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1 month 3 weeks ago
WW 0543 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 543
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1788
..DEAN..07/26/25
ATTN...WFO...BIS...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 543
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NDC001-007-009-011-013-015-025-029-033-037-041-043-049-053-055-
057-059-061-065-069-075-083-085-087-089-101-103-105-260540-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BILLINGS BOTTINEAU
BOWMAN BURKE BURLEIGH
DUNN EMMONS GOLDEN VALLEY
GRANT HETTINGER KIDDER
MCHENRY MCKENZIE MCLEAN
MERCER MORTON MOUNTRAIL
OLIVER PIERCE RENVILLE
SHERIDAN SIOUX SLOPE
STARK WARD WELLS
WILLIAMS
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
1 month 3 weeks ago
MD 1787 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL/NORTHERN IL
Mesoscale Discussion 1787
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1006 PM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025
Areas affected...Parts of central/northern IL
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 260306Z - 260430Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent
SUMMARY...Localized damaging wind is possible into late evening.
DISCUSSION...A small storm cluster recently intensified across
north-central IL, in conjunction with an MCV and in the vicinity of
a weak surface boundary. Moderate buoyancy may continue to sustain
this system in the short term, with a some threat of locally
damaging wind. Increasing CINH and decreasing buoyancy downstream
should tend to limit the longevity of any threat with this system.
Farther south, storms have recently intensified across west-central
IL, where moderate buoyancy (MLCAPE near 2000 J/kg) remains in place
this evening. Deep-layer flow is generally modest, but veering wind
profiles are supporting effective shear of 20-25 kt, and some
transient storm organization is possible into late evening. Locally
damaging wind should be the primary threat with this convection,
generally near/south of where it intersects the outflow from the
cluster to the north.
..Dean/Mosier.. 07/26/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...
LAT...LON 40558809 39408926 39078991 39139014 39489070 39879094
40508956 40768916 41258923 41498854 41438794 41078778
40558809
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
Read more
1 month 3 weeks ago
MD 1786 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 543... FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN INTO CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
Mesoscale Discussion 1786
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0853 PM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025
Areas affected...portions of western into central North Dakota
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 543...
Valid 260153Z - 260300Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 543
continues.
SUMMARY...Severe gusts remain possible with ongoing storms in
northwestern and southwestern ND, and a couple instances of severe
hail are still possible.
DISCUSSION...Two clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms are in
progress; one over northwestern ND, and the other in southwestern
ND. The northwestern cluster has shown bow-echo tendencies, and has
produced measured severe gusts with an established cold pool, with
20-30 F temperatures deficits noted via the NDAWN surface
observational network. However, the 00Z BIS observed sounding and
mesoanalysis depict overall weak vertical wind shear in western
portions of the state, particularly at low levels. BIS radar data
also shows the northwestern cluster becoming outflow dominant,
perhaps being undercut by the cold pool given poor countering
low-level shear. It is unclear how much longer the short-term severe
wind threat will last with this cluster.
Severe wind reports have yet to be received by the southwestern
cluster. Nonetheless, severe gusts are possible under the condition
that further upscale growth and intensification occurs, as was the
case with the northwestern cluster.
..Squitieri.. 07/26/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...BIS...
LAT...LON 46160397 48090312 48560274 48890178 48960057 48530001
47889988 46939987 46220028 46080118 46040338 46160397
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
Read more
1 month 3 weeks ago
MD 1785 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF FAR EASTERN MONTANA INTO CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
Mesoscale Discussion 1785
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0643 PM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025
Areas affected...portions of far eastern Montana into central North
Dakota
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 252343Z - 260145Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent
SUMMARY...The severe threat may increase into the evening in tandem
with storm coverage, especially if MCS upscale growth occurs. Severe
hail may accompany discrete storms, with severe wind occurring with
more linear structures.
DISCUSSION...A supercell is in progress across east-central MT, with
more multicellular storms in progress to the northeast, along the
MT/ND border. These storms continue to advance eastward amid a more
moist, unstable, less capped airmass, characterized by 3000-4000
J/kg MLCAPE. A weak 500 mb vort max embedded in the larger scale
mid-level flow is currently traversing central MT, and as it
advances eastward, it may encourage an increase in storm coverage.
Despite weaker vertical wind shear, enough buoyancy is in place to
support a severe threat. The ongoing, more discrete storms may pose
a threat for severe hail. Severe gusts may occur with any storms,
but may become more likely if storm mergers occur, or if an MCS can
develop. A WW issuance is possible, especially if signs of upscale
growth are observed.
..Squitieri/Mosier.. 07/25/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...BYZ...GGW...
LAT...LON 46510537 47570491 48050447 48420364 48590023 48189958
47769930 47349917 46799926 46429985 46110121 46110238
46170404 46200475 46510537
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
Read more
1 month 3 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0801 PM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025
Valid 260100Z - 261200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF
NORTH DAKOTA AND VICINITY...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms remain capable of damaging
wind gusts and large hail across portions of the northern Plains.
Isolated strong to severe storms will also be possible from the
mid-Atlantic west through the Ohio Valley and central/southern
Plains, and across northern California and northwest Nevada.
...Northeast/mid-Atlantic...
Isolated strong/severe storms continue across PA in advance of a
weak frontal boundary, while storms farther east continue to move
offshore across portions of NJ/NY. Latest objective analysis shows
pockets of moderate instability (MLCAPE at or above 2000 J/kg)
across the northern Delmarva Peninsula, and some potential for a
stronger storm or two will exist in this area this evening. Overall,
the severe threat should remain isolated through the remainder of
the evening, and diminish thereafter with the onset of gradual
nocturnal cooling/increasing CINH.
...Western Oklahoma/Eastern Kansas into the OH Valley...
A few clusters of thunderstorms continue within a moderate/strongly
unstable air mass in the vicinity of a nearly stationary frontal
boundary from northern KS east across the OH Valley, and along a
confluence zone across western OK. The magnitude of instability will
remain sufficient for pockets of damaging wind potential with any
cluster that can become more organized this evening.
...Great Basin/Northern CA...
Thunderstorms will continue this evening within a weakly unstable
air mass east of an upper-level trough. Steep low-level lapse rates
will result in an isolated damaging wind risk with stronger
updrafts.
...Central/northern Plains...
A couple clusters of strong/severe thunderstorms continue in the
general vicinity of the MT/ND border region, with reports of large
hail over the past couple hours. These storms are located along the
southern periphery of somewhat stronger mid-level flow, and will
moving into a strongly unstable air mass over ND with MLCAPE in the
2000 to 4000 J/kg range. Storms continue to show signs of
organization this evening, and a more concentrated risk for damaging
winds and large hail will exist in association with recently issued
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 543.
..Bunting.. 07/26/2025
Read more
1 month 3 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0801 PM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025
Valid 260100Z - 261200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF
NORTH DAKOTA AND VICINITY...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms remain capable of damaging
wind gusts and large hail across portions of the northern Plains.
Isolated strong to severe storms will also be possible from the
mid-Atlantic west through the Ohio Valley and central/southern
Plains, and across northern California and northwest Nevada.
...Northeast/mid-Atlantic...
Isolated strong/severe storms continue across PA in advance of a
weak frontal boundary, while storms farther east continue to move
offshore across portions of NJ/NY. Latest objective analysis shows
pockets of moderate instability (MLCAPE at or above 2000 J/kg)
across the northern Delmarva Peninsula, and some potential for a
stronger storm or two will exist in this area this evening. Overall,
the severe threat should remain isolated through the remainder of
the evening, and diminish thereafter with the onset of gradual
nocturnal cooling/increasing CINH.
...Western Oklahoma/Eastern Kansas into the OH Valley...
A few clusters of thunderstorms continue within a moderate/strongly
unstable air mass in the vicinity of a nearly stationary frontal
boundary from northern KS east across the OH Valley, and along a
confluence zone across western OK. The magnitude of instability will
remain sufficient for pockets of damaging wind potential with any
cluster that can become more organized this evening.
...Great Basin/Northern CA...
Thunderstorms will continue this evening within a weakly unstable
air mass east of an upper-level trough. Steep low-level lapse rates
will result in an isolated damaging wind risk with stronger
updrafts.
...Central/northern Plains...
A couple clusters of strong/severe thunderstorms continue in the
general vicinity of the MT/ND border region, with reports of large
hail over the past couple hours. These storms are located along the
southern periphery of somewhat stronger mid-level flow, and will
moving into a strongly unstable air mass over ND with MLCAPE in the
2000 to 4000 J/kg range. Storms continue to show signs of
organization this evening, and a more concentrated risk for damaging
winds and large hail will exist in association with recently issued
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 543.
..Bunting.. 07/26/2025
Read more
1 month 3 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0801 PM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025
Valid 260100Z - 261200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF
NORTH DAKOTA AND VICINITY...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms remain capable of damaging
wind gusts and large hail across portions of the northern Plains.
Isolated strong to severe storms will also be possible from the
mid-Atlantic west through the Ohio Valley and central/southern
Plains, and across northern California and northwest Nevada.
...Northeast/mid-Atlantic...
Isolated strong/severe storms continue across PA in advance of a
weak frontal boundary, while storms farther east continue to move
offshore across portions of NJ/NY. Latest objective analysis shows
pockets of moderate instability (MLCAPE at or above 2000 J/kg)
across the northern Delmarva Peninsula, and some potential for a
stronger storm or two will exist in this area this evening. Overall,
the severe threat should remain isolated through the remainder of
the evening, and diminish thereafter with the onset of gradual
nocturnal cooling/increasing CINH.
...Western Oklahoma/Eastern Kansas into the OH Valley...
A few clusters of thunderstorms continue within a moderate/strongly
unstable air mass in the vicinity of a nearly stationary frontal
boundary from northern KS east across the OH Valley, and along a
confluence zone across western OK. The magnitude of instability will
remain sufficient for pockets of damaging wind potential with any
cluster that can become more organized this evening.
...Great Basin/Northern CA...
Thunderstorms will continue this evening within a weakly unstable
air mass east of an upper-level trough. Steep low-level lapse rates
will result in an isolated damaging wind risk with stronger
updrafts.
...Central/northern Plains...
A couple clusters of strong/severe thunderstorms continue in the
general vicinity of the MT/ND border region, with reports of large
hail over the past couple hours. These storms are located along the
southern periphery of somewhat stronger mid-level flow, and will
moving into a strongly unstable air mass over ND with MLCAPE in the
2000 to 4000 J/kg range. Storms continue to show signs of
organization this evening, and a more concentrated risk for damaging
winds and large hail will exist in association with recently issued
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 543.
..Bunting.. 07/26/2025
Read more
1 month 3 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0801 PM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025
Valid 260100Z - 261200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF
NORTH DAKOTA AND VICINITY...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms remain capable of damaging
wind gusts and large hail across portions of the northern Plains.
Isolated strong to severe storms will also be possible from the
mid-Atlantic west through the Ohio Valley and central/southern
Plains, and across northern California and northwest Nevada.
...Northeast/mid-Atlantic...
Isolated strong/severe storms continue across PA in advance of a
weak frontal boundary, while storms farther east continue to move
offshore across portions of NJ/NY. Latest objective analysis shows
pockets of moderate instability (MLCAPE at or above 2000 J/kg)
across the northern Delmarva Peninsula, and some potential for a
stronger storm or two will exist in this area this evening. Overall,
the severe threat should remain isolated through the remainder of
the evening, and diminish thereafter with the onset of gradual
nocturnal cooling/increasing CINH.
...Western Oklahoma/Eastern Kansas into the OH Valley...
A few clusters of thunderstorms continue within a moderate/strongly
unstable air mass in the vicinity of a nearly stationary frontal
boundary from northern KS east across the OH Valley, and along a
confluence zone across western OK. The magnitude of instability will
remain sufficient for pockets of damaging wind potential with any
cluster that can become more organized this evening.
...Great Basin/Northern CA...
Thunderstorms will continue this evening within a weakly unstable
air mass east of an upper-level trough. Steep low-level lapse rates
will result in an isolated damaging wind risk with stronger
updrafts.
...Central/northern Plains...
A couple clusters of strong/severe thunderstorms continue in the
general vicinity of the MT/ND border region, with reports of large
hail over the past couple hours. These storms are located along the
southern periphery of somewhat stronger mid-level flow, and will
moving into a strongly unstable air mass over ND with MLCAPE in the
2000 to 4000 J/kg range. Storms continue to show signs of
organization this evening, and a more concentrated risk for damaging
winds and large hail will exist in association with recently issued
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 543.
..Bunting.. 07/26/2025
Read more
1 month 3 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0801 PM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025
Valid 260100Z - 261200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF
NORTH DAKOTA AND VICINITY...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms remain capable of damaging
wind gusts and large hail across portions of the northern Plains.
Isolated strong to severe storms will also be possible from the
mid-Atlantic west through the Ohio Valley and central/southern
Plains, and across northern California and northwest Nevada.
...Northeast/mid-Atlantic...
Isolated strong/severe storms continue across PA in advance of a
weak frontal boundary, while storms farther east continue to move
offshore across portions of NJ/NY. Latest objective analysis shows
pockets of moderate instability (MLCAPE at or above 2000 J/kg)
across the northern Delmarva Peninsula, and some potential for a
stronger storm or two will exist in this area this evening. Overall,
the severe threat should remain isolated through the remainder of
the evening, and diminish thereafter with the onset of gradual
nocturnal cooling/increasing CINH.
...Western Oklahoma/Eastern Kansas into the OH Valley...
A few clusters of thunderstorms continue within a moderate/strongly
unstable air mass in the vicinity of a nearly stationary frontal
boundary from northern KS east across the OH Valley, and along a
confluence zone across western OK. The magnitude of instability will
remain sufficient for pockets of damaging wind potential with any
cluster that can become more organized this evening.
...Great Basin/Northern CA...
Thunderstorms will continue this evening within a weakly unstable
air mass east of an upper-level trough. Steep low-level lapse rates
will result in an isolated damaging wind risk with stronger
updrafts.
...Central/northern Plains...
A couple clusters of strong/severe thunderstorms continue in the
general vicinity of the MT/ND border region, with reports of large
hail over the past couple hours. These storms are located along the
southern periphery of somewhat stronger mid-level flow, and will
moving into a strongly unstable air mass over ND with MLCAPE in the
2000 to 4000 J/kg range. Storms continue to show signs of
organization this evening, and a more concentrated risk for damaging
winds and large hail will exist in association with recently issued
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 543.
..Bunting.. 07/26/2025
Read more
1 month 3 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0801 PM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025
Valid 260100Z - 261200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF
NORTH DAKOTA AND VICINITY...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms remain capable of damaging
wind gusts and large hail across portions of the northern Plains.
Isolated strong to severe storms will also be possible from the
mid-Atlantic west through the Ohio Valley and central/southern
Plains, and across northern California and northwest Nevada.
...Northeast/mid-Atlantic...
Isolated strong/severe storms continue across PA in advance of a
weak frontal boundary, while storms farther east continue to move
offshore across portions of NJ/NY. Latest objective analysis shows
pockets of moderate instability (MLCAPE at or above 2000 J/kg)
across the northern Delmarva Peninsula, and some potential for a
stronger storm or two will exist in this area this evening. Overall,
the severe threat should remain isolated through the remainder of
the evening, and diminish thereafter with the onset of gradual
nocturnal cooling/increasing CINH.
...Western Oklahoma/Eastern Kansas into the OH Valley...
A few clusters of thunderstorms continue within a moderate/strongly
unstable air mass in the vicinity of a nearly stationary frontal
boundary from northern KS east across the OH Valley, and along a
confluence zone across western OK. The magnitude of instability will
remain sufficient for pockets of damaging wind potential with any
cluster that can become more organized this evening.
...Great Basin/Northern CA...
Thunderstorms will continue this evening within a weakly unstable
air mass east of an upper-level trough. Steep low-level lapse rates
will result in an isolated damaging wind risk with stronger
updrafts.
...Central/northern Plains...
A couple clusters of strong/severe thunderstorms continue in the
general vicinity of the MT/ND border region, with reports of large
hail over the past couple hours. These storms are located along the
southern periphery of somewhat stronger mid-level flow, and will
moving into a strongly unstable air mass over ND with MLCAPE in the
2000 to 4000 J/kg range. Storms continue to show signs of
organization this evening, and a more concentrated risk for damaging
winds and large hail will exist in association with recently issued
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 543.
..Bunting.. 07/26/2025
Read more
1 month 3 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0801 PM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025
Valid 260100Z - 261200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF
NORTH DAKOTA AND VICINITY...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms remain capable of damaging
wind gusts and large hail across portions of the northern Plains.
Isolated strong to severe storms will also be possible from the
mid-Atlantic west through the Ohio Valley and central/southern
Plains, and across northern California and northwest Nevada.
...Northeast/mid-Atlantic...
Isolated strong/severe storms continue across PA in advance of a
weak frontal boundary, while storms farther east continue to move
offshore across portions of NJ/NY. Latest objective analysis shows
pockets of moderate instability (MLCAPE at or above 2000 J/kg)
across the northern Delmarva Peninsula, and some potential for a
stronger storm or two will exist in this area this evening. Overall,
the severe threat should remain isolated through the remainder of
the evening, and diminish thereafter with the onset of gradual
nocturnal cooling/increasing CINH.
...Western Oklahoma/Eastern Kansas into the OH Valley...
A few clusters of thunderstorms continue within a moderate/strongly
unstable air mass in the vicinity of a nearly stationary frontal
boundary from northern KS east across the OH Valley, and along a
confluence zone across western OK. The magnitude of instability will
remain sufficient for pockets of damaging wind potential with any
cluster that can become more organized this evening.
...Great Basin/Northern CA...
Thunderstorms will continue this evening within a weakly unstable
air mass east of an upper-level trough. Steep low-level lapse rates
will result in an isolated damaging wind risk with stronger
updrafts.
...Central/northern Plains...
A couple clusters of strong/severe thunderstorms continue in the
general vicinity of the MT/ND border region, with reports of large
hail over the past couple hours. These storms are located along the
southern periphery of somewhat stronger mid-level flow, and will
moving into a strongly unstable air mass over ND with MLCAPE in the
2000 to 4000 J/kg range. Storms continue to show signs of
organization this evening, and a more concentrated risk for damaging
winds and large hail will exist in association with recently issued
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 543.
..Bunting.. 07/26/2025
Read more
1 month 3 weeks ago
MD 1783 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR WESTERN/NORTH-CENTRAL OK INTO EXTREME SOUTH-CENTRAL KS
Mesoscale Discussion 1783
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0520 PM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025
Areas affected...western/north-central OK into extreme south-central
KS
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 252220Z - 260045Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Storms with localized strong/damaging gusts are possible
into this evening.
DISCUSSION...One storm has developed across north-central OK late
this afternoon, with other cumulus building in the vicinity of a
surface boundary from west-central OK into south-central KS.
Midlevel lapse rates are weak, but strong heating of a moist
environment has resulted in MLCAPE increasing to near above 2500
J/kg, and storm coverage should increase into the early evening.
This region is on the southern periphery of modestly enhanced
midlevel flow associated with an MCV across northern KS. Effective
shear of around 20 kt and steep low-level lapse rates could support
weakly organized storms capable of localized downbursts and strong
outflow winds into this evening.
..Dean/Mosier.. 07/25/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...
LAT...LON 35189911 36639831 37459766 37459710 37319643 36789609
35539757 34959863 35189911
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
Read more
1 month 3 weeks ago
MD 1784 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 542... FOR SOUTHEAST PA...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NJ...DE...NORTHERN/EASTERN MD
Mesoscale Discussion 1784
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0609 PM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025
Areas affected...Southeast PA...central/southern
NJ...DE...northern/eastern MD
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 542...
Valid 252309Z - 260045Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 542
continues.
SUMMARY...In the wake of earlier storms, locally damaging winds
remain possible before remaining storms weaken later this evening.
DISCUSSION...A storm cluster with a history of producing wind damage
is approaching the southern NJ coast as of 23 UTC this evening.
Pockets of moderate buoyancy persist in the wake of earlier
convection, and also south of the outflow into parts of eastern MD
and DE. Effective shear of 30-40 kt remains favorable for organized
convection, and a few stronger cells/clusters are possible through
dusk, with locally damaging wind possible. Eventually, nocturnal
cooling and the stabilizing effects of outflow should lead to a
weakening trend later this evening.
..Dean.. 07/25/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...CTP...LWX...
LAT...LON 40277754 40937703 40817547 40397455 39717388 39187419
38387477 38117562 38727651 39457761 39857754 40277754
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
Read more
1 month 3 weeks ago
WW 0543 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0543 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
Read more
1 month 3 weeks ago
WW 0543 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0543 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
Read more
1 month 3 weeks ago
WW 0543 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0543 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
Read more
1 month 3 weeks ago
WW 0542 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 542
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE UNV
TO 5 WSW CXY TO 30 ENE CXY TO 15 WSW ABE TO 20 E ABE TO 15 N JFK
TO 30 WSW GON TO EWB TO 20 NNW HYA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1779
..JEWELL..07/25/25
ATTN...WFO...OKX...BOX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 542
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC003-252140-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
NEW CASTLE
MAC001-007-019-252140-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARNSTABLE DUKES NANTUCKET
NJC001-005-007-011-015-017-019-021-023-025-029-033-035-039-
252140-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
Read more
1 month 3 weeks ago
WW 0542 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 542
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE UNV
TO 5 WSW CXY TO 30 ENE CXY TO 15 WSW ABE TO 20 E ABE TO 15 N JFK
TO 30 WSW GON TO EWB TO 20 NNW HYA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1779
..JEWELL..07/25/25
ATTN...WFO...OKX...BOX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 542
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC003-252140-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
NEW CASTLE
MAC001-007-019-252140-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARNSTABLE DUKES NANTUCKET
NJC001-005-007-011-015-017-019-021-023-025-029-033-035-039-
252140-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
Read more
1 month 3 weeks ago
WW 0542 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 542
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE UNV
TO 5 WSW CXY TO 30 ENE CXY TO 15 WSW ABE TO 20 E ABE TO 15 N JFK
TO 30 WSW GON TO EWB TO 20 NNW HYA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1779
..JEWELL..07/25/25
ATTN...WFO...OKX...BOX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 542
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC003-252140-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
NEW CASTLE
MAC001-007-019-252140-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARNSTABLE DUKES NANTUCKET
NJC001-005-007-011-015-017-019-021-023-025-029-033-035-039-
252140-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
Read more
1 month 3 weeks ago
WW 0542 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 542
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE UNV
TO 5 WSW CXY TO 30 ENE CXY TO 15 WSW ABE TO 20 E ABE TO 15 N JFK
TO 30 WSW GON TO EWB TO 20 NNW HYA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1779
..JEWELL..07/25/25
ATTN...WFO...OKX...BOX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 542
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC003-252140-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
NEW CASTLE
MAC001-007-019-252140-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARNSTABLE DUKES NANTUCKET
NJC001-005-007-011-015-017-019-021-023-025-029-033-035-039-
252140-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
Read more
Checked
5 years 11 months ago
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