each day through at least mid week. ...D4/Monday - Southern Plains into the ArkLaTex region... Guidance generally suggests that a low-amplitude shortwave trough will move across the southern Plains on Monday, though timing remains somewhat uncertain. If the shortwave ends up being favorably timed with the diurnal cycle, then a few strong to severe storms will be possible from eastern portions of the southern Plains into the lower MS Valley, with large hail and locally gusty winds likely being the primary threats. ...D5/Tuesday - Great Plains into the upper Midwest... Most extended-range guidance depicts a relatively strong shortwave trough and attendant surface low moving across the northern Plains on Tuesday. While stronger deep-layer flow/shear and large-scale ascent will likely be displaced north of the more favorable instability, a few strong storms could develop along the trailing cold front somewhere from the central Plains into the upper Midwest. ...D6/Wednesday - Parts of the central/southern Plains... The cold front that moves southeastward through the Great Plains region on Tuesday will likely stall on Wednesday and potentially move northward as a warm front, though guidance varies regarding the placement of this boundary. Rich low-level moisture and moderate to strong buoyancy will be in place along/south of the boundary during the afternoon, and modest westerly flow aloft may be marginally sufficient for a few strong to severe storms. ...D7/Thursday into D8/Friday... There is some potential for a stronger cold front to move into parts of the southern Plains and Southeast by the end of the week, though spread in extended-range guidance notably increases at this forecast range. If a stronger front does materialize, some strong to severe thunderstorms could accompany the front, with generally dry and stable conditions in its wake. Read more

SPC Apr 26, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0349 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z ...DISCUSSION... A less amplified flow regime is expected to evolve through at least early next week, with the strongest mid/upper-level westerlies generally confined to the northern CONUS. However, a reservoir of rich low-level moisture will persist across the southern Plains and lower MS Valley, which may occasionally be drawn northward in response to shortwave troughs moving through the primary belt of westerlies. While no synoptically evident severe thunderstorm episodes are currently apparent in extended-range guidance, some threat could evolve each day through at least mid week. ...D4/Monday - Southern Plains into the ArkLaTex region... Guidance generally suggests that a low-amplitude shortwave trough will move across the southern Plains on Monday, though timing remains somewhat uncertain. If the shortwave ends up being favorably timed with the diurnal cycle, then a few strong to severe storms will be possible from eastern portions of the southern Plains into the lower MS Valley, with large hail and locally gusty winds likely being the primary threats. ...D5/Tuesday - Great Plains into the upper Midwest... Most extended-range guidance depicts a relatively strong shortwave trough and attendant surface low moving across the northern Plains on Tuesday. While stronger deep-layer flow/shear and large-scale ascent will likely be displaced north of the more favorable instability, a few strong storms could develop along the trailing cold front somewhere from the central Plains into the upper Midwest. ...D6/Wednesday - Parts of the central/southern Plains... The cold front that moves southeastward through the Great Plains region on Tuesday will likely stall on Wednesday and potentially move northward as a warm front, though guidance varies regarding the placement of this boundary. Rich low-level moisture and moderate to strong buoyancy will be in place along/south of the boundary during the afternoon, and modest westerly flow aloft may be marginally sufficient for a few strong to severe storms. ...D7/Thursday into D8/Friday... There is some potential for a stronger cold front to move into parts of the southern Plains and Southeast by the end of the week, though spread in extended-range guidance notably increases at this forecast range. If a stronger front does materialize, some strong to severe thunderstorms could accompany the front, with generally dry and stable conditions in its wake. Read more

SPC Apr 26, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0349 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z ...DISCUSSION... A less amplified flow regime is expected to evolve through at least early next week, with the strongest mid/upper-level westerlies generally confined to the northern CONUS. However, a reservoir of rich low-level moisture will persist across the southern Plains and lower MS Valley, which may occasionally be drawn northward in response to shortwave troughs moving through the primary belt of westerlies. While no synoptically evident severe thunderstorm episodes are currently apparent in extended-range guidance, some threat could evolve each day through at least mid week. ...D4/Monday - Southern Plains into the ArkLaTex region... Guidance generally suggests that a low-amplitude shortwave trough will move across the southern Plains on Monday, though timing remains somewhat uncertain. If the shortwave ends up being favorably timed with the diurnal cycle, then a few strong to severe storms will be possible from eastern portions of the southern Plains into the lower MS Valley, with large hail and locally gusty winds likely being the primary threats. ...D5/Tuesday - Great Plains into the upper Midwest... Most extended-range guidance depicts a relatively strong shortwave trough and attendant surface low moving across the northern Plains on Tuesday. While stronger deep-layer flow/shear and large-scale ascent will likely be displaced north of the more favorable instability, a few strong storms could develop along the trailing cold front somewhere from the central Plains into the upper Midwest. ...D6/Wednesday - Parts of the central/southern Plains... The cold front that moves southeastward through the Great Plains region on Tuesday will likely stall on Wednesday and potentially move northward as a warm front, though guidance varies regarding the placement of this boundary. Rich low-level moisture and moderate to strong buoyancy will be in place along/south of the boundary during the afternoon, and modest westerly flow aloft may be marginally sufficient for a few strong to severe storms. ...D7/Thursday into D8/Friday... There is some potential for a stronger cold front to move into parts of the southern Plains and Southeast by the end of the week, though spread in extended-range guidance notably increases at this forecast range. If a stronger front does materialize, some strong to severe thunderstorms could accompany the front, with generally dry and stable conditions in its wake. Read more

SPC Apr 26, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0349 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z ...DISCUSSION... A less amplified flow regime is expected to evolve through at least early next week, with the strongest mid/upper-level westerlies generally confined to the northern CONUS. However, a reservoir of rich low-level moisture will persist across the southern Plains and lower MS Valley, which may occasionally be drawn northward in response to shortwave troughs moving through the primary belt of westerlies. While no synoptically evident severe thunderstorm episodes are currently apparent in extended-range guidance, some threat could evolve each day through at least mid week. ...D4/Monday - Southern Plains into the ArkLaTex region... Guidance generally suggests that a low-amplitude shortwave trough will move across the southern Plains on Monday, though timing remains somewhat uncertain. If the shortwave ends up being favorably timed with the diurnal cycle, then a few strong to severe storms will be possible from eastern portions of the southern Plains into the lower MS Valley, with large hail and locally gusty winds likely being the primary threats. ...D5/Tuesday - Great Plains into the upper Midwest... Most extended-range guidance depicts a relatively strong shortwave trough and attendant surface low moving across the northern Plains on Tuesday. While stronger deep-layer flow/shear and large-scale ascent will likely be displaced north of the more favorable instability, a few strong storms could develop along the trailing cold front somewhere from the central Plains into the upper Midwest. ...D6/Wednesday - Parts of the central/southern Plains... The cold front that moves southeastward through the Great Plains region on Tuesday will likely stall on Wednesday and potentially move northward as a warm front, though guidance varies regarding the placement of this boundary. Rich low-level moisture and moderate to strong buoyancy will be in place along/south of the boundary during the afternoon, and modest westerly flow aloft may be marginally sufficient for a few strong to severe storms. ...D7/Thursday into D8/Friday... There is some potential for a stronger cold front to move into parts of the southern Plains and Southeast by the end of the week, though spread in extended-range guidance notably increases at this forecast range. If a stronger front does materialize, some strong to severe thunderstorms could accompany the front, with generally dry and stable conditions in its wake. Read more

SPC Apr 26, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0349 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z ...DISCUSSION... A less amplified flow regime is expected to evolve through at least early next week, with the strongest mid/upper-level westerlies generally confined to the northern CONUS. However, a reservoir of rich low-level moisture will persist across the southern Plains and lower MS Valley, which may occasionally be drawn northward in response to shortwave troughs moving through the primary belt of westerlies. While no synoptically evident severe thunderstorm episodes are currently apparent in extended-range guidance, some threat could evolve each day through at least mid week. ...D4/Monday - Southern Plains into the ArkLaTex region... Guidance generally suggests that a low-amplitude shortwave trough will move across the southern Plains on Monday, though timing remains somewhat uncertain. If the shortwave ends up being favorably timed with the diurnal cycle, then a few strong to severe storms will be possible from eastern portions of the southern Plains into the lower MS Valley, with large hail and locally gusty winds likely being the primary threats. ...D5/Tuesday - Great Plains into the upper Midwest... Most extended-range guidance depicts a relatively strong shortwave trough and attendant surface low moving across the northern Plains on Tuesday. While stronger deep-layer flow/shear and large-scale ascent will likely be displaced north of the more favorable instability, a few strong storms could develop along the trailing cold front somewhere from the central Plains into the upper Midwest. ...D6/Wednesday - Parts of the central/southern Plains... The cold front that moves southeastward through the Great Plains region on Tuesday will likely stall on Wednesday and potentially move northward as a warm front, though guidance varies regarding the placement of this boundary. Rich low-level moisture and moderate to strong buoyancy will be in place along/south of the boundary during the afternoon, and modest westerly flow aloft may be marginally sufficient for a few strong to severe storms. ...D7/Thursday into D8/Friday... There is some potential for a stronger cold front to move into parts of the southern Plains and Southeast by the end of the week, though spread in extended-range guidance notably increases at this forecast range. If a stronger front does materialize, some strong to severe thunderstorms could accompany the front, with generally dry and stable conditions in its wake. Read more

SPC Apr 26, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0349 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z ...DISCUSSION... A less amplified flow regime is expected to evolve through at least early next week, with the strongest mid/upper-level westerlies generally confined to the northern CONUS. However, a reservoir of rich low-level moisture will persist across the southern Plains and lower MS Valley, which may occasionally be drawn northward in response to shortwave troughs moving through the primary belt of westerlies. While no synoptically evident severe thunderstorm episodes are currently apparent in extended-range guidance, some threat could evolve each day through at least mid week. ...D4/Monday - Southern Plains into the ArkLaTex region... Guidance generally suggests that a low-amplitude shortwave trough will move across the southern Plains on Monday, though timing remains somewhat uncertain. If the shortwave ends up being favorably timed with the diurnal cycle, then a few strong to severe storms will be possible from eastern portions of the southern Plains into the lower MS Valley, with large hail and locally gusty winds likely being the primary threats. ...D5/Tuesday - Great Plains into the upper Midwest... Most extended-range guidance depicts a relatively strong shortwave trough and attendant surface low moving across the northern Plains on Tuesday. While stronger deep-layer flow/shear and large-scale ascent will likely be displaced north of the more favorable instability, a few strong storms could develop along the trailing cold front somewhere from the central Plains into the upper Midwest. ...D6/Wednesday - Parts of the central/southern Plains... The cold front that moves southeastward through the Great Plains region on Tuesday will likely stall on Wednesday and potentially move northward as a warm front, though guidance varies regarding the placement of this boundary. Rich low-level moisture and moderate to strong buoyancy will be in place along/south of the boundary during the afternoon, and modest westerly flow aloft may be marginally sufficient for a few strong to severe storms. ...D7/Thursday into D8/Friday... There is some potential for a stronger cold front to move into parts of the southern Plains and Southeast by the end of the week, though spread in extended-range guidance notably increases at this forecast range. If a stronger front does materialize, some strong to severe thunderstorms could accompany the front, with generally dry and stable conditions in its wake. Read more

SPC Apr 26, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0349 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z ...DISCUSSION... A less amplified flow regime is expected to evolve through at least early next week, with the strongest mid/upper-level westerlies generally confined to the northern CONUS. However, a reservoir of rich low-level moisture will persist across the southern Plains and lower MS Valley, which may occasionally be drawn northward in response to shortwave troughs moving through the primary belt of westerlies. While no synoptically evident severe thunderstorm episodes are currently apparent in extended-range guidance, some threat could evolve each day through at least mid week. ...D4/Monday - Southern Plains into the ArkLaTex region... Guidance generally suggests that a low-amplitude shortwave trough will move across the southern Plains on Monday, though timing remains somewhat uncertain. If the shortwave ends up being favorably timed with the diurnal cycle, then a few strong to severe storms will be possible from eastern portions of the southern Plains into the lower MS Valley, with large hail and locally gusty winds likely being the primary threats. ...D5/Tuesday - Great Plains into the upper Midwest... Most extended-range guidance depicts a relatively strong shortwave trough and attendant surface low moving across the northern Plains on Tuesday. While stronger deep-layer flow/shear and large-scale ascent will likely be displaced north of the more favorable instability, a few strong storms could develop along the trailing cold front somewhere from the central Plains into the upper Midwest. ...D6/Wednesday - Parts of the central/southern Plains... The cold front that moves southeastward through the Great Plains region on Tuesday will likely stall on Wednesday and potentially move northward as a warm front, though guidance varies regarding the placement of this boundary. Rich low-level moisture and moderate to strong buoyancy will be in place along/south of the boundary during the afternoon, and modest westerly flow aloft may be marginally sufficient for a few strong to severe storms. ...D7/Thursday into D8/Friday... There is some potential for a stronger cold front to move into parts of the southern Plains and Southeast by the end of the week, though spread in extended-range guidance notably increases at this forecast range. If a stronger front does materialize, some strong to severe thunderstorms could accompany the front, with generally dry and stable conditions in its wake. Read more

SPC Apr 26, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0349 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z ...DISCUSSION... A less amplified flow regime is expected to evolve through at least early next week, with the strongest mid/upper-level westerlies generally confined to the northern CONUS. However, a reservoir of rich low-level moisture will persist across the southern Plains and lower MS Valley, which may occasionally be drawn northward in response to shortwave troughs moving through the primary belt of westerlies. While no synoptically evident severe thunderstorm episodes are currently apparent in extended-range guidance, some threat could evolve each day through at least mid week. ...D4/Monday - Southern Plains into the ArkLaTex region... Guidance generally suggests that a low-amplitude shortwave trough will move across the southern Plains on Monday, though timing remains somewhat uncertain. If the shortwave ends up being favorably timed with the diurnal cycle, then a few strong to severe storms will be possible from eastern portions of the southern Plains into the lower MS Valley, with large hail and locally gusty winds likely being the primary threats. ...D5/Tuesday - Great Plains into the upper Midwest... Most extended-range guidance depicts a relatively strong shortwave trough and attendant surface low moving across the northern Plains on Tuesday. While stronger deep-layer flow/shear and large-scale ascent will likely be displaced north of the more favorable instability, a few strong storms could develop along the trailing cold front somewhere from the central Plains into the upper Midwest. ...D6/Wednesday - Parts of the central/southern Plains... The cold front that moves southeastward through the Great Plains region on Tuesday will likely stall on Wednesday and potentially move northward as a warm front, though guidance varies regarding the placement of this boundary. Rich low-level moisture and moderate to strong buoyancy will be in place along/south of the boundary during the afternoon, and modest westerly flow aloft may be marginally sufficient for a few strong to severe storms. ...D7/Thursday into D8/Friday... There is some potential for a stronger cold front to move into parts of the southern Plains and Southeast by the end of the week, though spread in extended-range guidance notably increases at this forecast range. If a stronger front does materialize, some strong to severe thunderstorms could accompany the front, with generally dry and stable conditions in its wake. Read more

SPC Apr 26, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0349 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z ...DISCUSSION... A less amplified flow regime is expected to evolve through at least early next week, with the strongest mid/upper-level westerlies generally confined to the northern CONUS. However, a reservoir of rich low-level moisture will persist across the southern Plains and lower MS Valley, which may occasionally be drawn northward in response to shortwave troughs moving through the primary belt of westerlies. While no synoptically evident severe thunderstorm episodes are currently apparent in extended-range guidance, some threat could evolve each day through at least mid week. ...D4/Monday - Southern Plains into the ArkLaTex region... Guidance generally suggests that a low-amplitude shortwave trough will move across the southern Plains on Monday, though timing remains somewhat uncertain. If the shortwave ends up being favorably timed with the diurnal cycle, then a few strong to severe storms will be possible from eastern portions of the southern Plains into the lower MS Valley, with large hail and locally gusty winds likely being the primary threats. ...D5/Tuesday - Great Plains into the upper Midwest... Most extended-range guidance depicts a relatively strong shortwave trough and attendant surface low moving across the northern Plains on Tuesday. While stronger deep-layer flow/shear and large-scale ascent will likely be displaced north of the more favorable instability, a few strong storms could develop along the trailing cold front somewhere from the central Plains into the upper Midwest. ...D6/Wednesday - Parts of the central/southern Plains... The cold front that moves southeastward through the Great Plains region on Tuesday will likely stall on Wednesday and potentially move northward as a warm front, though guidance varies regarding the placement of this boundary. Rich low-level moisture and moderate to strong buoyancy will be in place along/south of the boundary during the afternoon, and modest westerly flow aloft may be marginally sufficient for a few strong to severe storms. ...D7/Thursday into D8/Friday... There is some potential for a stronger cold front to move into parts of the southern Plains and Southeast by the end of the week, though spread in extended-range guidance notably increases at this forecast range. If a stronger front does materialize, some strong to severe thunderstorms could accompany the front, with generally dry and stable conditions in its wake. Read more

SPC Apr 26, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0349 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z ...DISCUSSION... A less amplified flow regime is expected to evolve through at least early next week, with the strongest mid/upper-level westerlies generally confined to the northern CONUS. However, a reservoir of rich low-level moisture will persist across the southern Plains and lower MS Valley, which may occasionally be drawn northward in response to shortwave troughs moving through the primary belt of westerlies. While no synoptically evident severe thunderstorm episodes are currently apparent in extended-range guidance, some threat could evolve each day through at least mid week. ...D4/Monday - Southern Plains into the ArkLaTex region... Guidance generally suggests that a low-amplitude shortwave trough will move across the southern Plains on Monday, though timing remains somewhat uncertain. If the shortwave ends up being favorably timed with the diurnal cycle, then a few strong to severe storms will be possible from eastern portions of the southern Plains into the lower MS Valley, with large hail and locally gusty winds likely being the primary threats. ...D5/Tuesday - Great Plains into the upper Midwest... Most extended-range guidance depicts a relatively strong shortwave trough and attendant surface low moving across the northern Plains on Tuesday. While stronger deep-layer flow/shear and large-scale ascent will likely be displaced north of the more favorable instability, a few strong storms could develop along the trailing cold front somewhere from the central Plains into the upper Midwest. ...D6/Wednesday - Parts of the central/southern Plains... The cold front that moves southeastward through the Great Plains region on Tuesday will likely stall on Wednesday and potentially move northward as a warm front, though guidance varies regarding the placement of this boundary. Rich low-level moisture and moderate to strong buoyancy will be in place along/south of the boundary during the afternoon, and modest westerly flow aloft may be marginally sufficient for a few strong to severe storms. ...D7/Thursday into D8/Friday... There is some potential for a stronger cold front to move into parts of the southern Plains and Southeast by the end of the week, though spread in extended-range guidance notably increases at this forecast range. If a stronger front does materialize, some strong to severe thunderstorms could accompany the front, with generally dry and stable conditions in its wake. Read more

SPC Apr 26, 2024 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0349 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z ...DISCUSSION... A less amplified flow regime is expected to evolve through at least early next week, with the strongest mid/upper-level westerlies generally confined to the northern CONUS. However, a reservoir of rich low-level moisture will persist across the southern Plains and lower MS Valley, which may occasionally be drawn northward in response to shortwave troughs moving through the primary belt of westerlies. While no synoptically evident severe thunderstorm episodes are currently apparent in extended-range guidance, some threat could evolve each day through at least mid week. ...D4/Monday - Southern Plains into the ArkLaTex region... Guidance generally suggests that a low-amplitude shortwave trough will move across the southern Plains on Monday, though timing remains somewhat uncertain. If the shortwave ends up being favorably timed with the diurnal cycle, then a few strong to severe storms will be possible from eastern portions of the southern Plains into the lower MS Valley, with large hail and locally gusty winds likely being the primary threats. ...D5/Tuesday - Great Plains into the upper Midwest... Most extended-range guidance depicts a relatively strong shortwave trough and attendant surface low moving across the northern Plains on Tuesday. While stronger deep-layer flow/shear and large-scale ascent will likely be displaced north of the more favorable instability, a few strong storms could develop along the trailing cold front somewhere from the central Plains into the upper Midwest. ...D6/Wednesday - Parts of the central/southern Plains... The cold front that moves southeastward through the Great Plains region on Tuesday will likely stall on Wednesday and potentially move northward as a warm front, though guidance varies regarding the placement of this boundary. Rich low-level moisture and moderate to strong buoyancy will be in place along/south of the boundary during the afternoon, and modest westerly flow aloft may be marginally sufficient for a few strong to severe storms. ...D7/Thursday into D8/Friday... There is some potential for a stronger cold front to move into parts of the southern Plains and Southeast by the end of the week, though spread in extended-range guidance notably increases at this forecast range. If a stronger front does materialize, some strong to severe thunderstorms could accompany the front, with generally dry and stable conditions in its wake. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 135 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0135 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 135 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW ABI TO 75 NW ABI TO 55 S CDS TO 10 NE LTS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0522 ..THORNTON..04/26/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...LUB...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 135 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC065-141-260840- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JACKSON TILLMAN TXC009-023-207-253-275-433-441-447-485-487-260840- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARCHER BAYLOR HASKELL JONES KNOX STONEWALL TAYLOR THROCKMORTON WICHITA WILBARGER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 135 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0135 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 135 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW ABI TO 75 NW ABI TO 55 S CDS TO 10 NE LTS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0522 ..THORNTON..04/26/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...LUB...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 135 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC065-141-260840- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JACKSON TILLMAN TXC009-023-207-253-275-433-441-447-485-487-260840- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARCHER BAYLOR HASKELL JONES KNOX STONEWALL TAYLOR THROCKMORTON WICHITA WILBARGER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 135 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0135 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 135 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW ABI TO 75 NW ABI TO 55 S CDS TO 10 NE LTS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0522 ..THORNTON..04/26/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...LUB...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 135 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC065-141-260840- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JACKSON TILLMAN TXC009-023-207-253-275-433-441-447-485-487-260840- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARCHER BAYLOR HASKELL JONES KNOX STONEWALL TAYLOR THROCKMORTON WICHITA WILBARGER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 135 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0135 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 135 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW ABI TO 75 NW ABI TO 55 S CDS TO 10 NE LTS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0522 ..THORNTON..04/26/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...LUB...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 135 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC065-141-260840- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JACKSON TILLMAN TXC009-023-207-253-275-433-441-447-485-487-260840- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARCHER BAYLOR HASKELL JONES KNOX STONEWALL TAYLOR THROCKMORTON WICHITA WILBARGER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 135 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0135 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 135 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW ABI TO 75 NW ABI TO 55 S CDS TO 10 NE LTS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0522 ..THORNTON..04/26/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...LUB...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 135 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC065-141-260840- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JACKSON TILLMAN TXC009-023-207-253-275-433-441-447-485-487-260840- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARCHER BAYLOR HASKELL JONES KNOX STONEWALL TAYLOR THROCKMORTON WICHITA WILBARGER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 135 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0135 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 135 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW ABI TO 75 NW ABI TO 55 S CDS TO 10 NE LTS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0522 ..THORNTON..04/26/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...LUB...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 135 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC065-141-260840- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE JACKSON TILLMAN TXC009-023-207-253-275-433-441-447-485-487-260840- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARCHER BAYLOR HASKELL JONES KNOX STONEWALL TAYLOR THROCKMORTON WICHITA WILBARGER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more