Aggregator

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0346 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 301200Z - 041200Z ...DISCUSSION... On the leading edge of a slowly progressive regime emanating from the northern mid-latitude Pacific, it appears that larger-scale mid-level troughing will contribute to the suppression of amplified downstream mid-level ridging across the Northwestern Ontario/Upper Midwest vicinity late this week. Thereafter, potential flow evolution across the eastern Pacific through North America next weekend into early next week becomes highly uncertain due to continuing sizable spread within/among the various medium-range model output. Undoubtedly, there will developing areas of sufficient destabilization and shear to support at least some risk for organized severe weather on a daily basis. However, there is little indication at this time that this risk will exceed seasonal norms, at least on a regional scale. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0346 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 301200Z - 041200Z ...DISCUSSION... On the leading edge of a slowly progressive regime emanating from the northern mid-latitude Pacific, it appears that larger-scale mid-level troughing will contribute to the suppression of amplified downstream mid-level ridging across the Northwestern Ontario/Upper Midwest vicinity late this week. Thereafter, potential flow evolution across the eastern Pacific through North America next weekend into early next week becomes highly uncertain due to continuing sizable spread within/among the various medium-range model output. Undoubtedly, there will developing areas of sufficient destabilization and shear to support at least some risk for organized severe weather on a daily basis. However, there is little indication at this time that this risk will exceed seasonal norms, at least on a regional scale. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0346 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 301200Z - 041200Z ...DISCUSSION... On the leading edge of a slowly progressive regime emanating from the northern mid-latitude Pacific, it appears that larger-scale mid-level troughing will contribute to the suppression of amplified downstream mid-level ridging across the Northwestern Ontario/Upper Midwest vicinity late this week. Thereafter, potential flow evolution across the eastern Pacific through North America next weekend into early next week becomes highly uncertain due to continuing sizable spread within/among the various medium-range model output. Undoubtedly, there will developing areas of sufficient destabilization and shear to support at least some risk for organized severe weather on a daily basis. However, there is little indication at this time that this risk will exceed seasonal norms, at least on a regional scale. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0346 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 301200Z - 041200Z ...DISCUSSION... On the leading edge of a slowly progressive regime emanating from the northern mid-latitude Pacific, it appears that larger-scale mid-level troughing will contribute to the suppression of amplified downstream mid-level ridging across the Northwestern Ontario/Upper Midwest vicinity late this week. Thereafter, potential flow evolution across the eastern Pacific through North America next weekend into early next week becomes highly uncertain due to continuing sizable spread within/among the various medium-range model output. Undoubtedly, there will developing areas of sufficient destabilization and shear to support at least some risk for organized severe weather on a daily basis. However, there is little indication at this time that this risk will exceed seasonal norms, at least on a regional scale. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0346 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Valid 301200Z - 041200Z ...DISCUSSION... On the leading edge of a slowly progressive regime emanating from the northern mid-latitude Pacific, it appears that larger-scale mid-level troughing will contribute to the suppression of amplified downstream mid-level ridging across the Northwestern Ontario/Upper Midwest vicinity late this week. Thereafter, potential flow evolution across the eastern Pacific through North America next weekend into early next week becomes highly uncertain due to continuing sizable spread within/among the various medium-range model output. Undoubtedly, there will developing areas of sufficient destabilization and shear to support at least some risk for organized severe weather on a daily basis. However, there is little indication at this time that this risk will exceed seasonal norms, at least on a regional scale. Read more

WW 0326 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 326 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W CHA TO 20 SE TYS. ..GOSS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...MRX...OHX...MEG...HUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 326 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TNC011-065-107-123-139-270940- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRADLEY HAMILTON MCMINN MONROE POLK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0326 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 326 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W CHA TO 20 SE TYS. ..GOSS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...MRX...OHX...MEG...HUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 326 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TNC011-065-107-123-139-270940- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRADLEY HAMILTON MCMINN MONROE POLK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0326 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 326 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W CHA TO 20 SE TYS. ..GOSS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...MRX...OHX...MEG...HUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 326 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TNC011-065-107-123-139-270940- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRADLEY HAMILTON MCMINN MONROE POLK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0326 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 326 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W CHA TO 20 SE TYS. ..GOSS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...MRX...OHX...MEG...HUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 326 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TNC011-065-107-123-139-270940- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRADLEY HAMILTON MCMINN MONROE POLK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0326 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 326 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W CHA TO 20 SE TYS. ..GOSS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...MRX...OHX...MEG...HUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 326 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TNC011-065-107-123-139-270940- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRADLEY HAMILTON MCMINN MONROE POLK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 0326 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 326 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W CHA TO 20 SE TYS. ..GOSS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...MRX...OHX...MEG...HUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 326 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TNC011-065-107-123-139-270940- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRADLEY HAMILTON MCMINN MONROE POLK THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more

WW 326 TORNADO TN 270240Z - 271000Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 326 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 940 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Much of Tennessee * Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 940 PM until 500 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A severe squall line will likely move into Tennessee tonight. Embedded supercells and line-embedded mesovortices will potentially be capable of tornadoes and severe gusts. The environment will potentially support the risk for strong tornadoes, in addition to swaths of severe gusts. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles west northwest of Jackson TN to 10 miles east northeast of Knoxville TN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 320...WW 321...WW 322...WW 323...WW 324...WW 325... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 30035. ...Smith Read more

WW 0330 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 330 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW LLQ TO 20 SSE GLH TO 20 ENE GWO TO 20 SE UOX. ..GOSS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...JAN...FFC...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 330 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC009-019-033-043-049-055-057-059-071-075-079-083-089-093-095- 103-127-133-270940- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLOUNT CHEROKEE COLBERT CULLMAN DEKALB ETOWAH FAYETTE FRANKLIN JACKSON LAMAR LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON MARION MARSHALL MORGAN WALKER WINSTON GAC047-083-295-270940- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CATOOSA DADE WALKER LAC035-041-065-067-083-107-123-270940- LA Read more

WW 0330 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 330 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW LLQ TO 20 SSE GLH TO 20 ENE GWO TO 20 SE UOX. ..GOSS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...JAN...FFC...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 330 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC009-019-033-043-049-055-057-059-071-075-079-083-089-093-095- 103-127-133-270940- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLOUNT CHEROKEE COLBERT CULLMAN DEKALB ETOWAH FAYETTE FRANKLIN JACKSON LAMAR LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON MARION MARSHALL MORGAN WALKER WINSTON GAC047-083-295-270940- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CATOOSA DADE WALKER LAC035-041-065-067-083-107-123-270940- LA Read more

WW 0330 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 330 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW LLQ TO 20 SSE GLH TO 20 ENE GWO TO 20 SE UOX. ..GOSS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...JAN...FFC...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 330 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC009-019-033-043-049-055-057-059-071-075-079-083-089-093-095- 103-127-133-270940- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLOUNT CHEROKEE COLBERT CULLMAN DEKALB ETOWAH FAYETTE FRANKLIN JACKSON LAMAR LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON MARION MARSHALL MORGAN WALKER WINSTON GAC047-083-295-270940- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CATOOSA DADE WALKER LAC035-041-065-067-083-107-123-270940- LA Read more

WW 0330 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 330 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW LLQ TO 20 SSE GLH TO 20 ENE GWO TO 20 SE UOX. ..GOSS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...JAN...FFC...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 330 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC009-019-033-043-049-055-057-059-071-075-079-083-089-093-095- 103-127-133-270940- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLOUNT CHEROKEE COLBERT CULLMAN DEKALB ETOWAH FAYETTE FRANKLIN JACKSON LAMAR LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON MARION MARSHALL MORGAN WALKER WINSTON GAC047-083-295-270940- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CATOOSA DADE WALKER LAC035-041-065-067-083-107-123-270940- LA Read more

WW 0330 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 330 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW LLQ TO 20 SSE GLH TO 20 ENE GWO TO 20 SE UOX. ..GOSS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...JAN...FFC...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 330 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC009-019-033-043-049-055-057-059-071-075-079-083-089-093-095- 103-127-133-270940- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLOUNT CHEROKEE COLBERT CULLMAN DEKALB ETOWAH FAYETTE FRANKLIN JACKSON LAMAR LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON MARION MARSHALL MORGAN WALKER WINSTON GAC047-083-295-270940- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CATOOSA DADE WALKER LAC035-041-065-067-083-107-123-270940- LA Read more

WW 0330 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 330 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW LLQ TO 20 SSE GLH TO 20 ENE GWO TO 20 SE UOX. ..GOSS..05/27/24 ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...JAN...FFC...MEG... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 330 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC009-019-033-043-049-055-057-059-071-075-079-083-089-093-095- 103-127-133-270940- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLOUNT CHEROKEE COLBERT CULLMAN DEKALB ETOWAH FAYETTE FRANKLIN JACKSON LAMAR LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON MARION MARSHALL MORGAN WALKER WINSTON GAC047-083-295-270940- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CATOOSA DADE WALKER LAC035-041-065-067-083-107-123-270940- LA Read more

WW 330 TORNADO AL AR GA LA MS 270610Z - 271300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 330 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 110 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northern Alabama Extreme southeastern Arkansas Extreme northwestern Georgia Northeastern Louisiana West-central to northeastern Mississippi * Effective this Monday morning from 110 AM until 800 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...A band of strong-severe thunderstorms is expected to shift into the watch area through the remainder of the pre-dawn hours, while a few, more isolated cells form near the southern edge of the favorable warm-sector air that is relatively uncapped. These will pose a threat for a few tornadoes, several damaging to severe gusts, and isolated large hail. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles north and south of a line from 70 miles southwest of Greenville MS to 75 miles east of Huntsville AL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 326...WW 327...WW 328...WW 329... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 27030. ...Edwards Read more

MD 1009 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 327... FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY...FAR WESTERN VIRGINIA AND VICINITY
Mesoscale Discussion 1009 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0205 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Areas affected...eastern Kentucky...far western Virginia and vicinity Concerning...Tornado Watch 327... Valid 270705Z - 270800Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 327 continues. SUMMARY...Severe risk is gradually diminishing across WW 327. DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a continuous -- but gradually weakening -- line of storms extending from south-central Ohio to northwestern Tennessee. The convection has gradually been weakening, as it encounters an increasingly stable low-level environment with eastward extent. Measured gusts across eastern Kentucky have been well below severe levels over the past couple of hours per mesonet observations, and expect this trend to continue as storms move eastward over the next couple of hours. ..Goss.. 05/27/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...RLX...MRX...JKL... LAT...LON 38248229 36728191 35958293 36028428 37048328 37828294 38248229 Read more