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Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 AM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 081200Z - 131200Z ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level trough will move through the eastern U.S. on Wednesday, as another mid-level trough moves across the Desert Southwest. This second trough is forecast to move into the Rockies on Thursday/Day 5 and into the Great Plains on Friday/Day 6. Some thunderstorm activity will be possible across parts of the Texas Coastal Plain Thursday night, and along the central Gulf Coast on Friday. Ahead of the system, moisture return is forecast to be minimal across the western and central Gulf Coast. The airmass overland is expected to be relatively stable, minimizing any convective potential. As the mid-level system continues to move eastward, thunderstorms could develop over parts of Florida on Saturday, with any storms moving off the coast into the Atlantic on Sunday. Throughout the Day 4 to 8 period, instability is expected to be very limited minimizing any chance for thunderstorms, and making severe storms very unlikely. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 AM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 081200Z - 131200Z ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level trough will move through the eastern U.S. on Wednesday, as another mid-level trough moves across the Desert Southwest. This second trough is forecast to move into the Rockies on Thursday/Day 5 and into the Great Plains on Friday/Day 6. Some thunderstorm activity will be possible across parts of the Texas Coastal Plain Thursday night, and along the central Gulf Coast on Friday. Ahead of the system, moisture return is forecast to be minimal across the western and central Gulf Coast. The airmass overland is expected to be relatively stable, minimizing any convective potential. As the mid-level system continues to move eastward, thunderstorms could develop over parts of Florida on Saturday, with any storms moving off the coast into the Atlantic on Sunday. Throughout the Day 4 to 8 period, instability is expected to be very limited minimizing any chance for thunderstorms, and making severe storms very unlikely. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 AM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 081200Z - 131200Z ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level trough will move through the eastern U.S. on Wednesday, as another mid-level trough moves across the Desert Southwest. This second trough is forecast to move into the Rockies on Thursday/Day 5 and into the Great Plains on Friday/Day 6. Some thunderstorm activity will be possible across parts of the Texas Coastal Plain Thursday night, and along the central Gulf Coast on Friday. Ahead of the system, moisture return is forecast to be minimal across the western and central Gulf Coast. The airmass overland is expected to be relatively stable, minimizing any convective potential. As the mid-level system continues to move eastward, thunderstorms could develop over parts of Florida on Saturday, with any storms moving off the coast into the Atlantic on Sunday. Throughout the Day 4 to 8 period, instability is expected to be very limited minimizing any chance for thunderstorms, and making severe storms very unlikely. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 AM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 081200Z - 131200Z ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level trough will move through the eastern U.S. on Wednesday, as another mid-level trough moves across the Desert Southwest. This second trough is forecast to move into the Rockies on Thursday/Day 5 and into the Great Plains on Friday/Day 6. Some thunderstorm activity will be possible across parts of the Texas Coastal Plain Thursday night, and along the central Gulf Coast on Friday. Ahead of the system, moisture return is forecast to be minimal across the western and central Gulf Coast. The airmass overland is expected to be relatively stable, minimizing any convective potential. As the mid-level system continues to move eastward, thunderstorms could develop over parts of Florida on Saturday, with any storms moving off the coast into the Atlantic on Sunday. Throughout the Day 4 to 8 period, instability is expected to be very limited minimizing any chance for thunderstorms, and making severe storms very unlikely. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 AM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 081200Z - 131200Z ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level trough will move through the eastern U.S. on Wednesday, as another mid-level trough moves across the Desert Southwest. This second trough is forecast to move into the Rockies on Thursday/Day 5 and into the Great Plains on Friday/Day 6. Some thunderstorm activity will be possible across parts of the Texas Coastal Plain Thursday night, and along the central Gulf Coast on Friday. Ahead of the system, moisture return is forecast to be minimal across the western and central Gulf Coast. The airmass overland is expected to be relatively stable, minimizing any convective potential. As the mid-level system continues to move eastward, thunderstorms could develop over parts of Florida on Saturday, with any storms moving off the coast into the Atlantic on Sunday. Throughout the Day 4 to 8 period, instability is expected to be very limited minimizing any chance for thunderstorms, and making severe storms very unlikely. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 AM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 081200Z - 131200Z ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level trough will move through the eastern U.S. on Wednesday, as another mid-level trough moves across the Desert Southwest. This second trough is forecast to move into the Rockies on Thursday/Day 5 and into the Great Plains on Friday/Day 6. Some thunderstorm activity will be possible across parts of the Texas Coastal Plain Thursday night, and along the central Gulf Coast on Friday. Ahead of the system, moisture return is forecast to be minimal across the western and central Gulf Coast. The airmass overland is expected to be relatively stable, minimizing any convective potential. As the mid-level system continues to move eastward, thunderstorms could develop over parts of Florida on Saturday, with any storms moving off the coast into the Atlantic on Sunday. Throughout the Day 4 to 8 period, instability is expected to be very limited minimizing any chance for thunderstorms, and making severe storms very unlikely. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 AM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 081200Z - 131200Z ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level trough will move through the eastern U.S. on Wednesday, as another mid-level trough moves across the Desert Southwest. This second trough is forecast to move into the Rockies on Thursday/Day 5 and into the Great Plains on Friday/Day 6. Some thunderstorm activity will be possible across parts of the Texas Coastal Plain Thursday night, and along the central Gulf Coast on Friday. Ahead of the system, moisture return is forecast to be minimal across the western and central Gulf Coast. The airmass overland is expected to be relatively stable, minimizing any convective potential. As the mid-level system continues to move eastward, thunderstorms could develop over parts of Florida on Saturday, with any storms moving off the coast into the Atlantic on Sunday. Throughout the Day 4 to 8 period, instability is expected to be very limited minimizing any chance for thunderstorms, and making severe storms very unlikely. Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0153 AM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No thunderstorms are forecast on Tuesday or Tuesday night across the continental U.S. ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level low is forecast to close off over the Desert Southwest on Tuesday, as a large-scale mid-level trough moves southeastward through the Great Lakes and Upper Midwest. At the surface, a large high pressure area with cold and dry conditions will dominate much of the continental U.S. This will be unfavorable for thunderstorm development Tuesday and Tuesday night. ..Broyles.. 01/05/2025 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0153 AM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No thunderstorms are forecast on Tuesday or Tuesday night across the continental U.S. ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level low is forecast to close off over the Desert Southwest on Tuesday, as a large-scale mid-level trough moves southeastward through the Great Lakes and Upper Midwest. At the surface, a large high pressure area with cold and dry conditions will dominate much of the continental U.S. This will be unfavorable for thunderstorm development Tuesday and Tuesday night. ..Broyles.. 01/05/2025 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0153 AM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No thunderstorms are forecast on Tuesday or Tuesday night across the continental U.S. ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level low is forecast to close off over the Desert Southwest on Tuesday, as a large-scale mid-level trough moves southeastward through the Great Lakes and Upper Midwest. At the surface, a large high pressure area with cold and dry conditions will dominate much of the continental U.S. This will be unfavorable for thunderstorm development Tuesday and Tuesday night. ..Broyles.. 01/05/2025 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0153 AM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No thunderstorms are forecast on Tuesday or Tuesday night across the continental U.S. ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level low is forecast to close off over the Desert Southwest on Tuesday, as a large-scale mid-level trough moves southeastward through the Great Lakes and Upper Midwest. At the surface, a large high pressure area with cold and dry conditions will dominate much of the continental U.S. This will be unfavorable for thunderstorm development Tuesday and Tuesday night. ..Broyles.. 01/05/2025 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0153 AM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No thunderstorms are forecast on Tuesday or Tuesday night across the continental U.S. ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level low is forecast to close off over the Desert Southwest on Tuesday, as a large-scale mid-level trough moves southeastward through the Great Lakes and Upper Midwest. At the surface, a large high pressure area with cold and dry conditions will dominate much of the continental U.S. This will be unfavorable for thunderstorm development Tuesday and Tuesday night. ..Broyles.. 01/05/2025 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0153 AM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No thunderstorms are forecast on Tuesday or Tuesday night across the continental U.S. ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level low is forecast to close off over the Desert Southwest on Tuesday, as a large-scale mid-level trough moves southeastward through the Great Lakes and Upper Midwest. At the surface, a large high pressure area with cold and dry conditions will dominate much of the continental U.S. This will be unfavorable for thunderstorm development Tuesday and Tuesday night. ..Broyles.. 01/05/2025 Read more

SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0153 AM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... No thunderstorms are forecast on Tuesday or Tuesday night across the continental U.S. ...DISCUSSION... A mid-level low is forecast to close off over the Desert Southwest on Tuesday, as a large-scale mid-level trough moves southeastward through the Great Lakes and Upper Midwest. At the surface, a large high pressure area with cold and dry conditions will dominate much of the continental U.S. This will be unfavorable for thunderstorm development Tuesday and Tuesday night. ..Broyles.. 01/05/2025 Read more

MD 0002 CONCERNING FREEZING RAIN FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL KANSAS INTO FAR WESTERN MISSOURI
Mesoscale Discussion 0002 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0838 PM CST Sat Jan 04 2025 Areas affected...south-central Kansas into far western Missouri Concerning...Freezing rain Valid 050238Z - 050845Z SUMMARY...Areas of light freezing rain may intensify later this evening, spreading out of south-central Kansas into far western Missouri. Small hail may also occur from far northern Oklahoma into southern Kansas. DISCUSSION...Light freezing drizzle/rain persists this evening over south-central KS north of the warm front over northern OK. VWPs indicate increasing southwest flow just above the stable/cold boundary layer, which will result in increasing moisture advection and lift atop the cold air mass. Indications are that heavier convective elements/elevated thunderstorms may form over far northern OK into southern KS between 03-06Z. As this activity expands northeast and north of the freezing line, moderate to heavy bursts of freezing rain may occur. Forecast soundings indicate several hundred J/kg MUCAPE will develop by 06Z, and very small hail cannot be ruled out. ..Jewell.. 01/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT... LAT...LON 37939408 37899458 37839508 37749580 37689647 37599709 37539764 37499813 37579841 37899841 38419798 38689652 38829442 38659376 38389367 38119374 37939408 Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0140 AM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... With a fairly expansive trough across much of the U.S. on Monday, fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal on account of cool/cold conditions and higher RH values. There will be modest increase in offshore winds in southern California towards Tuesday morning, but winds and RH still appear too marginal for more than a locally elevated threat. ..Wendt.. 01/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0140 AM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... With a fairly expansive trough across much of the U.S. on Monday, fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal on account of cool/cold conditions and higher RH values. There will be modest increase in offshore winds in southern California towards Tuesday morning, but winds and RH still appear too marginal for more than a locally elevated threat. ..Wendt.. 01/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0140 AM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... With a fairly expansive trough across much of the U.S. on Monday, fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal on account of cool/cold conditions and higher RH values. There will be modest increase in offshore winds in southern California towards Tuesday morning, but winds and RH still appear too marginal for more than a locally elevated threat. ..Wendt.. 01/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0140 AM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... With a fairly expansive trough across much of the U.S. on Monday, fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal on account of cool/cold conditions and higher RH values. There will be modest increase in offshore winds in southern California towards Tuesday morning, but winds and RH still appear too marginal for more than a locally elevated threat. ..Wendt.. 01/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0140 AM CST Sun Jan 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... With a fairly expansive trough across much of the U.S. on Monday, fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal on account of cool/cold conditions and higher RH values. There will be modest increase in offshore winds in southern California towards Tuesday morning, but winds and RH still appear too marginal for more than a locally elevated threat. ..Wendt.. 01/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more