SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)

1 year 4 months ago
Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0356 AM CDT WED APR 10 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Central Gulf Coast States today... * LOCATIONS... Southern Mississippi Eastern and Southeastern Louisiana Southern Alabama Florida Panhandle * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force Several tornadoes, a few intense Isolated large hail * SUMMARY... Widespread severe thunderstorms are forecast across parts of the central Gulf Coast States. The potential will exist for several tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+), and widespread damaging winds, some of which may exceed 75 mph. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A watch means that conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms over the next several hours. If a severe thunderstorm warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. && ..Mosier.. 04/10/2024 Read more

SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)

1 year 4 months ago
Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0356 AM CDT WED APR 10 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Central Gulf Coast States today... * LOCATIONS... Southern Mississippi Eastern and Southeastern Louisiana Southern Alabama Florida Panhandle * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force Several tornadoes, a few intense Isolated large hail * SUMMARY... Widespread severe thunderstorms are forecast across parts of the central Gulf Coast States. The potential will exist for several tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+), and widespread damaging winds, some of which may exceed 75 mph. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A watch means that conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms over the next several hours. If a severe thunderstorm warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. && ..Mosier.. 04/10/2024 Read more

SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)

1 year 4 months ago
Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0356 AM CDT WED APR 10 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Central Gulf Coast States today... * LOCATIONS... Southern Mississippi Eastern and Southeastern Louisiana Southern Alabama Florida Panhandle * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force Several tornadoes, a few intense Isolated large hail * SUMMARY... Widespread severe thunderstorms are forecast across parts of the central Gulf Coast States. The potential will exist for several tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+), and widespread damaging winds, some of which may exceed 75 mph. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A watch means that conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms over the next several hours. If a severe thunderstorm warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. && ..Mosier.. 04/10/2024 Read more

SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)

1 year 4 months ago
Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0356 AM CDT WED APR 10 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Central Gulf Coast States today... * LOCATIONS... Southern Mississippi Eastern and Southeastern Louisiana Southern Alabama Florida Panhandle * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force Several tornadoes, a few intense Isolated large hail * SUMMARY... Widespread severe thunderstorms are forecast across parts of the central Gulf Coast States. The potential will exist for several tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+), and widespread damaging winds, some of which may exceed 75 mph. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A watch means that conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms over the next several hours. If a severe thunderstorm warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. && ..Mosier.. 04/10/2024 Read more

SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)

1 year 4 months ago
Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0356 AM CDT WED APR 10 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Central Gulf Coast States today... * LOCATIONS... Southern Mississippi Eastern and Southeastern Louisiana Southern Alabama Florida Panhandle * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force Several tornadoes, a few intense Isolated large hail * SUMMARY... Widespread severe thunderstorms are forecast across parts of the central Gulf Coast States. The potential will exist for several tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+), and widespread damaging winds, some of which may exceed 75 mph. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A watch means that conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms over the next several hours. If a severe thunderstorm warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. && ..Mosier.. 04/10/2024 Read more

SPC Center Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO)

1 year 4 months ago
Public Severe Weather Outlook
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0356 AM CDT WED APR 10 2024 ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the Central Gulf Coast States today... * LOCATIONS... Southern Mississippi Eastern and Southeastern Louisiana Southern Alabama Florida Panhandle * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force Several tornadoes, a few intense Isolated large hail * SUMMARY... Widespread severe thunderstorms are forecast across parts of the central Gulf Coast States. The potential will exist for several tornadoes, a few of which may be strong (EF2+), and widespread damaging winds, some of which may exceed 75 mph. Preparedness actions... Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A watch means that conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms over the next several hours. If a severe thunderstorm warning is issued for your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. && ..Mosier.. 04/10/2024 Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 100 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0100 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 97 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..WEINMAN..04/09/24 ATTN...WFO...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 97 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC025-029-035-041-065-067-083-107-123-100040- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN MADISON MOREHOUSE RICHLAND TENSAS WEST CARROLL THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 100 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0100 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 97 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..WEINMAN..04/09/24 ATTN...WFO...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 97 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC025-029-035-041-065-067-083-107-123-100040- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN MADISON MOREHOUSE RICHLAND TENSAS WEST CARROLL THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 100 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0100 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 97 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..WEINMAN..04/09/24 ATTN...WFO...JAN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 97 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC025-029-035-041-065-067-083-107-123-100040- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN MADISON MOREHOUSE RICHLAND TENSAS WEST CARROLL THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC MD 408

1 year 4 months ago
MD 0408 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 98...99... FOR MIDDLE TX COASTAL PLAIN INTO SOUTHEAST TX
Mesoscale Discussion 0408 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Areas affected...Middle TX Coastal Plain into Southeast TX Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 98...99... Valid 100658Z - 100830Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 98, 99 continues. SUMMARY...Threat for damaging wind gusts continues from the Middle TX Coastal Plain into Southeast TX. An increase in the damaging wind gust potential is anticipated across southeast TX over the next few hours. DISCUSSION...Recent regional radar imagery depicts a convective line extending from Fayette County in the middle TX coastal plain south-southwestward into Brooks County in deep south TX. Updrafts within the northern portion of this line have remain relatively strong over the past hour or so. Some sharpening of the reflectivity gradient has also been noted within this portion of the line as well. The downstream airmass across southeast TX is characterized by steep mid-level lapse rates (noted in the 04Z CRP sounding) and strong buoyancy (i.e. MLCAPE over 2000 J/kg in latest mesoanalysis). Moderate vertical shear exist across the region as well, with the HGX VAD recently sampling 51 kt of 0-6 km bulk shear. This combination of buoyancy and shear should be more than sufficient for maintenance of the ongoing line, with a continued threat for damaging wind gusts and/or large hail. There is also the potential for more organization within this line as the primary shortwave currently over the southern continues to progress eastward, contributing to increase large-scale forcing for ascent. Additionally, an outflow boundary from early convection stretches across the region, evidenced by wind shift from southerly across the upper TX Coast to more northerly/northeasterly farther north. This boundary could act as a corridor of greater severe potential, particularly for damaging gusts, as it provides additional mesoscale ascent. ..Mosier.. 04/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX... LAT...LON 28519740 29229742 29819717 30239635 30029495 29109488 28499608 28369682 28519740 Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 99 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0099 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 99 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0408 ..MOSIER..04/10/24 ATTN...WFO...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 99 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC015-039-071-089-157-167-201-239-291-321-339-373-407-471-473- 481-100840- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUSTIN BRAZORIA CHAMBERS COLORADO FORT BEND GALVESTON HARRIS JACKSON LIBERTY MATAGORDA MONTGOMERY POLK SAN JACINTO WALKER WALLER WHARTON GMZ330-335-350-355-100840- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE MATAGORDA BAY GALVESTON BAY Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 99 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0099 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 99 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0408 ..MOSIER..04/10/24 ATTN...WFO...HGX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 99 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC015-039-071-089-157-167-201-239-291-321-339-373-407-471-473- 481-100840- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUSTIN BRAZORIA CHAMBERS COLORADO FORT BEND GALVESTON HARRIS JACKSON LIBERTY MATAGORDA MONTGOMERY POLK SAN JACINTO WALKER WALLER WHARTON GMZ330-335-350-355-100840- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE MATAGORDA BAY GALVESTON BAY Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 98 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0098 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 98 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE CRP TO 20 NE CRP TO VCT. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0408 ..MOSIER..04/10/24 ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...HGX...BRO... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 98 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC007-041-051-057-185-391-477-100840- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARANSAS BRAZOS BURLESON CALHOUN GRIMES REFUGIO WASHINGTON GMZ155-236-237-250-255-100840- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD TX OUT 20 NM COPANO ARANSAS AND REDFISH BAYS SAN ANTONIO MESQUITE AND ESPIRITU SANTO BAYS COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 98 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0098 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 98 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE CRP TO 20 NE CRP TO VCT. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0408 ..MOSIER..04/10/24 ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...HGX...BRO... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 98 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC007-041-051-057-185-391-477-100840- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARANSAS BRAZOS BURLESON CALHOUN GRIMES REFUGIO WASHINGTON GMZ155-236-237-250-255-100840- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD TX OUT 20 NM COPANO ARANSAS AND REDFISH BAYS SAN ANTONIO MESQUITE AND ESPIRITU SANTO BAYS COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 98 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0098 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 98 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE CRP TO 20 NE CRP TO VCT. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0408 ..MOSIER..04/10/24 ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...HGX...BRO... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 98 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC007-041-051-057-185-391-477-100840- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARANSAS BRAZOS BURLESON CALHOUN GRIMES REFUGIO WASHINGTON GMZ155-236-237-250-255-100840- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD TX OUT 20 NM COPANO ARANSAS AND REDFISH BAYS SAN ANTONIO MESQUITE AND ESPIRITU SANTO BAYS COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 98 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0098 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 98 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE CRP TO 20 NE CRP TO VCT. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0408 ..MOSIER..04/10/24 ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...HGX...BRO... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 98 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC007-041-051-057-185-391-477-100840- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARANSAS BRAZOS BURLESON CALHOUN GRIMES REFUGIO WASHINGTON GMZ155-236-237-250-255-100840- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD TX OUT 20 NM COPANO ARANSAS AND REDFISH BAYS SAN ANTONIO MESQUITE AND ESPIRITU SANTO BAYS COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 98 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0098 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 98 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE CRP TO 20 NE CRP TO VCT. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0408 ..MOSIER..04/10/24 ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...HGX...BRO... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 98 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC007-041-051-057-185-391-477-100840- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARANSAS BRAZOS BURLESON CALHOUN GRIMES REFUGIO WASHINGTON GMZ155-236-237-250-255-100840- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD TX OUT 20 NM COPANO ARANSAS AND REDFISH BAYS SAN ANTONIO MESQUITE AND ESPIRITU SANTO BAYS COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 98 Status Reports

1 year 4 months ago
WW 0098 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 98 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE CRP TO 20 NE CRP TO VCT. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0408 ..MOSIER..04/10/24 ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...HGX...BRO... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 98 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC007-041-051-057-185-391-477-100840- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARANSAS BRAZOS BURLESON CALHOUN GRIMES REFUGIO WASHINGTON GMZ155-236-237-250-255-100840- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD TX OUT 20 NM COPANO ARANSAS AND REDFISH BAYS SAN ANTONIO MESQUITE AND ESPIRITU SANTO BAYS COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 98

1 year 4 months ago
WW 98 SEVERE TSTM TX CW 100135Z - 100900Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 98 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 835 PM CDT Tue Apr 9 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central and South Texas Coastal Waters * Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 835 PM until 400 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to rapidly develop this evening along a dryline and track eastward across the watch area. Intense supercells and bowing storms capable of very large hail and damaging winds are possible. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles north of New Braunfels TX to 70 miles south southwest of Alice TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 95...WW 96...WW 97... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 25035. ...Hart Read more

SPC Apr 10, 2024 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

1 year 4 months ago
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 AM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Friday. ...East... Deep surface cyclone near Lake Huron at 12Z Friday should occlude and slowly weaken as it continues northeastward into western Quebec. The arcing occluded front across parts of the Northeast may be a focus for low-topped convection during the late morning to early afternoon. Surface-based destabilization appears to be rather limited, but its plausible that scant to meager buoyancy might develop over the eastern NY vicinity. Low to deep-layer wind profiles are conditionally favorable for organized updrafts and this corridor will need to be monitored in later outlooks for a potential cat 1-MRGL risk highlight. ...West... An amplified shortwave trough will approach but remain west of the CA coast through 12Z Saturday. While the bulk of PW increase will largely be confined to parts of CA and the OR Pacific Coast, modest moistening should occur within the deep-layer southwesterly flow regime, west of the mid-level ridge that will become centered across the High Plains. Scant to meager surface-based buoyancy is expected by Friday afternoon and this should support isolated to scattered high-based, low-topped thunderstorms from the Sierra NV across the northern Rockies. A very isolated severe wind gust is possible given the steep lapse-rate environment, but an organized severe threat appears unlikely. ..Grams.. 04/10/2024 Read more