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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0205 PM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more info. ..Thornton.. 05/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0107 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be minimal for Wednesday across the country. An upper low currently over the Southwest will meander over the south-central U.S. for the next 48 hours. This will maintain widespread rain chances for much of the Southwest, Plains, and Southeast. Across the northern Plains and upper MS River Valley, breezy conditions are possible behind a cold front, but an influx of cooler air will limit fire concerns. Dry conditions will likely persist across southwest TX where several days of preceding dry/windy conditions will likely cure fine fuels, but weak gradient winds will limit the fire weather threat. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0205 PM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more info. ..Thornton.. 05/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0107 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be minimal for Wednesday across the country. An upper low currently over the Southwest will meander over the south-central U.S. for the next 48 hours. This will maintain widespread rain chances for much of the Southwest, Plains, and Southeast. Across the northern Plains and upper MS River Valley, breezy conditions are possible behind a cold front, but an influx of cooler air will limit fire concerns. Dry conditions will likely persist across southwest TX where several days of preceding dry/windy conditions will likely cure fine fuels, but weak gradient winds will limit the fire weather threat. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0205 PM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more info. ..Thornton.. 05/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0107 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be minimal for Wednesday across the country. An upper low currently over the Southwest will meander over the south-central U.S. for the next 48 hours. This will maintain widespread rain chances for much of the Southwest, Plains, and Southeast. Across the northern Plains and upper MS River Valley, breezy conditions are possible behind a cold front, but an influx of cooler air will limit fire concerns. Dry conditions will likely persist across southwest TX where several days of preceding dry/windy conditions will likely cure fine fuels, but weak gradient winds will limit the fire weather threat. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0205 PM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more info. ..Thornton.. 05/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0107 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be minimal for Wednesday across the country. An upper low currently over the Southwest will meander over the south-central U.S. for the next 48 hours. This will maintain widespread rain chances for much of the Southwest, Plains, and Southeast. Across the northern Plains and upper MS River Valley, breezy conditions are possible behind a cold front, but an influx of cooler air will limit fire concerns. Dry conditions will likely persist across southwest TX where several days of preceding dry/windy conditions will likely cure fine fuels, but weak gradient winds will limit the fire weather threat. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0205 PM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more info. ..Thornton.. 05/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0107 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be minimal for Wednesday across the country. An upper low currently over the Southwest will meander over the south-central U.S. for the next 48 hours. This will maintain widespread rain chances for much of the Southwest, Plains, and Southeast. Across the northern Plains and upper MS River Valley, breezy conditions are possible behind a cold front, but an influx of cooler air will limit fire concerns. Dry conditions will likely persist across southwest TX where several days of preceding dry/windy conditions will likely cure fine fuels, but weak gradient winds will limit the fire weather threat. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0205 PM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more info. ..Thornton.. 05/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0107 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be minimal for Wednesday across the country. An upper low currently over the Southwest will meander over the south-central U.S. for the next 48 hours. This will maintain widespread rain chances for much of the Southwest, Plains, and Southeast. Across the northern Plains and upper MS River Valley, breezy conditions are possible behind a cold front, but an influx of cooler air will limit fire concerns. Dry conditions will likely persist across southwest TX where several days of preceding dry/windy conditions will likely cure fine fuels, but weak gradient winds will limit the fire weather threat. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0205 PM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more info. ..Thornton.. 05/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0107 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be minimal for Wednesday across the country. An upper low currently over the Southwest will meander over the south-central U.S. for the next 48 hours. This will maintain widespread rain chances for much of the Southwest, Plains, and Southeast. Across the northern Plains and upper MS River Valley, breezy conditions are possible behind a cold front, but an influx of cooler air will limit fire concerns. Dry conditions will likely persist across southwest TX where several days of preceding dry/windy conditions will likely cure fine fuels, but weak gradient winds will limit the fire weather threat. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0205 PM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more info. ..Thornton.. 05/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0107 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be minimal for Wednesday across the country. An upper low currently over the Southwest will meander over the south-central U.S. for the next 48 hours. This will maintain widespread rain chances for much of the Southwest, Plains, and Southeast. Across the northern Plains and upper MS River Valley, breezy conditions are possible behind a cold front, but an influx of cooler air will limit fire concerns. Dry conditions will likely persist across southwest TX where several days of preceding dry/windy conditions will likely cure fine fuels, but weak gradient winds will limit the fire weather threat. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0205 PM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more info. ..Thornton.. 05/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0107 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be minimal for Wednesday across the country. An upper low currently over the Southwest will meander over the south-central U.S. for the next 48 hours. This will maintain widespread rain chances for much of the Southwest, Plains, and Southeast. Across the northern Plains and upper MS River Valley, breezy conditions are possible behind a cold front, but an influx of cooler air will limit fire concerns. Dry conditions will likely persist across southwest TX where several days of preceding dry/windy conditions will likely cure fine fuels, but weak gradient winds will limit the fire weather threat. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0205 PM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more info. ..Thornton.. 05/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0107 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be minimal for Wednesday across the country. An upper low currently over the Southwest will meander over the south-central U.S. for the next 48 hours. This will maintain widespread rain chances for much of the Southwest, Plains, and Southeast. Across the northern Plains and upper MS River Valley, breezy conditions are possible behind a cold front, but an influx of cooler air will limit fire concerns. Dry conditions will likely persist across southwest TX where several days of preceding dry/windy conditions will likely cure fine fuels, but weak gradient winds will limit the fire weather threat. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0205 PM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more info. ..Thornton.. 05/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0107 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be minimal for Wednesday across the country. An upper low currently over the Southwest will meander over the south-central U.S. for the next 48 hours. This will maintain widespread rain chances for much of the Southwest, Plains, and Southeast. Across the northern Plains and upper MS River Valley, breezy conditions are possible behind a cold front, but an influx of cooler air will limit fire concerns. Dry conditions will likely persist across southwest TX where several days of preceding dry/windy conditions will likely cure fine fuels, but weak gradient winds will limit the fire weather threat. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0205 PM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more info. ..Thornton.. 05/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0107 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be minimal for Wednesday across the country. An upper low currently over the Southwest will meander over the south-central U.S. for the next 48 hours. This will maintain widespread rain chances for much of the Southwest, Plains, and Southeast. Across the northern Plains and upper MS River Valley, breezy conditions are possible behind a cold front, but an influx of cooler air will limit fire concerns. Dry conditions will likely persist across southwest TX where several days of preceding dry/windy conditions will likely cure fine fuels, but weak gradient winds will limit the fire weather threat. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0205 PM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more info. ..Thornton.. 05/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0107 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be minimal for Wednesday across the country. An upper low currently over the Southwest will meander over the south-central U.S. for the next 48 hours. This will maintain widespread rain chances for much of the Southwest, Plains, and Southeast. Across the northern Plains and upper MS River Valley, breezy conditions are possible behind a cold front, but an influx of cooler air will limit fire concerns. Dry conditions will likely persist across southwest TX where several days of preceding dry/windy conditions will likely cure fine fuels, but weak gradient winds will limit the fire weather threat. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0205 PM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more info. ..Thornton.. 05/06/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0107 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be minimal for Wednesday across the country. An upper low currently over the Southwest will meander over the south-central U.S. for the next 48 hours. This will maintain widespread rain chances for much of the Southwest, Plains, and Southeast. Across the northern Plains and upper MS River Valley, breezy conditions are possible behind a cold front, but an influx of cooler air will limit fire concerns. Dry conditions will likely persist across southwest TX where several days of preceding dry/windy conditions will likely cure fine fuels, but weak gradient winds will limit the fire weather threat. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

WW 0234 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0234 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0234 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0234 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

WW 0231 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 231 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E HDO TO 25 NW BAZ TO 10 N AUS TO 35 SE TPL TO 35 NNW CLL TO 40 SSE CRS. ..BENTLEY..05/06/25 ATTN...WFO...HGX...EWX...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 231 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC015-021-041-051-055-089-091-123-149-157-177-185-187-201-209- 225-285-287-289-291-313-331-339-373-395-407-453-455-471-473-477- 481-491-061940- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUSTIN BASTROP BRAZOS BURLESON CALDWELL COLORADO COMAL DEWITT FAYETTE FORT BEND GONZALES GRIMES GUADALUPE HARRIS HAYS HOUSTON LAVACA LEE LEON LIBERTY MADISON MILAM MONTGOMERY POLK ROBERTSON SAN JACINTO TRAVIS TRINITY WALKER WALLER WASHINGTON WHARTON WILLIAMSON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0232 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 232 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S CRS TO 15 ESE CRS TO 30 W TYR TO 25 NW TYR TO 40 N TYR TO 30 S PRX TO 5 NNW PRX. ..BENTLEY..05/06/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 232 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC001-063-067-073-159-161-183-203-213-223-315-343-347-365-401- 419-423-449-459-467-499-061940- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON CAMP CASS CHEROKEE FRANKLIN FREESTONE GREGG HARRISON HENDERSON HOPKINS MARION MORRIS NACOGDOCHES PANOLA RUSK SHELBY SMITH TITUS UPSHUR VAN ZANDT WOOD THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Tue May 6 18:00:08 UTC 2025.

MD 0716 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA INTO WESTERN NEW JERSEY AND FAR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK
Mesoscale Discussion 0716 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1101 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025 Areas affected...portions of eastern Pennsylvania into western New Jersey and far southeast New York Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 061601Z - 061800Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...The severe threat should gradually increase over the next several hours. The stronger storms will be capable of strong wind gusts and perhaps large hail. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance may be needed if appreciable strong storm coverage becomes apparent. DISCUSSION...Insolation is modifying the boundary layer amid some persistent cloud cover, remnant from earlier showers and thunderstorms, which is warming temperatures through the 60s F. Cooling temperatures atop a destabilizing airmass from the approach of a pronounced upper trough, and minimal convection inhibition, is supporting relative robust updraft development across southeast PA (per MRMS mosaic radar imagery). Through the day, further heating should boost MLCAPE to over 1000 J/kg, which should be adequate for scattered strong to potentially severe storms given expected 40-50 kts of effective bulk shear. Current regional VADs and short-term RAP forecast soundings depict a unidirectional vertical wind profile with elongated, straight hodographs. As such, linear multicellular clusters and transient supercells should be the primary modes of convection for the stronger storms that manage to develop. Strong, damaging gusts are possible later this afternoon once the boundary layer destabilizes. Given colder temperatures aloft overspreading the Mid-Atlantic into the Hudson Valley, large hail cannot be ruled out either. Therefore, if robust storm coverage becomes apparent, a Severe Thunderstorm Watch may be needed within the next few hours. ..Squitieri/Gleason.. 05/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI...BGM...CTP...LWX... LAT...LON 40187461 39677487 39507511 39497538 39597578 39797624 39917661 40777666 41337661 41847648 42337627 42537581 42137499 41367469 40737453 40187461 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more