SPC Jul 7, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 month 2 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0756 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 070100Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and large hail will continue tonight across the Plains, especially across eastern Colorado and western parts of Nebraska and Kansas into Oklahoma. ...Discussion... Primary severe risk for the remainder of the night will be focused across the Great Plains, and the central High Plains in particular. Severe potential will continue to nocturnally wane across the Midwest, Maine, and across North Carolina in association with Tropical Depression Chantal. This evening, scattered severe storms including some supercells will persist in areas spanning near the Black Hills southward into the Nebraska Panhandle, eastern Colorado, and western Kansas. One or more semi-organized generally southeastward-moving clusters may eventually evolve within/across the instability axis across far eastern Colorado/western Kansas with an increased severe-wind potential aside from a continued episodic large hail risk. This scenario will be supported by a modestly increasing southerly low-level jet. Damaging winds and some hail will also continue to be a concern across northern Oklahoma with a couple of ongoing clusters, at least for a few hours this evening. ..Guyer.. 07/07/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 7, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 month 2 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0756 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 070100Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and large hail will continue tonight across the Plains, especially across eastern Colorado and western parts of Nebraska and Kansas into Oklahoma. ...Discussion... Primary severe risk for the remainder of the night will be focused across the Great Plains, and the central High Plains in particular. Severe potential will continue to nocturnally wane across the Midwest, Maine, and across North Carolina in association with Tropical Depression Chantal. This evening, scattered severe storms including some supercells will persist in areas spanning near the Black Hills southward into the Nebraska Panhandle, eastern Colorado, and western Kansas. One or more semi-organized generally southeastward-moving clusters may eventually evolve within/across the instability axis across far eastern Colorado/western Kansas with an increased severe-wind potential aside from a continued episodic large hail risk. This scenario will be supported by a modestly increasing southerly low-level jet. Damaging winds and some hail will also continue to be a concern across northern Oklahoma with a couple of ongoing clusters, at least for a few hours this evening. ..Guyer.. 07/07/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 7, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 month 2 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0756 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 070100Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and large hail will continue tonight across the Plains, especially across eastern Colorado and western parts of Nebraska and Kansas into Oklahoma. ...Discussion... Primary severe risk for the remainder of the night will be focused across the Great Plains, and the central High Plains in particular. Severe potential will continue to nocturnally wane across the Midwest, Maine, and across North Carolina in association with Tropical Depression Chantal. This evening, scattered severe storms including some supercells will persist in areas spanning near the Black Hills southward into the Nebraska Panhandle, eastern Colorado, and western Kansas. One or more semi-organized generally southeastward-moving clusters may eventually evolve within/across the instability axis across far eastern Colorado/western Kansas with an increased severe-wind potential aside from a continued episodic large hail risk. This scenario will be supported by a modestly increasing southerly low-level jet. Damaging winds and some hail will also continue to be a concern across northern Oklahoma with a couple of ongoing clusters, at least for a few hours this evening. ..Guyer.. 07/07/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 7, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 month 2 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0756 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 070100Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and large hail will continue tonight across the Plains, especially across eastern Colorado and western parts of Nebraska and Kansas into Oklahoma. ...Discussion... Primary severe risk for the remainder of the night will be focused across the Great Plains, and the central High Plains in particular. Severe potential will continue to nocturnally wane across the Midwest, Maine, and across North Carolina in association with Tropical Depression Chantal. This evening, scattered severe storms including some supercells will persist in areas spanning near the Black Hills southward into the Nebraska Panhandle, eastern Colorado, and western Kansas. One or more semi-organized generally southeastward-moving clusters may eventually evolve within/across the instability axis across far eastern Colorado/western Kansas with an increased severe-wind potential aside from a continued episodic large hail risk. This scenario will be supported by a modestly increasing southerly low-level jet. Damaging winds and some hail will also continue to be a concern across northern Oklahoma with a couple of ongoing clusters, at least for a few hours this evening. ..Guyer.. 07/07/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 7, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 month 2 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0756 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 070100Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and large hail will continue tonight across the Plains, especially across eastern Colorado and western parts of Nebraska and Kansas into Oklahoma. ...Discussion... Primary severe risk for the remainder of the night will be focused across the Great Plains, and the central High Plains in particular. Severe potential will continue to nocturnally wane across the Midwest, Maine, and across North Carolina in association with Tropical Depression Chantal. This evening, scattered severe storms including some supercells will persist in areas spanning near the Black Hills southward into the Nebraska Panhandle, eastern Colorado, and western Kansas. One or more semi-organized generally southeastward-moving clusters may eventually evolve within/across the instability axis across far eastern Colorado/western Kansas with an increased severe-wind potential aside from a continued episodic large hail risk. This scenario will be supported by a modestly increasing southerly low-level jet. Damaging winds and some hail will also continue to be a concern across northern Oklahoma with a couple of ongoing clusters, at least for a few hours this evening. ..Guyer.. 07/07/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 7, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 month 2 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0756 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 070100Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and large hail will continue tonight across the Plains, especially across eastern Colorado and western parts of Nebraska and Kansas into Oklahoma. ...Discussion... Primary severe risk for the remainder of the night will be focused across the Great Plains, and the central High Plains in particular. Severe potential will continue to nocturnally wane across the Midwest, Maine, and across North Carolina in association with Tropical Depression Chantal. This evening, scattered severe storms including some supercells will persist in areas spanning near the Black Hills southward into the Nebraska Panhandle, eastern Colorado, and western Kansas. One or more semi-organized generally southeastward-moving clusters may eventually evolve within/across the instability axis across far eastern Colorado/western Kansas with an increased severe-wind potential aside from a continued episodic large hail risk. This scenario will be supported by a modestly increasing southerly low-level jet. Damaging winds and some hail will also continue to be a concern across northern Oklahoma with a couple of ongoing clusters, at least for a few hours this evening. ..Guyer.. 07/07/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 7, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 month 2 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0756 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 070100Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and large hail will continue tonight across the Plains, especially across eastern Colorado and western parts of Nebraska and Kansas into Oklahoma. ...Discussion... Primary severe risk for the remainder of the night will be focused across the Great Plains, and the central High Plains in particular. Severe potential will continue to nocturnally wane across the Midwest, Maine, and across North Carolina in association with Tropical Depression Chantal. This evening, scattered severe storms including some supercells will persist in areas spanning near the Black Hills southward into the Nebraska Panhandle, eastern Colorado, and western Kansas. One or more semi-organized generally southeastward-moving clusters may eventually evolve within/across the instability axis across far eastern Colorado/western Kansas with an increased severe-wind potential aside from a continued episodic large hail risk. This scenario will be supported by a modestly increasing southerly low-level jet. Damaging winds and some hail will also continue to be a concern across northern Oklahoma with a couple of ongoing clusters, at least for a few hours this evening. ..Guyer.. 07/07/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 7, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 month 2 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0756 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 070100Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and large hail will continue tonight across the Plains, especially across eastern Colorado and western parts of Nebraska and Kansas into Oklahoma. ...Discussion... Primary severe risk for the remainder of the night will be focused across the Great Plains, and the central High Plains in particular. Severe potential will continue to nocturnally wane across the Midwest, Maine, and across North Carolina in association with Tropical Depression Chantal. This evening, scattered severe storms including some supercells will persist in areas spanning near the Black Hills southward into the Nebraska Panhandle, eastern Colorado, and western Kansas. One or more semi-organized generally southeastward-moving clusters may eventually evolve within/across the instability axis across far eastern Colorado/western Kansas with an increased severe-wind potential aside from a continued episodic large hail risk. This scenario will be supported by a modestly increasing southerly low-level jet. Damaging winds and some hail will also continue to be a concern across northern Oklahoma with a couple of ongoing clusters, at least for a few hours this evening. ..Guyer.. 07/07/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 7, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 month 2 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0756 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 070100Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and large hail will continue tonight across the Plains, especially across eastern Colorado and western parts of Nebraska and Kansas into Oklahoma. ...Discussion... Primary severe risk for the remainder of the night will be focused across the Great Plains, and the central High Plains in particular. Severe potential will continue to nocturnally wane across the Midwest, Maine, and across North Carolina in association with Tropical Depression Chantal. This evening, scattered severe storms including some supercells will persist in areas spanning near the Black Hills southward into the Nebraska Panhandle, eastern Colorado, and western Kansas. One or more semi-organized generally southeastward-moving clusters may eventually evolve within/across the instability axis across far eastern Colorado/western Kansas with an increased severe-wind potential aside from a continued episodic large hail risk. This scenario will be supported by a modestly increasing southerly low-level jet. Damaging winds and some hail will also continue to be a concern across northern Oklahoma with a couple of ongoing clusters, at least for a few hours this evening. ..Guyer.. 07/07/2025 Read more

SPC Jul 7, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

1 month 2 weeks ago
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0756 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Valid 070100Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered storms capable of producing severe wind gusts and large hail will continue tonight across the Plains, especially across eastern Colorado and western parts of Nebraska and Kansas into Oklahoma. ...Discussion... Primary severe risk for the remainder of the night will be focused across the Great Plains, and the central High Plains in particular. Severe potential will continue to nocturnally wane across the Midwest, Maine, and across North Carolina in association with Tropical Depression Chantal. This evening, scattered severe storms including some supercells will persist in areas spanning near the Black Hills southward into the Nebraska Panhandle, eastern Colorado, and western Kansas. One or more semi-organized generally southeastward-moving clusters may eventually evolve within/across the instability axis across far eastern Colorado/western Kansas with an increased severe-wind potential aside from a continued episodic large hail risk. This scenario will be supported by a modestly increasing southerly low-level jet. Damaging winds and some hail will also continue to be a concern across northern Oklahoma with a couple of ongoing clusters, at least for a few hours this evening. ..Guyer.. 07/07/2025 Read more

SPC MD 1585

1 month 2 weeks ago
MD 1585 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 489... FOR PARTS OF EAST-CENTRAL COLORADO
Mesoscale Discussion 1585 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0654 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Areas affected...Parts of east-central Colorado Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489... Valid 062354Z - 070100Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489 continues. SUMMARY...Large hail and severe wind gusts remain possible along and east of the I-35 corridor in Colorado -- within Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489. A local southward extension of the watch may be warranted. DISCUSSION...A couple organized clusters/supercells are tracking slowly southeastward along and east of the I-35 corridor in CO, with a recent report of 2-inch hail. VWP and mesoanalysis data show a long/straight hodograph (around 40 kt of effective shear), which combined with steep deep-layer lapse rates, should support the maintenance of these storms with southeastward extent. Large hail and severe wind gusts are the primary concerns. It is possible that the southern supercell tracks south-southeastward out of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489, and a local extension of the watch may be warranted here. ..Weinman.. 07/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU... LAT...LON 38460497 38860498 39220467 39490406 39490359 39300316 38920299 38520308 38190360 38110419 38180468 38460497 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 490 Status Reports

1 month 2 weeks ago
WW 0490 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 490 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1585 ..WEINMAN..07/07/25 ATTN...WFO...GLD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 490 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC023-039-063-065-109-137-153-179-181-193-199-070140- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE DECATUR GOVE GRAHAM LOGAN NORTON RAWLINS SHERIDAN SHERMAN THOMAS WALLACE NEC057-087-145-070140- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DUNDY HITCHCOCK RED WILLOW THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489 Status Reports

1 month 2 weeks ago
WW 0489 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE LHX TO 25 SSE AKO TO 45 ESE AKO. ..SPC..07/07/25 ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...CYS...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC011-017-025-061-063-089-099-101-125-070340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY KIOWA KIT CARSON OTERO PROWERS PUEBLO YUMA NEC069-161-070340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GARDEN SHERIDAN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489 Status Reports

1 month 2 weeks ago
WW 0489 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE LHX TO 25 SSE AKO TO 45 ESE AKO. ..SPC..07/07/25 ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...CYS...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC011-017-025-061-063-089-099-101-125-070340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY KIOWA KIT CARSON OTERO PROWERS PUEBLO YUMA NEC069-161-070340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GARDEN SHERIDAN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489 Status Reports

1 month 2 weeks ago
WW 0489 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE LHX TO 25 SSE AKO TO 45 ESE AKO. ..SPC..07/07/25 ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...CYS...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC011-017-025-061-063-089-099-101-125-070340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY KIOWA KIT CARSON OTERO PROWERS PUEBLO YUMA NEC069-161-070340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GARDEN SHERIDAN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489 Status Reports

1 month 2 weeks ago
WW 0489 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW DEN TO 35 NNW AKO TO 10 ENE BFF TO 35 NW TOR. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1585 ..WEINMAN..07/07/25 ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...CYS...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC001-005-017-039-041-061-063-073-075-087-095-115-121-125- 070140- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ARAPAHOE CHEYENNE ELBERT EL PASO KIOWA KIT CARSON LINCOLN LOGAN MORGAN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK WASHINGTON YUMA NEC013-033-045-049-069-123-165-070140- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOX BUTTE CHEYENNE DAWES DEUEL GARDEN MORRILL SIOUX Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489 Status Reports

1 month 2 weeks ago
WW 0489 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW DEN TO 35 NNW AKO TO 10 ENE BFF TO 35 NW TOR. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1585 ..WEINMAN..07/07/25 ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...CYS...LBF... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 489 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC001-005-017-039-041-061-063-073-075-087-095-115-121-125- 070140- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ARAPAHOE CHEYENNE ELBERT EL PASO KIOWA KIT CARSON LINCOLN LOGAN MORGAN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK WASHINGTON YUMA NEC013-033-045-049-069-123-165-070140- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOX BUTTE CHEYENNE DAWES DEUEL GARDEN MORRILL SIOUX Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489

1 month 2 weeks ago
WW 489 SEVERE TSTM CO NE WY 061920Z - 070200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 489 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 120 PM MDT Sun Jul 6 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northeast Colorado Nebraska Panhandle Southeast Wyoming * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 120 PM until 800 PM MDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph likely Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will intensify through the afternoon off the foothills of northeast Colorado and southeast Wyoming. A few severe storms are expected, capable of large hail and damaging wind gusts through the early evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles east northeast of Torrington WY to 50 miles south southeast of Limon CO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27030. ...Hart Read more

SPC MD 1584

1 month 2 weeks ago
MD 1584 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 489...490... FOR NORTHEAST COLORADO...NORTHWEST KS...AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA
Mesoscale Discussion 1584 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0603 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Areas affected...Northeast Colorado...northwest KS...and southwest Nebraska Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489...490... Valid 062303Z - 070030Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489, 490 continues. SUMMARY...A focused/favorable corridor for large hail and severe wind gusts is evident over the central High Plains for the next few hours -- within Severe Thunderstorm Watches 489/490. DISCUSSION...An intense, nearly stationary supercell has evolved out of a cluster of storms over far northeastern CO. Farther west, a separate cluster of storms is showing signs of upscale growth. To the southeast of this activity, a gradually stalling outflow boundary is arcing northwestward from northwest KS into northeastern CO. This outflow boundary may provide a focused mesoscale corridor for the maintenance of the supercell (and additional nearby convection) with southeastward extent into this evening. Along this corridor, around 40 kt of effective shear (locally boosted/enhanced along the boundary) and moderate surface-based instability will favor large to very large hail (some 2+ inches in diameter) and severe wind gusts with any established supercells/clusters. Some upscale growth may also occur with time, as the western cluster may have a tendency of merging with the downstream storms/supercells -- posing an increasing risk of severe-wind gusts into this evening. ..Weinman.. 07/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...BOU...CYS... LAT...LON 39890262 40070379 40310432 40510443 41030408 41510398 41740355 41700294 41480238 40730187 39900146 39630170 39610203 39710228 39890262 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more

SPC MD 1585

1 month 2 weeks ago
MD 1585 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 489... FOR PARTS OF EAST-CENTRAL COLORADO
Mesoscale Discussion 1585 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0654 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Areas affected...Parts of east-central Colorado Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489... Valid 062354Z - 070100Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489 continues. SUMMARY...Large hail and severe wind gusts remain possible along and east of the I-35 corridor in Colorado -- within Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489. A local southward extension of the watch may be warranted. DISCUSSION...A couple organized clusters/supercells are tracking slowly southeastward along and east of the I-35 corridor in CO, with a recent report of 2-inch hail. VWP and mesoanalysis data show a long/straight hodograph (around 40 kt of effective shear), which combined with steep deep-layer lapse rates, should support the maintenance of these storms with southeastward extent. Large hail and severe wind gusts are the primary concerns. It is possible that the southern supercell tracks south-southeastward out of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489, and a local extension of the watch may be warranted here. ..Weinman.. 07/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU... LAT...LON 38460497 38860498 39220467 39490406 39490359 39300316 38920299 38520308 38190360 38110419 38180468 38460497 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN Read more