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SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN/NORTHERN OK INTO SOUTHERN KS...SOUTHERN MO...AND NORTHERN AR... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible from western/northern Oklahoma into southern Kansas, southern Missouri, and northern Arkansas on Monday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... Predominantly zonal flow is expected to be in place over the central CONUS early Monday morning, with at least some potential for a convectively augmented vorticity maximum to be in the lower MO Valley vicinity. This largely zonal flow is forecast to remain in place until late Monday night/early Tuesday morning when some modest amplification begins to develop ahead of a strong shortwave trough expected to move quickly from the Pacific Northwest to the northern High Plains. A warm and moist airmass will likely be in place from the central/southern Plains into Lower/Mid MS Valley, but the lack of notable shortwave troughs will result in mesoscale features acting as the primary impetus for thunderstorm development. Some guidance suggests an outflow boundary from Sunday night's thunderstorms could initiate in south-central/southeast KS and southern MO vicinity. Shear will likely be modest, but strong buoyancy could still result in severe storms. Isolated severe thunderstorms are also possible along the dryline in western OK. A surface low is expected to move northeastward across the northern Plains late Monday night through early Tuesday morning. A cold front will sweep southeastward in its wake, supporting isolated thunderstorm development. Limited buoyancy should mitigate the overall severe potential. ..Mosier.. 06/01/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN/NORTHERN OK INTO SOUTHERN KS...SOUTHERN MO...AND NORTHERN AR... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible from western/northern Oklahoma into southern Kansas, southern Missouri, and northern Arkansas on Monday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... Predominantly zonal flow is expected to be in place over the central CONUS early Monday morning, with at least some potential for a convectively augmented vorticity maximum to be in the lower MO Valley vicinity. This largely zonal flow is forecast to remain in place until late Monday night/early Tuesday morning when some modest amplification begins to develop ahead of a strong shortwave trough expected to move quickly from the Pacific Northwest to the northern High Plains. A warm and moist airmass will likely be in place from the central/southern Plains into Lower/Mid MS Valley, but the lack of notable shortwave troughs will result in mesoscale features acting as the primary impetus for thunderstorm development. Some guidance suggests an outflow boundary from Sunday night's thunderstorms could initiate in south-central/southeast KS and southern MO vicinity. Shear will likely be modest, but strong buoyancy could still result in severe storms. Isolated severe thunderstorms are also possible along the dryline in western OK. A surface low is expected to move northeastward across the northern Plains late Monday night through early Tuesday morning. A cold front will sweep southeastward in its wake, supporting isolated thunderstorm development. Limited buoyancy should mitigate the overall severe potential. ..Mosier.. 06/01/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN/NORTHERN OK INTO SOUTHERN KS...SOUTHERN MO...AND NORTHERN AR... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible from western/northern Oklahoma into southern Kansas, southern Missouri, and northern Arkansas on Monday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... Predominantly zonal flow is expected to be in place over the central CONUS early Monday morning, with at least some potential for a convectively augmented vorticity maximum to be in the lower MO Valley vicinity. This largely zonal flow is forecast to remain in place until late Monday night/early Tuesday morning when some modest amplification begins to develop ahead of a strong shortwave trough expected to move quickly from the Pacific Northwest to the northern High Plains. A warm and moist airmass will likely be in place from the central/southern Plains into Lower/Mid MS Valley, but the lack of notable shortwave troughs will result in mesoscale features acting as the primary impetus for thunderstorm development. Some guidance suggests an outflow boundary from Sunday night's thunderstorms could initiate in south-central/southeast KS and southern MO vicinity. Shear will likely be modest, but strong buoyancy could still result in severe storms. Isolated severe thunderstorms are also possible along the dryline in western OK. A surface low is expected to move northeastward across the northern Plains late Monday night through early Tuesday morning. A cold front will sweep southeastward in its wake, supporting isolated thunderstorm development. Limited buoyancy should mitigate the overall severe potential. ..Mosier.. 06/01/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN/NORTHERN OK INTO SOUTHERN KS...SOUTHERN MO...AND NORTHERN AR... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible from western/northern Oklahoma into southern Kansas, southern Missouri, and northern Arkansas on Monday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... Predominantly zonal flow is expected to be in place over the central CONUS early Monday morning, with at least some potential for a convectively augmented vorticity maximum to be in the lower MO Valley vicinity. This largely zonal flow is forecast to remain in place until late Monday night/early Tuesday morning when some modest amplification begins to develop ahead of a strong shortwave trough expected to move quickly from the Pacific Northwest to the northern High Plains. A warm and moist airmass will likely be in place from the central/southern Plains into Lower/Mid MS Valley, but the lack of notable shortwave troughs will result in mesoscale features acting as the primary impetus for thunderstorm development. Some guidance suggests an outflow boundary from Sunday night's thunderstorms could initiate in south-central/southeast KS and southern MO vicinity. Shear will likely be modest, but strong buoyancy could still result in severe storms. Isolated severe thunderstorms are also possible along the dryline in western OK. A surface low is expected to move northeastward across the northern Plains late Monday night through early Tuesday morning. A cold front will sweep southeastward in its wake, supporting isolated thunderstorm development. Limited buoyancy should mitigate the overall severe potential. ..Mosier.. 06/01/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN/NORTHERN OK INTO SOUTHERN KS...SOUTHERN MO...AND NORTHERN AR... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible from western/northern Oklahoma into southern Kansas, southern Missouri, and northern Arkansas on Monday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... Predominantly zonal flow is expected to be in place over the central CONUS early Monday morning, with at least some potential for a convectively augmented vorticity maximum to be in the lower MO Valley vicinity. This largely zonal flow is forecast to remain in place until late Monday night/early Tuesday morning when some modest amplification begins to develop ahead of a strong shortwave trough expected to move quickly from the Pacific Northwest to the northern High Plains. A warm and moist airmass will likely be in place from the central/southern Plains into Lower/Mid MS Valley, but the lack of notable shortwave troughs will result in mesoscale features acting as the primary impetus for thunderstorm development. Some guidance suggests an outflow boundary from Sunday night's thunderstorms could initiate in south-central/southeast KS and southern MO vicinity. Shear will likely be modest, but strong buoyancy could still result in severe storms. Isolated severe thunderstorms are also possible along the dryline in western OK. A surface low is expected to move northeastward across the northern Plains late Monday night through early Tuesday morning. A cold front will sweep southeastward in its wake, supporting isolated thunderstorm development. Limited buoyancy should mitigate the overall severe potential. ..Mosier.. 06/01/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN/NORTHERN OK INTO SOUTHERN KS...SOUTHERN MO...AND NORTHERN AR... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible from western/northern Oklahoma into southern Kansas, southern Missouri, and northern Arkansas on Monday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... Predominantly zonal flow is expected to be in place over the central CONUS early Monday morning, with at least some potential for a convectively augmented vorticity maximum to be in the lower MO Valley vicinity. This largely zonal flow is forecast to remain in place until late Monday night/early Tuesday morning when some modest amplification begins to develop ahead of a strong shortwave trough expected to move quickly from the Pacific Northwest to the northern High Plains. A warm and moist airmass will likely be in place from the central/southern Plains into Lower/Mid MS Valley, but the lack of notable shortwave troughs will result in mesoscale features acting as the primary impetus for thunderstorm development. Some guidance suggests an outflow boundary from Sunday night's thunderstorms could initiate in south-central/southeast KS and southern MO vicinity. Shear will likely be modest, but strong buoyancy could still result in severe storms. Isolated severe thunderstorms are also possible along the dryline in western OK. A surface low is expected to move northeastward across the northern Plains late Monday night through early Tuesday morning. A cold front will sweep southeastward in its wake, supporting isolated thunderstorm development. Limited buoyancy should mitigate the overall severe potential. ..Mosier.. 06/01/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN/NORTHERN OK INTO SOUTHERN KS...SOUTHERN MO...AND NORTHERN AR... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible from western/northern Oklahoma into southern Kansas, southern Missouri, and northern Arkansas on Monday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... Predominantly zonal flow is expected to be in place over the central CONUS early Monday morning, with at least some potential for a convectively augmented vorticity maximum to be in the lower MO Valley vicinity. This largely zonal flow is forecast to remain in place until late Monday night/early Tuesday morning when some modest amplification begins to develop ahead of a strong shortwave trough expected to move quickly from the Pacific Northwest to the northern High Plains. A warm and moist airmass will likely be in place from the central/southern Plains into Lower/Mid MS Valley, but the lack of notable shortwave troughs will result in mesoscale features acting as the primary impetus for thunderstorm development. Some guidance suggests an outflow boundary from Sunday night's thunderstorms could initiate in south-central/southeast KS and southern MO vicinity. Shear will likely be modest, but strong buoyancy could still result in severe storms. Isolated severe thunderstorms are also possible along the dryline in western OK. A surface low is expected to move northeastward across the northern Plains late Monday night through early Tuesday morning. A cold front will sweep southeastward in its wake, supporting isolated thunderstorm development. Limited buoyancy should mitigate the overall severe potential. ..Mosier.. 06/01/2024 Read more

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024 Valid 031200Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN/NORTHERN OK INTO SOUTHERN KS...SOUTHERN MO...AND NORTHERN AR... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible from western/northern Oklahoma into southern Kansas, southern Missouri, and northern Arkansas on Monday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... Predominantly zonal flow is expected to be in place over the central CONUS early Monday morning, with at least some potential for a convectively augmented vorticity maximum to be in the lower MO Valley vicinity. This largely zonal flow is forecast to remain in place until late Monday night/early Tuesday morning when some modest amplification begins to develop ahead of a strong shortwave trough expected to move quickly from the Pacific Northwest to the northern High Plains. A warm and moist airmass will likely be in place from the central/southern Plains into Lower/Mid MS Valley, but the lack of notable shortwave troughs will result in mesoscale features acting as the primary impetus for thunderstorm development. Some guidance suggests an outflow boundary from Sunday night's thunderstorms could initiate in south-central/southeast KS and southern MO vicinity. Shear will likely be modest, but strong buoyancy could still result in severe storms. Isolated severe thunderstorms are also possible along the dryline in western OK. A surface low is expected to move northeastward across the northern Plains late Monday night through early Tuesday morning. A cold front will sweep southeastward in its wake, supporting isolated thunderstorm development. Limited buoyancy should mitigate the overall severe potential. ..Mosier.. 06/01/2024 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 AM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...Synopsis... Zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue this weekend as the short-wave trough over the Four Corners moves eastward. A lee low over southeast Colorado will support gusty winds over parts of the Southwest. With warm temperatures and limited precipitation, elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Southwest into parts of NM and SW Texas... With zonal flow aloft persisting into D2/Sunday, low-level westerly flow is expected to remain enhanced over much of the Southwest. A lee low will further bolster southwest surface winds through the afternoon hours with 15-20 mph gusts likely from parts of eastern AZ, into NM, and southwest TX. Fuels continue to become more receptive due to a lack of appreciable rainfall and persistent daily minimum RH in the low teens and single digits. With another dry and hot day expected, widespread elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. A few hours of locally critical fire-weather conditions are also possible with winds sustained closer to 20-25 mph. However, the strongest surface winds are likely to be near the surface low in eastern NM where recent rainfall has likely tempered fuels somewhat. This should keep any critical conditions brief and relatively confined. ..Lyons.. 06/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 AM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...Synopsis... Zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue this weekend as the short-wave trough over the Four Corners moves eastward. A lee low over southeast Colorado will support gusty winds over parts of the Southwest. With warm temperatures and limited precipitation, elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Southwest into parts of NM and SW Texas... With zonal flow aloft persisting into D2/Sunday, low-level westerly flow is expected to remain enhanced over much of the Southwest. A lee low will further bolster southwest surface winds through the afternoon hours with 15-20 mph gusts likely from parts of eastern AZ, into NM, and southwest TX. Fuels continue to become more receptive due to a lack of appreciable rainfall and persistent daily minimum RH in the low teens and single digits. With another dry and hot day expected, widespread elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. A few hours of locally critical fire-weather conditions are also possible with winds sustained closer to 20-25 mph. However, the strongest surface winds are likely to be near the surface low in eastern NM where recent rainfall has likely tempered fuels somewhat. This should keep any critical conditions brief and relatively confined. ..Lyons.. 06/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 AM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...Synopsis... Zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue this weekend as the short-wave trough over the Four Corners moves eastward. A lee low over southeast Colorado will support gusty winds over parts of the Southwest. With warm temperatures and limited precipitation, elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Southwest into parts of NM and SW Texas... With zonal flow aloft persisting into D2/Sunday, low-level westerly flow is expected to remain enhanced over much of the Southwest. A lee low will further bolster southwest surface winds through the afternoon hours with 15-20 mph gusts likely from parts of eastern AZ, into NM, and southwest TX. Fuels continue to become more receptive due to a lack of appreciable rainfall and persistent daily minimum RH in the low teens and single digits. With another dry and hot day expected, widespread elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. A few hours of locally critical fire-weather conditions are also possible with winds sustained closer to 20-25 mph. However, the strongest surface winds are likely to be near the surface low in eastern NM where recent rainfall has likely tempered fuels somewhat. This should keep any critical conditions brief and relatively confined. ..Lyons.. 06/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 AM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...Synopsis... Zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue this weekend as the short-wave trough over the Four Corners moves eastward. A lee low over southeast Colorado will support gusty winds over parts of the Southwest. With warm temperatures and limited precipitation, elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Southwest into parts of NM and SW Texas... With zonal flow aloft persisting into D2/Sunday, low-level westerly flow is expected to remain enhanced over much of the Southwest. A lee low will further bolster southwest surface winds through the afternoon hours with 15-20 mph gusts likely from parts of eastern AZ, into NM, and southwest TX. Fuels continue to become more receptive due to a lack of appreciable rainfall and persistent daily minimum RH in the low teens and single digits. With another dry and hot day expected, widespread elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. A few hours of locally critical fire-weather conditions are also possible with winds sustained closer to 20-25 mph. However, the strongest surface winds are likely to be near the surface low in eastern NM where recent rainfall has likely tempered fuels somewhat. This should keep any critical conditions brief and relatively confined. ..Lyons.. 06/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 AM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...Synopsis... Zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue this weekend as the short-wave trough over the Four Corners moves eastward. A lee low over southeast Colorado will support gusty winds over parts of the Southwest. With warm temperatures and limited precipitation, elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Southwest into parts of NM and SW Texas... With zonal flow aloft persisting into D2/Sunday, low-level westerly flow is expected to remain enhanced over much of the Southwest. A lee low will further bolster southwest surface winds through the afternoon hours with 15-20 mph gusts likely from parts of eastern AZ, into NM, and southwest TX. Fuels continue to become more receptive due to a lack of appreciable rainfall and persistent daily minimum RH in the low teens and single digits. With another dry and hot day expected, widespread elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. A few hours of locally critical fire-weather conditions are also possible with winds sustained closer to 20-25 mph. However, the strongest surface winds are likely to be near the surface low in eastern NM where recent rainfall has likely tempered fuels somewhat. This should keep any critical conditions brief and relatively confined. ..Lyons.. 06/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 AM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...Synopsis... Zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue this weekend as the short-wave trough over the Four Corners moves eastward. A lee low over southeast Colorado will support gusty winds over parts of the Southwest. With warm temperatures and limited precipitation, elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Southwest into parts of NM and SW Texas... With zonal flow aloft persisting into D2/Sunday, low-level westerly flow is expected to remain enhanced over much of the Southwest. A lee low will further bolster southwest surface winds through the afternoon hours with 15-20 mph gusts likely from parts of eastern AZ, into NM, and southwest TX. Fuels continue to become more receptive due to a lack of appreciable rainfall and persistent daily minimum RH in the low teens and single digits. With another dry and hot day expected, widespread elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. A few hours of locally critical fire-weather conditions are also possible with winds sustained closer to 20-25 mph. However, the strongest surface winds are likely to be near the surface low in eastern NM where recent rainfall has likely tempered fuels somewhat. This should keep any critical conditions brief and relatively confined. ..Lyons.. 06/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 AM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...Synopsis... Zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue this weekend as the short-wave trough over the Four Corners moves eastward. A lee low over southeast Colorado will support gusty winds over parts of the Southwest. With warm temperatures and limited precipitation, elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Southwest into parts of NM and SW Texas... With zonal flow aloft persisting into D2/Sunday, low-level westerly flow is expected to remain enhanced over much of the Southwest. A lee low will further bolster southwest surface winds through the afternoon hours with 15-20 mph gusts likely from parts of eastern AZ, into NM, and southwest TX. Fuels continue to become more receptive due to a lack of appreciable rainfall and persistent daily minimum RH in the low teens and single digits. With another dry and hot day expected, widespread elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. A few hours of locally critical fire-weather conditions are also possible with winds sustained closer to 20-25 mph. However, the strongest surface winds are likely to be near the surface low in eastern NM where recent rainfall has likely tempered fuels somewhat. This should keep any critical conditions brief and relatively confined. ..Lyons.. 06/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 AM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...Synopsis... Zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue this weekend as the short-wave trough over the Four Corners moves eastward. A lee low over southeast Colorado will support gusty winds over parts of the Southwest. With warm temperatures and limited precipitation, elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Southwest into parts of NM and SW Texas... With zonal flow aloft persisting into D2/Sunday, low-level westerly flow is expected to remain enhanced over much of the Southwest. A lee low will further bolster southwest surface winds through the afternoon hours with 15-20 mph gusts likely from parts of eastern AZ, into NM, and southwest TX. Fuels continue to become more receptive due to a lack of appreciable rainfall and persistent daily minimum RH in the low teens and single digits. With another dry and hot day expected, widespread elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. A few hours of locally critical fire-weather conditions are also possible with winds sustained closer to 20-25 mph. However, the strongest surface winds are likely to be near the surface low in eastern NM where recent rainfall has likely tempered fuels somewhat. This should keep any critical conditions brief and relatively confined. ..Lyons.. 06/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 AM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...Synopsis... Zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue this weekend as the short-wave trough over the Four Corners moves eastward. A lee low over southeast Colorado will support gusty winds over parts of the Southwest. With warm temperatures and limited precipitation, elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Southwest into parts of NM and SW Texas... With zonal flow aloft persisting into D2/Sunday, low-level westerly flow is expected to remain enhanced over much of the Southwest. A lee low will further bolster southwest surface winds through the afternoon hours with 15-20 mph gusts likely from parts of eastern AZ, into NM, and southwest TX. Fuels continue to become more receptive due to a lack of appreciable rainfall and persistent daily minimum RH in the low teens and single digits. With another dry and hot day expected, widespread elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. A few hours of locally critical fire-weather conditions are also possible with winds sustained closer to 20-25 mph. However, the strongest surface winds are likely to be near the surface low in eastern NM where recent rainfall has likely tempered fuels somewhat. This should keep any critical conditions brief and relatively confined. ..Lyons.. 06/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 AM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...Synopsis... Zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue this weekend as the short-wave trough over the Four Corners moves eastward. A lee low over southeast Colorado will support gusty winds over parts of the Southwest. With warm temperatures and limited precipitation, elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Southwest into parts of NM and SW Texas... With zonal flow aloft persisting into D2/Sunday, low-level westerly flow is expected to remain enhanced over much of the Southwest. A lee low will further bolster southwest surface winds through the afternoon hours with 15-20 mph gusts likely from parts of eastern AZ, into NM, and southwest TX. Fuels continue to become more receptive due to a lack of appreciable rainfall and persistent daily minimum RH in the low teens and single digits. With another dry and hot day expected, widespread elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. A few hours of locally critical fire-weather conditions are also possible with winds sustained closer to 20-25 mph. However, the strongest surface winds are likely to be near the surface low in eastern NM where recent rainfall has likely tempered fuels somewhat. This should keep any critical conditions brief and relatively confined. ..Lyons.. 06/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 AM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...Synopsis... Zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue this weekend as the short-wave trough over the Four Corners moves eastward. A lee low over southeast Colorado will support gusty winds over parts of the Southwest. With warm temperatures and limited precipitation, elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Southwest into parts of NM and SW Texas... With zonal flow aloft persisting into D2/Sunday, low-level westerly flow is expected to remain enhanced over much of the Southwest. A lee low will further bolster southwest surface winds through the afternoon hours with 15-20 mph gusts likely from parts of eastern AZ, into NM, and southwest TX. Fuels continue to become more receptive due to a lack of appreciable rainfall and persistent daily minimum RH in the low teens and single digits. With another dry and hot day expected, widespread elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. A few hours of locally critical fire-weather conditions are also possible with winds sustained closer to 20-25 mph. However, the strongest surface winds are likely to be near the surface low in eastern NM where recent rainfall has likely tempered fuels somewhat. This should keep any critical conditions brief and relatively confined. ..Lyons.. 06/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 AM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...Synopsis... Zonal mid-level flow is expected to continue this weekend as the short-wave trough over the Four Corners moves eastward. A lee low over southeast Colorado will support gusty winds over parts of the Southwest. With warm temperatures and limited precipitation, elevated fire-weather conditions are possible. ...Southwest into parts of NM and SW Texas... With zonal flow aloft persisting into D2/Sunday, low-level westerly flow is expected to remain enhanced over much of the Southwest. A lee low will further bolster southwest surface winds through the afternoon hours with 15-20 mph gusts likely from parts of eastern AZ, into NM, and southwest TX. Fuels continue to become more receptive due to a lack of appreciable rainfall and persistent daily minimum RH in the low teens and single digits. With another dry and hot day expected, widespread elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. A few hours of locally critical fire-weather conditions are also possible with winds sustained closer to 20-25 mph. However, the strongest surface winds are likely to be near the surface low in eastern NM where recent rainfall has likely tempered fuels somewhat. This should keep any critical conditions brief and relatively confined. ..Lyons.. 06/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more