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6 years ago
WW 0613 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 613
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE RTN
TO 20 ENE CAO TO 15 WSW EHA TO 20 SSE LAA TO 20 WNW LHX TO 30 SW
COS.
..WENDT..08/24/19
ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...DDC...ABQ...AMA...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 613
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC001-005-011-017-025-039-041-061-063-073-075-087-095-099-115-
121-123-125-240140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ARAPAHOE BENT
CHEYENNE CROWLEY ELBERT
EL PASO KIOWA KIT CARSON
LINCOLN LOGAN MORGAN
PHILLIPS PROWERS SEDGWICK
WASHINGTON WELD YUMA
KSC023-071-181-199-240140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE GREELEY SHERMAN
WALLACE
NEC057-240140-
Read more
6 years ago
WW 0612 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 612
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W ECG TO
15 S RZZ TO 15 ENE RDU TO 25 WSW GSO TO 15 S DAN TO 35 ESE ORF.
..SMITH..08/24/19
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RAH...RNK...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 612
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-029-033-053-063-069-073-077-081-083-091-127-131-135-139-
145-157-181-185-240045-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE CAMDEN CASWELL
CURRITUCK DURHAM FRANKLIN
GATES GRANVILLE GUILFORD
HALIFAX HERTFORD NASH
NORTHAMPTON ORANGE PASQUOTANK
PERSON ROCKINGHAM VANCE
WARREN
VAC550-810-240045-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
Read more
6 years ago
WW 0613 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 613
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..08/23/19
ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...DDC...ABQ...AMA...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 613
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC001-005-009-011-017-025-039-041-061-063-071-073-075-087-089-
095-099-101-115-121-123-125-240040-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ARAPAHOE BACA
BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY
ELBERT EL PASO KIOWA
KIT CARSON LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN
LOGAN MORGAN OTERO
PHILLIPS PROWERS PUEBLO
SEDGWICK WASHINGTON WELD
YUMA
KSC023-071-075-129-181-187-189-199-240040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE GREELEY HAMILTON
MORTON SHERMAN STANTON
STEVENS WALLACE
Read more
6 years ago
WW 0614 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 614
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE CYS TO
35 NW TOR TO 15 NNW CPR TO 40 ESE WRL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1843
..SMITH..08/23/19
ATTN...WFO...CYS...UNR...RIW...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 614
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC007-013-033-045-105-123-157-165-240040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNER BOX BUTTE CHEYENNE
DAWES KIMBALL MORRILL
SCOTTS BLUFF SIOUX
SDC033-047-240040-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CUSTER FALL RIVER
WYC005-009-011-015-017-019-021-025-027-031-043-045-240040-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
Read more
6 years ago
WW 0615 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0615 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
Read more
6 years ago
MD 1842 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 613... FOR EASTERN COLORADO...FAR WESTERN KANSAS...PORTIONS OF TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...FAR NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO.
Mesoscale Discussion 1842
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0528 PM CDT Fri Aug 23 2019
Areas affected...Eastern Colorado...far western Kansas...Portions of
Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles...far northeast New Mexico.
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 613...
Valid 232228Z - 240030Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 613
continues.
SUMMARY...The severe weather threat continues for WW 613. Severe
wind gusts and large hail will be the primary threats from two storm
clusters in eastern Colorado and portions of the TX/OK Panhandles.
Some possibility for a tornado exists with storms interacting with
an outflow boundary in western Kansas.
DISCUSSION...Current radar mosaic shows two primary clusters of
storms within WW 613. One cluster east of Denver has had a history
of relatively discrete storms producing large hail, with one report
of 1.75 inches. Storms in the southern portions of the Watch have
congealed into more of a linear structure in the Panhandles. Deep
boundary layer mixing has led to dewpoints in the low to mid 50s F
across most of eastern Colorado into the TX/OK Panhandles. Combined
with modest low-level shear, the expectation is for these two
clusters to continue to grow upscale this evening and propagate
east/southeastward.
Visible satellite imagery has shown agitated cumulus increasing
along an outflow boundary from near Dodge City, KS into northeastern
Colorado. Near this boundary, both deep-layer (around 40 kts
effective) shear and low-level shear will be maximized. The KDDC VWP
shows around 100 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH. Storms that can form
along/interact with this boundary will have some potential to
produce a tornado before likely moving into more stable air across
the boundary.
..Wendt.. 08/23/2019
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LBF...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...
LAT...LON 35930323 38620402 39890458 40580427 40900324 40260186
38900143 37840095 36420094 36010143 35840240 35820296
35930323
Read more
6 years ago
MD 1843 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 614... FOR NE PANHANDLE
Mesoscale Discussion 1843
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0632 PM CDT Fri Aug 23 2019
Areas affected...NE Panhandle
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 614...
Valid 232332Z - 240030Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 614
continues.
SUMMARY...The potential for severe gusts (60-70mph) is increasing as
storms grow upscale into a squall line near the WY/NE border and
move east into the NE Panhandle this evening.
DISCUSSION...Radar mosaic shows an intensifying band of storms over
far southeastern WY. RAP forecast soundings show 700-500mb lapse
rates approaching 9 degrees C/km atop a moisture-rich boundary layer
with low-middle 60s surface dewpoints in the NE Panhandle. Despite
the relatively weak flow in the troposphere, strong veering of the
wind profile is at least resulting in deep-layer shear supportive
for multicell organization in the form of a squall line. The
primary hazard will be severe gusts in the 60-70mph range.
..Smith.. 08/23/2019
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...BOU...CYS...
LAT...LON 42490435 42790342 41130327 40930427 42490435
Read more
6 years ago
WW 0612 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 612
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 W ECG TO
15 S RZZ TO 15 ENE RDU TO 35 SW GSO TO 35 NW GSO TO 35 ENE DAN TO
35 ESE ORF.
..SMITH..08/23/19
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RAH...RNK...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 612
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-029-033-053-063-067-069-073-077-081-083-091-127-131-135-
139-145-157-169-181-183-185-240000-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE CAMDEN CASWELL
CURRITUCK DURHAM FORSYTH
FRANKLIN GATES GRANVILLE
GUILFORD HALIFAX HERTFORD
NASH NORTHAMPTON ORANGE
PASQUOTANK PERSON ROCKINGHAM
STOKES VANCE WAKE
WARREN
VAC083-550-710-740-800-810-240000-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HALIFAX
Read more
6 years ago
WW 612 SEVERE TSTM MD NC VA CW 231920Z - 240200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 612
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
320 PM EDT Fri Aug 23 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Extreme southeastern Maryland
Northern North Carolina
South central and southeastern Virginia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 320 PM until
1000 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage and
intensity the next few hours along and south of a cold front that
will move across Virginia into North Carolina by late this evening.
Multicell clusters and line segments will be the primary storm
modes, with an attendant threat for damaging winds.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles northwest of
Greensboro NC to 35 miles east northeast of Norfolk VA. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29030.
...Thompson
Read more
6 years ago
WW 0614 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 614
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SMITH..08/23/19
ATTN...WFO...CYS...UNR...RIW...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 614
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC007-013-033-045-105-123-157-165-232340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNER BOX BUTTE CHEYENNE
DAWES KIMBALL MORRILL
SCOTTS BLUFF SIOUX
SDC033-047-232340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CUSTER FALL RIVER
WYC001-005-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-025-027-031-043-045-
232340-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY CAMPBELL CONVERSE
CROOK FREMONT GOSHEN
Read more
6 years ago
WW 614 SEVERE TSTM NE SD WY 232055Z - 240400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 614
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
255 PM MDT Fri Aug 23 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
The western Nebraska Panhandle
Extreme southwestern South Dakota
Much of central and eastern Wyoming
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 255 PM until
1000 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forming across central Wyoming and
immediately east of the higher terrain into eastern Wyoming. The
storm environment is sufficient for supercells across central
Wyoming, though growth into clusters with damaging winds and large
hail should be the primary concern through late evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles east southeast
of Cheyenne WY to 95 miles north northeast of Casper WY. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 612...WW 613...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
23025.
...Thompson
Read more
6 years ago
WW 0613 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 613
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1842
..WENDT..08/23/19
ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...DDC...ABQ...AMA...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 613
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC001-005-009-011-017-025-039-041-061-063-071-073-075-087-089-
095-099-101-115-121-123-125-232340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ARAPAHOE BACA
BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY
ELBERT EL PASO KIOWA
KIT CARSON LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN
LOGAN MORGAN OTERO
PHILLIPS PROWERS PUEBLO
SEDGWICK WASHINGTON WELD
YUMA
KSC023-071-075-129-181-187-189-199-232340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE GREELEY HAMILTON
MORTON SHERMAN STANTON
STEVENS WALLACE
Read more
6 years ago
WW 613 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE NM OK TX 232035Z - 240400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 613
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
235 PM MDT Fri Aug 23 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Colorado
Extreme western Kansas
Extreme southwestern Nebraska
Extreme northeastern New Mexico
The western Oklahoma Panhandle
The northwestern Texas Panhandle
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 235 PM until
1000 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forming in several clusters along the
Front Range from northeastern New Mexico northward into Colorado.
The storm environment is most favorable for multicell clusters and
some upscale growth into larger clusters/line segments with an
attendant threat for damaging winds and large hail. An isolated
tornado or two may occur later this evening as storms interact with
a remnant outflow boundary near the Kansas/Colorado border.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles north northwest
of Akron CO to 25 miles south southeast of Dalhart TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 612...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27025.
...Thompson
Read more
6 years ago
MD 1842 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 613... FOR EASTERN COLORADO...FAR WESTERN KANSAS...PORTIONS OF TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...FAR NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO.
Mesoscale Discussion 1842
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0528 PM CDT Fri Aug 23 2019
Areas affected...Eastern Colorado...far western Kansas...Portions of
Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles...far northeast New Mexico.
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 613...
Valid 232228Z - 240030Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 613
continues.
SUMMARY...The severe weather threat continues for WW 613. Severe
wind gusts and large hail will be the primary threats from two storm
clusters in eastern Colorado and portions of the TX/OK Panhandles.
Some possibility for a tornado exists with storms interacting with
an outflow boundary in western Kansas.
DISCUSSION...Current radar mosaic shows two primary clusters of
storms within WW 613. One cluster east of Denver has had a history
of relatively discrete storms producing large hail, with one report
of 1.75 inches. Storms in the southern portions of the Watch have
congealed into more of a linear structure in the Panhandles. Deep
boundary layer mixing has led to dewpoints in the low to mid 50s F
across most of eastern Colorado into the TX/OK Panhandles. Combined
with modest low-level shear, the expectation is for these two
clusters to continue to grow upscale this evening and propagate
east/southeastward.
Visible satellite imagery has shown agitated cumulus increasing
along an outflow boundary from near Dodge City, KS into northeastern
Colorado. Near this boundary, both deep-layer (around 40 kts
effective) shear and low-level shear will be maximized. The KDDC VWP
shows around 100 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH. Storms that can form
along/interact with this boundary will have some potential to
produce a tornado before likely moving into more stable air across
the boundary.
..Wendt.. 08/23/2019
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LBF...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...
LAT...LON 35930323 38620402 39890458 40580427 40900324 40260186
38900143 37840095 36420094 36010143 35840240 35820296
35930323
Read more
6 years ago
WW 0612 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 612
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW GSO TO
35 SE LYH TO 15 NE AVC TO 30 SSW WAL.
..SMITH..08/23/19
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RAH...RNK...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 612
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-015-029-033-041-053-063-065-067-069-073-077-081-083-091-
127-131-135-139-143-145-157-169-181-183-185-195-232240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE BERTIE CAMDEN
CASWELL CHOWAN CURRITUCK
DURHAM EDGECOMBE FORSYTH
FRANKLIN GATES GRANVILLE
GUILFORD HALIFAX HERTFORD
NASH NORTHAMPTON ORANGE
PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS PERSON
ROCKINGHAM STOKES VANCE
WAKE WARREN WILSON
VAC025-053-081-083-089-093-115-117-131-143-175-181-183-199-550-
590-595-620-650-690-700-710-735-740-800-810-232240-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRUNSWICK DINWIDDIE GREENSVILLE
HALIFAX HENRY ISLE OF WIGHT
Read more
6 years ago
MD 1841 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN NC
Mesoscale Discussion 1841
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0500 PM CDT Fri Aug 23 2019
Areas affected...central and eastern NC
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 232200Z - 232230Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Clusters of multicells will continue to develop into areas
yet to be convectively overturned. A severe thunderstorm watch is
likely not warranted south of severe thunderstorm watch 612.
DISCUSSION...Radar mosaic shows extensive outflow from ongoing
multicell clusters over the Carolinas. Surface temperatures are
near 90 degrees F in portions of central and eastern NC. Strong
gusts may accompany the most intense downdrafts. Given the
transient character of the localized threat for strong gusts and
inherent predictability limits of multicell development and outflow,
will likely preclude the need for a severe thunderstorm watch.
..Smith/Grams.. 08/23/2019
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CAE...GSP...
LAT...LON 35418131 35818011 35777678 35377615 34517698 34757941
34938095 35418131
Read more
6 years ago
WW 0613 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 613
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..08/23/19
ATTN...WFO...BOU...PUB...GLD...DDC...ABQ...AMA...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 613
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC001-005-009-011-017-025-039-041-061-063-071-073-075-087-089-
095-099-101-115-121-123-125-232240-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ARAPAHOE BACA
BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY
ELBERT EL PASO KIOWA
KIT CARSON LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN
LOGAN MORGAN OTERO
PHILLIPS PROWERS PUEBLO
SEDGWICK WASHINGTON WELD
YUMA
KSC023-071-075-129-181-187-189-199-232240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE GREELEY HAMILTON
MORTON SHERMAN STANTON
STEVENS WALLACE
Read more
6 years ago
WW 0614 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 614
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SMITH..08/23/19
ATTN...WFO...CYS...UNR...RIW...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 614
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC007-013-033-045-105-123-157-165-232240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNER BOX BUTTE CHEYENNE
DAWES KIMBALL MORRILL
SCOTTS BLUFF SIOUX
SDC033-047-232240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CUSTER FALL RIVER
WYC001-005-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-025-027-031-043-045-
232240-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY CAMPBELL CONVERSE
CROOK FREMONT GOSHEN
Read more
6 years ago
MD 1839 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR EASTERN COLORADO...FAR WESTERN KANSAS...PORTIONS OF THE OK/TX PANHANDLES...AND FAR NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
Mesoscale Discussion 1839
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0248 PM CDT Fri Aug 23 2019
Areas affected...eastern Colorado...far western Kansas...portions of
the OK/TX panhandles...and far northeastern Colorado
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 231948Z - 232145Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated convection is beginning to develop across the far
western portions of the discussion area against higher terrain.
These storms should grow upscale over the next couple hours or so,
possibly requiring a WW issuance.
DISCUSSION...Latest satellite imagery and objective analyses suggest
a gradual increase in towering cumulus against higher terrain of
central/south-central Colorado and adjacent areas of New Mexico
within a weak upslope regime and easterly/southeasterly surface
winds. Meanwhile, temperatures have risen into the upper 80s in
most areas, which has increased surface-based CAPE values into the
2000-3000 J/kg range amidst steep low- and mid-level lapse rates.
Observational trends and model guidance suggest that convection will
continue to expand with time, and some upscale growth into linear
segments is expected given weak low-level shear and maturing cold
pools. Damaging wind gusts and large hail are expected to be the
primary threats with this activity.
Convective trends are being monitored, and a WW issuance may be
needed around or before 21Z.
..Cook/Thompson.. 08/23/2019
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...
LAT...LON 37710438 38800475 39610493 40100504 40690483 40990430
40980279 40480220 39360184 39020168 37880142 36610137
35920208 35980322 36340403 36910426 37710438
Read more
6 years ago
WW 0614 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0614 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
Read more
Checked
5 years 11 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
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