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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1251 AM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...Synopsis... A potent upper-level trough will move through the Northwest and into the northern Rockies today. At the surface, a low will deepen in the northern High Plains. A cold front will push into the Great Basin from the northwest. ...Northern Nevada into Snake River Plain... Winds ahead of and behind the surface boundary will intensify by the afternoon. RH during the afternoon is less than certain as there is some possibility of some higher-level cloud cover ahead of the trough as well as cumulus buildups within the terrain areas. However, it seems reasonable to expect 15-20% for most areas. Winds through the Snake Plain are likely to be stronger given the proximity to the mid-level jet. There, 20-25 mph will be possible. Into Nevada, 15-20 mph is more likely. With rainfall having occurred across central portions of Nevada, the elevated area has been adjusted to account for temporary fuel moistening. Within the Snake Plain, fuels are not yet critically dry and will not support an addition of critical highlights despite favorable meteorological conditions. ..Wendt.. 06/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1251 AM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...Synopsis... A potent upper-level trough will move through the Northwest and into the northern Rockies today. At the surface, a low will deepen in the northern High Plains. A cold front will push into the Great Basin from the northwest. ...Northern Nevada into Snake River Plain... Winds ahead of and behind the surface boundary will intensify by the afternoon. RH during the afternoon is less than certain as there is some possibility of some higher-level cloud cover ahead of the trough as well as cumulus buildups within the terrain areas. However, it seems reasonable to expect 15-20% for most areas. Winds through the Snake Plain are likely to be stronger given the proximity to the mid-level jet. There, 20-25 mph will be possible. Into Nevada, 15-20 mph is more likely. With rainfall having occurred across central portions of Nevada, the elevated area has been adjusted to account for temporary fuel moistening. Within the Snake Plain, fuels are not yet critically dry and will not support an addition of critical highlights despite favorable meteorological conditions. ..Wendt.. 06/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1251 AM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...Synopsis... A potent upper-level trough will move through the Northwest and into the northern Rockies today. At the surface, a low will deepen in the northern High Plains. A cold front will push into the Great Basin from the northwest. ...Northern Nevada into Snake River Plain... Winds ahead of and behind the surface boundary will intensify by the afternoon. RH during the afternoon is less than certain as there is some possibility of some higher-level cloud cover ahead of the trough as well as cumulus buildups within the terrain areas. However, it seems reasonable to expect 15-20% for most areas. Winds through the Snake Plain are likely to be stronger given the proximity to the mid-level jet. There, 20-25 mph will be possible. Into Nevada, 15-20 mph is more likely. With rainfall having occurred across central portions of Nevada, the elevated area has been adjusted to account for temporary fuel moistening. Within the Snake Plain, fuels are not yet critically dry and will not support an addition of critical highlights despite favorable meteorological conditions. ..Wendt.. 06/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1251 AM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...Synopsis... A potent upper-level trough will move through the Northwest and into the northern Rockies today. At the surface, a low will deepen in the northern High Plains. A cold front will push into the Great Basin from the northwest. ...Northern Nevada into Snake River Plain... Winds ahead of and behind the surface boundary will intensify by the afternoon. RH during the afternoon is less than certain as there is some possibility of some higher-level cloud cover ahead of the trough as well as cumulus buildups within the terrain areas. However, it seems reasonable to expect 15-20% for most areas. Winds through the Snake Plain are likely to be stronger given the proximity to the mid-level jet. There, 20-25 mph will be possible. Into Nevada, 15-20 mph is more likely. With rainfall having occurred across central portions of Nevada, the elevated area has been adjusted to account for temporary fuel moistening. Within the Snake Plain, fuels are not yet critically dry and will not support an addition of critical highlights despite favorable meteorological conditions. ..Wendt.. 06/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1251 AM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...Synopsis... A potent upper-level trough will move through the Northwest and into the northern Rockies today. At the surface, a low will deepen in the northern High Plains. A cold front will push into the Great Basin from the northwest. ...Northern Nevada into Snake River Plain... Winds ahead of and behind the surface boundary will intensify by the afternoon. RH during the afternoon is less than certain as there is some possibility of some higher-level cloud cover ahead of the trough as well as cumulus buildups within the terrain areas. However, it seems reasonable to expect 15-20% for most areas. Winds through the Snake Plain are likely to be stronger given the proximity to the mid-level jet. There, 20-25 mph will be possible. Into Nevada, 15-20 mph is more likely. With rainfall having occurred across central portions of Nevada, the elevated area has been adjusted to account for temporary fuel moistening. Within the Snake Plain, fuels are not yet critically dry and will not support an addition of critical highlights despite favorable meteorological conditions. ..Wendt.. 06/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 270521
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Wed Jun 26 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Bucci

Aqua NC has reminded customers to conserve water as the NC Drought Management Advisory Council upgraded drought conditions across the state. With New Hanover and Brunswick counties in abnormally dry conditions, customers are required to adhere to a mandatory odd-even spray irrigation schedule. WECT-TV Channel 6 (Wilmington, N.C.), June 27, 2024

Oregon Gov. Tina Kotek announced a drought declaration for Jefferson County through Executive Order 24-08 and directed state agencies to coordinate and prioritize assistance to the region, granting a request that was originally denied by state officials. This is the sixth consecutive drought declaration for Jefferson County. Below-normal precipitation, streamflow and groundwater conditions continue to indicate persistent drought conditions in the basin. Precipitation has been below average in Jefferson County since 2018. KTVZ-TV NewsChannel 21 (Redmond, Ore.), June 27, 2024 Although the State of Oregon denied Jefferson County’s request for a drought declaration, due to the normal snowpack, increasing streamflows and rising water storage levels, farmers were still having to get by with about half of their normal water deliveries for the sixth consecutive year. Several farms will no longer be farmed. One livestock company has to get feed by rail from the Midwest, which increases expenses considerably. They have quite a bit of farmland, but about half of it was fallow. A purple coneflower grower used to be the largest producer in the U.S. While his production is usually in the range of 35,000 to 45,000 pounds, this year he has just 510 pounds. Irrigators in the North Unit Irrigation District will get a little more than half of the full water allocation for the sixth year of drastically reduced water deliveries. Some generational farmers were choosing to stop farming. Some local businesses have shifted operations or moved elsewhere. One business shut down its seed division; another shut down its fertilizer division; and a tractor sales and service company relocated to another town. Jefferson County officials saw the difficulties that the water shortage was causing farmers and businesses and requested the drought declaration in March. The Oregon Water Resources department will reevaluate Jefferson County’s drought declaration request each month. In the meantime, the state is willing to help Jefferson County farmers appeal directly to the federal government for assistance. Central Oregon Daily News (Bend, Ore.), May 22, 2024

MD 1443 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 472... FOR FAR EASTERN CONNECTICUT/RHODE ISLAND/CENTRAL AND EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS
Mesoscale Discussion 1443 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1012 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Areas affected...far eastern Connecticut/Rhode Island/central and eastern Massachusetts Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 472... Valid 270312Z - 270415Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 472 continues. SUMMARY...A band of strong/severe storms continues moving eastward across southern New England, where locally damaging wind gusts remain possible over the next couple of hours. DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a north-south band of strong/severe storms moving eastward at around 40 kt in the vicinity of the Connecticut/Rhode Island border. The storms have a history of producing strong/severe wind gusts, including a 67 kt gust at Hartford/Bradley Airport (KBDL) in the past hour. While instability is gradually diminishing nocturnally, and capping correspondingly increasing, storms will likely maintain intensity given the degree of organization. With that said, hints exist in KBOX radar data that outflow is beginning to outpace the main band of storms. This -- and the ongoing nocturnal boundary-layer cooling -- suggests that storms are becoming slightly elevated with time. Still, locally severe/damaging gusts remain possible over the next 1 to 2 hours. ..Goss.. 06/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BOX... LAT...LON 41397172 41717175 42507207 42897039 42197004 41966998 41707005 41507075 41397172 Read more

MD 1441 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 470... FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 1441 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0827 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Areas affected...Portions of North Texas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 470... Valid 270127Z - 270300Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 470 continues. SUMMARY...Large hail and severe winds remain possible with a supercell in North Texas. Southern extent of the threat is not clear. Watch extensions will need to be considered if trends warrant. DISCUSSION...A supercell near Denison/Sherman has generally been moving south-southwestward roughly along an outflow boundary. This storm will likely continue into the mid evening. So far, 1 inch hail has been reported with this storm. MLCIN has been increasing to the south over the last hour. However, with an established supercell, it will take time to have a negative impact on the storm. The outflow boundary drapes southward trough western portions of the Metroplex. The observed 00Z FWD showed modest MLCIN along with steep mid-level lapse rates and 34 kts of effective shear. It is not clear whether this storm will persist far enough to impact DFW proper, but it is possible. Trends will need to be monitored for possible watch extensions farther south. ..Wendt.. 06/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN... LAT...LON 33199630 32829647 32699678 32689709 32819728 33409735 33759732 33919711 34149670 34049652 33749627 33199630 Read more

WW 0469 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 469 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W ABE TO 20 W GON TO 10 SE BAF. ..GOSS..06/27/24 ATTN...WFO...OKX...BOX...ALY...PHI... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 469 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS CTC001-007-009-011-013-015-270340- CT . CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FAIRFIELD MIDDLESEX NEW HAVEN NEW LONDON TOLLAND WINDHAM NJC003-005-007-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-035-039- 041-270340- NJ . NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BERGEN BURLINGTON CAMDEN ESSEX GLOUCESTER HUDSON HUNTERDON MERCER MIDDLESEX MONMOUTH MORRIS OCEAN PASSAIC SOMERSET UNION WARREN NYC005-047-059-061-081-085-087-103-119-270340- Read more

WW 0469 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 469 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W ABE TO 20 W GON TO 10 SE BAF. ..GOSS..06/27/24 ATTN...WFO...OKX...BOX...ALY...PHI... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 469 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS CTC001-007-009-011-013-015-270340- CT . CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FAIRFIELD MIDDLESEX NEW HAVEN NEW LONDON TOLLAND WINDHAM NJC003-005-007-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-035-039- 041-270340- NJ . NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BERGEN BURLINGTON CAMDEN ESSEX GLOUCESTER HUDSON HUNTERDON MERCER MIDDLESEX MONMOUTH MORRIS OCEAN PASSAIC SOMERSET UNION WARREN NYC005-047-059-061-081-085-087-103-119-270340- Read more

WW 0469 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 469 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W ABE TO 20 W GON TO 10 SE BAF. ..GOSS..06/27/24 ATTN...WFO...OKX...BOX...ALY...PHI... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 469 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS CTC001-007-009-011-013-015-270340- CT . CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FAIRFIELD MIDDLESEX NEW HAVEN NEW LONDON TOLLAND WINDHAM NJC003-005-007-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-035-039- 041-270340- NJ . NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BERGEN BURLINGTON CAMDEN ESSEX GLOUCESTER HUDSON HUNTERDON MERCER MIDDLESEX MONMOUTH MORRIS OCEAN PASSAIC SOMERSET UNION WARREN NYC005-047-059-061-081-085-087-103-119-270340- Read more

WW 469 SEVERE TSTM CT NJ NY PA CW 262215Z - 270400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 469 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 615 PM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Connecticut Much of New Jersey Southeast New York and Long Island Eastern Pennsylvania Coastal Waters * Effective this Wednesday night from 615 PM until Midnight EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible SUMMARY...A band of strong to severe thunderstorms is forecast to move east into and across much of the Watch area this evening. A risk for strong to severe gusts (50-65 mph) capable of wind damage will potentially accompany the stronger thunderstorms. An isolated threat for large hail (1 to 1.5 inches in diameter) may exist with any discrete and intense thunderstorms. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles west northwest of Windsor Locks CT to 10 miles southwest of Philadelphia PA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 464...WW 466...WW 467...WW 468... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 25040. ...Smith Read more

WW 0471 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 471 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW NHK TO 20 ESE DCA TO 35 SSE CXY. ..GOSS..06/27/24 ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 471 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MDC003-005-009-011-015-025-029-035-041-510-270340- MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT CAROLINE CECIL HARFORD KENT QUEEN ANNE'S TALBOT MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE BALTIMORE CITY ANZ530-531-532-533-538-539-540-541-542-270340- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD Read more

WW 0471 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 471 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW NHK TO 20 ESE DCA TO 35 SSE CXY. ..GOSS..06/27/24 ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 471 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MDC003-005-009-011-015-025-029-035-041-510-270340- MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT CAROLINE CECIL HARFORD KENT QUEEN ANNE'S TALBOT MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE BALTIMORE CITY ANZ530-531-532-533-538-539-540-541-542-270340- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD Read more

WW 0471 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 471 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW NHK TO 20 ESE DCA TO 35 SSE CXY. ..GOSS..06/27/24 ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 471 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MDC003-005-009-011-015-025-029-035-041-510-270340- MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT CAROLINE CECIL HARFORD KENT QUEEN ANNE'S TALBOT MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE BALTIMORE CITY ANZ530-531-532-533-538-539-540-541-542-270340- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD Read more

WW 471 SEVERE TSTM DC MD VA CW 270050Z - 270400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 471 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 850 PM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Central and Eastern Maryland Northern Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Wednesday night from 850 PM until Midnight EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 60 mph possible SUMMARY...A broken linear cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms will likely continue east across northern Virginia and adjacent portions of Maryland through the late evening. Strong to locally severe gusts (50-60 mph) capable of wind damage will be possible with the stronger thunderstorms and outflow surges as this activity moves east. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles south of Martinsburg WV to 45 miles east of Baltimore MD. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 464...WW 467...WW 468...WW 469...WW 470... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 50 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 25035. ...Smith Read more

MD 1438 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 468... FOR SOUTHERN IDAHO INTO SOUTHWEST MONTANA
Mesoscale Discussion 1438 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0751 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Areas affected...Southern Idaho into southwest Montana Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 468... Valid 270051Z - 270245Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 468 continues. SUMMARY...Storms will remain capable of severe winds and marginally severe hail into the evening. The environment becomes less favorable to the east and a weakening trend is expected as storms move into southwest Montana. DISCUSSION...Scattered convection continues across parts of southern Idaho and will eventually progress into southwest Montana. With the continued approach of the upper-level trough this evening, some additional development remains possible in western Idaho. The most intense storms will continue to pose a risk for severe winds as well as marginally severe hail. The hail threat should generally be modulated by somewhat limited buoyancy. With temperatures cooler and the airmass drier into southwest Montana, storms are expected to gradually weaken with eastward extent. ..Wendt.. 06/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TFX...PIH...MSO...BOI... LAT...LON 42801547 42971578 43571635 43741628 44491574 45601400 45521339 44721250 43681193 42861260 42591406 42801547 Read more

WW 0470 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 470 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW ADM TO 15 SSE ADM TO 5 N DAL. ..WENDT..06/27/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 470 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC033-055-057-065-067-085-141-270340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COTTON GREER HARMON JACKSON JEFFERSON LOVE TILLMAN TXC077-097-155-197-337-485-487-270340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY COOKE FOARD HARDEMAN MONTAGUE WICHITA WILBARGER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more