SPC Tornado Watch 110 Status Reports

1 year 3 months ago
WW 0110 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 110 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 WSW SJT TO 55 WSW SJT TO 15 NNE BGS TO 50 N BGS TO 50 SSE LBB. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0447 ..SQUITIERI..04/15/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...SJT...LUB...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 110 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC033-057-065-141-160040- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COTTON HARMON JACKSON TILLMAN TXC009-023-059-075-077-081-101-125-151-155-197-207-235-253-263- 269-275-335-353-399-415-417-429-431-433-441-447-451-485-487-503- 160040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARCHER BAYLOR CALLAHAN CHILDRESS CLAY COKE COTTLE DICKENS FISHER FOARD HARDEMAN HASKELL IRION JONES KENT KING KNOX MITCHELL NOLAN RUNNELS SCURRY Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 110

1 year 3 months ago
WW 110 TORNADO OK TX 151930Z - 160200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 110 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 230 PM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southwest Oklahoma Northwest Texas * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 230 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop in the next 1 to 2 hours across northwest Texas and shift east through early evening. Large hail and damaging gusts are possible initially, with an increasing tornado risk expected during the evening. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles west southwest of San Angelo TX to 50 miles northwest of Wichita Falls TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 109... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Leitman Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 109 Status Reports

1 year 3 months ago
WW 0109 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 109 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 SSW PKB TO 15 WSW CHO TO 35 NE RIC TO 45 ENE WAL. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0446 ..SQUITIERI..04/15/24 ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...AKQ...RNK...RLX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 109 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS VAC001-005-007-009-011-015-017-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-036- 037-041-045-049-053-063-065-067-071-073-075-077-081-083-085-087- 089-091-093-095-097-101-103-111-115-117-119-121-125-127-131-133- 135-141-143-145-147-149-155-161-163-173-175-181-183-185-197-199- 530-550-570-580-590-595-620-640-650-670-678-680-690-700-710-730- 735-740-750-760-770-775-790-800-810-820-830-160040- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ACCOMACK ALLEGHANY AMELIA AMHERST APPOMATTOX AUGUSTA BATH BEDFORD BLAND BOTETOURT BRUNSWICK BUCKINGHAM CAMPBELL CARROLL CHARLES CITY CHARLOTTE CHESTERFIELD CRAIG CUMBERLAND DINWIDDIE FLOYD FLUVANNA FRANKLIN GILES GLOUCESTER GOOCHLAND GRAYSON GREENSVILLE HALIFAX HANOVER HENRICO HENRY HIGHLAND ISLE OF WIGHT JAMES CITY KING AND QUEEN KING WILLIAM LANCASTER LUNENBURG Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 109

1 year 3 months ago
WW 109 SEVERE TSTM DC DE MD VA WV CW 151750Z - 160200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 109 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 150 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Southern Delaware Central and Eastern Maryland Virginia Central and Eastern West Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 150 PM until 1000 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Broken bands of strong to severe thunderstorms are forecast to develop this afternoon and move east-southeast through the mid evening. Scattered severe gusts capable of wind damage will be possible with the stronger cores and outflow winds. Large hail may accompany the early cellular storm activity. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90 statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles west northwest of Beckley WV to 30 miles east southeast of Wallops VA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 29035. ...Smith Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 111 Status Reports

1 year 3 months ago
WW 0111 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 111 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SQUITIERI..04/15/24 ATTN...WFO...CYS...LBF...UNR...ABR... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 111 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NEC045-161-152340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DAWES SHERIDAN SDC007-019-033-047-055-071-075-081-085-093-095-102-103-121-123- 152340- SD . SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BENNETT BUTTE CUSTER FALL RIVER HAAKON JACKSON JONES LAWRENCE LYMAN MEADE MELLETTE OGLALA LAKOTA PENNINGTON TODD TRIPP WYC011-152340- WY . WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE Read more

SPC MD 444

1 year 3 months ago
MD 0444 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 109... FOR PORTIONS OF WV...VA...MD AND DE
Mesoscale Discussion 0444 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 PM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024 Areas affected...portions of WV...VA...MD and DE Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 109... Valid 152040Z - 152215Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 109 continues. SUMMARY...A severe hail and damaging wind risk will continue into the evening across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 109. DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorms have mainly posed a large hail risk through the afternoon across portions of West Virginia through northern Virginia as activity has remained more cellular. As convection continues to track southeast and additional storms develop, an increasing risk for damaging winds is possible across parts of of southeast VA toward the Chesapeake Bay vicinity. Some clustering via storm interactions is evident in convection from Culpeper County VA toward Charles County MD, and this may be the beginnings of increased damaging wind potential with south and east extent. This area is within a corridor of very steep low-level lapse rates and strong DCAPE, supporting damaging wind potential. Otherwise, expected convection to continue developing southeastward, with an accompany severe risk, through early evening. ..Leitman.. 04/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX... LAT...LON 38867697 38807529 38507505 37877521 36937570 36687612 36627758 36698038 37118127 39108143 38787716 38867697 Read more

SPC MD 445

1 year 3 months ago
MD 0445 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI INTO SOUTHWESTERN ILLINOIS
Mesoscale Discussion 0445 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0345 PM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024 Areas affected...portions of southeast Missouri into southwestern Illinois Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 152045Z - 152215Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Isolated thunderstorms may develop through the afternoon. Hail and gusty winds will be the main threats. Given the sparse nature of the potential severe threat, a WW issuance is not expected. DISCUSSION...Agitated cumulus continues to deepen south of a warm front draped across southeastern MO into southwestern IL, where diurnal heating has continued to erode convective inhibition and boost SBCAPE to over 2000 J/kg. Forecast soundings in this region show elongated hodographs with minimal low-level curvature amid a mixed boundary layer, suggesting that damaging gusts and large hail would be the main threats with any storms that can develop and sustain themselves. The primary limiting factor for a more appreciable severe risk in eastern MO into IL is the lack of stronger deep-layer ascent, which should at least minimize storm coverage, and questions still remain if robust convection will develop at all. Given the aforementioned uncertainties, a WW issuance is not anticipated. ..Squitieri/Smith.. 04/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...SGF... LAT...LON 37839150 38279132 38479091 38649031 38628945 38418907 38148901 37828934 37658983 37579074 37839150 Read more

SPC MD 443

1 year 3 months ago
MD 0443 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY FOR CENTRAL NEBRASKA INTO FAR NORTHERN KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0443 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0313 PM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024 Areas affected...central Nebraska into far northern Kansas Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 152013Z - 152145Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Convective initiation is expected by 21-22Z. A tornado watch is likely. DISCUSSION...Robust destabilization is underway across the Plains with rapid moisture advection occurring across Nebraska. Low 60s dewpoints are now into southern Nebraska with mid 60s dewpoints across much of central and eastern Kansas. SPC mesoanalysis shows inhibition has now mostly eroded across this region and the aforementioned moisture advection, combined with broad scale ascent ahead of the primary trough, should allow for convective initiation within the next 2 hours. Almost all WoFS members show isolated thunderstorms forming between 21Z and 22Z. Strong veering wind profiles and strong instability will support supercells as the storm mode. However, storms should remain fairly isolated this afternoon and early evening due to the limited forcing. During the afternoon/early evening, large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible. The low-level wind profile will be favorable for tornadoes, but limited moisture may hinder this threat during the afternoon period. During the late evening and overnight hours. Increasing moisture and ascent should lead to more widespread convection and a greater tornado threat. Particularly as the low-level jet intensifies after sunset. ..Bentley/Smith.. 04/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...GID...LBF...UNR...GLD... LAT...LON 39169861 39219938 39990035 40710098 42370156 42910160 43010129 43020027 42819931 42509824 41219733 40159704 39679724 39419807 39169861 Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 110 Status Reports

1 year 3 months ago
WW 0110 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 110 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SQUITIERI..04/15/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...SJT...LUB...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 110 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC033-057-065-141-152240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COTTON HARMON JACKSON TILLMAN TXC009-023-033-059-075-077-081-101-125-151-155-173-197-207-227- 235-253-263-269-275-335-353-383-399-415-417-429-431-433-441-447- 451-485-487-503-152240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARCHER BAYLOR BORDEN CALLAHAN CHILDRESS CLAY COKE COTTLE DICKENS FISHER FOARD GLASSCOCK HARDEMAN HASKELL HOWARD IRION JONES KENT KING KNOX MITCHELL NOLAN REAGAN RUNNELS SCURRY SHACKELFORD STEPHENS STERLING STONEWALL TAYLOR Read more

SPC Tornado Watch 110 Status Reports

1 year 3 months ago
WW 0110 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 110 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..SQUITIERI..04/15/24 ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...SJT...LUB...FWD... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 110 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC033-057-065-141-152240- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE COTTON HARMON JACKSON TILLMAN TXC009-023-033-059-075-077-081-101-125-151-155-173-197-207-227- 235-253-263-269-275-335-353-383-399-415-417-429-431-433-441-447- 451-485-487-503-152240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARCHER BAYLOR BORDEN CALLAHAN CHILDRESS CLAY COKE COTTLE DICKENS FISHER FOARD GLASSCOCK HARDEMAN HASKELL HOWARD IRION JONES KENT KING KNOX MITCHELL NOLAN REAGAN RUNNELS SCURRY SHACKELFORD STEPHENS STERLING STONEWALL TAYLOR Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 109 Status Reports

1 year 3 months ago
WW 0109 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 109 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW MGW TO 10 SSE EKN TO 25 SSW DCA TO 30 NNE NHK TO 50 ENE SBY. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0444 ..SQUITIERI..04/15/24 ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...AKQ...RNK...RLX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 109 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MDC009-017-019-037-039-045-047-152240- MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALVERT CHARLES DORCHESTER ST. MARYS SOMERSET WICOMICO WORCESTER VAC001-003-005-007-009-011-015-017-019-021-023-025-029-031-033- 035-036-037-041-045-047-049-053-057-063-065-067-071-073-075-077- 079-081-083-085-087-089-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-109-111-113- 115-117-119-121-125-127-131-133-135-137-141-143-145-147-149-155- 159-161-163-165-173-175-177-179-181-183-185-193-197-199-530-540- 550-570-580-590-595-620-630-640-650-660-670-678-680-690-700-710- 730-735-740-750-760-770-775-790-800-810-820-830-152240- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ACCOMACK ALBEMARLE ALLEGHANY AMELIA AMHERST APPOMATTOX Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 109 Status Reports

1 year 3 months ago
WW 0109 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 109 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW MGW TO 10 SSE EKN TO 25 SSW DCA TO 30 NNE NHK TO 50 ENE SBY. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0444 ..SQUITIERI..04/15/24 ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...AKQ...RNK...RLX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 109 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MDC009-017-019-037-039-045-047-152240- MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALVERT CHARLES DORCHESTER ST. MARYS SOMERSET WICOMICO WORCESTER VAC001-003-005-007-009-011-015-017-019-021-023-025-029-031-033- 035-036-037-041-045-047-049-053-057-063-065-067-071-073-075-077- 079-081-083-085-087-089-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-109-111-113- 115-117-119-121-125-127-131-133-135-137-141-143-145-147-149-155- 159-161-163-165-173-175-177-179-181-183-185-193-197-199-530-540- 550-570-580-590-595-620-630-640-650-660-670-678-680-690-700-710- 730-735-740-750-760-770-775-790-800-810-820-830-152240- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ACCOMACK ALBEMARLE ALLEGHANY AMELIA AMHERST APPOMATTOX Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0344 PM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z A shortwave trough lifting into the Great Lakes region mid to late this week will continue to weaken while another shortwave will pivot through the northern Rockies into the northern Plains by late in the week. The secondary trough is forecast to intensify across the Great Lakes into the Northeast during the weekend. Across the southern tier of the U.S., flow aloft will remain relatively zonal through the period. At the surface, a weak lee cyclone is expected to develop in southeast Colorado on Wednesday. As this moves eastward along with the upper trough to the north, cooler air will filter into the southern Plains. A secondary surge of cooler air will push into the northern Gulf during the weekend. ...Southern High Plains... Elevated to perhaps locally critical conditions appear possible as the southeastern Colorado low develops on Wednesday afternoon. Winds of 15-20 mph will overlap very low RH of around 10-15%. Fire weather concerns will be somewhat localized near the terrain to the southwest of the surface low. ...Western/Central New Mexico... As the back door cold front pushes against the southern Rockies late this week into the weekend, generally dry conditions are expected across the Southwest. As fuels are continuing to dry within New Mexico, it is possible some fire weather risk will exist for central and western parts of the state. This would most likely occur on Saturday when a low-amplitude trough approaches from the west. Model and fuel trends will continue to be monitored. ..Wendt.. 04/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0344 PM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z A shortwave trough lifting into the Great Lakes region mid to late this week will continue to weaken while another shortwave will pivot through the northern Rockies into the northern Plains by late in the week. The secondary trough is forecast to intensify across the Great Lakes into the Northeast during the weekend. Across the southern tier of the U.S., flow aloft will remain relatively zonal through the period. At the surface, a weak lee cyclone is expected to develop in southeast Colorado on Wednesday. As this moves eastward along with the upper trough to the north, cooler air will filter into the southern Plains. A secondary surge of cooler air will push into the northern Gulf during the weekend. ...Southern High Plains... Elevated to perhaps locally critical conditions appear possible as the southeastern Colorado low develops on Wednesday afternoon. Winds of 15-20 mph will overlap very low RH of around 10-15%. Fire weather concerns will be somewhat localized near the terrain to the southwest of the surface low. ...Western/Central New Mexico... As the back door cold front pushes against the southern Rockies late this week into the weekend, generally dry conditions are expected across the Southwest. As fuels are continuing to dry within New Mexico, it is possible some fire weather risk will exist for central and western parts of the state. This would most likely occur on Saturday when a low-amplitude trough approaches from the west. Model and fuel trends will continue to be monitored. ..Wendt.. 04/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0344 PM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z A shortwave trough lifting into the Great Lakes region mid to late this week will continue to weaken while another shortwave will pivot through the northern Rockies into the northern Plains by late in the week. The secondary trough is forecast to intensify across the Great Lakes into the Northeast during the weekend. Across the southern tier of the U.S., flow aloft will remain relatively zonal through the period. At the surface, a weak lee cyclone is expected to develop in southeast Colorado on Wednesday. As this moves eastward along with the upper trough to the north, cooler air will filter into the southern Plains. A secondary surge of cooler air will push into the northern Gulf during the weekend. ...Southern High Plains... Elevated to perhaps locally critical conditions appear possible as the southeastern Colorado low develops on Wednesday afternoon. Winds of 15-20 mph will overlap very low RH of around 10-15%. Fire weather concerns will be somewhat localized near the terrain to the southwest of the surface low. ...Western/Central New Mexico... As the back door cold front pushes against the southern Rockies late this week into the weekend, generally dry conditions are expected across the Southwest. As fuels are continuing to dry within New Mexico, it is possible some fire weather risk will exist for central and western parts of the state. This would most likely occur on Saturday when a low-amplitude trough approaches from the west. Model and fuel trends will continue to be monitored. ..Wendt.. 04/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0344 PM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z A shortwave trough lifting into the Great Lakes region mid to late this week will continue to weaken while another shortwave will pivot through the northern Rockies into the northern Plains by late in the week. The secondary trough is forecast to intensify across the Great Lakes into the Northeast during the weekend. Across the southern tier of the U.S., flow aloft will remain relatively zonal through the period. At the surface, a weak lee cyclone is expected to develop in southeast Colorado on Wednesday. As this moves eastward along with the upper trough to the north, cooler air will filter into the southern Plains. A secondary surge of cooler air will push into the northern Gulf during the weekend. ...Southern High Plains... Elevated to perhaps locally critical conditions appear possible as the southeastern Colorado low develops on Wednesday afternoon. Winds of 15-20 mph will overlap very low RH of around 10-15%. Fire weather concerns will be somewhat localized near the terrain to the southwest of the surface low. ...Western/Central New Mexico... As the back door cold front pushes against the southern Rockies late this week into the weekend, generally dry conditions are expected across the Southwest. As fuels are continuing to dry within New Mexico, it is possible some fire weather risk will exist for central and western parts of the state. This would most likely occur on Saturday when a low-amplitude trough approaches from the west. Model and fuel trends will continue to be monitored. ..Wendt.. 04/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0344 PM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z A shortwave trough lifting into the Great Lakes region mid to late this week will continue to weaken while another shortwave will pivot through the northern Rockies into the northern Plains by late in the week. The secondary trough is forecast to intensify across the Great Lakes into the Northeast during the weekend. Across the southern tier of the U.S., flow aloft will remain relatively zonal through the period. At the surface, a weak lee cyclone is expected to develop in southeast Colorado on Wednesday. As this moves eastward along with the upper trough to the north, cooler air will filter into the southern Plains. A secondary surge of cooler air will push into the northern Gulf during the weekend. ...Southern High Plains... Elevated to perhaps locally critical conditions appear possible as the southeastern Colorado low develops on Wednesday afternoon. Winds of 15-20 mph will overlap very low RH of around 10-15%. Fire weather concerns will be somewhat localized near the terrain to the southwest of the surface low. ...Western/Central New Mexico... As the back door cold front pushes against the southern Rockies late this week into the weekend, generally dry conditions are expected across the Southwest. As fuels are continuing to dry within New Mexico, it is possible some fire weather risk will exist for central and western parts of the state. This would most likely occur on Saturday when a low-amplitude trough approaches from the west. Model and fuel trends will continue to be monitored. ..Wendt.. 04/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

1 year 3 months ago
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0344 PM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z A shortwave trough lifting into the Great Lakes region mid to late this week will continue to weaken while another shortwave will pivot through the northern Rockies into the northern Plains by late in the week. The secondary trough is forecast to intensify across the Great Lakes into the Northeast during the weekend. Across the southern tier of the U.S., flow aloft will remain relatively zonal through the period. At the surface, a weak lee cyclone is expected to develop in southeast Colorado on Wednesday. As this moves eastward along with the upper trough to the north, cooler air will filter into the southern Plains. A secondary surge of cooler air will push into the northern Gulf during the weekend. ...Southern High Plains... Elevated to perhaps locally critical conditions appear possible as the southeastern Colorado low develops on Wednesday afternoon. Winds of 15-20 mph will overlap very low RH of around 10-15%. Fire weather concerns will be somewhat localized near the terrain to the southwest of the surface low. ...Western/Central New Mexico... As the back door cold front pushes against the southern Rockies late this week into the weekend, generally dry conditions are expected across the Southwest. As fuels are continuing to dry within New Mexico, it is possible some fire weather risk will exist for central and western parts of the state. This would most likely occur on Saturday when a low-amplitude trough approaches from the west. Model and fuel trends will continue to be monitored. ..Wendt.. 04/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more