Aggregator

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1156 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025 Valid 011700Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Very dry conditions are expected across southern Arizona into West Texas. Downslope winds leeward of the Sacramento Mountains in southeast New Mexico could support brief period of a localized elevated fire weather threat this afternoon, but larger scale Elevated highlights are not expected across southern New Mexico. Otherwise, forecast (see below) remains on track. ..Williams.. 05/01/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1228 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025/ ...Synopsis... On the backside of a midlevel trough over the Midwest, surface high pressure will build over the western CONUS. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry/windy conditions over dry fuels across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1156 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025 Valid 011700Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Very dry conditions are expected across southern Arizona into West Texas. Downslope winds leeward of the Sacramento Mountains in southeast New Mexico could support brief period of a localized elevated fire weather threat this afternoon, but larger scale Elevated highlights are not expected across southern New Mexico. Otherwise, forecast (see below) remains on track. ..Williams.. 05/01/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1228 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025/ ...Synopsis... On the backside of a midlevel trough over the Midwest, surface high pressure will build over the western CONUS. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry/windy conditions over dry fuels across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1156 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025 Valid 011700Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Very dry conditions are expected across southern Arizona into West Texas. Downslope winds leeward of the Sacramento Mountains in southeast New Mexico could support brief period of a localized elevated fire weather threat this afternoon, but larger scale Elevated highlights are not expected across southern New Mexico. Otherwise, forecast (see below) remains on track. ..Williams.. 05/01/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1228 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025/ ...Synopsis... On the backside of a midlevel trough over the Midwest, surface high pressure will build over the western CONUS. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry/windy conditions over dry fuels across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1156 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025 Valid 011700Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Very dry conditions are expected across southern Arizona into West Texas. Downslope winds leeward of the Sacramento Mountains in southeast New Mexico could support brief period of a localized elevated fire weather threat this afternoon, but larger scale Elevated highlights are not expected across southern New Mexico. Otherwise, forecast (see below) remains on track. ..Williams.. 05/01/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1228 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025/ ...Synopsis... On the backside of a midlevel trough over the Midwest, surface high pressure will build over the western CONUS. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry/windy conditions over dry fuels across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1156 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025 Valid 011700Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Very dry conditions are expected across southern Arizona into West Texas. Downslope winds leeward of the Sacramento Mountains in southeast New Mexico could support brief period of a localized elevated fire weather threat this afternoon, but larger scale Elevated highlights are not expected across southern New Mexico. Otherwise, forecast (see below) remains on track. ..Williams.. 05/01/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1228 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025/ ...Synopsis... On the backside of a midlevel trough over the Midwest, surface high pressure will build over the western CONUS. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry/windy conditions over dry fuels across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1156 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025 Valid 011700Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Very dry conditions are expected across southern Arizona into West Texas. Downslope winds leeward of the Sacramento Mountains in southeast New Mexico could support brief period of a localized elevated fire weather threat this afternoon, but larger scale Elevated highlights are not expected across southern New Mexico. Otherwise, forecast (see below) remains on track. ..Williams.. 05/01/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1228 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025/ ...Synopsis... On the backside of a midlevel trough over the Midwest, surface high pressure will build over the western CONUS. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry/windy conditions over dry fuels across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1156 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025 Valid 011700Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Very dry conditions are expected across southern Arizona into West Texas. Downslope winds leeward of the Sacramento Mountains in southeast New Mexico could support brief period of a localized elevated fire weather threat this afternoon, but larger scale Elevated highlights are not expected across southern New Mexico. Otherwise, forecast (see below) remains on track. ..Williams.. 05/01/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1228 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025/ ...Synopsis... On the backside of a midlevel trough over the Midwest, surface high pressure will build over the western CONUS. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry/windy conditions over dry fuels across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1156 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025 Valid 011700Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Very dry conditions are expected across southern Arizona into West Texas. Downslope winds leeward of the Sacramento Mountains in southeast New Mexico could support brief period of a localized elevated fire weather threat this afternoon, but larger scale Elevated highlights are not expected across southern New Mexico. Otherwise, forecast (see below) remains on track. ..Williams.. 05/01/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1228 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025/ ...Synopsis... On the backside of a midlevel trough over the Midwest, surface high pressure will build over the western CONUS. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry/windy conditions over dry fuels across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1156 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025 Valid 011700Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Very dry conditions are expected across southern Arizona into West Texas. Downslope winds leeward of the Sacramento Mountains in southeast New Mexico could support brief period of a localized elevated fire weather threat this afternoon, but larger scale Elevated highlights are not expected across southern New Mexico. Otherwise, forecast (see below) remains on track. ..Williams.. 05/01/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1228 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025/ ...Synopsis... On the backside of a midlevel trough over the Midwest, surface high pressure will build over the western CONUS. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry/windy conditions over dry fuels across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1156 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025 Valid 011700Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Very dry conditions are expected across southern Arizona into West Texas. Downslope winds leeward of the Sacramento Mountains in southeast New Mexico could support brief period of a localized elevated fire weather threat this afternoon, but larger scale Elevated highlights are not expected across southern New Mexico. Otherwise, forecast (see below) remains on track. ..Williams.. 05/01/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1228 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025/ ...Synopsis... On the backside of a midlevel trough over the Midwest, surface high pressure will build over the western CONUS. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry/windy conditions over dry fuels across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1156 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025 Valid 011700Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Very dry conditions are expected across southern Arizona into West Texas. Downslope winds leeward of the Sacramento Mountains in southeast New Mexico could support brief period of a localized elevated fire weather threat this afternoon, but larger scale Elevated highlights are not expected across southern New Mexico. Otherwise, forecast (see below) remains on track. ..Williams.. 05/01/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1228 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025/ ...Synopsis... On the backside of a midlevel trough over the Midwest, surface high pressure will build over the western CONUS. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry/windy conditions over dry fuels across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1156 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025 Valid 011700Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Very dry conditions are expected across southern Arizona into West Texas. Downslope winds leeward of the Sacramento Mountains in southeast New Mexico could support brief period of a localized elevated fire weather threat this afternoon, but larger scale Elevated highlights are not expected across southern New Mexico. Otherwise, forecast (see below) remains on track. ..Williams.. 05/01/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1228 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025/ ...Synopsis... On the backside of a midlevel trough over the Midwest, surface high pressure will build over the western CONUS. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry/windy conditions over dry fuels across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1156 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025 Valid 011700Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Very dry conditions are expected across southern Arizona into West Texas. Downslope winds leeward of the Sacramento Mountains in southeast New Mexico could support brief period of a localized elevated fire weather threat this afternoon, but larger scale Elevated highlights are not expected across southern New Mexico. Otherwise, forecast (see below) remains on track. ..Williams.. 05/01/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1228 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025/ ...Synopsis... On the backside of a midlevel trough over the Midwest, surface high pressure will build over the western CONUS. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry/windy conditions over dry fuels across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1156 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025 Valid 011700Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Very dry conditions are expected across southern Arizona into West Texas. Downslope winds leeward of the Sacramento Mountains in southeast New Mexico could support brief period of a localized elevated fire weather threat this afternoon, but larger scale Elevated highlights are not expected across southern New Mexico. Otherwise, forecast (see below) remains on track. ..Williams.. 05/01/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1228 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025/ ...Synopsis... On the backside of a midlevel trough over the Midwest, surface high pressure will build over the western CONUS. This large-scale pattern will limit the overlap of dry/windy conditions over dry fuels across the CONUS -- mitigating fire-weather concerns. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

No watches are valid as of Thu May 1 16:59:02 UTC 2025.

Several counties in Southeast Texas faced dry weather while some locations received light to moderate rain that improved soil moisture and boosted crop growth. Despite improvements, many producers still needed additional moisture to sustain progress. Ponds were low and pastures were in fair shape. Corn, sorghum and rice fields were planted, and emerged fields progressed well. Livestock, pasture and grazing conditions improved. Some pastures struggled with excessive rainfall and humidity, which delayed hay cutting. Pasture and rangeland conditions were poor to excellent. Soil moisture levels were short to surplus. Livestock body conditions were fair to excellent. Wheat was in fair condition and headed out. AgriLife Today (College Station, Texas), April 29, 2025

The time needed to water plants adequately has tripled at a Clermont farm. Workers irrigate early in the morning to limit evaporation. They have also found that they need to water three times a day due to the dryness, low humidity and wind. Visitors to the farm, however, were appreciating the absence of rain so they could enjoy outdoor activities. WKMG TV 6 (Orlando, Fla.), May 1, 2025

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1109 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025 Valid 011630Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER MS VALLEY THROUGH THE TN AND OH VALLEYS INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...AND FROM THE TX/OK PAHANDLES EASTWARD ACROSS OK AND NORTH AND CENTRAL TX.... ...SUMMARY... Lines and/or clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms are likely to impact parts of the Ohio Valley into lower Great Lakes, parts of the lower Mississippi Valley, and the southern Great Plains this afternoon through tonight. ...OH Valley... Morning water vapor imagery shows a progressive and large shortwave trough moving across parts of MO/IL. Forcing ahead of this trough will lead to scattered thunderstorm development over eastern IN and central KY, with storms spreading northeastward through the afternoon and early evening. Forecast soundings show deep and moderately strong southwest flow aloft. This coupled with sufficient CAPE will pose a threat of organized lines/clusters of storms capable of damaging wind gusts. Activity is expected to spread into western NY/PA during the early evening before weakening. ...Central TX... A weak surface boundary extends from west-central LA westward into central TX this morning. Strong heating and ample moisture along/south of the boundary will yield max CAPE values over 4000 J/kg by late afternoon. Most 12z CAM solutions indicate at least isolated intense convection forming in this corridor. Those storms that form will pose a risk of very large hail and damaging winds. Other intense storms may form off the high terrain of northern Mexico and build into parts of central TX this evening. ...TX Panhandle into OK... A combination of strong heating and upslope low-level winds into the Raton mesa will aid in the development of a cluster of thunderstorms over southeast CO this afternoon. This activity will track southeastward into a progressively more moist/unstable air mass over the TX panhandle and western OK, where a few more intense storms are expected. Cells and bowing structures will pose a risk of large hail and damaging winds. By late tonight, other storms are expected to form ahead of this complex, affecting parts of central OK with a risk of large hail. ..Hart/Wendt.. 05/01/2025 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1109 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025 Valid 011630Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER MS VALLEY THROUGH THE TN AND OH VALLEYS INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...AND FROM THE TX/OK PAHANDLES EASTWARD ACROSS OK AND NORTH AND CENTRAL TX.... ...SUMMARY... Lines and/or clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms are likely to impact parts of the Ohio Valley into lower Great Lakes, parts of the lower Mississippi Valley, and the southern Great Plains this afternoon through tonight. ...OH Valley... Morning water vapor imagery shows a progressive and large shortwave trough moving across parts of MO/IL. Forcing ahead of this trough will lead to scattered thunderstorm development over eastern IN and central KY, with storms spreading northeastward through the afternoon and early evening. Forecast soundings show deep and moderately strong southwest flow aloft. This coupled with sufficient CAPE will pose a threat of organized lines/clusters of storms capable of damaging wind gusts. Activity is expected to spread into western NY/PA during the early evening before weakening. ...Central TX... A weak surface boundary extends from west-central LA westward into central TX this morning. Strong heating and ample moisture along/south of the boundary will yield max CAPE values over 4000 J/kg by late afternoon. Most 12z CAM solutions indicate at least isolated intense convection forming in this corridor. Those storms that form will pose a risk of very large hail and damaging winds. Other intense storms may form off the high terrain of northern Mexico and build into parts of central TX this evening. ...TX Panhandle into OK... A combination of strong heating and upslope low-level winds into the Raton mesa will aid in the development of a cluster of thunderstorms over southeast CO this afternoon. This activity will track southeastward into a progressively more moist/unstable air mass over the TX panhandle and western OK, where a few more intense storms are expected. Cells and bowing structures will pose a risk of large hail and damaging winds. By late tonight, other storms are expected to form ahead of this complex, affecting parts of central OK with a risk of large hail. ..Hart/Wendt.. 05/01/2025 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1109 AM CDT Thu May 01 2025 Valid 011630Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER MS VALLEY THROUGH THE TN AND OH VALLEYS INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...AND FROM THE TX/OK PAHANDLES EASTWARD ACROSS OK AND NORTH AND CENTRAL TX.... ...SUMMARY... Lines and/or clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms are likely to impact parts of the Ohio Valley into lower Great Lakes, parts of the lower Mississippi Valley, and the southern Great Plains this afternoon through tonight. ...OH Valley... Morning water vapor imagery shows a progressive and large shortwave trough moving across parts of MO/IL. Forcing ahead of this trough will lead to scattered thunderstorm development over eastern IN and central KY, with storms spreading northeastward through the afternoon and early evening. Forecast soundings show deep and moderately strong southwest flow aloft. This coupled with sufficient CAPE will pose a threat of organized lines/clusters of storms capable of damaging wind gusts. Activity is expected to spread into western NY/PA during the early evening before weakening. ...Central TX... A weak surface boundary extends from west-central LA westward into central TX this morning. Strong heating and ample moisture along/south of the boundary will yield max CAPE values over 4000 J/kg by late afternoon. Most 12z CAM solutions indicate at least isolated intense convection forming in this corridor. Those storms that form will pose a risk of very large hail and damaging winds. Other intense storms may form off the high terrain of northern Mexico and build into parts of central TX this evening. ...TX Panhandle into OK... A combination of strong heating and upslope low-level winds into the Raton mesa will aid in the development of a cluster of thunderstorms over southeast CO this afternoon. This activity will track southeastward into a progressively more moist/unstable air mass over the TX panhandle and western OK, where a few more intense storms are expected. Cells and bowing structures will pose a risk of large hail and damaging winds. By late tonight, other storms are expected to form ahead of this complex, affecting parts of central OK with a risk of large hail. ..Hart/Wendt.. 05/01/2025 Read more