SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0212 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...Update... No changes were required for Saturday's outlook. The forecast remains accurate. A small corridor of breezy southwest winds and low RH is expected from southeastern/eastern NV into western/southwestern UT. Please see the previous discussion for additional details. ..Barnes.. 07/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge is expected to build over the southern Rockies during the day on Sunday. Modest mid-level flow around the periphery of the ridge is expected to mix downward during the afternoon hours and promote dry, breezy conditions across portions of the Great Basin and northern Rockies. RH is expected to be in the 5-15% range across much of this region with gusts to 15-20 mph. However, across the northern Rockies recent rainfall has made fuels largely too moist for fire spread. Therefore, have added an Elevated area across portions of southeastern Nevada and southwestern Utah, where the driest fuels overlap with the corridor of strongest winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0212 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...Update... No changes were required for Saturday's outlook. The forecast remains accurate. A small corridor of breezy southwest winds and low RH is expected from southeastern/eastern NV into western/southwestern UT. Please see the previous discussion for additional details. ..Barnes.. 07/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge is expected to build over the southern Rockies during the day on Sunday. Modest mid-level flow around the periphery of the ridge is expected to mix downward during the afternoon hours and promote dry, breezy conditions across portions of the Great Basin and northern Rockies. RH is expected to be in the 5-15% range across much of this region with gusts to 15-20 mph. However, across the northern Rockies recent rainfall has made fuels largely too moist for fire spread. Therefore, have added an Elevated area across portions of southeastern Nevada and southwestern Utah, where the driest fuels overlap with the corridor of strongest winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0212 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...Update... No changes were required for Saturday's outlook. The forecast remains accurate. A small corridor of breezy southwest winds and low RH is expected from southeastern/eastern NV into western/southwestern UT. Please see the previous discussion for additional details. ..Barnes.. 07/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge is expected to build over the southern Rockies during the day on Sunday. Modest mid-level flow around the periphery of the ridge is expected to mix downward during the afternoon hours and promote dry, breezy conditions across portions of the Great Basin and northern Rockies. RH is expected to be in the 5-15% range across much of this region with gusts to 15-20 mph. However, across the northern Rockies recent rainfall has made fuels largely too moist for fire spread. Therefore, have added an Elevated area across portions of southeastern Nevada and southwestern Utah, where the driest fuels overlap with the corridor of strongest winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0212 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...Update... No changes were required for Saturday's outlook. The forecast remains accurate. A small corridor of breezy southwest winds and low RH is expected from southeastern/eastern NV into western/southwestern UT. Please see the previous discussion for additional details. ..Barnes.. 07/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge is expected to build over the southern Rockies during the day on Sunday. Modest mid-level flow around the periphery of the ridge is expected to mix downward during the afternoon hours and promote dry, breezy conditions across portions of the Great Basin and northern Rockies. RH is expected to be in the 5-15% range across much of this region with gusts to 15-20 mph. However, across the northern Rockies recent rainfall has made fuels largely too moist for fire spread. Therefore, have added an Elevated area across portions of southeastern Nevada and southwestern Utah, where the driest fuels overlap with the corridor of strongest winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 3 weeks ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0212 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...Update... No changes were required for Saturday's outlook. The forecast remains accurate. A small corridor of breezy southwest winds and low RH is expected from southeastern/eastern NV into western/southwestern UT. Please see the previous discussion for additional details. ..Barnes.. 07/04/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level ridge is expected to build over the southern Rockies during the day on Sunday. Modest mid-level flow around the periphery of the ridge is expected to mix downward during the afternoon hours and promote dry, breezy conditions across portions of the Great Basin and northern Rockies. RH is expected to be in the 5-15% range across much of this region with gusts to 15-20 mph. However, across the northern Rockies recent rainfall has made fuels largely too moist for fire spread. Therefore, have added an Elevated area across portions of southeastern Nevada and southwestern Utah, where the driest fuels overlap with the corridor of strongest winds. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Jul 4, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

1 month 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0135 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few storms may produce isolated severe wind and hail along the central High Plains on Sunday. ...Central High Plains... A broad upper ridge will be in place on Sunday across most of the central and southern US, with the mid-level westerlies extending across the northern states. Scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected throughout the High Plains from MT to TX, but the area of greatest concern for a few strong/severe storms will extend from the Black Hills region into northeast NM. Strong heating and steep lapse rates will promote some risk of damaging winds and hail in the strongest cells. Parts of western NE may require higher severe probabilities in later outlooks. ..Hart.. 07/04/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 4, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

1 month 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0135 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few storms may produce isolated severe wind and hail along the central High Plains on Sunday. ...Central High Plains... A broad upper ridge will be in place on Sunday across most of the central and southern US, with the mid-level westerlies extending across the northern states. Scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected throughout the High Plains from MT to TX, but the area of greatest concern for a few strong/severe storms will extend from the Black Hills region into northeast NM. Strong heating and steep lapse rates will promote some risk of damaging winds and hail in the strongest cells. Parts of western NE may require higher severe probabilities in later outlooks. ..Hart.. 07/04/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 4, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

1 month 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0135 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few storms may produce isolated severe wind and hail along the central High Plains on Sunday. ...Central High Plains... A broad upper ridge will be in place on Sunday across most of the central and southern US, with the mid-level westerlies extending across the northern states. Scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected throughout the High Plains from MT to TX, but the area of greatest concern for a few strong/severe storms will extend from the Black Hills region into northeast NM. Strong heating and steep lapse rates will promote some risk of damaging winds and hail in the strongest cells. Parts of western NE may require higher severe probabilities in later outlooks. ..Hart.. 07/04/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 4, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

1 month 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0135 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few storms may produce isolated severe wind and hail along the central High Plains on Sunday. ...Central High Plains... A broad upper ridge will be in place on Sunday across most of the central and southern US, with the mid-level westerlies extending across the northern states. Scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected throughout the High Plains from MT to TX, but the area of greatest concern for a few strong/severe storms will extend from the Black Hills region into northeast NM. Strong heating and steep lapse rates will promote some risk of damaging winds and hail in the strongest cells. Parts of western NE may require higher severe probabilities in later outlooks. ..Hart.. 07/04/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 4, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

1 month 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0135 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few storms may produce isolated severe wind and hail along the central High Plains on Sunday. ...Central High Plains... A broad upper ridge will be in place on Sunday across most of the central and southern US, with the mid-level westerlies extending across the northern states. Scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected throughout the High Plains from MT to TX, but the area of greatest concern for a few strong/severe storms will extend from the Black Hills region into northeast NM. Strong heating and steep lapse rates will promote some risk of damaging winds and hail in the strongest cells. Parts of western NE may require higher severe probabilities in later outlooks. ..Hart.. 07/04/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 4, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

1 month 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0135 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few storms may produce isolated severe wind and hail along the central High Plains on Sunday. ...Central High Plains... A broad upper ridge will be in place on Sunday across most of the central and southern US, with the mid-level westerlies extending across the northern states. Scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected throughout the High Plains from MT to TX, but the area of greatest concern for a few strong/severe storms will extend from the Black Hills region into northeast NM. Strong heating and steep lapse rates will promote some risk of damaging winds and hail in the strongest cells. Parts of western NE may require higher severe probabilities in later outlooks. ..Hart.. 07/04/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 4, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

1 month 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0135 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few storms may produce isolated severe wind and hail along the central High Plains on Sunday. ...Central High Plains... A broad upper ridge will be in place on Sunday across most of the central and southern US, with the mid-level westerlies extending across the northern states. Scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected throughout the High Plains from MT to TX, but the area of greatest concern for a few strong/severe storms will extend from the Black Hills region into northeast NM. Strong heating and steep lapse rates will promote some risk of damaging winds and hail in the strongest cells. Parts of western NE may require higher severe probabilities in later outlooks. ..Hart.. 07/04/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 4, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

1 month 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0135 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few storms may produce isolated severe wind and hail along the central High Plains on Sunday. ...Central High Plains... A broad upper ridge will be in place on Sunday across most of the central and southern US, with the mid-level westerlies extending across the northern states. Scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected throughout the High Plains from MT to TX, but the area of greatest concern for a few strong/severe storms will extend from the Black Hills region into northeast NM. Strong heating and steep lapse rates will promote some risk of damaging winds and hail in the strongest cells. Parts of western NE may require higher severe probabilities in later outlooks. ..Hart.. 07/04/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 4, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

1 month 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0135 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few storms may produce isolated severe wind and hail along the central High Plains on Sunday. ...Central High Plains... A broad upper ridge will be in place on Sunday across most of the central and southern US, with the mid-level westerlies extending across the northern states. Scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected throughout the High Plains from MT to TX, but the area of greatest concern for a few strong/severe storms will extend from the Black Hills region into northeast NM. Strong heating and steep lapse rates will promote some risk of damaging winds and hail in the strongest cells. Parts of western NE may require higher severe probabilities in later outlooks. ..Hart.. 07/04/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 4, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

1 month 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0135 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few storms may produce isolated severe wind and hail along the central High Plains on Sunday. ...Central High Plains... A broad upper ridge will be in place on Sunday across most of the central and southern US, with the mid-level westerlies extending across the northern states. Scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected throughout the High Plains from MT to TX, but the area of greatest concern for a few strong/severe storms will extend from the Black Hills region into northeast NM. Strong heating and steep lapse rates will promote some risk of damaging winds and hail in the strongest cells. Parts of western NE may require higher severe probabilities in later outlooks. ..Hart.. 07/04/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 4, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

1 month 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0135 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few storms may produce isolated severe wind and hail along the central High Plains on Sunday. ...Central High Plains... A broad upper ridge will be in place on Sunday across most of the central and southern US, with the mid-level westerlies extending across the northern states. Scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected throughout the High Plains from MT to TX, but the area of greatest concern for a few strong/severe storms will extend from the Black Hills region into northeast NM. Strong heating and steep lapse rates will promote some risk of damaging winds and hail in the strongest cells. Parts of western NE may require higher severe probabilities in later outlooks. ..Hart.. 07/04/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 4, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

1 month 3 weeks ago
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0135 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... A few storms may produce isolated severe wind and hail along the central High Plains on Sunday. ...Central High Plains... A broad upper ridge will be in place on Sunday across most of the central and southern US, with the mid-level westerlies extending across the northern states. Scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected throughout the High Plains from MT to TX, but the area of greatest concern for a few strong/severe storms will extend from the Black Hills region into northeast NM. Strong heating and steep lapse rates will promote some risk of damaging winds and hail in the strongest cells. Parts of western NE may require higher severe probabilities in later outlooks. ..Hart.. 07/04/2025 Read more

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

1 month 3 weeks ago
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 041706
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Jul 4 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

South of Southwestern Mexico (EP96):
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, partly
associated with a tropical wave, is centered a few hundred miles
south of southern and southwestern Mexico. Gradual development of
this system is expected during the next few days, and a tropical
depression is likely to form late this weekend or early next week
while it moves generally west-northwestward well off the coast of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Beven
NHC Webmaster