Aggregator

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z Slight modifications were made to the existing Elevated fire weather threat area across portions of southeastern Arizona into New Mexico. Residual outflow boundary moisture from convection expected this afternoon across the Southern High Plains combined with south-southeast flow should keep fire weather threat limited across southeastern New Mexico. Therefore, Elevated highlights for Friday were trimmed for this area. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/24/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z Slight modifications were made to the existing Elevated fire weather threat area across portions of southeastern Arizona into New Mexico. Residual outflow boundary moisture from convection expected this afternoon across the Southern High Plains combined with south-southeast flow should keep fire weather threat limited across southeastern New Mexico. Therefore, Elevated highlights for Friday were trimmed for this area. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/24/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z Slight modifications were made to the existing Elevated fire weather threat area across portions of southeastern Arizona into New Mexico. Residual outflow boundary moisture from convection expected this afternoon across the Southern High Plains combined with south-southeast flow should keep fire weather threat limited across southeastern New Mexico. Therefore, Elevated highlights for Friday were trimmed for this area. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/24/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z Slight modifications were made to the existing Elevated fire weather threat area across portions of southeastern Arizona into New Mexico. Residual outflow boundary moisture from convection expected this afternoon across the Southern High Plains combined with south-southeast flow should keep fire weather threat limited across southeastern New Mexico. Therefore, Elevated highlights for Friday were trimmed for this area. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/24/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z Slight modifications were made to the existing Elevated fire weather threat area across portions of southeastern Arizona into New Mexico. Residual outflow boundary moisture from convection expected this afternoon across the Southern High Plains combined with south-southeast flow should keep fire weather threat limited across southeastern New Mexico. Therefore, Elevated highlights for Friday were trimmed for this area. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/24/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z Slight modifications were made to the existing Elevated fire weather threat area across portions of southeastern Arizona into New Mexico. Residual outflow boundary moisture from convection expected this afternoon across the Southern High Plains combined with south-southeast flow should keep fire weather threat limited across southeastern New Mexico. Therefore, Elevated highlights for Friday were trimmed for this area. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/24/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z Slight modifications were made to the existing Elevated fire weather threat area across portions of southeastern Arizona into New Mexico. Residual outflow boundary moisture from convection expected this afternoon across the Southern High Plains combined with south-southeast flow should keep fire weather threat limited across southeastern New Mexico. Therefore, Elevated highlights for Friday were trimmed for this area. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/24/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z Slight modifications were made to the existing Elevated fire weather threat area across portions of southeastern Arizona into New Mexico. Residual outflow boundary moisture from convection expected this afternoon across the Southern High Plains combined with south-southeast flow should keep fire weather threat limited across southeastern New Mexico. Therefore, Elevated highlights for Friday were trimmed for this area. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/24/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z Slight modifications were made to the existing Elevated fire weather threat area across portions of southeastern Arizona into New Mexico. Residual outflow boundary moisture from convection expected this afternoon across the Southern High Plains combined with south-southeast flow should keep fire weather threat limited across southeastern New Mexico. Therefore, Elevated highlights for Friday were trimmed for this area. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/24/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z Slight modifications were made to the existing Elevated fire weather threat area across portions of southeastern Arizona into New Mexico. Residual outflow boundary moisture from convection expected this afternoon across the Southern High Plains combined with south-southeast flow should keep fire weather threat limited across southeastern New Mexico. Therefore, Elevated highlights for Friday were trimmed for this area. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/24/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z Slight modifications were made to the existing Elevated fire weather threat area across portions of southeastern Arizona into New Mexico. Residual outflow boundary moisture from convection expected this afternoon across the Southern High Plains combined with south-southeast flow should keep fire weather threat limited across southeastern New Mexico. Therefore, Elevated highlights for Friday were trimmed for this area. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/24/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z Slight modifications were made to the existing Elevated fire weather threat area across portions of southeastern Arizona into New Mexico. Residual outflow boundary moisture from convection expected this afternoon across the Southern High Plains combined with south-southeast flow should keep fire weather threat limited across southeastern New Mexico. Therefore, Elevated highlights for Friday were trimmed for this area. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/24/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z Slight modifications were made to the existing Elevated fire weather threat area across portions of southeastern Arizona into New Mexico. Residual outflow boundary moisture from convection expected this afternoon across the Southern High Plains combined with south-southeast flow should keep fire weather threat limited across southeastern New Mexico. Therefore, Elevated highlights for Friday were trimmed for this area. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/24/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z Slight modifications were made to the existing Elevated fire weather threat area across portions of southeastern Arizona into New Mexico. Residual outflow boundary moisture from convection expected this afternoon across the Southern High Plains combined with south-southeast flow should keep fire weather threat limited across southeastern New Mexico. Therefore, Elevated highlights for Friday were trimmed for this area. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/24/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z Slight modifications were made to the existing Elevated fire weather threat area across portions of southeastern Arizona into New Mexico. Residual outflow boundary moisture from convection expected this afternoon across the Southern High Plains combined with south-southeast flow should keep fire weather threat limited across southeastern New Mexico. Therefore, Elevated highlights for Friday were trimmed for this area. ..Williams/Lyons.. 04/24/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0127 AM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will slowly advance eastward across the Southwest while another mid-level trough amplifies over the Great Lakes tomorrow (Friday). Surface cyclone development is possible across portions of the Great Basin Friday afternoon, encouraging warm and dry southerly flow across eastern Arizona into central and southern New Mexico. Sustained 15-20 mph southerly surface winds will coincide with 15 percent RH and overspread dry fuels for several hours, warranting the introduction of Elevated highlights. Dry conditions will also persist across portions of the Mid-Atlantic. While the surface wind field is expected to be too weak on a widespread basis to justify Elevated highlights, locally breezy conditions overspreading dry fuel beds will exacerbate any localized wildfire-spread potential that exists. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND ADJACENT WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday across portions of eastern New Mexico into western Texas. ...Discussion... Convection is forecast to be ongoing across portions of the central and southern Plains Saturday morning, near and north of a surface baroclinic zone progged to lie roughly west-to-east western Texas and Oklahoma to the Tennessee Valley. With the upper pattern across the western 2/3 of the U.S. to remain largely unchanged, with ridging over the central U.S. and only very slow eastward progression of the western U.S. upper low, the front should remain roughly quasi-stationary Saturday. This suggests potential for storm redevelopment/reintensification during the afternoon, as heating/destabilization maximize. While background large-scale subsidence should limit coverage of convection diurnally, a couple of stronger storms capable of producing severe-caliber hail and/or wind are expected. ..Goss.. 04/24/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND ADJACENT WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday across portions of eastern New Mexico into western Texas. ...Discussion... Convection is forecast to be ongoing across portions of the central and southern Plains Saturday morning, near and north of a surface baroclinic zone progged to lie roughly west-to-east western Texas and Oklahoma to the Tennessee Valley. With the upper pattern across the western 2/3 of the U.S. to remain largely unchanged, with ridging over the central U.S. and only very slow eastward progression of the western U.S. upper low, the front should remain roughly quasi-stationary Saturday. This suggests potential for storm redevelopment/reintensification during the afternoon, as heating/destabilization maximize. While background large-scale subsidence should limit coverage of convection diurnally, a couple of stronger storms capable of producing severe-caliber hail and/or wind are expected. ..Goss.. 04/24/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND ADJACENT WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday across portions of eastern New Mexico into western Texas. ...Discussion... Convection is forecast to be ongoing across portions of the central and southern Plains Saturday morning, near and north of a surface baroclinic zone progged to lie roughly west-to-east western Texas and Oklahoma to the Tennessee Valley. With the upper pattern across the western 2/3 of the U.S. to remain largely unchanged, with ridging over the central U.S. and only very slow eastward progression of the western U.S. upper low, the front should remain roughly quasi-stationary Saturday. This suggests potential for storm redevelopment/reintensification during the afternoon, as heating/destabilization maximize. While background large-scale subsidence should limit coverage of convection diurnally, a couple of stronger storms capable of producing severe-caliber hail and/or wind are expected. ..Goss.. 04/24/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND ADJACENT WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday across portions of eastern New Mexico into western Texas. ...Discussion... Convection is forecast to be ongoing across portions of the central and southern Plains Saturday morning, near and north of a surface baroclinic zone progged to lie roughly west-to-east western Texas and Oklahoma to the Tennessee Valley. With the upper pattern across the western 2/3 of the U.S. to remain largely unchanged, with ridging over the central U.S. and only very slow eastward progression of the western U.S. upper low, the front should remain roughly quasi-stationary Saturday. This suggests potential for storm redevelopment/reintensification during the afternoon, as heating/destabilization maximize. While background large-scale subsidence should limit coverage of convection diurnally, a couple of stronger storms capable of producing severe-caliber hail and/or wind are expected. ..Goss.. 04/24/2025 Read more

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND ADJACENT WESTERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday across portions of eastern New Mexico into western Texas. ...Discussion... Convection is forecast to be ongoing across portions of the central and southern Plains Saturday morning, near and north of a surface baroclinic zone progged to lie roughly west-to-east western Texas and Oklahoma to the Tennessee Valley. With the upper pattern across the western 2/3 of the U.S. to remain largely unchanged, with ridging over the central U.S. and only very slow eastward progression of the western U.S. upper low, the front should remain roughly quasi-stationary Saturday. This suggests potential for storm redevelopment/reintensification during the afternoon, as heating/destabilization maximize. While background large-scale subsidence should limit coverage of convection diurnally, a couple of stronger storms capable of producing severe-caliber hail and/or wind are expected. ..Goss.. 04/24/2025 Read more