SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... A midlevel low will gradually approach the northern CA coast as it loosely phases with a stronger midlevel trough moving eastward across British Columbia on Tuesday. Large-scale ascent preceding the midlevel low will aid in isolated thunderstorm development along the higher terrain of central OR. Around 0.7 inch PW and a deeply mixed boundary layer will favor dry thunderstorms, with an associated risk of lightning-induced ignitions and strong/erratic outflow winds. At the same time, a belt of moderate-strong midlevel winds peripheral to the trough in British Columbia will cross the Cascades. This will promote dry/breezy downslope winds in the Columbia Basin, with the strongest winds expected through the Cascade Gaps. Given dry/receptive fuels, elevated fire-weather conditions are expected. Farther south, moderate deep-layer southwesterly flow ahead of the midlevel low will overspread a well-mixed boundary layer across parts of central/southern NV, where elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ..Weinman.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... A midlevel low will gradually approach the northern CA coast as it loosely phases with a stronger midlevel trough moving eastward across British Columbia on Tuesday. Large-scale ascent preceding the midlevel low will aid in isolated thunderstorm development along the higher terrain of central OR. Around 0.7 inch PW and a deeply mixed boundary layer will favor dry thunderstorms, with an associated risk of lightning-induced ignitions and strong/erratic outflow winds. At the same time, a belt of moderate-strong midlevel winds peripheral to the trough in British Columbia will cross the Cascades. This will promote dry/breezy downslope winds in the Columbia Basin, with the strongest winds expected through the Cascade Gaps. Given dry/receptive fuels, elevated fire-weather conditions are expected. Farther south, moderate deep-layer southwesterly flow ahead of the midlevel low will overspread a well-mixed boundary layer across parts of central/southern NV, where elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ..Weinman.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... A midlevel low will gradually approach the northern CA coast as it loosely phases with a stronger midlevel trough moving eastward across British Columbia on Tuesday. Large-scale ascent preceding the midlevel low will aid in isolated thunderstorm development along the higher terrain of central OR. Around 0.7 inch PW and a deeply mixed boundary layer will favor dry thunderstorms, with an associated risk of lightning-induced ignitions and strong/erratic outflow winds. At the same time, a belt of moderate-strong midlevel winds peripheral to the trough in British Columbia will cross the Cascades. This will promote dry/breezy downslope winds in the Columbia Basin, with the strongest winds expected through the Cascade Gaps. Given dry/receptive fuels, elevated fire-weather conditions are expected. Farther south, moderate deep-layer southwesterly flow ahead of the midlevel low will overspread a well-mixed boundary layer across parts of central/southern NV, where elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ..Weinman.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... A midlevel low will gradually approach the northern CA coast as it loosely phases with a stronger midlevel trough moving eastward across British Columbia on Tuesday. Large-scale ascent preceding the midlevel low will aid in isolated thunderstorm development along the higher terrain of central OR. Around 0.7 inch PW and a deeply mixed boundary layer will favor dry thunderstorms, with an associated risk of lightning-induced ignitions and strong/erratic outflow winds. At the same time, a belt of moderate-strong midlevel winds peripheral to the trough in British Columbia will cross the Cascades. This will promote dry/breezy downslope winds in the Columbia Basin, with the strongest winds expected through the Cascade Gaps. Given dry/receptive fuels, elevated fire-weather conditions are expected. Farther south, moderate deep-layer southwesterly flow ahead of the midlevel low will overspread a well-mixed boundary layer across parts of central/southern NV, where elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ..Weinman.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... A midlevel low will gradually approach the northern CA coast as it loosely phases with a stronger midlevel trough moving eastward across British Columbia on Tuesday. Large-scale ascent preceding the midlevel low will aid in isolated thunderstorm development along the higher terrain of central OR. Around 0.7 inch PW and a deeply mixed boundary layer will favor dry thunderstorms, with an associated risk of lightning-induced ignitions and strong/erratic outflow winds. At the same time, a belt of moderate-strong midlevel winds peripheral to the trough in British Columbia will cross the Cascades. This will promote dry/breezy downslope winds in the Columbia Basin, with the strongest winds expected through the Cascade Gaps. Given dry/receptive fuels, elevated fire-weather conditions are expected. Farther south, moderate deep-layer southwesterly flow ahead of the midlevel low will overspread a well-mixed boundary layer across parts of central/southern NV, where elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ..Weinman.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... A midlevel low will gradually approach the northern CA coast as it loosely phases with a stronger midlevel trough moving eastward across British Columbia on Tuesday. Large-scale ascent preceding the midlevel low will aid in isolated thunderstorm development along the higher terrain of central OR. Around 0.7 inch PW and a deeply mixed boundary layer will favor dry thunderstorms, with an associated risk of lightning-induced ignitions and strong/erratic outflow winds. At the same time, a belt of moderate-strong midlevel winds peripheral to the trough in British Columbia will cross the Cascades. This will promote dry/breezy downslope winds in the Columbia Basin, with the strongest winds expected through the Cascade Gaps. Given dry/receptive fuels, elevated fire-weather conditions are expected. Farther south, moderate deep-layer southwesterly flow ahead of the midlevel low will overspread a well-mixed boundary layer across parts of central/southern NV, where elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ..Weinman.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... A midlevel low will gradually approach the northern CA coast as it loosely phases with a stronger midlevel trough moving eastward across British Columbia on Tuesday. Large-scale ascent preceding the midlevel low will aid in isolated thunderstorm development along the higher terrain of central OR. Around 0.7 inch PW and a deeply mixed boundary layer will favor dry thunderstorms, with an associated risk of lightning-induced ignitions and strong/erratic outflow winds. At the same time, a belt of moderate-strong midlevel winds peripheral to the trough in British Columbia will cross the Cascades. This will promote dry/breezy downslope winds in the Columbia Basin, with the strongest winds expected through the Cascade Gaps. Given dry/receptive fuels, elevated fire-weather conditions are expected. Farther south, moderate deep-layer southwesterly flow ahead of the midlevel low will overspread a well-mixed boundary layer across parts of central/southern NV, where elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ..Weinman.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...Synopsis... A midlevel low will gradually approach the northern CA coast as it loosely phases with a stronger midlevel trough moving eastward across British Columbia on Tuesday. Large-scale ascent preceding the midlevel low will aid in isolated thunderstorm development along the higher terrain of central OR. Around 0.7 inch PW and a deeply mixed boundary layer will favor dry thunderstorms, with an associated risk of lightning-induced ignitions and strong/erratic outflow winds. At the same time, a belt of moderate-strong midlevel winds peripheral to the trough in British Columbia will cross the Cascades. This will promote dry/breezy downslope winds in the Columbia Basin, with the strongest winds expected through the Cascade Gaps. Given dry/receptive fuels, elevated fire-weather conditions are expected. Farther south, moderate deep-layer southwesterly flow ahead of the midlevel low will overspread a well-mixed boundary layer across parts of central/southern NV, where elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are expected. ..Weinman.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 AM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...Synopsis... A midlevel low off the northern/central CA coast will move slowly northward through the period. Related midlevel ascent will overspread northern CA into southern OR, aiding in the development of isolated high-based thunderstorms over the higher terrain during the afternoon. Deep inverted-V soundings with 0.5-0.75 inch PW will favor dry thunderstorms, with an associated risk of lightning-induced ignitions and gusty outflow winds atop receptive fuels. Farther south, enhanced southerly flow peripheral to the midlevel low will overspread a well-mixed boundary layer across the Great Basin. This will promote locally dry/breezy conditions, with locally elevated fire-weather conditions possible over parts of central/southern NV during the afternoon. ..Weinman.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 AM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...Synopsis... A midlevel low off the northern/central CA coast will move slowly northward through the period. Related midlevel ascent will overspread northern CA into southern OR, aiding in the development of isolated high-based thunderstorms over the higher terrain during the afternoon. Deep inverted-V soundings with 0.5-0.75 inch PW will favor dry thunderstorms, with an associated risk of lightning-induced ignitions and gusty outflow winds atop receptive fuels. Farther south, enhanced southerly flow peripheral to the midlevel low will overspread a well-mixed boundary layer across the Great Basin. This will promote locally dry/breezy conditions, with locally elevated fire-weather conditions possible over parts of central/southern NV during the afternoon. ..Weinman.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 AM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...Synopsis... A midlevel low off the northern/central CA coast will move slowly northward through the period. Related midlevel ascent will overspread northern CA into southern OR, aiding in the development of isolated high-based thunderstorms over the higher terrain during the afternoon. Deep inverted-V soundings with 0.5-0.75 inch PW will favor dry thunderstorms, with an associated risk of lightning-induced ignitions and gusty outflow winds atop receptive fuels. Farther south, enhanced southerly flow peripheral to the midlevel low will overspread a well-mixed boundary layer across the Great Basin. This will promote locally dry/breezy conditions, with locally elevated fire-weather conditions possible over parts of central/southern NV during the afternoon. ..Weinman.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 AM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...Synopsis... A midlevel low off the northern/central CA coast will move slowly northward through the period. Related midlevel ascent will overspread northern CA into southern OR, aiding in the development of isolated high-based thunderstorms over the higher terrain during the afternoon. Deep inverted-V soundings with 0.5-0.75 inch PW will favor dry thunderstorms, with an associated risk of lightning-induced ignitions and gusty outflow winds atop receptive fuels. Farther south, enhanced southerly flow peripheral to the midlevel low will overspread a well-mixed boundary layer across the Great Basin. This will promote locally dry/breezy conditions, with locally elevated fire-weather conditions possible over parts of central/southern NV during the afternoon. ..Weinman.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 AM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...Synopsis... A midlevel low off the northern/central CA coast will move slowly northward through the period. Related midlevel ascent will overspread northern CA into southern OR, aiding in the development of isolated high-based thunderstorms over the higher terrain during the afternoon. Deep inverted-V soundings with 0.5-0.75 inch PW will favor dry thunderstorms, with an associated risk of lightning-induced ignitions and gusty outflow winds atop receptive fuels. Farther south, enhanced southerly flow peripheral to the midlevel low will overspread a well-mixed boundary layer across the Great Basin. This will promote locally dry/breezy conditions, with locally elevated fire-weather conditions possible over parts of central/southern NV during the afternoon. ..Weinman.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 AM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...Synopsis... A midlevel low off the northern/central CA coast will move slowly northward through the period. Related midlevel ascent will overspread northern CA into southern OR, aiding in the development of isolated high-based thunderstorms over the higher terrain during the afternoon. Deep inverted-V soundings with 0.5-0.75 inch PW will favor dry thunderstorms, with an associated risk of lightning-induced ignitions and gusty outflow winds atop receptive fuels. Farther south, enhanced southerly flow peripheral to the midlevel low will overspread a well-mixed boundary layer across the Great Basin. This will promote locally dry/breezy conditions, with locally elevated fire-weather conditions possible over parts of central/southern NV during the afternoon. ..Weinman.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 AM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...Synopsis... A midlevel low off the northern/central CA coast will move slowly northward through the period. Related midlevel ascent will overspread northern CA into southern OR, aiding in the development of isolated high-based thunderstorms over the higher terrain during the afternoon. Deep inverted-V soundings with 0.5-0.75 inch PW will favor dry thunderstorms, with an associated risk of lightning-induced ignitions and gusty outflow winds atop receptive fuels. Farther south, enhanced southerly flow peripheral to the midlevel low will overspread a well-mixed boundary layer across the Great Basin. This will promote locally dry/breezy conditions, with locally elevated fire-weather conditions possible over parts of central/southern NV during the afternoon. ..Weinman.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

1 month 1 week ago
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0158 AM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...Synopsis... A midlevel low off the northern/central CA coast will move slowly northward through the period. Related midlevel ascent will overspread northern CA into southern OR, aiding in the development of isolated high-based thunderstorms over the higher terrain during the afternoon. Deep inverted-V soundings with 0.5-0.75 inch PW will favor dry thunderstorms, with an associated risk of lightning-induced ignitions and gusty outflow winds atop receptive fuels. Farther south, enhanced southerly flow peripheral to the midlevel low will overspread a well-mixed boundary layer across the Great Basin. This will promote locally dry/breezy conditions, with locally elevated fire-weather conditions possible over parts of central/southern NV during the afternoon. ..Weinman.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC MD 1587

1 month 1 week ago
MD 1587 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 491... FOR WESTERN KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 1587 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1129 PM CDT Sun Jul 06 2025 Areas affected...Western Kansas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 491... Valid 070429Z - 070630Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 491 continues. SUMMARY...Strong-severe thunderstorms will propagate southeast across ww491. Damaging winds are the primary concern. DISCUSSION...A very weak short-wave trough appears to have crested the ridge and is digging southeast across the central High Plains late this evening. Scattered robust convection has gradually coalesced into a linear MCS which currently extends from northwestern KS into extreme eastern CO. A narrow axis of modest instability is noted across southwest KS, along and north of a boundary that stretches across the OK Panhandle into far southeast CO. This boundary is being reinforced a bit by scattered convection along the KS/OK border into northwest OK. Net result will likely be for the ongoing MCS to continue tracking southeast, aided in part by southeasterly low-level inflow. 56kt gust was reported at GLD with the squall line, and this type of wind may continue to be reported as the MCS propagates toward southwestern KS over the next several hours. ..Darrow.. 07/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...UNR... LAT...LON 44260440 44390275 44840139 43240152 43580439 44260440 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 491 Status Reports

1 month 1 week ago
WW 0491 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 491 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE LAA TO 30 WNW GCK TO 35 NNW GCK TO 55 N GCK TO 50 WSW HLC. ..MARSH..07/07/25 ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 491 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC055-063-067-069-075-081-093-101-171-070740- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FINNEY GOVE GRANT GRAY HAMILTON HASKELL KEARNY LANE SCOTT THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 491 Status Reports

1 month 1 week ago
WW 0491 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 491 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE LAA TO 30 WNW GCK TO 35 NNW GCK TO 55 N GCK TO 50 WSW HLC. ..MARSH..07/07/25 ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 491 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC055-063-067-069-075-081-093-101-171-070740- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FINNEY GOVE GRANT GRAY HAMILTON HASKELL KEARNY LANE SCOTT THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 491

1 month 1 week ago
WW 491 SEVERE TSTM KS 070335Z - 070900Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 491 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1035 PM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Western Kansas * Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 1035 PM until 400 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible SUMMARY...A small cluster of thunderstorms may continue to pose a threat for mainly severe/damaging winds as it spreads into parts of western Kansas late this evening into early Monday morning. Peak gusts may reach up to 65-75 mph on an isolated basis. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles south southwest of Goodland KS to 25 miles east northeast of Garden City KS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 490... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 32035. ...Gleason Read more