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SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are not expected across the USA on Saturday. ...Synopsis and Discussion... An upper low will exist over the Great Lakes, and will slowly move into the Northeast while deepening. Low pressure will shift northward across western Quebec, with a cold front trailing south into the Mid Atlantic region. Behind this system, high pressure will exist into the Plains and MS Valley. Although winds aloft will increase over the Northeast as the upper low nears, low-level wind speeds, when combined with expected instability levels, do not appear to warrant severe probabilities. ...Northeast... A band of showers and a few thunderstorms is forecast to move east across NY and PA during the day, and into New England after about 00Z. Forecast soundings ahead of the cold front depict minimal instability as high temperatures only reach the upper 60s F to lower 70s F in many areas. In addition, wind speeds in the lowest few km AGL will not be particularly strong either, with less than 30 kt at 850 mb. Therefore, the combination of a relatively shallow/cool boundary layer, combined with modest wind speeds, and lack of appreciable instability, all suggest severe weather is unlikely. ..Jewell.. 09/05/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1218 PM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF OHIO AND PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... Strong to locally severe storms are possible on Friday across much of Ohio and adjacent portions of the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough will deepen on Friday as it moves from the upper MS Valley across the Great Lakes. The primary speed max will dive southeastward across MN/IA during the day and round the base of the trough into IL, IN, OH and toward Lake Erie into Saturday morning. Meanwhile, modest upper ridging will exist across the West with weak flow. At the surface, a cold front will stretch from near Lake Erie southwestward toward the OH Valley during the afternoon with a surface low developing from Lake Ontario into far southwest Quebec late. Otherwise, the pre-frontal trough will be relatively weak during the day. ...OH and Vicinity... Daytime heating will lead to steepening lapse rates, with a plume of 60s F dewpoints likely east of the cold front. Forecast soundings show in excess of 1000 J/kg MUCAPE. While low-level lapse rates will become steep, most of the cooling aloft will be post frontal, and not contribute appreciably to destabilization across the warm sector. Increasing frontal ascent into the uncapped air mass will lead to scattered storms after about 18Z, from far western NY into parts of KY. The most favorable combination of instability and wind profiles appears to be over OH, with sufficiently long hodographs to support hail in some of the storms. Cellular storm mode is expected early, with the undercutting cold front supporting a transition to linear. As such, marginal hail and then wind gusts will be possible through about 02Z, when storms are expected to dissipate with the loss of heating. ..Jewell.. 09/05/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1218 PM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF OHIO AND PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... Strong to locally severe storms are possible on Friday across much of Ohio and adjacent portions of the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough will deepen on Friday as it moves from the upper MS Valley across the Great Lakes. The primary speed max will dive southeastward across MN/IA during the day and round the base of the trough into IL, IN, OH and toward Lake Erie into Saturday morning. Meanwhile, modest upper ridging will exist across the West with weak flow. At the surface, a cold front will stretch from near Lake Erie southwestward toward the OH Valley during the afternoon with a surface low developing from Lake Ontario into far southwest Quebec late. Otherwise, the pre-frontal trough will be relatively weak during the day. ...OH and Vicinity... Daytime heating will lead to steepening lapse rates, with a plume of 60s F dewpoints likely east of the cold front. Forecast soundings show in excess of 1000 J/kg MUCAPE. While low-level lapse rates will become steep, most of the cooling aloft will be post frontal, and not contribute appreciably to destabilization across the warm sector. Increasing frontal ascent into the uncapped air mass will lead to scattered storms after about 18Z, from far western NY into parts of KY. The most favorable combination of instability and wind profiles appears to be over OH, with sufficiently long hodographs to support hail in some of the storms. Cellular storm mode is expected early, with the undercutting cold front supporting a transition to linear. As such, marginal hail and then wind gusts will be possible through about 02Z, when storms are expected to dissipate with the loss of heating. ..Jewell.. 09/05/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1218 PM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF OHIO AND PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... Strong to locally severe storms are possible on Friday across much of Ohio and adjacent portions of the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough will deepen on Friday as it moves from the upper MS Valley across the Great Lakes. The primary speed max will dive southeastward across MN/IA during the day and round the base of the trough into IL, IN, OH and toward Lake Erie into Saturday morning. Meanwhile, modest upper ridging will exist across the West with weak flow. At the surface, a cold front will stretch from near Lake Erie southwestward toward the OH Valley during the afternoon with a surface low developing from Lake Ontario into far southwest Quebec late. Otherwise, the pre-frontal trough will be relatively weak during the day. ...OH and Vicinity... Daytime heating will lead to steepening lapse rates, with a plume of 60s F dewpoints likely east of the cold front. Forecast soundings show in excess of 1000 J/kg MUCAPE. While low-level lapse rates will become steep, most of the cooling aloft will be post frontal, and not contribute appreciably to destabilization across the warm sector. Increasing frontal ascent into the uncapped air mass will lead to scattered storms after about 18Z, from far western NY into parts of KY. The most favorable combination of instability and wind profiles appears to be over OH, with sufficiently long hodographs to support hail in some of the storms. Cellular storm mode is expected early, with the undercutting cold front supporting a transition to linear. As such, marginal hail and then wind gusts will be possible through about 02Z, when storms are expected to dissipate with the loss of heating. ..Jewell.. 09/05/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1218 PM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF OHIO AND PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... Strong to locally severe storms are possible on Friday across much of Ohio and adjacent portions of the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough will deepen on Friday as it moves from the upper MS Valley across the Great Lakes. The primary speed max will dive southeastward across MN/IA during the day and round the base of the trough into IL, IN, OH and toward Lake Erie into Saturday morning. Meanwhile, modest upper ridging will exist across the West with weak flow. At the surface, a cold front will stretch from near Lake Erie southwestward toward the OH Valley during the afternoon with a surface low developing from Lake Ontario into far southwest Quebec late. Otherwise, the pre-frontal trough will be relatively weak during the day. ...OH and Vicinity... Daytime heating will lead to steepening lapse rates, with a plume of 60s F dewpoints likely east of the cold front. Forecast soundings show in excess of 1000 J/kg MUCAPE. While low-level lapse rates will become steep, most of the cooling aloft will be post frontal, and not contribute appreciably to destabilization across the warm sector. Increasing frontal ascent into the uncapped air mass will lead to scattered storms after about 18Z, from far western NY into parts of KY. The most favorable combination of instability and wind profiles appears to be over OH, with sufficiently long hodographs to support hail in some of the storms. Cellular storm mode is expected early, with the undercutting cold front supporting a transition to linear. As such, marginal hail and then wind gusts will be possible through about 02Z, when storms are expected to dissipate with the loss of heating. ..Jewell.. 09/05/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1218 PM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF OHIO AND PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... Strong to locally severe storms are possible on Friday across much of Ohio and adjacent portions of the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough will deepen on Friday as it moves from the upper MS Valley across the Great Lakes. The primary speed max will dive southeastward across MN/IA during the day and round the base of the trough into IL, IN, OH and toward Lake Erie into Saturday morning. Meanwhile, modest upper ridging will exist across the West with weak flow. At the surface, a cold front will stretch from near Lake Erie southwestward toward the OH Valley during the afternoon with a surface low developing from Lake Ontario into far southwest Quebec late. Otherwise, the pre-frontal trough will be relatively weak during the day. ...OH and Vicinity... Daytime heating will lead to steepening lapse rates, with a plume of 60s F dewpoints likely east of the cold front. Forecast soundings show in excess of 1000 J/kg MUCAPE. While low-level lapse rates will become steep, most of the cooling aloft will be post frontal, and not contribute appreciably to destabilization across the warm sector. Increasing frontal ascent into the uncapped air mass will lead to scattered storms after about 18Z, from far western NY into parts of KY. The most favorable combination of instability and wind profiles appears to be over OH, with sufficiently long hodographs to support hail in some of the storms. Cellular storm mode is expected early, with the undercutting cold front supporting a transition to linear. As such, marginal hail and then wind gusts will be possible through about 02Z, when storms are expected to dissipate with the loss of heating. ..Jewell.. 09/05/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1218 PM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF OHIO AND PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... Strong to locally severe storms are possible on Friday across much of Ohio and adjacent portions of the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough will deepen on Friday as it moves from the upper MS Valley across the Great Lakes. The primary speed max will dive southeastward across MN/IA during the day and round the base of the trough into IL, IN, OH and toward Lake Erie into Saturday morning. Meanwhile, modest upper ridging will exist across the West with weak flow. At the surface, a cold front will stretch from near Lake Erie southwestward toward the OH Valley during the afternoon with a surface low developing from Lake Ontario into far southwest Quebec late. Otherwise, the pre-frontal trough will be relatively weak during the day. ...OH and Vicinity... Daytime heating will lead to steepening lapse rates, with a plume of 60s F dewpoints likely east of the cold front. Forecast soundings show in excess of 1000 J/kg MUCAPE. While low-level lapse rates will become steep, most of the cooling aloft will be post frontal, and not contribute appreciably to destabilization across the warm sector. Increasing frontal ascent into the uncapped air mass will lead to scattered storms after about 18Z, from far western NY into parts of KY. The most favorable combination of instability and wind profiles appears to be over OH, with sufficiently long hodographs to support hail in some of the storms. Cellular storm mode is expected early, with the undercutting cold front supporting a transition to linear. As such, marginal hail and then wind gusts will be possible through about 02Z, when storms are expected to dissipate with the loss of heating. ..Jewell.. 09/05/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1218 PM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF OHIO AND PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... Strong to locally severe storms are possible on Friday across much of Ohio and adjacent portions of the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough will deepen on Friday as it moves from the upper MS Valley across the Great Lakes. The primary speed max will dive southeastward across MN/IA during the day and round the base of the trough into IL, IN, OH and toward Lake Erie into Saturday morning. Meanwhile, modest upper ridging will exist across the West with weak flow. At the surface, a cold front will stretch from near Lake Erie southwestward toward the OH Valley during the afternoon with a surface low developing from Lake Ontario into far southwest Quebec late. Otherwise, the pre-frontal trough will be relatively weak during the day. ...OH and Vicinity... Daytime heating will lead to steepening lapse rates, with a plume of 60s F dewpoints likely east of the cold front. Forecast soundings show in excess of 1000 J/kg MUCAPE. While low-level lapse rates will become steep, most of the cooling aloft will be post frontal, and not contribute appreciably to destabilization across the warm sector. Increasing frontal ascent into the uncapped air mass will lead to scattered storms after about 18Z, from far western NY into parts of KY. The most favorable combination of instability and wind profiles appears to be over OH, with sufficiently long hodographs to support hail in some of the storms. Cellular storm mode is expected early, with the undercutting cold front supporting a transition to linear. As such, marginal hail and then wind gusts will be possible through about 02Z, when storms are expected to dissipate with the loss of heating. ..Jewell.. 09/05/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1218 PM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF OHIO AND PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... Strong to locally severe storms are possible on Friday across much of Ohio and adjacent portions of the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough will deepen on Friday as it moves from the upper MS Valley across the Great Lakes. The primary speed max will dive southeastward across MN/IA during the day and round the base of the trough into IL, IN, OH and toward Lake Erie into Saturday morning. Meanwhile, modest upper ridging will exist across the West with weak flow. At the surface, a cold front will stretch from near Lake Erie southwestward toward the OH Valley during the afternoon with a surface low developing from Lake Ontario into far southwest Quebec late. Otherwise, the pre-frontal trough will be relatively weak during the day. ...OH and Vicinity... Daytime heating will lead to steepening lapse rates, with a plume of 60s F dewpoints likely east of the cold front. Forecast soundings show in excess of 1000 J/kg MUCAPE. While low-level lapse rates will become steep, most of the cooling aloft will be post frontal, and not contribute appreciably to destabilization across the warm sector. Increasing frontal ascent into the uncapped air mass will lead to scattered storms after about 18Z, from far western NY into parts of KY. The most favorable combination of instability and wind profiles appears to be over OH, with sufficiently long hodographs to support hail in some of the storms. Cellular storm mode is expected early, with the undercutting cold front supporting a transition to linear. As such, marginal hail and then wind gusts will be possible through about 02Z, when storms are expected to dissipate with the loss of heating. ..Jewell.. 09/05/2024 Read more

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1218 PM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF OHIO AND PARTS OF ADJACENT STATES... ...SUMMARY... Strong to locally severe storms are possible on Friday across much of Ohio and adjacent portions of the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough will deepen on Friday as it moves from the upper MS Valley across the Great Lakes. The primary speed max will dive southeastward across MN/IA during the day and round the base of the trough into IL, IN, OH and toward Lake Erie into Saturday morning. Meanwhile, modest upper ridging will exist across the West with weak flow. At the surface, a cold front will stretch from near Lake Erie southwestward toward the OH Valley during the afternoon with a surface low developing from Lake Ontario into far southwest Quebec late. Otherwise, the pre-frontal trough will be relatively weak during the day. ...OH and Vicinity... Daytime heating will lead to steepening lapse rates, with a plume of 60s F dewpoints likely east of the cold front. Forecast soundings show in excess of 1000 J/kg MUCAPE. While low-level lapse rates will become steep, most of the cooling aloft will be post frontal, and not contribute appreciably to destabilization across the warm sector. Increasing frontal ascent into the uncapped air mass will lead to scattered storms after about 18Z, from far western NY into parts of KY. The most favorable combination of instability and wind profiles appears to be over OH, with sufficiently long hodographs to support hail in some of the storms. Cellular storm mode is expected early, with the undercutting cold front supporting a transition to linear. As such, marginal hail and then wind gusts will be possible through about 02Z, when storms are expected to dissipate with the loss of heating. ..Jewell.. 09/05/2024 Read more

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 051708
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Sep 5 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form early next week off
the coast of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions could support
gradual development of this system thereafter while it moves
generally west-northwestward, roughly parallel to the coast of
southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 AM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024 Valid 051700Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D1 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 09/05/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1212 AM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be limited for today across the country. 05 UTC surface observations show a cold front slowly migrating south across the Plains and the upper MS River Valley. This front is expected to reach the southern Plains by evening as surface high pressure builds across the northern CONUS. Breezy conditions are expected behind the front, but an influx of cooler air combined with cloud cover and isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms limits fire weather concerns. Across the West, an upper ridge currently over the region will linger through the next 24 hours. This will promote mostly clear skies and dry conditions for the afternoon with RH values in the teens and low 20s common. Surface winds will remain relatively benign with the exception of mountainous areas of southern CA, the northern Cascades, and parts of central to southern UT. Any fire weather concerns across these regions should remain sufficiently localized to preclude the need for highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 AM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024 Valid 051700Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D1 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 09/05/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1212 AM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be limited for today across the country. 05 UTC surface observations show a cold front slowly migrating south across the Plains and the upper MS River Valley. This front is expected to reach the southern Plains by evening as surface high pressure builds across the northern CONUS. Breezy conditions are expected behind the front, but an influx of cooler air combined with cloud cover and isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms limits fire weather concerns. Across the West, an upper ridge currently over the region will linger through the next 24 hours. This will promote mostly clear skies and dry conditions for the afternoon with RH values in the teens and low 20s common. Surface winds will remain relatively benign with the exception of mountainous areas of southern CA, the northern Cascades, and parts of central to southern UT. Any fire weather concerns across these regions should remain sufficiently localized to preclude the need for highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 AM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024 Valid 051700Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D1 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 09/05/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1212 AM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be limited for today across the country. 05 UTC surface observations show a cold front slowly migrating south across the Plains and the upper MS River Valley. This front is expected to reach the southern Plains by evening as surface high pressure builds across the northern CONUS. Breezy conditions are expected behind the front, but an influx of cooler air combined with cloud cover and isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms limits fire weather concerns. Across the West, an upper ridge currently over the region will linger through the next 24 hours. This will promote mostly clear skies and dry conditions for the afternoon with RH values in the teens and low 20s common. Surface winds will remain relatively benign with the exception of mountainous areas of southern CA, the northern Cascades, and parts of central to southern UT. Any fire weather concerns across these regions should remain sufficiently localized to preclude the need for highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 AM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024 Valid 051700Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D1 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 09/05/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1212 AM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be limited for today across the country. 05 UTC surface observations show a cold front slowly migrating south across the Plains and the upper MS River Valley. This front is expected to reach the southern Plains by evening as surface high pressure builds across the northern CONUS. Breezy conditions are expected behind the front, but an influx of cooler air combined with cloud cover and isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms limits fire weather concerns. Across the West, an upper ridge currently over the region will linger through the next 24 hours. This will promote mostly clear skies and dry conditions for the afternoon with RH values in the teens and low 20s common. Surface winds will remain relatively benign with the exception of mountainous areas of southern CA, the northern Cascades, and parts of central to southern UT. Any fire weather concerns across these regions should remain sufficiently localized to preclude the need for highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 AM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024 Valid 051700Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D1 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 09/05/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1212 AM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be limited for today across the country. 05 UTC surface observations show a cold front slowly migrating south across the Plains and the upper MS River Valley. This front is expected to reach the southern Plains by evening as surface high pressure builds across the northern CONUS. Breezy conditions are expected behind the front, but an influx of cooler air combined with cloud cover and isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms limits fire weather concerns. Across the West, an upper ridge currently over the region will linger through the next 24 hours. This will promote mostly clear skies and dry conditions for the afternoon with RH values in the teens and low 20s common. Surface winds will remain relatively benign with the exception of mountainous areas of southern CA, the northern Cascades, and parts of central to southern UT. Any fire weather concerns across these regions should remain sufficiently localized to preclude the need for highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 AM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024 Valid 051700Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D1 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 09/05/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1212 AM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be limited for today across the country. 05 UTC surface observations show a cold front slowly migrating south across the Plains and the upper MS River Valley. This front is expected to reach the southern Plains by evening as surface high pressure builds across the northern CONUS. Breezy conditions are expected behind the front, but an influx of cooler air combined with cloud cover and isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms limits fire weather concerns. Across the West, an upper ridge currently over the region will linger through the next 24 hours. This will promote mostly clear skies and dry conditions for the afternoon with RH values in the teens and low 20s common. Surface winds will remain relatively benign with the exception of mountainous areas of southern CA, the northern Cascades, and parts of central to southern UT. Any fire weather concerns across these regions should remain sufficiently localized to preclude the need for highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 AM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024 Valid 051700Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D1 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 09/05/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1212 AM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be limited for today across the country. 05 UTC surface observations show a cold front slowly migrating south across the Plains and the upper MS River Valley. This front is expected to reach the southern Plains by evening as surface high pressure builds across the northern CONUS. Breezy conditions are expected behind the front, but an influx of cooler air combined with cloud cover and isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms limits fire weather concerns. Across the West, an upper ridge currently over the region will linger through the next 24 hours. This will promote mostly clear skies and dry conditions for the afternoon with RH values in the teens and low 20s common. Surface winds will remain relatively benign with the exception of mountainous areas of southern CA, the northern Cascades, and parts of central to southern UT. Any fire weather concerns across these regions should remain sufficiently localized to preclude the need for highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 AM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024 Valid 051700Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D1 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 09/05/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1212 AM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be limited for today across the country. 05 UTC surface observations show a cold front slowly migrating south across the Plains and the upper MS River Valley. This front is expected to reach the southern Plains by evening as surface high pressure builds across the northern CONUS. Breezy conditions are expected behind the front, but an influx of cooler air combined with cloud cover and isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms limits fire weather concerns. Across the West, an upper ridge currently over the region will linger through the next 24 hours. This will promote mostly clear skies and dry conditions for the afternoon with RH values in the teens and low 20s common. Surface winds will remain relatively benign with the exception of mountainous areas of southern CA, the northern Cascades, and parts of central to southern UT. Any fire weather concerns across these regions should remain sufficiently localized to preclude the need for highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1152 AM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024 Valid 051700Z - 061200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes are needed to the current D1 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion for more information. ..Thornton.. 09/05/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1212 AM CDT Thu Sep 05 2024/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be limited for today across the country. 05 UTC surface observations show a cold front slowly migrating south across the Plains and the upper MS River Valley. This front is expected to reach the southern Plains by evening as surface high pressure builds across the northern CONUS. Breezy conditions are expected behind the front, but an influx of cooler air combined with cloud cover and isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms limits fire weather concerns. Across the West, an upper ridge currently over the region will linger through the next 24 hours. This will promote mostly clear skies and dry conditions for the afternoon with RH values in the teens and low 20s common. Surface winds will remain relatively benign with the exception of mountainous areas of southern CA, the northern Cascades, and parts of central to southern UT. Any fire weather concerns across these regions should remain sufficiently localized to preclude the need for highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more