1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0155 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024
Valid 191200Z - 201200Z
...Synopsis...
Moisture along the southwestern periphery of the mid-level ridge
will push westward across New Mexico today, bringing isolated to
widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some wetting rains will
occur across the eastern half of New Mexico where deeper moisture is
expected. Along the edge of the deeper moisture, isolated dry
thunderstorms will be possible over portions of west-central and
southern New Mexico into far southeastern Arizona during the
afternoon and evening. Elevated fire weather conditions will be
possible where relative humidity reductions to 10-15 percent will
overlap winds 10-15 mph (occasionally around 20 mph).
Across northern Florida, easterly surface winds around 15 mph will
develop this afternoon overlapping relative humidity less than 35-40
percent. This overlap appears very short lived and mainly across far
northern Florida and the Panhandle, where less receptive fuels
persist.
..Thornton.. 06/19/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0155 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024
Valid 191200Z - 201200Z
...Synopsis...
Moisture along the southwestern periphery of the mid-level ridge
will push westward across New Mexico today, bringing isolated to
widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some wetting rains will
occur across the eastern half of New Mexico where deeper moisture is
expected. Along the edge of the deeper moisture, isolated dry
thunderstorms will be possible over portions of west-central and
southern New Mexico into far southeastern Arizona during the
afternoon and evening. Elevated fire weather conditions will be
possible where relative humidity reductions to 10-15 percent will
overlap winds 10-15 mph (occasionally around 20 mph).
Across northern Florida, easterly surface winds around 15 mph will
develop this afternoon overlapping relative humidity less than 35-40
percent. This overlap appears very short lived and mainly across far
northern Florida and the Panhandle, where less receptive fuels
persist.
..Thornton.. 06/19/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0155 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024
Valid 191200Z - 201200Z
...Synopsis...
Moisture along the southwestern periphery of the mid-level ridge
will push westward across New Mexico today, bringing isolated to
widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some wetting rains will
occur across the eastern half of New Mexico where deeper moisture is
expected. Along the edge of the deeper moisture, isolated dry
thunderstorms will be possible over portions of west-central and
southern New Mexico into far southeastern Arizona during the
afternoon and evening. Elevated fire weather conditions will be
possible where relative humidity reductions to 10-15 percent will
overlap winds 10-15 mph (occasionally around 20 mph).
Across northern Florida, easterly surface winds around 15 mph will
develop this afternoon overlapping relative humidity less than 35-40
percent. This overlap appears very short lived and mainly across far
northern Florida and the Panhandle, where less receptive fuels
persist.
..Thornton.. 06/19/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more1 year 2 months ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0155 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024
Valid 191200Z - 201200Z
...Synopsis...
Moisture along the southwestern periphery of the mid-level ridge
will push westward across New Mexico today, bringing isolated to
widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some wetting rains will
occur across the eastern half of New Mexico where deeper moisture is
expected. Along the edge of the deeper moisture, isolated dry
thunderstorms will be possible over portions of west-central and
southern New Mexico into far southeastern Arizona during the
afternoon and evening. Elevated fire weather conditions will be
possible where relative humidity reductions to 10-15 percent will
overlap winds 10-15 mph (occasionally around 20 mph).
Across northern Florida, easterly surface winds around 15 mph will
develop this afternoon overlapping relative humidity less than 35-40
percent. This overlap appears very short lived and mainly across far
northern Florida and the Panhandle, where less receptive fuels
persist.
..Thornton.. 06/19/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read more1 year 2 months ago
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1242 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024
Valid 201200Z - 211200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE
NORTHEAST...
...SUMMARY...
Storms may produce scattered damaging gusts over parts of the
Northeast on Thursday. Isolated severe storms are also expected over
parts of the central High Plains.
...Synopsis...
An upper ridge will extend from the mid MS/OH Valley toward the Mid
Atlantic on Thursday, with an upper trough over the western states.
Moderate southwest flow aloft will stretch from the eastern Great
Basin into the northern Plains, with a stronger trough over Quebec.
This trough will flatten the ridge over the northeastern US, aiding
storm development during the day. Storms will also focus over the
central High Plains during the afternoon and evening, with rising
heights and increasing southerly 850 mb winds in a warm advection
regime. Elsewhere, the remnants of the potential tropical cyclone
will continue westward across portions of Mexico.
...Northeastern States...
Strong heating will steepen low-level lapse rates, removing any
convective inhibition by midday. Dewpoints into the upper 60s F
combined with slight cooling aloft due to the flattening ridge will
yield moderate instability with MLCAPE to 2000 J/kg. Storms are
expected to form along a weak surface trough, where convergence will
be minimal but sufficient. The result should be an east-west
oriented zone of thunderstorms, mainly pulse to multicellular, with
potential for locally damaging winds. Small to marginally severe
hail may occur with the stronger cells. Given the relative
concentration of storms, a 15% Slight Risk appears warranted for
wind.
...Southeast WY/northeast CO into the NE Panhandle...
As the warm front lifts north, low-level moisture will increase
across NE, with easterly winds near the boundary bringing 50s F
dewpoints into southeast WY and far northeast CO as well. Strong
heating will yield convection forming over the high terrain, with
isolated severe cells expected during the late afternoon. Hail will
be possible initially, with a localized wind threat as activity bows
eastward near the boundary and into NE. A brief tornado cannot be
ruled out with the cellular activity early due to the steep lapse
rates and enhanced shear near the front.
...Far southern TX...
A few storms may linger early on Thursday as the remnants of the
potential tropical cyclone move farther inland into Mexico. The
combination of upper 70s F dewpoints and enhanced low-shear could
yield gusty winds, but overall any severe potential will dwindle
rapidly throughout the day.
..Jewell.. 06/19/2024
Read more1 year 2 months ago
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1242 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024
Valid 201200Z - 211200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE
NORTHEAST...
...SUMMARY...
Storms may produce scattered damaging gusts over parts of the
Northeast on Thursday. Isolated severe storms are also expected over
parts of the central High Plains.
...Synopsis...
An upper ridge will extend from the mid MS/OH Valley toward the Mid
Atlantic on Thursday, with an upper trough over the western states.
Moderate southwest flow aloft will stretch from the eastern Great
Basin into the northern Plains, with a stronger trough over Quebec.
This trough will flatten the ridge over the northeastern US, aiding
storm development during the day. Storms will also focus over the
central High Plains during the afternoon and evening, with rising
heights and increasing southerly 850 mb winds in a warm advection
regime. Elsewhere, the remnants of the potential tropical cyclone
will continue westward across portions of Mexico.
...Northeastern States...
Strong heating will steepen low-level lapse rates, removing any
convective inhibition by midday. Dewpoints into the upper 60s F
combined with slight cooling aloft due to the flattening ridge will
yield moderate instability with MLCAPE to 2000 J/kg. Storms are
expected to form along a weak surface trough, where convergence will
be minimal but sufficient. The result should be an east-west
oriented zone of thunderstorms, mainly pulse to multicellular, with
potential for locally damaging winds. Small to marginally severe
hail may occur with the stronger cells. Given the relative
concentration of storms, a 15% Slight Risk appears warranted for
wind.
...Southeast WY/northeast CO into the NE Panhandle...
As the warm front lifts north, low-level moisture will increase
across NE, with easterly winds near the boundary bringing 50s F
dewpoints into southeast WY and far northeast CO as well. Strong
heating will yield convection forming over the high terrain, with
isolated severe cells expected during the late afternoon. Hail will
be possible initially, with a localized wind threat as activity bows
eastward near the boundary and into NE. A brief tornado cannot be
ruled out with the cellular activity early due to the steep lapse
rates and enhanced shear near the front.
...Far southern TX...
A few storms may linger early on Thursday as the remnants of the
potential tropical cyclone move farther inland into Mexico. The
combination of upper 70s F dewpoints and enhanced low-shear could
yield gusty winds, but overall any severe potential will dwindle
rapidly throughout the day.
..Jewell.. 06/19/2024
Read more1 year 2 months ago
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1242 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024
Valid 201200Z - 211200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE
NORTHEAST...
...SUMMARY...
Storms may produce scattered damaging gusts over parts of the
Northeast on Thursday. Isolated severe storms are also expected over
parts of the central High Plains.
...Synopsis...
An upper ridge will extend from the mid MS/OH Valley toward the Mid
Atlantic on Thursday, with an upper trough over the western states.
Moderate southwest flow aloft will stretch from the eastern Great
Basin into the northern Plains, with a stronger trough over Quebec.
This trough will flatten the ridge over the northeastern US, aiding
storm development during the day. Storms will also focus over the
central High Plains during the afternoon and evening, with rising
heights and increasing southerly 850 mb winds in a warm advection
regime. Elsewhere, the remnants of the potential tropical cyclone
will continue westward across portions of Mexico.
...Northeastern States...
Strong heating will steepen low-level lapse rates, removing any
convective inhibition by midday. Dewpoints into the upper 60s F
combined with slight cooling aloft due to the flattening ridge will
yield moderate instability with MLCAPE to 2000 J/kg. Storms are
expected to form along a weak surface trough, where convergence will
be minimal but sufficient. The result should be an east-west
oriented zone of thunderstorms, mainly pulse to multicellular, with
potential for locally damaging winds. Small to marginally severe
hail may occur with the stronger cells. Given the relative
concentration of storms, a 15% Slight Risk appears warranted for
wind.
...Southeast WY/northeast CO into the NE Panhandle...
As the warm front lifts north, low-level moisture will increase
across NE, with easterly winds near the boundary bringing 50s F
dewpoints into southeast WY and far northeast CO as well. Strong
heating will yield convection forming over the high terrain, with
isolated severe cells expected during the late afternoon. Hail will
be possible initially, with a localized wind threat as activity bows
eastward near the boundary and into NE. A brief tornado cannot be
ruled out with the cellular activity early due to the steep lapse
rates and enhanced shear near the front.
...Far southern TX...
A few storms may linger early on Thursday as the remnants of the
potential tropical cyclone move farther inland into Mexico. The
combination of upper 70s F dewpoints and enhanced low-shear could
yield gusty winds, but overall any severe potential will dwindle
rapidly throughout the day.
..Jewell.. 06/19/2024
Read more1 year 2 months ago
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1242 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024
Valid 201200Z - 211200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE
NORTHEAST...
...SUMMARY...
Storms may produce scattered damaging gusts over parts of the
Northeast on Thursday. Isolated severe storms are also expected over
parts of the central High Plains.
...Synopsis...
An upper ridge will extend from the mid MS/OH Valley toward the Mid
Atlantic on Thursday, with an upper trough over the western states.
Moderate southwest flow aloft will stretch from the eastern Great
Basin into the northern Plains, with a stronger trough over Quebec.
This trough will flatten the ridge over the northeastern US, aiding
storm development during the day. Storms will also focus over the
central High Plains during the afternoon and evening, with rising
heights and increasing southerly 850 mb winds in a warm advection
regime. Elsewhere, the remnants of the potential tropical cyclone
will continue westward across portions of Mexico.
...Northeastern States...
Strong heating will steepen low-level lapse rates, removing any
convective inhibition by midday. Dewpoints into the upper 60s F
combined with slight cooling aloft due to the flattening ridge will
yield moderate instability with MLCAPE to 2000 J/kg. Storms are
expected to form along a weak surface trough, where convergence will
be minimal but sufficient. The result should be an east-west
oriented zone of thunderstorms, mainly pulse to multicellular, with
potential for locally damaging winds. Small to marginally severe
hail may occur with the stronger cells. Given the relative
concentration of storms, a 15% Slight Risk appears warranted for
wind.
...Southeast WY/northeast CO into the NE Panhandle...
As the warm front lifts north, low-level moisture will increase
across NE, with easterly winds near the boundary bringing 50s F
dewpoints into southeast WY and far northeast CO as well. Strong
heating will yield convection forming over the high terrain, with
isolated severe cells expected during the late afternoon. Hail will
be possible initially, with a localized wind threat as activity bows
eastward near the boundary and into NE. A brief tornado cannot be
ruled out with the cellular activity early due to the steep lapse
rates and enhanced shear near the front.
...Far southern TX...
A few storms may linger early on Thursday as the remnants of the
potential tropical cyclone move farther inland into Mexico. The
combination of upper 70s F dewpoints and enhanced low-shear could
yield gusty winds, but overall any severe potential will dwindle
rapidly throughout the day.
..Jewell.. 06/19/2024
Read more1 year 2 months ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1248 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024
Valid 191200Z - 201200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS REGION...LOWER GREAT LAKES-NEW ENGLAND...AND
OVER SOUTH TEXAS...
...SUMMARY...
Locally strong gusts and marginal hail may occur with storms over
the southern High Plains, with a couple of strong gusts also
possible from the lower Great Lakes region into New England. A brief
tornado or two may occur over parts of southern Texas tonight in
association with Potential Tropical Cyclone 1.
...Discussion...
Dominant East Coast upper ridge is forecast to build west into the
mid MS Valley later today as the primary belt of westerlies retreats
north of the international border. This westward expansion will
encourage the tropical system over the western Gulf basin to move
into northeast Mexico, considerably south of the Rio Grande Valley.
Convection that developed in association with frontal zone Tuesday
afternoon/evening has weakened considerably, but continues along a
corridor from the upper Great Lakes, southwest across IA into the
Oklahoma Panhandle. Latest model guidance suggests this activity
will be ongoing at the beginning of the period, along with
widespread convective debris. While an embedded disturbance or two
may evolve from this activity, it's not entirely clear how
substantial subsequent development will be given the weak
environmental shear and modest instability. The greatest risk for
robust updrafts will be across the southern High Plains into
southern NM where strong boundary-layer heating and orographic
influences will be favorable for a few strong to potentially severe
thunderstorms.
Another region where a few strong storms are possible is across the
lower Great Lakes into New England. While upper ridging will
dominate this region, scattered convection will once again develop
from portions of the Ohio Valley, northeast into New England as
surface temperatures warm through the mid 80s to near 90F.
Convective temperatures will be breached and thunderstorms should
develop within a seasonally moist environment with PW values in
excess of 1.75 inches. Gusty winds are the primary concern with this
weakly sheared convection.
Low-level shear will increase markedly during the latter half of the
period across south Texas along the northern fringe of the western
Gulf basin tropical system. This feature may evolve into a tropical
cyclone before it moves inland well south of the lower Rio Grande
Valley. While this system will remain at low latitudes, 850mb flow
is expected to increase across south TX such that sustained updrafts
will likely rotate. High PW and strong low-level shear favors some
low risk for a tornado or two, especially during the latter half of
the period.
..Darrow/Thornton.. 06/19/2024
Read more1 year 2 months ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1248 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024
Valid 191200Z - 201200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS REGION...LOWER GREAT LAKES-NEW ENGLAND...AND
OVER SOUTH TEXAS...
...SUMMARY...
Locally strong gusts and marginal hail may occur with storms over
the southern High Plains, with a couple of strong gusts also
possible from the lower Great Lakes region into New England. A brief
tornado or two may occur over parts of southern Texas tonight in
association with Potential Tropical Cyclone 1.
...Discussion...
Dominant East Coast upper ridge is forecast to build west into the
mid MS Valley later today as the primary belt of westerlies retreats
north of the international border. This westward expansion will
encourage the tropical system over the western Gulf basin to move
into northeast Mexico, considerably south of the Rio Grande Valley.
Convection that developed in association with frontal zone Tuesday
afternoon/evening has weakened considerably, but continues along a
corridor from the upper Great Lakes, southwest across IA into the
Oklahoma Panhandle. Latest model guidance suggests this activity
will be ongoing at the beginning of the period, along with
widespread convective debris. While an embedded disturbance or two
may evolve from this activity, it's not entirely clear how
substantial subsequent development will be given the weak
environmental shear and modest instability. The greatest risk for
robust updrafts will be across the southern High Plains into
southern NM where strong boundary-layer heating and orographic
influences will be favorable for a few strong to potentially severe
thunderstorms.
Another region where a few strong storms are possible is across the
lower Great Lakes into New England. While upper ridging will
dominate this region, scattered convection will once again develop
from portions of the Ohio Valley, northeast into New England as
surface temperatures warm through the mid 80s to near 90F.
Convective temperatures will be breached and thunderstorms should
develop within a seasonally moist environment with PW values in
excess of 1.75 inches. Gusty winds are the primary concern with this
weakly sheared convection.
Low-level shear will increase markedly during the latter half of the
period across south Texas along the northern fringe of the western
Gulf basin tropical system. This feature may evolve into a tropical
cyclone before it moves inland well south of the lower Rio Grande
Valley. While this system will remain at low latitudes, 850mb flow
is expected to increase across south TX such that sustained updrafts
will likely rotate. High PW and strong low-level shear favors some
low risk for a tornado or two, especially during the latter half of
the period.
..Darrow/Thornton.. 06/19/2024
Read more1 year 2 months ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1248 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024
Valid 191200Z - 201200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS REGION...LOWER GREAT LAKES-NEW ENGLAND...AND
OVER SOUTH TEXAS...
...SUMMARY...
Locally strong gusts and marginal hail may occur with storms over
the southern High Plains, with a couple of strong gusts also
possible from the lower Great Lakes region into New England. A brief
tornado or two may occur over parts of southern Texas tonight in
association with Potential Tropical Cyclone 1.
...Discussion...
Dominant East Coast upper ridge is forecast to build west into the
mid MS Valley later today as the primary belt of westerlies retreats
north of the international border. This westward expansion will
encourage the tropical system over the western Gulf basin to move
into northeast Mexico, considerably south of the Rio Grande Valley.
Convection that developed in association with frontal zone Tuesday
afternoon/evening has weakened considerably, but continues along a
corridor from the upper Great Lakes, southwest across IA into the
Oklahoma Panhandle. Latest model guidance suggests this activity
will be ongoing at the beginning of the period, along with
widespread convective debris. While an embedded disturbance or two
may evolve from this activity, it's not entirely clear how
substantial subsequent development will be given the weak
environmental shear and modest instability. The greatest risk for
robust updrafts will be across the southern High Plains into
southern NM where strong boundary-layer heating and orographic
influences will be favorable for a few strong to potentially severe
thunderstorms.
Another region where a few strong storms are possible is across the
lower Great Lakes into New England. While upper ridging will
dominate this region, scattered convection will once again develop
from portions of the Ohio Valley, northeast into New England as
surface temperatures warm through the mid 80s to near 90F.
Convective temperatures will be breached and thunderstorms should
develop within a seasonally moist environment with PW values in
excess of 1.75 inches. Gusty winds are the primary concern with this
weakly sheared convection.
Low-level shear will increase markedly during the latter half of the
period across south Texas along the northern fringe of the western
Gulf basin tropical system. This feature may evolve into a tropical
cyclone before it moves inland well south of the lower Rio Grande
Valley. While this system will remain at low latitudes, 850mb flow
is expected to increase across south TX such that sustained updrafts
will likely rotate. High PW and strong low-level shear favors some
low risk for a tornado or two, especially during the latter half of
the period.
..Darrow/Thornton.. 06/19/2024
Read more1 year 2 months ago
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1248 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024
Valid 191200Z - 201200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS REGION...LOWER GREAT LAKES-NEW ENGLAND...AND
OVER SOUTH TEXAS...
...SUMMARY...
Locally strong gusts and marginal hail may occur with storms over
the southern High Plains, with a couple of strong gusts also
possible from the lower Great Lakes region into New England. A brief
tornado or two may occur over parts of southern Texas tonight in
association with Potential Tropical Cyclone 1.
...Discussion...
Dominant East Coast upper ridge is forecast to build west into the
mid MS Valley later today as the primary belt of westerlies retreats
north of the international border. This westward expansion will
encourage the tropical system over the western Gulf basin to move
into northeast Mexico, considerably south of the Rio Grande Valley.
Convection that developed in association with frontal zone Tuesday
afternoon/evening has weakened considerably, but continues along a
corridor from the upper Great Lakes, southwest across IA into the
Oklahoma Panhandle. Latest model guidance suggests this activity
will be ongoing at the beginning of the period, along with
widespread convective debris. While an embedded disturbance or two
may evolve from this activity, it's not entirely clear how
substantial subsequent development will be given the weak
environmental shear and modest instability. The greatest risk for
robust updrafts will be across the southern High Plains into
southern NM where strong boundary-layer heating and orographic
influences will be favorable for a few strong to potentially severe
thunderstorms.
Another region where a few strong storms are possible is across the
lower Great Lakes into New England. While upper ridging will
dominate this region, scattered convection will once again develop
from portions of the Ohio Valley, northeast into New England as
surface temperatures warm through the mid 80s to near 90F.
Convective temperatures will be breached and thunderstorms should
develop within a seasonally moist environment with PW values in
excess of 1.75 inches. Gusty winds are the primary concern with this
weakly sheared convection.
Low-level shear will increase markedly during the latter half of the
period across south Texas along the northern fringe of the western
Gulf basin tropical system. This feature may evolve into a tropical
cyclone before it moves inland well south of the lower Rio Grande
Valley. While this system will remain at low latitudes, 850mb flow
is expected to increase across south TX such that sustained updrafts
will likely rotate. High PW and strong low-level shear favors some
low risk for a tornado or two, especially during the latter half of
the period.
..Darrow/Thornton.. 06/19/2024
Read more1 year 2 months ago
Far West Texas reported above-average temperatures ranging from the upper-90s to low-100s and rainfall averaging 0.5 of an inch in some areas. Winds continued to dry out topsoil moisture, and corn and sorghum plants were beginning to show signs of stress. Watermelons and cantaloupe continued to make good progress, but weed control was an issue for all areas. Soil moisture ranged from short to adequate while rangeland conditions remained steady. Livestock ranchers were culling herds due to drought and were supplementing food and water for remaining cattle.
AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), June 18, 2024
Far West Texas reported extreme heat and isolated severe thunderstorms with daytime highs ranging in the mid- to upper-90s in the higher elevations, with highs well above 100 degrees in lower areas. Rainfall averaged between trace amounts and 1 inch. Moisture improved range, soil and planting conditions. There were reports of hail up to 2 inches in diameter and a tornado in the southern part of the district. Cotton planting progressed quickly with virtually no topsoil moisture, and growers were working through fields non-stop. Winter wheat was grazed out or baled for hay. Corn and melons with ample irrigation were coming along well. Onions were being harvested, and hay and alfalfa were growing well. Mesquite trees were blooming. Livestock were in fair condition, but food and water were still being supplemented in most areas and flies were becoming an issue.
AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), June 4, 2024
Temperatures in Far West Texas averaged over 100 degrees during the day and in the low 70s at night with some areas seeing rain. Rainfall ranged from 0.6-1 inch. There were some reports of hail, damaging some homes and vehicles, but no major damage was reported to livestock. The high winds and intense heat removed moisture from the top 2 inches of ground soil, causing dust storms that limited visibility. Cotton planting began, with Pima and upland cotton fields looking good. Winter wheat was baled for hay or grazed out by livestock, and rye was growing well. Corn and melon crops were doing well, and alfalfa was being cut and baled with some producers starting the second cut. Pecan orchards were being irrigated or prepared for irrigation, and foliar-fed zinc were being applied to trees. Pastures in some areas were beginning to green up for the first time since last year, while producers continued to give livestock feed and water in areas experiencing drought.
AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), May 21, 2024
Temperatures in Far West Texas ranged from highs in the lower 90s to lows in the mid 60s and rainfall ranged between 0.2 and 4 inches with a few areas receiving no rainfall. Some strong wind and hail were reported with some hail and flood damage reported. Weed control was becoming a bigger issue in all farm ground and a large influx of large red velvet mites have been reported. Around 75% of the cotton planted has emerged and continued to grow with some fields going in late with upland cotton. All Pima cotton should be planted by now. The pecan orchards were very good as most farmers were irrigating for the second time. The flat ground, no-till and wheat stubble has taken and spread out the moisture better. The topsoil and subsoil moisture should help improve the very poor range and pasture conditions. Straw has been baled and wheat is in the drying stage. The El Paso Valley looked very good, thanks to project irrigation water, or river water. Alfalfa production was higher than usual with oats and wheat being cut and baled by the end of this month. Range conditions saw grass returning to normal health and pastures were beginning to green up a bit more. Livestock conditions will see return of cattle to grazed areas for a second round. The working of lambs and kids was completed and livestock and wildlife continued to be fed.
AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), May 7, 2024
1 year 2 months ago
West Central Texas was warm and humid with rainfall accumulations ranging from 0.5-3 inches. Soil conditions were good with warm-season forages growing and being cut and baled. Increasing pest problems were reported in some areas, with grasshoppers becoming a widespread issue. Cotton planting was completed with earlier planted fields doing well but later planted cotton struggling to emerge in the dry soil and high heat. Grain sorghum was progressing with most plants in the flowering stage. Some corn was impacted by hail but looked to be in fair to good condition overall. Hay season looked promising, and pecan outlooks were optimistic. Pasture conditions ranged from fair to good, but the high temperatures were causing concern for fire. Rangeland conditions were good, and grasses recovered well, but weeds were becoming a concern. Lakes and stock tanks were still rising with some stock tanks reported to be full. Livestock conditions ranged from good to excellent, but sheep and goat producers were dealing with internal parasites. Cattle were in good shape and prices remained strong.
AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), June 18, 2024
West Central Texas had from no rain to 5 inches across the district with temperatures ranging from the upper 70s to low 90s. Reports of hail and wind damage included hail impacting wheat progress, with some farms reporting wind damage from storms. Despite storm damage, wheat crops ranged from good to excellent condition. In some parts of the region, wheat and oat pastures continued to mature but most would be grazed or baled for hay. In other areas, the wheat was drying down and harvest will start soon for dryland acres with low yields expected. Grain and forage sorghum planting was ongoing. Corn looked fair but needs more rain to supplement the irrigation. Pasture and rangeland conditions ranged from poor to good, with some areas improved due to recent rains. Forage, mainly cool season maturing forages, was appearing with producers managing weeds after the recent rains. Cattle continued to look good with body condition looking good on all classes. Sheep and goat producers need an aggressive parasite management program with the recent rains.
AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), May 7, 2024
1 year 2 months ago
Southwest Texas received rainfall ranging from 0.5-1.25 inches, which helped to replenish soil moisture, but more rainfall was needed. The dry conditions were beginning to take their toll on rangelands, pastures and row crops. Forages, native plants and wildflowers were doing well. Hay harvest was underway, but production was below normal. Crop conditions ranged from poor to good. The hot and humid conditions were reducing feed efficiency in cattle, but body conditions were good. Webworms were beginning to establish themselves in pecan trees, which could potentially pose problems for producers in the future. Livestock benefited from better rangeland conditions, but producers were still supplementing herd diets. Cattle markets were good.
AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), June 18, 2024
Rainfall in Southwest Texas averaged 3-4 inches with temperatures in the 90s. There were reports of strong winds in most areas that caused minimal damage to trees and row crops. Row crop conditions looked good despite the hot temperatures and lack of moisture. Dryland corn was beginning to stunt, and warm-season grasses were beginning to seed. Bermuda grass hay fields were being cut and baled and pastures were beginning to decline due to the windy and hot temperatures. Backyard gardens were perking up from the small amount of rain and sunshine. Livestock looked good, and whitetail does were having babies and becoming more active. Cattle body conditions looked good.
AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), June 4, 2024
Extreme storm conditions brought over 2.5 inches of rainfall and hail to some areas. High winds also caused some damage to agricultural operations, including downed trees and limbs. There also was some damage reported to building roofs. There was wind damage reported in corn, sorghum and cotton, particularly on the outer edges of the fields. Range and pasture conditions improved, though deep subsoil moisture remained a concern as many native pecan trees did not leaf out this year. Warmer, drier weather was predicted, and the evapotranspiration rates were expected to rise soon with higher temperatures. Wheat and oat harvests began with higher-than-normal yields reported. Cattle were grazing on pastures. Pastures continued to look good, and hay production was ongoing in some areas. Livestock diets were being supplemented and were in mostly fair condition. Whitetail deer does were starting to drop fawns, and bucks were active.
AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), May 21, 2024
Precipitation amounts across Southwest Texas ranged from none to almost 2 inches in isolated pockets. Soil moisture was lacking throughout the region and no runoff water was reported. It was cooler in some areas with overcast, high humidity and a hot week expected. The rain helped allow pasture, forage and range conditions to remain good. Both irrigated and dryland crops were improving, and corn and sorghum continued to grow, having recovered from recent hail damage. Desert termites continued to devastate parts of some areas and a heavy caterpillar presence was noticed in pecans and other trees. The early season hay baling has been noticed. Soils were retaining moisture and stock tanks have filled up to a noticeable amount. Livestock body condition scores averaged from 4-6 and producers were still cutting numbers as the region was not showing real signs of recovery. However, livestock conditions remained good. Deer and other wildlife activity increased, and young bucks were seen more frequently.
AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), May 7, 2024
1 year 2 months ago
Weather conditions in South Texas ranged from hot and dry to mild and humid with very little rainfall. Sorghum fields looked good with most areas reporting seeding and crops turning color. Sesame and watermelon crops looked good and were almost ready for harvest. Many producers were expected to begin sunflower harvest soon. Cotton conditions ranged from fair to good with most areas seeing bolls and early planted cotton in the flowering stages. Whiteflies and chili thrips were in cotton, and aphids were reported on some late-panted grain sorghum fields. Corn fields were in good condition with harvest underway in most areas. Pasture conditions varied from poor to fair with ranchers in some areas already selling calves at lighter weights and supplementing cattle with hay and protein. Livestock and wildlife conditions were good, and cattle prices remained strong in most areas.
AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), June 18, 2024
The district received rainfall ranging from zero to 4 inches with hot, humid conditions. The grain sorghum harvest started in many areas. Sudan and Bermuda grass fields were baled. Corn was a few weeks away from harvest. Sesame pods were being set, and fields looked clean of insects. Very few crop fields were being irrigated as most irrigation districts were out of water allotments. Turfgrass was being harvested. Hay was being bailed in many places, with producers in some areas gearing up for their second cutting. Fruit and vegetable producers were harvesting and moving their crop as quickly as possible. Cotton fields were flowering. Pastures were green and lush, and irrigated hay fields were in good condition in some areas with a few areas suffering from the extreme heat and dry conditions. Livestock conditions ranged from poor to good. Supplemental feeding of livestock continued in some areas with many landowners planning to thin their herds to prepare for a dry summer. Cattle prices were strong.
AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), June 4, 2024
South Texas reported very warm to hot conditions and rainfall ranging from a trace to 2 inches. There were reports of hail and straight-line winds that damaged irrigation pivots and outbuildings. Corn and grain sorghum fields were expected to be harvested earlier this year. Cotton planting continued, and planted fields were beginning to show growth. Watermelon harvest continued with drip irrigation taking place. Sesame fields were faring well. Oats were harvested, and wheat harvest was good in most areas while some activity halted due to rain. Hay producers were cutting Bermuda grass fields and should bale soon. Hay yields ranged from fair to good in most areas. Range and pasture conditions were poor to good. Livestock and wildlife conditions were poor to good with supplemental feeding occurring in most areas. Cattle were in good condition but needed supplemental feed. Some sale barns reported lower volumes with a slight decrease in feeder cattle prices while others reported strong prices.
AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), May 21, 2024
South Texas has seen mild temperatures with humid and windy conditions with rainfall averaging from dry to 2 1/2 inches in some areas. Soil conditions ranged from poor to adequate. Corn and sorghum crops in some areas continued to progress but were showing signs of moisture stress in late morning in some plants. Row crops in some areas were looking good in irrigated areas. In Hidalgo County, flea hopper pressure was reported in untreated cotton and yellow sugarcane aphid pressure was reported in grain sorghum. Citrus was being irrigated, but some orchards were in irrigation districts that were out of water. Irrigation was getting critical for most producers because of extremely low water levels in Falcon Lake. Irrigation districts and some municipalities in Cameron County were continuing to implement water usage restrictions as supplies continued to decline. Strawberries were being harvested with other spring and summer vegetables in some areas. Wheat and oat harvest has begun in most areas and cotton planting will be completed. Peanut planting started in Frio County. Producers were busy harvesting hay in some areas but other fields needed rain to finish growing. Grazer fields were still growing but were showing signs of moisture stress. Coastal Bermuda grass fields were producing good hay bales, and watermelon fields were developing in normal conditions in Maverick County. Pasture and rangeland conditions ranged from poor to fair. Beef cattle producers in most areas continued to take advantage of strong market prices as they continued to cull herds prior to summer. A slight seasonal decrease in feeder cattle was reported this week. Quail were pairing up and notable sightings were being reported.
AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), May 7, 2024
1 year 2 months ago
MD 1330 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 435... FOR OK AND FAR NORTHERN TX PANHANDLES INTO NORTHWEST OK...SOUTHWEST/CENTRAL/EASTERN KS
Mesoscale Discussion 1330
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0924 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024
Areas affected...OK and far northern TX Panhandles into northwest
OK...southwest/central/eastern KS
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 435...
Valid 190224Z - 190400Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 435
continues.
SUMMARY...Some severe wind/hail threat may persist through late
evening.
DISCUSSION...A cluster of strong storms is gradually propagating
southward across the central/eastern OK Panhandle, and this trend
may continue (with some additional backbuilding) as a strong
low-level jet remains focused across the region. While deep-layer
flow/shear decreases with southward extent, moderate to strong
buoyancy will support a continued risk of isolated hail and
strong/severe gusts, which may slowly spread into the far northern
TX Panhandle and extreme northwest OK.
Farther northeast, a couple of bowing line segments that earlier
developed over west-central KS appear to be weakening somewhat,
though some threat for isolated severe gusts and perhaps some hail
may continue beyond the 03Z expiration time of WW 435. Local watch
extension may be considered if short-term trends continue to support
maintenance of an organized severe risk.
..Dean/Edwards.. 06/19/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA...
LAT...LON 36860181 38049933 38479857 39129766 39349623 38849594
37799593 36659948 36340099 36590208 36860181
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