Aggregator

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0440 PM CDT Tue Apr 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A upper-level low will propagate eastward across southern Arizona/southern New Mexico and into the central and southern Plains on D1-Tuesday, bringing potential for widespread wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures. The expected precipitation will help to moisten fuels and reduce fire weather concerns across portions of the southern Plains through the middle of the period. For D3 - D4 Thursday to Friday, high pressure will build across the Great Plains, keeping winds low where fuels remain dry. Late in the period D5 - D6 Saturday to Sunday, another western trough is projected to begin spreading enhanced westerly flow across the southwest into the Rockies, which may bring additional periods of fire weather concerns to the central/southern Plains as well as some drying of fuels across portions of the Desert Southwest. Uncertainty on status of fuels after widespread rainfall leads to low confidence in including areas at this time. Low level moisture will stream northward into the southern Plains on D7 - Sunday ahead of a western trough. Potential for strong lee cyclone development and another period of potential for fire weather concerns. ..Thornton.. 04/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0440 PM CDT Tue Apr 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A upper-level low will propagate eastward across southern Arizona/southern New Mexico and into the central and southern Plains on D1-Tuesday, bringing potential for widespread wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures. The expected precipitation will help to moisten fuels and reduce fire weather concerns across portions of the southern Plains through the middle of the period. For D3 - D4 Thursday to Friday, high pressure will build across the Great Plains, keeping winds low where fuels remain dry. Late in the period D5 - D6 Saturday to Sunday, another western trough is projected to begin spreading enhanced westerly flow across the southwest into the Rockies, which may bring additional periods of fire weather concerns to the central/southern Plains as well as some drying of fuels across portions of the Desert Southwest. Uncertainty on status of fuels after widespread rainfall leads to low confidence in including areas at this time. Low level moisture will stream northward into the southern Plains on D7 - Sunday ahead of a western trough. Potential for strong lee cyclone development and another period of potential for fire weather concerns. ..Thornton.. 04/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0440 PM CDT Tue Apr 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A upper-level low will propagate eastward across southern Arizona/southern New Mexico and into the central and southern Plains on D1-Tuesday, bringing potential for widespread wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures. The expected precipitation will help to moisten fuels and reduce fire weather concerns across portions of the southern Plains through the middle of the period. For D3 - D4 Thursday to Friday, high pressure will build across the Great Plains, keeping winds low where fuels remain dry. Late in the period D5 - D6 Saturday to Sunday, another western trough is projected to begin spreading enhanced westerly flow across the southwest into the Rockies, which may bring additional periods of fire weather concerns to the central/southern Plains as well as some drying of fuels across portions of the Desert Southwest. Uncertainty on status of fuels after widespread rainfall leads to low confidence in including areas at this time. Low level moisture will stream northward into the southern Plains on D7 - Sunday ahead of a western trough. Potential for strong lee cyclone development and another period of potential for fire weather concerns. ..Thornton.. 04/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0440 PM CDT Tue Apr 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A upper-level low will propagate eastward across southern Arizona/southern New Mexico and into the central and southern Plains on D1-Tuesday, bringing potential for widespread wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures. The expected precipitation will help to moisten fuels and reduce fire weather concerns across portions of the southern Plains through the middle of the period. For D3 - D4 Thursday to Friday, high pressure will build across the Great Plains, keeping winds low where fuels remain dry. Late in the period D5 - D6 Saturday to Sunday, another western trough is projected to begin spreading enhanced westerly flow across the southwest into the Rockies, which may bring additional periods of fire weather concerns to the central/southern Plains as well as some drying of fuels across portions of the Desert Southwest. Uncertainty on status of fuels after widespread rainfall leads to low confidence in including areas at this time. Low level moisture will stream northward into the southern Plains on D7 - Sunday ahead of a western trough. Potential for strong lee cyclone development and another period of potential for fire weather concerns. ..Thornton.. 04/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0440 PM CDT Tue Apr 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A upper-level low will propagate eastward across southern Arizona/southern New Mexico and into the central and southern Plains on D1-Tuesday, bringing potential for widespread wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures. The expected precipitation will help to moisten fuels and reduce fire weather concerns across portions of the southern Plains through the middle of the period. For D3 - D4 Thursday to Friday, high pressure will build across the Great Plains, keeping winds low where fuels remain dry. Late in the period D5 - D6 Saturday to Sunday, another western trough is projected to begin spreading enhanced westerly flow across the southwest into the Rockies, which may bring additional periods of fire weather concerns to the central/southern Plains as well as some drying of fuels across portions of the Desert Southwest. Uncertainty on status of fuels after widespread rainfall leads to low confidence in including areas at this time. Low level moisture will stream northward into the southern Plains on D7 - Sunday ahead of a western trough. Potential for strong lee cyclone development and another period of potential for fire weather concerns. ..Thornton.. 04/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0440 PM CDT Tue Apr 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A upper-level low will propagate eastward across southern Arizona/southern New Mexico and into the central and southern Plains on D1-Tuesday, bringing potential for widespread wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures. The expected precipitation will help to moisten fuels and reduce fire weather concerns across portions of the southern Plains through the middle of the period. For D3 - D4 Thursday to Friday, high pressure will build across the Great Plains, keeping winds low where fuels remain dry. Late in the period D5 - D6 Saturday to Sunday, another western trough is projected to begin spreading enhanced westerly flow across the southwest into the Rockies, which may bring additional periods of fire weather concerns to the central/southern Plains as well as some drying of fuels across portions of the Desert Southwest. Uncertainty on status of fuels after widespread rainfall leads to low confidence in including areas at this time. Low level moisture will stream northward into the southern Plains on D7 - Sunday ahead of a western trough. Potential for strong lee cyclone development and another period of potential for fire weather concerns. ..Thornton.. 04/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0440 PM CDT Tue Apr 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A upper-level low will propagate eastward across southern Arizona/southern New Mexico and into the central and southern Plains on D1-Tuesday, bringing potential for widespread wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures. The expected precipitation will help to moisten fuels and reduce fire weather concerns across portions of the southern Plains through the middle of the period. For D3 - D4 Thursday to Friday, high pressure will build across the Great Plains, keeping winds low where fuels remain dry. Late in the period D5 - D6 Saturday to Sunday, another western trough is projected to begin spreading enhanced westerly flow across the southwest into the Rockies, which may bring additional periods of fire weather concerns to the central/southern Plains as well as some drying of fuels across portions of the Desert Southwest. Uncertainty on status of fuels after widespread rainfall leads to low confidence in including areas at this time. Low level moisture will stream northward into the southern Plains on D7 - Sunday ahead of a western trough. Potential for strong lee cyclone development and another period of potential for fire weather concerns. ..Thornton.. 04/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0440 PM CDT Tue Apr 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A upper-level low will propagate eastward across southern Arizona/southern New Mexico and into the central and southern Plains on D1-Tuesday, bringing potential for widespread wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures. The expected precipitation will help to moisten fuels and reduce fire weather concerns across portions of the southern Plains through the middle of the period. For D3 - D4 Thursday to Friday, high pressure will build across the Great Plains, keeping winds low where fuels remain dry. Late in the period D5 - D6 Saturday to Sunday, another western trough is projected to begin spreading enhanced westerly flow across the southwest into the Rockies, which may bring additional periods of fire weather concerns to the central/southern Plains as well as some drying of fuels across portions of the Desert Southwest. Uncertainty on status of fuels after widespread rainfall leads to low confidence in including areas at this time. Low level moisture will stream northward into the southern Plains on D7 - Sunday ahead of a western trough. Potential for strong lee cyclone development and another period of potential for fire weather concerns. ..Thornton.. 04/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0440 PM CDT Tue Apr 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A upper-level low will propagate eastward across southern Arizona/southern New Mexico and into the central and southern Plains on D1-Tuesday, bringing potential for widespread wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures. The expected precipitation will help to moisten fuels and reduce fire weather concerns across portions of the southern Plains through the middle of the period. For D3 - D4 Thursday to Friday, high pressure will build across the Great Plains, keeping winds low where fuels remain dry. Late in the period D5 - D6 Saturday to Sunday, another western trough is projected to begin spreading enhanced westerly flow across the southwest into the Rockies, which may bring additional periods of fire weather concerns to the central/southern Plains as well as some drying of fuels across portions of the Desert Southwest. Uncertainty on status of fuels after widespread rainfall leads to low confidence in including areas at this time. Low level moisture will stream northward into the southern Plains on D7 - Sunday ahead of a western trough. Potential for strong lee cyclone development and another period of potential for fire weather concerns. ..Thornton.. 04/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0440 PM CDT Tue Apr 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A upper-level low will propagate eastward across southern Arizona/southern New Mexico and into the central and southern Plains on D1-Tuesday, bringing potential for widespread wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures. The expected precipitation will help to moisten fuels and reduce fire weather concerns across portions of the southern Plains through the middle of the period. For D3 - D4 Thursday to Friday, high pressure will build across the Great Plains, keeping winds low where fuels remain dry. Late in the period D5 - D6 Saturday to Sunday, another western trough is projected to begin spreading enhanced westerly flow across the southwest into the Rockies, which may bring additional periods of fire weather concerns to the central/southern Plains as well as some drying of fuels across portions of the Desert Southwest. Uncertainty on status of fuels after widespread rainfall leads to low confidence in including areas at this time. Low level moisture will stream northward into the southern Plains on D7 - Sunday ahead of a western trough. Potential for strong lee cyclone development and another period of potential for fire weather concerns. ..Thornton.. 04/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0440 PM CDT Tue Apr 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A upper-level low will propagate eastward across southern Arizona/southern New Mexico and into the central and southern Plains on D1-Tuesday, bringing potential for widespread wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures. The expected precipitation will help to moisten fuels and reduce fire weather concerns across portions of the southern Plains through the middle of the period. For D3 - D4 Thursday to Friday, high pressure will build across the Great Plains, keeping winds low where fuels remain dry. Late in the period D5 - D6 Saturday to Sunday, another western trough is projected to begin spreading enhanced westerly flow across the southwest into the Rockies, which may bring additional periods of fire weather concerns to the central/southern Plains as well as some drying of fuels across portions of the Desert Southwest. Uncertainty on status of fuels after widespread rainfall leads to low confidence in including areas at this time. Low level moisture will stream northward into the southern Plains on D7 - Sunday ahead of a western trough. Potential for strong lee cyclone development and another period of potential for fire weather concerns. ..Thornton.. 04/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0440 PM CDT Tue Apr 09 2024 Valid 111200Z - 171200Z A upper-level low will propagate eastward across southern Arizona/southern New Mexico and into the central and southern Plains on D1-Tuesday, bringing potential for widespread wetting rainfall and cooler temperatures. The expected precipitation will help to moisten fuels and reduce fire weather concerns across portions of the southern Plains through the middle of the period. For D3 - D4 Thursday to Friday, high pressure will build across the Great Plains, keeping winds low where fuels remain dry. Late in the period D5 - D6 Saturday to Sunday, another western trough is projected to begin spreading enhanced westerly flow across the southwest into the Rockies, which may bring additional periods of fire weather concerns to the central/southern Plains as well as some drying of fuels across portions of the Desert Southwest. Uncertainty on status of fuels after widespread rainfall leads to low confidence in including areas at this time. Low level moisture will stream northward into the southern Plains on D7 - Sunday ahead of a western trough. Potential for strong lee cyclone development and another period of potential for fire weather concerns. ..Thornton.. 04/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

MD 0399 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 95... FOR PORTIONS OF FAR EAST TX INTO WESTERN/NORTHERN LA
Mesoscale Discussion 0399 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0350 PM CDT Tue Apr 09 2024 Areas affected...Portions of far east TX into western/northern LA Concerning...Tornado Watch 95... Valid 092050Z - 092215Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 95 continues. SUMMARY...Severe/damaging wind potential may increase in the short term with a small bow moving eastward across parts of western/northern Louisiana. Significant severe winds up to around 75 mph appear possible. DISCUSSION...A small bowing complex continues to organize across far east TX into far western LA. Even with cloud cover remaining prevalent downstream into northern LA, gradual airmass destabilization is occurring along and north of a surface boundary. Around 500-1000 J/kg of MLCAPE will likely be sufficient to maintain current thunderstorm intensities, and strong deep-layer shear will be more than enough for continued convective organization with the bow. Recent Warn on Forecast (WoF) output shows increasing potential (greater than 50% chance) for severe-caliber winds of 50 kt or greater with this bow as it spreads eastward across parts of northern LA over the next couple of hours. Some chance for significant severe winds up to around 75 mph also appears possible. With ample 0-1 km shear present, and low-level winds backed to easterly along/near the surface boundary, a tornado threat will also exist. The best chance for a tornado will probably remain focused with embedded circulations within the bow, and along the surface boundary. ..Gleason.. 04/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SHV... LAT...LON 32249446 32599442 32749359 32719218 32269206 31609214 31479318 31269441 31749433 32249446 Read more

WW 0095 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 95 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE LFK TO 20 S SHV TO 25 N SHV. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0399 ..WEINMAN..04/09/24 ATTN...WFO...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 95 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC013-015-017-021-027-031-043-049-059-061-069-073-081-085-111- 119-127-092240- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO CALDWELL CLAIBORNE DE SOTO GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE LINCOLN NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RED RIVER SABINE UNION WEBSTER WINN TXC005-403-405-092240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANGELINA SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

WW 0096 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0096 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET Read more

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Tue Apr 9 20:38:03 UTC 2024.

WW 0095 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 95 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S TYR TO 30 SSE GGG TO 40 NNE GGG. ..WEINMAN..04/09/24 ATTN...WFO...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 95 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC013-015-017-021-027-031-043-049-059-061-069-073-081-085-111- 119-127-092140- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO CALDWELL CLAIBORNE DE SOTO GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE LINCOLN NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RED RIVER SABINE UNION WEBSTER WINN TXC005-073-203-347-365-403-405-419-092140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANGELINA CHEROKEE HARRISON NACOGDOCHES PANOLA SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE Read more

WW 0094 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 94 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE DAL TO 40 SSE CRS TO 35 N LFK. ..WEINMAN..04/09/24 ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 94 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC021-027-031-041-051-053-055-091-099-145-161-187-209-225-281- 287-289-293-309-313-331-349-395-453-491-092140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BASTROP BELL BLANCO BRAZOS BURLESON BURNET CALDWELL COMAL CORYELL FALLS FREESTONE GUADALUPE HAYS HOUSTON LAMPASAS LEE LEON LIMESTONE MCLENNAN MADISON MILAM NAVARRO ROBERTSON TRAVIS WILLIAMSON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0094 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 94 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE DAL TO 40 SSE CRS TO 35 N LFK. ..WEINMAN..04/09/24 ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 94 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC021-027-031-041-051-053-055-091-099-145-161-187-209-225-281- 287-289-293-309-313-331-349-395-453-491-092140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BASTROP BELL BLANCO BRAZOS BURLESON BURNET CALDWELL COMAL CORYELL FALLS FREESTONE GUADALUPE HAYS HOUSTON LAMPASAS LEE LEON LIMESTONE MCLENNAN MADISON MILAM NAVARRO ROBERTSON TRAVIS WILLIAMSON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0094 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 94 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE DAL TO 40 SSE CRS TO 35 N LFK. ..WEINMAN..04/09/24 ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 94 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC021-027-031-041-051-053-055-091-099-145-161-187-209-225-281- 287-289-293-309-313-331-349-395-453-491-092140- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BASTROP BELL BLANCO BRAZOS BURLESON BURNET CALDWELL COMAL CORYELL FALLS FREESTONE GUADALUPE HAYS HOUSTON LAMPASAS LEE LEON LIMESTONE MCLENNAN MADISON MILAM NAVARRO ROBERTSON TRAVIS WILLIAMSON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more