SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 80 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0080 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 80 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BROYLES..03/31/25 ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 80 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC011-013-019-025-043-051-063-065-069-071-089-095-109-115-119- 121-125-127-129-131-133-147-153-159-165-173-175-189-193-195-197- 199-203-205-231-235-237-310540- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BATH BELL BOYD BREATHITT CARTER CLAY ELLIOTT ESTILL FLEMING FLOYD GREENUP HARLAN JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT KNOX LAUREL LAWRENCE LEE LESLIE LETCHER MCCREARY MAGOFFIN MARTIN MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN OWSLEY PERRY PIKE POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE ROWAN WAYNE WHITLEY WOLFE OHC053-079-087-310540- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 81 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0081 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 81 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BROYLES..03/31/25 ATTN...WFO...HUN...BMX...MEG...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 81 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC033-043-057-059-075-077-079-083-089-093-103-127-133-310540- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COLBERT CULLMAN FAYETTE FRANKLIN LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON MARION MORGAN WALKER WINSTON ARC107-310540- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE PHILLIPS MSC003-009-011-013-015-017-025-027-033-043-057-071-081-083-087- 093-095-097-107-115-117-119-133-135-137-139-141-143-145-155-161- 310540- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC MD 317

4 months 3 weeks ago
MD 0317 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 76... FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE
Mesoscale Discussion 0317 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1033 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Areas affected...Portions of western and middle Tennessee Concerning...Tornado Watch 76... Valid 310333Z - 310430Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 76 continues. SUMMARY...The risk of large hail, damaging winds, and a couple tornadoes continues across Tornado Watch 76. DISCUSSION...A broken line of supercell clusters continues across portions of middle and western TN. Over middle TN, 50 kt of 0-6 km shear (per OHX VWP) is oriented oblique to the line, which is allowing supercells to stay along or immediately ahead of the gust front. This is supporting ingestion of large boundary-layer streamwise vorticity (around 400 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH per OHX VWP) and a greater tornado risk here. Farther southwest into western TN, 50 kt of deep-layer shear is still supporting robust supercells, though its parallel orientation to the gust front will continue favoring slightly elevated inflow and a greater risk for large hail. ..Weinman.. 03/31/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OHX...MEG... LAT...LON 35149071 36498713 36558679 36378643 35748654 35358714 34828980 34689063 34919091 35149071 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

SPC MD 313

4 months 3 weeks ago
MD 0313 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...FAR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...WESTERN MISSISSIPPI
Mesoscale Discussion 0313 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0837 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Areas affected...Southeast Arkansas...Far Northeast Louisiana...Western Mississippi Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 310137Z - 310400Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...A severe threat may develop this evening across parts of southeast Arkansas, far Northeast Louisiana and western Kentucky. Isolated large hail and wind damage will be possible. DISCUSSION...The latest surface analysis shows a cold front in central Arkansas, with a moist airmass located ahead of the front across much of southeastern Arkansas, Mississippi and Louisiana. Just ahead of the front, surface dewpoints are in the mid 60s F. This is contributing to MLCAPE in the 2000 to 2500 J/kg range, estimated by the RAP. Along the western edge of the stronger instability, isolated storms have formed about 40 statute miles south of Little Rock. The WSR-88D VWP at Little Rock has 0-6 km shear near 50 knots. This shear environment could support severe storm development. However, some question remains whether the large-scale forcing is strong enough for upscale growth of convection. The RAP has 700-500 mb lapse rates across southeast Arkansas and western Mississippi around 7.5 C/km, suggesting that the storms could produce isolated large hail. In addition, supercells that develop would likely be accompanied by severe wind gusts. ..Broyles/Mosier.. 03/31/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV... LAT...LON 34809203 34969139 34909059 34678985 34278960 33578973 33029004 32769065 32729138 32809208 33009253 33309278 33959276 34539244 34809203 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

SPC MD 312

4 months 3 weeks ago
MD 0312 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 76... FOR SOUTHERN HALF OF OHIO...FAR NORTHEASTERN KENTUCKY...AND FAR WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA
Mesoscale Discussion 0312 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0813 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Areas affected...Southern half of Ohio...far northeastern Kentucky...and far western West Virginia Concerning...Tornado Watch 76... Valid 310113Z - 310315Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 76 continues. SUMMARY...A squall line capable of producing severe wind gusts and mesovortex tornadoes will continue eastward across the southern half of Ohio. A local extension of Tornado Watch 76 is warranted, and trends are being monitored for an additional downstream watch as well. DISCUSSION...The latest radar data from ILN depicts a north/south-oriented squall line with embedded mesovorticies tracking eastward at around 40 kt across the southern half of Ohio. Ahead of the line, the ILN 00Z soundings sampled deep low-level moisture and modest lapse rates -- contributing to 500 J/kg MLCAPE (higher farther south). Despite the marginal instability, a 40 kt low-level jet is favoring a clockwise-curved low-level hodograph with around 330 0-1 km/effective SRH (per the 00Z sounding and recent VWP data). Given the well-established cold pool and moist/high-helicity inflow, severe gusts upwards of 70 mph and mesovortex tornadoes remain possible in the near-term. Tornado Watch 76 will be extended to account for this near-term severe risk, and areas farther downstream are being monitored for an additional downstream watch. However, storms will eventually be approaching the eastern edge of the warm sector, and limited buoyancy will eventually limit the severe risk. ..Weinman/Mosier.. 03/31/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN... LAT...LON 39118445 39978413 40308374 40378328 40298208 40038131 39798108 39238099 38658134 38348164 38338225 38538369 38748439 39118445 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN Read more

SPC MD 311

4 months 3 weeks ago
MD 0311 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 72...76... FOR FAR NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...WESTERN AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE...WESTERN KENTUCKY
Mesoscale Discussion 0311 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0802 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Areas affected...Far Northeast Arkansas...Western and Middle Tennessee...Western Kentucky Concerning...Tornado Watch 72...76... Valid 310102Z - 310300Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 72, 76 continues. SUMMARY...A severe threat will likely develop this evening across western and middle Tennessee northward into western and central Kentucky. Weather watch issuance will likely be needed across the region soon. DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar imagery shows a well-developed linear MCS from northeast Arkansas northeastward into far western Kentucky. Ahead of the MCS, a moderately unstable airmass is present, with the RAP showing MLCAPE in the 1500 to 2500 J/kg range. The MCS is located near the exit region of a 60 to 70 knot mid-level jet, which is providing favorable large-scale ascent and strong deep-layer shear supportive of severe storms. The latest WSR-88D VWP at Hopkinsville, Kentucky is sampling the nose of the jet, with 0-6 km shear near 60 knots. The VWP also has strong directional shear in the lowest 2 km AGL. This shear environment will be favorable for supercells, embedded in the line or with isolated storms ahead of the line. Supercells will be accompanied by a threat for large hail and wind damage. Severe wind gusts will also be possible along the leading edge of the faster moving line segments. The stronger parts of the line could produce wind gusts above 70 mph. Supercells that become particularly intense and remain discrete could have tornado potential as well. ..Broyles.. 03/31/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG... LAT...LON 35168730 35858608 36598537 37038517 37368526 37608573 37718669 37658744 37328812 36468950 35909021 35519033 35249022 35038991 34988921 34968826 35168730 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 79 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0079 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 59 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE BMG TO 20 SW FWA TO 30 NW FWA TO 20 SSW JXN. ..HART..03/20/25 ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...ILN...GRR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 59 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC001-003-009-029-031-033-035-041-047-053-059-065-069-075-095- 113-115-135-137-139-151-155-161-177-179-183-200340- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ALLEN BLACKFORD DEARBORN DECATUR DE KALB DELAWARE FAYETTE FRANKLIN GRANT HANCOCK HENRY HUNTINGTON JAY MADISON NOBLE OHIO RANDOLPH RIPLEY RUSH STEUBEN SWITZERLAND UNION WAYNE WELLS WHITLEY KYC015-037-041-077-081-117-187-191-200340- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOONE CAMPBELL CARROLL GALLATIN GRANT KENTON OWEN PENDLETON Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 79 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0079 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 59 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE BMG TO 20 SW FWA TO 30 NW FWA TO 20 SSW JXN. ..HART..03/20/25 ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...ILN...GRR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 59 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC001-003-009-029-031-033-035-041-047-053-059-065-069-075-095- 113-115-135-137-139-151-155-161-177-179-183-200340- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ALLEN BLACKFORD DEARBORN DECATUR DE KALB DELAWARE FAYETTE FRANKLIN GRANT HANCOCK HENRY HUNTINGTON JAY MADISON NOBLE OHIO RANDOLPH RIPLEY RUSH STEUBEN SWITZERLAND UNION WAYNE WELLS WHITLEY KYC015-037-041-077-081-117-187-191-200340- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOONE CAMPBELL CARROLL GALLATIN GRANT KENTON OWEN PENDLETON Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 76 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0076 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E OWB TO 45 ESE BMG TO 15 SSW LUK TO 35 WSW MFD. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0312 ..WEINMAN..03/31/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC019-043-061-077-143-310240- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK FLOYD HARRISON JEFFERSON SCOTT KYC023-027-029-081-085-093-103-111-135-161-163-179-183-185-187- 191-201-211-215-223-310240- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRACKEN BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT GRANT GRAYSON HARDIN HENRY JEFFERSON LEWIS MASON MEADE NELSON OHIO OLDHAM OWEN PENDLETON ROBERTSON SHELBY SPENCER TRIMBLE Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 76 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0076 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E OWB TO 45 ESE BMG TO 15 SSW LUK TO 35 WSW MFD. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0312 ..WEINMAN..03/31/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC019-043-061-077-143-310240- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK FLOYD HARRISON JEFFERSON SCOTT KYC023-027-029-081-085-093-103-111-135-161-163-179-183-185-187- 191-201-211-215-223-310240- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRACKEN BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT GRANT GRAYSON HARDIN HENRY JEFFERSON LEWIS MASON MEADE NELSON OHIO OLDHAM OWEN PENDLETON ROBERTSON SHELBY SPENCER TRIMBLE Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 76 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0076 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E OWB TO 45 ESE BMG TO 15 SSW LUK TO 35 WSW MFD. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0312 ..WEINMAN..03/31/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC019-043-061-077-143-310240- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK FLOYD HARRISON JEFFERSON SCOTT KYC023-027-029-081-085-093-103-111-135-161-163-179-183-185-187- 191-201-211-215-223-310240- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRACKEN BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT GRANT GRAYSON HARDIN HENRY JEFFERSON LEWIS MASON MEADE NELSON OHIO OLDHAM OWEN PENDLETON ROBERTSON SHELBY SPENCER TRIMBLE Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 76 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0076 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E OWB TO 45 ESE BMG TO 15 SSW LUK TO 35 WSW MFD. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0312 ..WEINMAN..03/31/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC019-043-061-077-143-310240- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK FLOYD HARRISON JEFFERSON SCOTT KYC023-027-029-081-085-093-103-111-135-161-163-179-183-185-187- 191-201-211-215-223-310240- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRACKEN BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT GRANT GRAYSON HARDIN HENRY JEFFERSON LEWIS MASON MEADE NELSON OHIO OLDHAM OWEN PENDLETON ROBERTSON SHELBY SPENCER TRIMBLE Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 76 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0076 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E OWB TO 45 ESE BMG TO 15 SSW LUK TO 35 WSW MFD. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0312 ..WEINMAN..03/31/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC019-043-061-077-143-310240- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK FLOYD HARRISON JEFFERSON SCOTT KYC023-027-029-081-085-093-103-111-135-161-163-179-183-185-187- 191-201-211-215-223-310240- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRACKEN BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT GRANT GRAYSON HARDIN HENRY JEFFERSON LEWIS MASON MEADE NELSON OHIO OLDHAM OWEN PENDLETON ROBERTSON SHELBY SPENCER TRIMBLE Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 76 Status Reports

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 0076 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E OWB TO 45 ESE BMG TO 15 SSW LUK TO 35 WSW MFD. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0312 ..WEINMAN..03/31/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 76 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC019-043-061-077-143-310240- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK FLOYD HARRISON JEFFERSON SCOTT KYC023-027-029-081-085-093-103-111-135-161-163-179-183-185-187- 191-201-211-215-223-310240- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRACKEN BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT GRANT GRAYSON HARDIN HENRY JEFFERSON LEWIS MASON MEADE NELSON OHIO OLDHAM OWEN PENDLETON ROBERTSON SHELBY SPENCER TRIMBLE Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 76

4 months 3 weeks ago
WW 76 TORNADO IN KY OH 302245Z - 310500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 76 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 645 PM EDT Sun Mar 30 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Far Southeast Indiana Northern Kentucky Far Southwest Ohio * Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 645 PM until 100 AM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms continues to move eastward across Indiana. The environment downstream is expected to support a continued threat for severe thunderstorms, including the potential for a few tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles north northwest of Dayton OH to 45 miles west southwest of Louisville KY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 70...WW 71...WW 72...WW 73...WW 74...WW 75... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25045. ...Mosier Read more

SPC MD 309

4 months 3 weeks ago
MD 0309 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR EAST TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0309 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0608 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025 Areas affected...East Texas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 302308Z - 310145Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...A severe threat appears likely to develop across parts of east Texas early this evening. Isolated large hail, severe wind gusts, and perhaps a tornado threat will be possible. New weather watch issuance may eventually be needed. DISCUSSION...The latest surface analysis shows a cold front moving through north-central Texas, with a very moist airmass located ahead of the front over much of east Texas. Surface dewpoints within this moist airmass are in the upper 60s and lower 70s F. The RAP shows strong instability, with MLCAPE around 3000 J/kg. In addition, the latest water vapor imagery shows a subtle shortwave trough moving into central Texas. Ahead of this feature, large-scale ascent will increase across east Texas, aiding convective initiation. It appears that initiation will take place over the next hour. RAP forecast soundings early this evening in east Texas have 0-6 km shear of 45 to 50 knots and 700-500 mb lapse rates of 8 to 8.5 C/km, suggesting that large hail will be likely with supercell development. Hailstones of greater than 2 inches in diameter will be possible. Supercells may also produce severe gusts, and be accompanied by an isolated tornado threat. ..Broyles/Mosier.. 03/30/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD... LAT...LON 30039488 30019527 30029549 30129597 30439625 30959635 31779628 32159608 32399569 32499496 32379431 32069393 31669377 31129360 30739366 30359388 30139429 30039488 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN Read more