SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...20z Update... Minor changes have been made to adjust the Elevated area to better match greater fire-weather potential across portions of the northern and eastern Great Basin. Dry and breezy conditions are possible over a broad area within a post-frontal flow regime across NV. At least a few hours of 10-20% RH are likely to overlap with northwesterly gusts of 15-20 mph. The most likely corridors for sustained elevated to near-critical fire-weather conditions will be across portions of southern ID and eastern NV into southwest UT. Localized fire-weather conditions are also possible in northern CA. See the prior discussion. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0204 AM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will continue to progress eastward and impinge on the Rockies tomorrow (Monday) while upper ridging prevails across the central U.S. A mid-level jet streak will pivot around the trough and overspread the Great Basin region, supporting another day of dry and breezy conditions. By afternoon peak heating, much of the Great Basin will experience 15+ mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds amid 10-15 percent RH, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions (i.e. RH as low as 10 percent in spots) are also expected across much of the California Central Valley region, where fuels are becoming increasingly receptive to wildfire spread. At the moment, the consensus among model guidance members suggests that surface winds will be on the lighter side, with fire weather highlights withheld for now. However, at least Elevated highlights may be needed in future outlooks if guidance trends windier in California. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...20z Update... Minor changes have been made to adjust the Elevated area to better match greater fire-weather potential across portions of the northern and eastern Great Basin. Dry and breezy conditions are possible over a broad area within a post-frontal flow regime across NV. At least a few hours of 10-20% RH are likely to overlap with northwesterly gusts of 15-20 mph. The most likely corridors for sustained elevated to near-critical fire-weather conditions will be across portions of southern ID and eastern NV into southwest UT. Localized fire-weather conditions are also possible in northern CA. See the prior discussion. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0204 AM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will continue to progress eastward and impinge on the Rockies tomorrow (Monday) while upper ridging prevails across the central U.S. A mid-level jet streak will pivot around the trough and overspread the Great Basin region, supporting another day of dry and breezy conditions. By afternoon peak heating, much of the Great Basin will experience 15+ mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds amid 10-15 percent RH, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions (i.e. RH as low as 10 percent in spots) are also expected across much of the California Central Valley region, where fuels are becoming increasingly receptive to wildfire spread. At the moment, the consensus among model guidance members suggests that surface winds will be on the lighter side, with fire weather highlights withheld for now. However, at least Elevated highlights may be needed in future outlooks if guidance trends windier in California. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...20z Update... Minor changes have been made to adjust the Elevated area to better match greater fire-weather potential across portions of the northern and eastern Great Basin. Dry and breezy conditions are possible over a broad area within a post-frontal flow regime across NV. At least a few hours of 10-20% RH are likely to overlap with northwesterly gusts of 15-20 mph. The most likely corridors for sustained elevated to near-critical fire-weather conditions will be across portions of southern ID and eastern NV into southwest UT. Localized fire-weather conditions are also possible in northern CA. See the prior discussion. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0204 AM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will continue to progress eastward and impinge on the Rockies tomorrow (Monday) while upper ridging prevails across the central U.S. A mid-level jet streak will pivot around the trough and overspread the Great Basin region, supporting another day of dry and breezy conditions. By afternoon peak heating, much of the Great Basin will experience 15+ mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds amid 10-15 percent RH, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions (i.e. RH as low as 10 percent in spots) are also expected across much of the California Central Valley region, where fuels are becoming increasingly receptive to wildfire spread. At the moment, the consensus among model guidance members suggests that surface winds will be on the lighter side, with fire weather highlights withheld for now. However, at least Elevated highlights may be needed in future outlooks if guidance trends windier in California. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...20z Update... Minor changes have been made to adjust the Elevated area to better match greater fire-weather potential across portions of the northern and eastern Great Basin. Dry and breezy conditions are possible over a broad area within a post-frontal flow regime across NV. At least a few hours of 10-20% RH are likely to overlap with northwesterly gusts of 15-20 mph. The most likely corridors for sustained elevated to near-critical fire-weather conditions will be across portions of southern ID and eastern NV into southwest UT. Localized fire-weather conditions are also possible in northern CA. See the prior discussion. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0204 AM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will continue to progress eastward and impinge on the Rockies tomorrow (Monday) while upper ridging prevails across the central U.S. A mid-level jet streak will pivot around the trough and overspread the Great Basin region, supporting another day of dry and breezy conditions. By afternoon peak heating, much of the Great Basin will experience 15+ mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds amid 10-15 percent RH, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions (i.e. RH as low as 10 percent in spots) are also expected across much of the California Central Valley region, where fuels are becoming increasingly receptive to wildfire spread. At the moment, the consensus among model guidance members suggests that surface winds will be on the lighter side, with fire weather highlights withheld for now. However, at least Elevated highlights may be needed in future outlooks if guidance trends windier in California. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...20z Update... Minor changes have been made to adjust the Elevated area to better match greater fire-weather potential across portions of the northern and eastern Great Basin. Dry and breezy conditions are possible over a broad area within a post-frontal flow regime across NV. At least a few hours of 10-20% RH are likely to overlap with northwesterly gusts of 15-20 mph. The most likely corridors for sustained elevated to near-critical fire-weather conditions will be across portions of southern ID and eastern NV into southwest UT. Localized fire-weather conditions are also possible in northern CA. See the prior discussion. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0204 AM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will continue to progress eastward and impinge on the Rockies tomorrow (Monday) while upper ridging prevails across the central U.S. A mid-level jet streak will pivot around the trough and overspread the Great Basin region, supporting another day of dry and breezy conditions. By afternoon peak heating, much of the Great Basin will experience 15+ mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds amid 10-15 percent RH, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions (i.e. RH as low as 10 percent in spots) are also expected across much of the California Central Valley region, where fuels are becoming increasingly receptive to wildfire spread. At the moment, the consensus among model guidance members suggests that surface winds will be on the lighter side, with fire weather highlights withheld for now. However, at least Elevated highlights may be needed in future outlooks if guidance trends windier in California. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...20z Update... Minor changes have been made to adjust the Elevated area to better match greater fire-weather potential across portions of the northern and eastern Great Basin. Dry and breezy conditions are possible over a broad area within a post-frontal flow regime across NV. At least a few hours of 10-20% RH are likely to overlap with northwesterly gusts of 15-20 mph. The most likely corridors for sustained elevated to near-critical fire-weather conditions will be across portions of southern ID and eastern NV into southwest UT. Localized fire-weather conditions are also possible in northern CA. See the prior discussion. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0204 AM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will continue to progress eastward and impinge on the Rockies tomorrow (Monday) while upper ridging prevails across the central U.S. A mid-level jet streak will pivot around the trough and overspread the Great Basin region, supporting another day of dry and breezy conditions. By afternoon peak heating, much of the Great Basin will experience 15+ mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds amid 10-15 percent RH, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions (i.e. RH as low as 10 percent in spots) are also expected across much of the California Central Valley region, where fuels are becoming increasingly receptive to wildfire spread. At the moment, the consensus among model guidance members suggests that surface winds will be on the lighter side, with fire weather highlights withheld for now. However, at least Elevated highlights may be needed in future outlooks if guidance trends windier in California. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...20z Update... Minor changes have been made to adjust the Elevated area to better match greater fire-weather potential across portions of the northern and eastern Great Basin. Dry and breezy conditions are possible over a broad area within a post-frontal flow regime across NV. At least a few hours of 10-20% RH are likely to overlap with northwesterly gusts of 15-20 mph. The most likely corridors for sustained elevated to near-critical fire-weather conditions will be across portions of southern ID and eastern NV into southwest UT. Localized fire-weather conditions are also possible in northern CA. See the prior discussion. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0204 AM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will continue to progress eastward and impinge on the Rockies tomorrow (Monday) while upper ridging prevails across the central U.S. A mid-level jet streak will pivot around the trough and overspread the Great Basin region, supporting another day of dry and breezy conditions. By afternoon peak heating, much of the Great Basin will experience 15+ mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds amid 10-15 percent RH, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions (i.e. RH as low as 10 percent in spots) are also expected across much of the California Central Valley region, where fuels are becoming increasingly receptive to wildfire spread. At the moment, the consensus among model guidance members suggests that surface winds will be on the lighter side, with fire weather highlights withheld for now. However, at least Elevated highlights may be needed in future outlooks if guidance trends windier in California. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...20z Update... Minor changes have been made to adjust the Elevated area to better match greater fire-weather potential across portions of the northern and eastern Great Basin. Dry and breezy conditions are possible over a broad area within a post-frontal flow regime across NV. At least a few hours of 10-20% RH are likely to overlap with northwesterly gusts of 15-20 mph. The most likely corridors for sustained elevated to near-critical fire-weather conditions will be across portions of southern ID and eastern NV into southwest UT. Localized fire-weather conditions are also possible in northern CA. See the prior discussion. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0204 AM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will continue to progress eastward and impinge on the Rockies tomorrow (Monday) while upper ridging prevails across the central U.S. A mid-level jet streak will pivot around the trough and overspread the Great Basin region, supporting another day of dry and breezy conditions. By afternoon peak heating, much of the Great Basin will experience 15+ mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds amid 10-15 percent RH, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions (i.e. RH as low as 10 percent in spots) are also expected across much of the California Central Valley region, where fuels are becoming increasingly receptive to wildfire spread. At the moment, the consensus among model guidance members suggests that surface winds will be on the lighter side, with fire weather highlights withheld for now. However, at least Elevated highlights may be needed in future outlooks if guidance trends windier in California. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...20z Update... Minor changes have been made to adjust the Elevated area to better match greater fire-weather potential across portions of the northern and eastern Great Basin. Dry and breezy conditions are possible over a broad area within a post-frontal flow regime across NV. At least a few hours of 10-20% RH are likely to overlap with northwesterly gusts of 15-20 mph. The most likely corridors for sustained elevated to near-critical fire-weather conditions will be across portions of southern ID and eastern NV into southwest UT. Localized fire-weather conditions are also possible in northern CA. See the prior discussion. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0204 AM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will continue to progress eastward and impinge on the Rockies tomorrow (Monday) while upper ridging prevails across the central U.S. A mid-level jet streak will pivot around the trough and overspread the Great Basin region, supporting another day of dry and breezy conditions. By afternoon peak heating, much of the Great Basin will experience 15+ mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds amid 10-15 percent RH, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions (i.e. RH as low as 10 percent in spots) are also expected across much of the California Central Valley region, where fuels are becoming increasingly receptive to wildfire spread. At the moment, the consensus among model guidance members suggests that surface winds will be on the lighter side, with fire weather highlights withheld for now. However, at least Elevated highlights may be needed in future outlooks if guidance trends windier in California. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...20z Update... Minor changes have been made to adjust the Elevated area to better match greater fire-weather potential across portions of the northern and eastern Great Basin. Dry and breezy conditions are possible over a broad area within a post-frontal flow regime across NV. At least a few hours of 10-20% RH are likely to overlap with northwesterly gusts of 15-20 mph. The most likely corridors for sustained elevated to near-critical fire-weather conditions will be across portions of southern ID and eastern NV into southwest UT. Localized fire-weather conditions are also possible in northern CA. See the prior discussion. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0204 AM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will continue to progress eastward and impinge on the Rockies tomorrow (Monday) while upper ridging prevails across the central U.S. A mid-level jet streak will pivot around the trough and overspread the Great Basin region, supporting another day of dry and breezy conditions. By afternoon peak heating, much of the Great Basin will experience 15+ mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds amid 10-15 percent RH, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions (i.e. RH as low as 10 percent in spots) are also expected across much of the California Central Valley region, where fuels are becoming increasingly receptive to wildfire spread. At the moment, the consensus among model guidance members suggests that surface winds will be on the lighter side, with fire weather highlights withheld for now. However, at least Elevated highlights may be needed in future outlooks if guidance trends windier in California. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...20z Update... Minor changes have been made to adjust the Elevated area to better match greater fire-weather potential across portions of the northern and eastern Great Basin. Dry and breezy conditions are possible over a broad area within a post-frontal flow regime across NV. At least a few hours of 10-20% RH are likely to overlap with northwesterly gusts of 15-20 mph. The most likely corridors for sustained elevated to near-critical fire-weather conditions will be across portions of southern ID and eastern NV into southwest UT. Localized fire-weather conditions are also possible in northern CA. See the prior discussion. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0204 AM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will continue to progress eastward and impinge on the Rockies tomorrow (Monday) while upper ridging prevails across the central U.S. A mid-level jet streak will pivot around the trough and overspread the Great Basin region, supporting another day of dry and breezy conditions. By afternoon peak heating, much of the Great Basin will experience 15+ mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds amid 10-15 percent RH, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions (i.e. RH as low as 10 percent in spots) are also expected across much of the California Central Valley region, where fuels are becoming increasingly receptive to wildfire spread. At the moment, the consensus among model guidance members suggests that surface winds will be on the lighter side, with fire weather highlights withheld for now. However, at least Elevated highlights may be needed in future outlooks if guidance trends windier in California. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...20z Update... Minor changes have been made to adjust the Elevated area to better match greater fire-weather potential across portions of the northern and eastern Great Basin. Dry and breezy conditions are possible over a broad area within a post-frontal flow regime across NV. At least a few hours of 10-20% RH are likely to overlap with northwesterly gusts of 15-20 mph. The most likely corridors for sustained elevated to near-critical fire-weather conditions will be across portions of southern ID and eastern NV into southwest UT. Localized fire-weather conditions are also possible in northern CA. See the prior discussion. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0204 AM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will continue to progress eastward and impinge on the Rockies tomorrow (Monday) while upper ridging prevails across the central U.S. A mid-level jet streak will pivot around the trough and overspread the Great Basin region, supporting another day of dry and breezy conditions. By afternoon peak heating, much of the Great Basin will experience 15+ mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds amid 10-15 percent RH, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions (i.e. RH as low as 10 percent in spots) are also expected across much of the California Central Valley region, where fuels are becoming increasingly receptive to wildfire spread. At the moment, the consensus among model guidance members suggests that surface winds will be on the lighter side, with fire weather highlights withheld for now. However, at least Elevated highlights may be needed in future outlooks if guidance trends windier in California. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...20z Update... Minor changes have been made to adjust the Elevated area to better match greater fire-weather potential across portions of the northern and eastern Great Basin. Dry and breezy conditions are possible over a broad area within a post-frontal flow regime across NV. At least a few hours of 10-20% RH are likely to overlap with northwesterly gusts of 15-20 mph. The most likely corridors for sustained elevated to near-critical fire-weather conditions will be across portions of southern ID and eastern NV into southwest UT. Localized fire-weather conditions are also possible in northern CA. See the prior discussion. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0204 AM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will continue to progress eastward and impinge on the Rockies tomorrow (Monday) while upper ridging prevails across the central U.S. A mid-level jet streak will pivot around the trough and overspread the Great Basin region, supporting another day of dry and breezy conditions. By afternoon peak heating, much of the Great Basin will experience 15+ mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds amid 10-15 percent RH, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions (i.e. RH as low as 10 percent in spots) are also expected across much of the California Central Valley region, where fuels are becoming increasingly receptive to wildfire spread. At the moment, the consensus among model guidance members suggests that surface winds will be on the lighter side, with fire weather highlights withheld for now. However, at least Elevated highlights may be needed in future outlooks if guidance trends windier in California. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...20z Update... Minor changes have been made to adjust the Elevated area to better match greater fire-weather potential across portions of the northern and eastern Great Basin. Dry and breezy conditions are possible over a broad area within a post-frontal flow regime across NV. At least a few hours of 10-20% RH are likely to overlap with northwesterly gusts of 15-20 mph. The most likely corridors for sustained elevated to near-critical fire-weather conditions will be across portions of southern ID and eastern NV into southwest UT. Localized fire-weather conditions are also possible in northern CA. See the prior discussion. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0204 AM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will continue to progress eastward and impinge on the Rockies tomorrow (Monday) while upper ridging prevails across the central U.S. A mid-level jet streak will pivot around the trough and overspread the Great Basin region, supporting another day of dry and breezy conditions. By afternoon peak heating, much of the Great Basin will experience 15+ mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds amid 10-15 percent RH, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions (i.e. RH as low as 10 percent in spots) are also expected across much of the California Central Valley region, where fuels are becoming increasingly receptive to wildfire spread. At the moment, the consensus among model guidance members suggests that surface winds will be on the lighter side, with fire weather highlights withheld for now. However, at least Elevated highlights may be needed in future outlooks if guidance trends windier in California. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...20z Update... Minor changes have been made to adjust the Elevated area to better match greater fire-weather potential across portions of the northern and eastern Great Basin. Dry and breezy conditions are possible over a broad area within a post-frontal flow regime across NV. At least a few hours of 10-20% RH are likely to overlap with northwesterly gusts of 15-20 mph. The most likely corridors for sustained elevated to near-critical fire-weather conditions will be across portions of southern ID and eastern NV into southwest UT. Localized fire-weather conditions are also possible in northern CA. See the prior discussion. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0204 AM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will continue to progress eastward and impinge on the Rockies tomorrow (Monday) while upper ridging prevails across the central U.S. A mid-level jet streak will pivot around the trough and overspread the Great Basin region, supporting another day of dry and breezy conditions. By afternoon peak heating, much of the Great Basin will experience 15+ mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds amid 10-15 percent RH, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions (i.e. RH as low as 10 percent in spots) are also expected across much of the California Central Valley region, where fuels are becoming increasingly receptive to wildfire spread. At the moment, the consensus among model guidance members suggests that surface winds will be on the lighter side, with fire weather highlights withheld for now. However, at least Elevated highlights may be needed in future outlooks if guidance trends windier in California. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...20z Update... Minor changes have been made to adjust the Elevated area to better match greater fire-weather potential across portions of the northern and eastern Great Basin. Dry and breezy conditions are possible over a broad area within a post-frontal flow regime across NV. At least a few hours of 10-20% RH are likely to overlap with northwesterly gusts of 15-20 mph. The most likely corridors for sustained elevated to near-critical fire-weather conditions will be across portions of southern ID and eastern NV into southwest UT. Localized fire-weather conditions are also possible in northern CA. See the prior discussion. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0204 AM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will continue to progress eastward and impinge on the Rockies tomorrow (Monday) while upper ridging prevails across the central U.S. A mid-level jet streak will pivot around the trough and overspread the Great Basin region, supporting another day of dry and breezy conditions. By afternoon peak heating, much of the Great Basin will experience 15+ mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds amid 10-15 percent RH, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions (i.e. RH as low as 10 percent in spots) are also expected across much of the California Central Valley region, where fuels are becoming increasingly receptive to wildfire spread. At the moment, the consensus among model guidance members suggests that surface winds will be on the lighter side, with fire weather highlights withheld for now. However, at least Elevated highlights may be needed in future outlooks if guidance trends windier in California. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...20z Update... Minor changes have been made to adjust the Elevated area to better match greater fire-weather potential across portions of the northern and eastern Great Basin. Dry and breezy conditions are possible over a broad area within a post-frontal flow regime across NV. At least a few hours of 10-20% RH are likely to overlap with northwesterly gusts of 15-20 mph. The most likely corridors for sustained elevated to near-critical fire-weather conditions will be across portions of southern ID and eastern NV into southwest UT. Localized fire-weather conditions are also possible in northern CA. See the prior discussion. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0204 AM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will continue to progress eastward and impinge on the Rockies tomorrow (Monday) while upper ridging prevails across the central U.S. A mid-level jet streak will pivot around the trough and overspread the Great Basin region, supporting another day of dry and breezy conditions. By afternoon peak heating, much of the Great Basin will experience 15+ mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds amid 10-15 percent RH, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions (i.e. RH as low as 10 percent in spots) are also expected across much of the California Central Valley region, where fuels are becoming increasingly receptive to wildfire spread. At the moment, the consensus among model guidance members suggests that surface winds will be on the lighter side, with fire weather highlights withheld for now. However, at least Elevated highlights may be needed in future outlooks if guidance trends windier in California. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 1 month ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...20z Update... Minor changes have been made to adjust the Elevated area to better match greater fire-weather potential across portions of the northern and eastern Great Basin. Dry and breezy conditions are possible over a broad area within a post-frontal flow regime across NV. At least a few hours of 10-20% RH are likely to overlap with northwesterly gusts of 15-20 mph. The most likely corridors for sustained elevated to near-critical fire-weather conditions will be across portions of southern ID and eastern NV into southwest UT. Localized fire-weather conditions are also possible in northern CA. See the prior discussion. ..Lyons.. 06/30/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0204 AM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will continue to progress eastward and impinge on the Rockies tomorrow (Monday) while upper ridging prevails across the central U.S. A mid-level jet streak will pivot around the trough and overspread the Great Basin region, supporting another day of dry and breezy conditions. By afternoon peak heating, much of the Great Basin will experience 15+ mph sustained west-southwesterly surface winds amid 10-15 percent RH, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions (i.e. RH as low as 10 percent in spots) are also expected across much of the California Central Valley region, where fuels are becoming increasingly receptive to wildfire spread. At the moment, the consensus among model guidance members suggests that surface winds will be on the lighter side, with fire weather highlights withheld for now. However, at least Elevated highlights may be needed in future outlooks if guidance trends windier in California. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC MD 1490

1 year 1 month ago
MD 1490 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 489... FOR SOUTHERN NY INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
Mesoscale Discussion 1490 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1259 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Areas affected...southern NY into southern New England Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489... Valid 301759Z - 301930Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489 continues. SUMMARY...A line of intense storms will shift east across southern New England and Southern New York/portions of Long Island the next couple of hours. Swaths of wind damage will accompany this activity. DISCUSSION...A well organized bowing segment over CT will continue to shift east at around 35-40 kt the next couple of hours. This activity has a long history of producing wind damage, and this trend is expected to continue as the bow moves across CT into RI and southern MA through 4pm EDT. An area of convection to the southwest of the bow continues to become better organized from southern NY into western CT. This activity should also continue generally eastward over the next couple of hours and may impact portions of Long Island. Damaging gusts may also accompany this activity. ..Leitman.. 06/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI... LAT...LON 42217266 42247085 41887055 41387073 41027155 40907210 40857255 40837310 40897387 41087449 41367460 41637430 41767337 42217266 Read more