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2 months ago
WW 0531 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 531
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1744
..GUYER..07/21/25
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...BIS...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 531
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC011-017-021-025-033-055-075-079-083-087-103-109-210240-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER CUSTER DAWSON
FALLON GARFIELD MCCONE
POWDER RIVER PRAIRIE RICHLAND
ROSEBUD TREASURE WIBAUX
NDC001-007-011-025-033-041-053-087-089-210240-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BILLINGS BOWMAN
DUNN GOLDEN VALLEY HETTINGER
MCKENZIE SLOPE STARK
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
Read more
2 months ago
WW 0532 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 532
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 W VTN TO
15 ENE PHP.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1743
..GUYER..07/21/25
ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...ABR...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 532
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC017-031-103-149-210240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CHERRY KEYA PAHA
ROCK
SDC075-085-095-121-123-210240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JONES LYMAN MELLETTE
TODD TRIPP
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
2 months ago
MD 1743 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 532... FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA/NORTH-CENTRAL NEBRASKA
Mesoscale Discussion 1743
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0738 PM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025
Areas affected...South-central South Dakota/north-central Nebraska
Concerning...Tornado Watch 532...
Valid 210038Z - 210145Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 532 continues.
SUMMARY...A relatively focused potential for large hail and a
tornado continues with supercells across south-central South Dakota
and north-central Nebraska, centered on Todd County, South Dakota
and eastern Cherry County, Nebraska.
DISCUSSION...After storm mergers, an intense supercell with history
of baseball-size hail continues to approach the South
Dakota/Nebraska border vicinity in Todd County, SD as of 730pm CDT,
approximately 15-20 miles northwest of Valentine, NE. Continued
south-southeastward storm persistence seems likely into Cherry
County, potentially including the immediate Valentine vicinity.
Other severe storms persist farther south in Cherry County, with
other splitting supercells near/north of I-90 east of Phillip, SD.
The ambient environment remains rather moist with near 70F surface
dewpoints, with some strengthening of storm
propagation/sustenance-favorable southeasterly winds within the
boundary layer. Large hail and some tornado potential will likely
persist for a couple more hours as storms/right-moving supercells
persist slowly southeastward within the instability axis. Recent
WSR-88D VWP data from North Platte substantiates at least 150 m2/s2
0-1 km SRH, with some additional increase expected over the next
hour or two.
..Guyer.. 07/21/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...ABR...LBF...UNR...
LAT...LON 44140144 44360089 43420043 42980019 42419976 42100003
42230134 43130138 44140144
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN
Read more
2 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0804 PM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025
Valid 210100Z - 211200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PARTS OF THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS...PARTS OF THE LOWER/MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY...
...SUMMARY...
Widely scattered severe storms remain possible in parts of the
northern/central Plains. Additional strong to severe storms are
possible in parts of the lower/middle Ohio Valley.
...Ohio Valley...
An MCV moving into Illinois is continuing to promote convection
along a stationary boundary. Though deep-layer shear is modest,
strong buoyancy is still in place. A couple of more organized
clusters may produce wind damage as they move southeastward this
evening. A brief tornado near the boundary could also occur.
...Northern/central Plains...
Several supercells are ongoing in parts of eastern Montana into
southwest South Dakota. Steep mid-level lapse rates and strong shear
will continue to promote storms capable of large/very-large hail and
severe wind gusts. Farther south, isolated but intense supercells
have persisted in south-central South Dakota into north-central
Nebraska. Large/very-large hail and severe gusts are the main
concerns, but low-level shear will increase modestly this evening
and a tornado will remain possible.
...Kansas/Missouri...
As the low-level jet increases this evening, warm advection is
expected to initiate convection in northern Missouri and perhaps
northeast Kansas. Given around 3000+ J/kg MLCAPE, the stronger
storms may produce isolated strong/damaging winds later this
evening.
..Wendt.. 07/21/2025
Read more
2 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0804 PM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025
Valid 210100Z - 211200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PARTS OF THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS...PARTS OF THE LOWER/MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY...
...SUMMARY...
Widely scattered severe storms remain possible in parts of the
northern/central Plains. Additional strong to severe storms are
possible in parts of the lower/middle Ohio Valley.
...Ohio Valley...
An MCV moving into Illinois is continuing to promote convection
along a stationary boundary. Though deep-layer shear is modest,
strong buoyancy is still in place. A couple of more organized
clusters may produce wind damage as they move southeastward this
evening. A brief tornado near the boundary could also occur.
...Northern/central Plains...
Several supercells are ongoing in parts of eastern Montana into
southwest South Dakota. Steep mid-level lapse rates and strong shear
will continue to promote storms capable of large/very-large hail and
severe wind gusts. Farther south, isolated but intense supercells
have persisted in south-central South Dakota into north-central
Nebraska. Large/very-large hail and severe gusts are the main
concerns, but low-level shear will increase modestly this evening
and a tornado will remain possible.
...Kansas/Missouri...
As the low-level jet increases this evening, warm advection is
expected to initiate convection in northern Missouri and perhaps
northeast Kansas. Given around 3000+ J/kg MLCAPE, the stronger
storms may produce isolated strong/damaging winds later this
evening.
..Wendt.. 07/21/2025
Read more
2 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0804 PM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025
Valid 210100Z - 211200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PARTS OF THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS...PARTS OF THE LOWER/MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY...
...SUMMARY...
Widely scattered severe storms remain possible in parts of the
northern/central Plains. Additional strong to severe storms are
possible in parts of the lower/middle Ohio Valley.
...Ohio Valley...
An MCV moving into Illinois is continuing to promote convection
along a stationary boundary. Though deep-layer shear is modest,
strong buoyancy is still in place. A couple of more organized
clusters may produce wind damage as they move southeastward this
evening. A brief tornado near the boundary could also occur.
...Northern/central Plains...
Several supercells are ongoing in parts of eastern Montana into
southwest South Dakota. Steep mid-level lapse rates and strong shear
will continue to promote storms capable of large/very-large hail and
severe wind gusts. Farther south, isolated but intense supercells
have persisted in south-central South Dakota into north-central
Nebraska. Large/very-large hail and severe gusts are the main
concerns, but low-level shear will increase modestly this evening
and a tornado will remain possible.
...Kansas/Missouri...
As the low-level jet increases this evening, warm advection is
expected to initiate convection in northern Missouri and perhaps
northeast Kansas. Given around 3000+ J/kg MLCAPE, the stronger
storms may produce isolated strong/damaging winds later this
evening.
..Wendt.. 07/21/2025
Read more
2 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0804 PM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025
Valid 210100Z - 211200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PARTS OF THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS...PARTS OF THE LOWER/MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY...
...SUMMARY...
Widely scattered severe storms remain possible in parts of the
northern/central Plains. Additional strong to severe storms are
possible in parts of the lower/middle Ohio Valley.
...Ohio Valley...
An MCV moving into Illinois is continuing to promote convection
along a stationary boundary. Though deep-layer shear is modest,
strong buoyancy is still in place. A couple of more organized
clusters may produce wind damage as they move southeastward this
evening. A brief tornado near the boundary could also occur.
...Northern/central Plains...
Several supercells are ongoing in parts of eastern Montana into
southwest South Dakota. Steep mid-level lapse rates and strong shear
will continue to promote storms capable of large/very-large hail and
severe wind gusts. Farther south, isolated but intense supercells
have persisted in south-central South Dakota into north-central
Nebraska. Large/very-large hail and severe gusts are the main
concerns, but low-level shear will increase modestly this evening
and a tornado will remain possible.
...Kansas/Missouri...
As the low-level jet increases this evening, warm advection is
expected to initiate convection in northern Missouri and perhaps
northeast Kansas. Given around 3000+ J/kg MLCAPE, the stronger
storms may produce isolated strong/damaging winds later this
evening.
..Wendt.. 07/21/2025
Read more
2 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0804 PM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025
Valid 210100Z - 211200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PARTS OF THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS...PARTS OF THE LOWER/MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY...
...SUMMARY...
Widely scattered severe storms remain possible in parts of the
northern/central Plains. Additional strong to severe storms are
possible in parts of the lower/middle Ohio Valley.
...Ohio Valley...
An MCV moving into Illinois is continuing to promote convection
along a stationary boundary. Though deep-layer shear is modest,
strong buoyancy is still in place. A couple of more organized
clusters may produce wind damage as they move southeastward this
evening. A brief tornado near the boundary could also occur.
...Northern/central Plains...
Several supercells are ongoing in parts of eastern Montana into
southwest South Dakota. Steep mid-level lapse rates and strong shear
will continue to promote storms capable of large/very-large hail and
severe wind gusts. Farther south, isolated but intense supercells
have persisted in south-central South Dakota into north-central
Nebraska. Large/very-large hail and severe gusts are the main
concerns, but low-level shear will increase modestly this evening
and a tornado will remain possible.
...Kansas/Missouri...
As the low-level jet increases this evening, warm advection is
expected to initiate convection in northern Missouri and perhaps
northeast Kansas. Given around 3000+ J/kg MLCAPE, the stronger
storms may produce isolated strong/damaging winds later this
evening.
..Wendt.. 07/21/2025
Read more
2 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0804 PM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025
Valid 210100Z - 211200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PARTS OF THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS...PARTS OF THE LOWER/MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY...
...SUMMARY...
Widely scattered severe storms remain possible in parts of the
northern/central Plains. Additional strong to severe storms are
possible in parts of the lower/middle Ohio Valley.
...Ohio Valley...
An MCV moving into Illinois is continuing to promote convection
along a stationary boundary. Though deep-layer shear is modest,
strong buoyancy is still in place. A couple of more organized
clusters may produce wind damage as they move southeastward this
evening. A brief tornado near the boundary could also occur.
...Northern/central Plains...
Several supercells are ongoing in parts of eastern Montana into
southwest South Dakota. Steep mid-level lapse rates and strong shear
will continue to promote storms capable of large/very-large hail and
severe wind gusts. Farther south, isolated but intense supercells
have persisted in south-central South Dakota into north-central
Nebraska. Large/very-large hail and severe gusts are the main
concerns, but low-level shear will increase modestly this evening
and a tornado will remain possible.
...Kansas/Missouri...
As the low-level jet increases this evening, warm advection is
expected to initiate convection in northern Missouri and perhaps
northeast Kansas. Given around 3000+ J/kg MLCAPE, the stronger
storms may produce isolated strong/damaging winds later this
evening.
..Wendt.. 07/21/2025
Read more
2 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0804 PM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025
Valid 210100Z - 211200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PARTS OF THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS...PARTS OF THE LOWER/MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY...
...SUMMARY...
Widely scattered severe storms remain possible in parts of the
northern/central Plains. Additional strong to severe storms are
possible in parts of the lower/middle Ohio Valley.
...Ohio Valley...
An MCV moving into Illinois is continuing to promote convection
along a stationary boundary. Though deep-layer shear is modest,
strong buoyancy is still in place. A couple of more organized
clusters may produce wind damage as they move southeastward this
evening. A brief tornado near the boundary could also occur.
...Northern/central Plains...
Several supercells are ongoing in parts of eastern Montana into
southwest South Dakota. Steep mid-level lapse rates and strong shear
will continue to promote storms capable of large/very-large hail and
severe wind gusts. Farther south, isolated but intense supercells
have persisted in south-central South Dakota into north-central
Nebraska. Large/very-large hail and severe gusts are the main
concerns, but low-level shear will increase modestly this evening
and a tornado will remain possible.
...Kansas/Missouri...
As the low-level jet increases this evening, warm advection is
expected to initiate convection in northern Missouri and perhaps
northeast Kansas. Given around 3000+ J/kg MLCAPE, the stronger
storms may produce isolated strong/damaging winds later this
evening.
..Wendt.. 07/21/2025
Read more
2 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0804 PM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025
Valid 210100Z - 211200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PARTS OF THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS...PARTS OF THE LOWER/MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY...
...SUMMARY...
Widely scattered severe storms remain possible in parts of the
northern/central Plains. Additional strong to severe storms are
possible in parts of the lower/middle Ohio Valley.
...Ohio Valley...
An MCV moving into Illinois is continuing to promote convection
along a stationary boundary. Though deep-layer shear is modest,
strong buoyancy is still in place. A couple of more organized
clusters may produce wind damage as they move southeastward this
evening. A brief tornado near the boundary could also occur.
...Northern/central Plains...
Several supercells are ongoing in parts of eastern Montana into
southwest South Dakota. Steep mid-level lapse rates and strong shear
will continue to promote storms capable of large/very-large hail and
severe wind gusts. Farther south, isolated but intense supercells
have persisted in south-central South Dakota into north-central
Nebraska. Large/very-large hail and severe gusts are the main
concerns, but low-level shear will increase modestly this evening
and a tornado will remain possible.
...Kansas/Missouri...
As the low-level jet increases this evening, warm advection is
expected to initiate convection in northern Missouri and perhaps
northeast Kansas. Given around 3000+ J/kg MLCAPE, the stronger
storms may produce isolated strong/damaging winds later this
evening.
..Wendt.. 07/21/2025
Read more
2 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0804 PM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025
Valid 210100Z - 211200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PARTS OF THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS...PARTS OF THE LOWER/MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY...
...SUMMARY...
Widely scattered severe storms remain possible in parts of the
northern/central Plains. Additional strong to severe storms are
possible in parts of the lower/middle Ohio Valley.
...Ohio Valley...
An MCV moving into Illinois is continuing to promote convection
along a stationary boundary. Though deep-layer shear is modest,
strong buoyancy is still in place. A couple of more organized
clusters may produce wind damage as they move southeastward this
evening. A brief tornado near the boundary could also occur.
...Northern/central Plains...
Several supercells are ongoing in parts of eastern Montana into
southwest South Dakota. Steep mid-level lapse rates and strong shear
will continue to promote storms capable of large/very-large hail and
severe wind gusts. Farther south, isolated but intense supercells
have persisted in south-central South Dakota into north-central
Nebraska. Large/very-large hail and severe gusts are the main
concerns, but low-level shear will increase modestly this evening
and a tornado will remain possible.
...Kansas/Missouri...
As the low-level jet increases this evening, warm advection is
expected to initiate convection in northern Missouri and perhaps
northeast Kansas. Given around 3000+ J/kg MLCAPE, the stronger
storms may produce isolated strong/damaging winds later this
evening.
..Wendt.. 07/21/2025
Read more
2 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0804 PM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025
Valid 210100Z - 211200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PARTS OF THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS...PARTS OF THE LOWER/MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY...
...SUMMARY...
Widely scattered severe storms remain possible in parts of the
northern/central Plains. Additional strong to severe storms are
possible in parts of the lower/middle Ohio Valley.
...Ohio Valley...
An MCV moving into Illinois is continuing to promote convection
along a stationary boundary. Though deep-layer shear is modest,
strong buoyancy is still in place. A couple of more organized
clusters may produce wind damage as they move southeastward this
evening. A brief tornado near the boundary could also occur.
...Northern/central Plains...
Several supercells are ongoing in parts of eastern Montana into
southwest South Dakota. Steep mid-level lapse rates and strong shear
will continue to promote storms capable of large/very-large hail and
severe wind gusts. Farther south, isolated but intense supercells
have persisted in south-central South Dakota into north-central
Nebraska. Large/very-large hail and severe gusts are the main
concerns, but low-level shear will increase modestly this evening
and a tornado will remain possible.
...Kansas/Missouri...
As the low-level jet increases this evening, warm advection is
expected to initiate convection in northern Missouri and perhaps
northeast Kansas. Given around 3000+ J/kg MLCAPE, the stronger
storms may produce isolated strong/damaging winds later this
evening.
..Wendt.. 07/21/2025
Read more
2 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0804 PM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025
Valid 210100Z - 211200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PARTS OF THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS...PARTS OF THE LOWER/MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY...
...SUMMARY...
Widely scattered severe storms remain possible in parts of the
northern/central Plains. Additional strong to severe storms are
possible in parts of the lower/middle Ohio Valley.
...Ohio Valley...
An MCV moving into Illinois is continuing to promote convection
along a stationary boundary. Though deep-layer shear is modest,
strong buoyancy is still in place. A couple of more organized
clusters may produce wind damage as they move southeastward this
evening. A brief tornado near the boundary could also occur.
...Northern/central Plains...
Several supercells are ongoing in parts of eastern Montana into
southwest South Dakota. Steep mid-level lapse rates and strong shear
will continue to promote storms capable of large/very-large hail and
severe wind gusts. Farther south, isolated but intense supercells
have persisted in south-central South Dakota into north-central
Nebraska. Large/very-large hail and severe gusts are the main
concerns, but low-level shear will increase modestly this evening
and a tornado will remain possible.
...Kansas/Missouri...
As the low-level jet increases this evening, warm advection is
expected to initiate convection in northern Missouri and perhaps
northeast Kansas. Given around 3000+ J/kg MLCAPE, the stronger
storms may produce isolated strong/damaging winds later this
evening.
..Wendt.. 07/21/2025
Read more
2 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0804 PM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025
Valid 210100Z - 211200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PARTS OF THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS...PARTS OF THE LOWER/MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY...
...SUMMARY...
Widely scattered severe storms remain possible in parts of the
northern/central Plains. Additional strong to severe storms are
possible in parts of the lower/middle Ohio Valley.
...Ohio Valley...
An MCV moving into Illinois is continuing to promote convection
along a stationary boundary. Though deep-layer shear is modest,
strong buoyancy is still in place. A couple of more organized
clusters may produce wind damage as they move southeastward this
evening. A brief tornado near the boundary could also occur.
...Northern/central Plains...
Several supercells are ongoing in parts of eastern Montana into
southwest South Dakota. Steep mid-level lapse rates and strong shear
will continue to promote storms capable of large/very-large hail and
severe wind gusts. Farther south, isolated but intense supercells
have persisted in south-central South Dakota into north-central
Nebraska. Large/very-large hail and severe gusts are the main
concerns, but low-level shear will increase modestly this evening
and a tornado will remain possible.
...Kansas/Missouri...
As the low-level jet increases this evening, warm advection is
expected to initiate convection in northern Missouri and perhaps
northeast Kansas. Given around 3000+ J/kg MLCAPE, the stronger
storms may produce isolated strong/damaging winds later this
evening.
..Wendt.. 07/21/2025
Read more
2 months ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0804 PM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025
Valid 210100Z - 211200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PARTS OF THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS...PARTS OF THE LOWER/MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY...
...SUMMARY...
Widely scattered severe storms remain possible in parts of the
northern/central Plains. Additional strong to severe storms are
possible in parts of the lower/middle Ohio Valley.
...Ohio Valley...
An MCV moving into Illinois is continuing to promote convection
along a stationary boundary. Though deep-layer shear is modest,
strong buoyancy is still in place. A couple of more organized
clusters may produce wind damage as they move southeastward this
evening. A brief tornado near the boundary could also occur.
...Northern/central Plains...
Several supercells are ongoing in parts of eastern Montana into
southwest South Dakota. Steep mid-level lapse rates and strong shear
will continue to promote storms capable of large/very-large hail and
severe wind gusts. Farther south, isolated but intense supercells
have persisted in south-central South Dakota into north-central
Nebraska. Large/very-large hail and severe gusts are the main
concerns, but low-level shear will increase modestly this evening
and a tornado will remain possible.
...Kansas/Missouri...
As the low-level jet increases this evening, warm advection is
expected to initiate convection in northern Missouri and perhaps
northeast Kansas. Given around 3000+ J/kg MLCAPE, the stronger
storms may produce isolated strong/damaging winds later this
evening.
..Wendt.. 07/21/2025
Read more
2 months ago
WW 0533 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 533
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1742
..DEAN..07/21/25
ATTN...WFO...ILX...PAH...IND...LMK...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 533
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC021-023-025-033-035-047-049-079-101-159-173-185-210140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHRISTIAN CLARK CLAY
CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND EDWARDS
EFFINGHAM JASPER LAWRENCE
RICHLAND SHELBY WABASH
INC005-013-019-025-027-037-043-051-055-061-071-077-079-083-093-
101-105-117-125-143-153-175-210140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTHOLOMEW BROWN CLARK
CRAWFORD DAVIESS DUBOIS
FLOYD GIBSON GREENE
HARRISON JACKSON JEFFERSON
JENNINGS KNOX LAWRENCE
MARTIN MONROE ORANGE
PIKE SCOTT SULLIVAN
Read more
2 months ago
WW 0533 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 533
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1742
..DEAN..07/21/25
ATTN...WFO...ILX...PAH...IND...LMK...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 533
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC021-023-025-033-035-047-049-079-101-159-173-185-210140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHRISTIAN CLARK CLAY
CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND EDWARDS
EFFINGHAM JASPER LAWRENCE
RICHLAND SHELBY WABASH
INC005-013-019-025-027-037-043-051-055-061-071-077-079-083-093-
101-105-117-125-143-153-175-210140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTHOLOMEW BROWN CLARK
CRAWFORD DAVIESS DUBOIS
FLOYD GIBSON GREENE
HARRISON JACKSON JEFFERSON
JENNINGS KNOX LAWRENCE
MARTIN MONROE ORANGE
PIKE SCOTT SULLIVAN
Read more
2 months ago
WW 0531 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 531
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..07/21/25
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...BIS...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 531
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC011-017-021-025-033-055-075-079-083-087-103-109-210140-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER CUSTER DAWSON
FALLON GARFIELD MCCONE
POWDER RIVER PRAIRIE RICHLAND
ROSEBUD TREASURE WIBAUX
NDC001-007-011-025-033-041-053-087-089-210140-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BILLINGS BOWMAN
DUNN GOLDEN VALLEY HETTINGER
MCKENZIE SLOPE STARK
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
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2 months ago
WW 0532 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 532
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1743
..GUYER..07/21/25
ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...ABR...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 532
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC017-031-103-149-210140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CHERRY KEYA PAHA
ROCK
SDC007-071-075-085-095-121-123-210140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNETT JACKSON JONES
LYMAN MELLETTE TODD
TRIPP
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
Checked
5 years 11 months ago
Storm Prediction Center
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