National Hurricane Center (NHC) Atlantic Map

020
ABNT20 KNHC 101114
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jul 10 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

149
ABNT20 KNHC 100502
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Jul 10 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Jelsema

983
ABNT20 KNHC 092321
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Jul 9 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

925
ABNT20 KNHC 091734
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Jul 9 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Papin

221
ABNT20 KNHC 091127
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jul 9 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Papin

746
ABNT20 KNHC 090501
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Jul 9 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Jelsema

477
ABNT20 KNHC 082316
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

096
ABNT20 KNHC 081717
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Papin

000
ABNT20 KNHC 081119
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Kelly

000
ABNT20 KNHC 080512
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Jul 8 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The Weather Prediction Center has issued the final advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Chantal, located around 100 miles south of
Long Island, New York.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Jelsema

394
ABNT20 KNHC 071737
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical
Cyclone Chantal, located inland over the Delmarva peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Kelly

...CHANTAL MOVING INTO EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...FLASH FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES AS RAINBANDS MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... As of 15:00 UTC SUN JUL 06 2025 the center of Chantal was located near 34.4, -79.2 with movement N at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN JUL 06 2025 109 WTNT23 KNHC 061435 TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHANTAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032025 1500 UTC SUN JUL 06 2025 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 79.2W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 79.2W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 79.2W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 35.4N 79.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 37.0N 77.7W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N 79.2W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON CHANTAL. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN FORECAST/ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER BEGINNING AT 2100 UTC, UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCMAT3, WMO HEADER WTNT23 KWNH, AND ON THE WEB AT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV $$ FORECASTER BROWN

...CHANTAL MOVING INTO EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...FLASH FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES AS RAINBANDS MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... As of 11:00 AM EDT Sun Jul 06 the center of Chantal was located near 34.4, -79.2 with movement N at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Issued at 1100 AM EDT Sun Jul 06 2025 000 WTNT33 KNHC 061436 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Chantal Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032025 1100 AM EDT Sun Jul 06 2025 ...CHANTAL MOVING INTO EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...FLASH FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES AS RAINBANDS MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.4N 79.2W ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM SW OF LUMBERTON NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM W OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: All Tropical Storm Warnings have been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Chantal was located near latitude 34.4 North, longitude 79.2 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the northeast is expected this evening and that motion should continue into Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Chantal is expected to move over eastern North Carolina through tonight. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected during the next 24 hours, and the system is expected to degenerate into a trough of low pressure on Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Chantal can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC. RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Chantal will continue to produce heavy rainfall across portions of central North Carolina into Monday. Storm total rainfall of 2 to 4 inches, with local amounts up to 6 inches, is expected. An elevated risk for flash flooding will continue. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Tropical Depression Chantal, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf TORNADOES: An isolated tornado or two is possible today over parts of eastern North Carolina. SURF: Life-threatening surf and rip current conditions are expected to continue at beaches along the U.S. east coast from northeastern Florida to the Mid-Atlantic states during the next day or so. A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?ripCurrents NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Chantal. Future information on this system can be found in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning at 500 PM EDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT3, WMO header WTNT33 KWNH, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov. $$ Forecaster Brown

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated LATEST_W5_TIMESTAMP

The NHC has issued its final advisory on this system. Public Advisories from the Weather Prediction Center will provide updates as long as the system remains a flood threat. Issued at 1100 AM EDT Mon Jul 07 2025

000
ABNT20 KNHC 071117
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Chantal, located inland over eastern Virginia.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Kelly

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 06 Jul 2025 14:37:40 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 06 Jul 2025 15:22:23 GMT