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SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1015 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2025 Valid 151630Z - 161200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis and Discussion... With weak instability in place this morning, isolated thunderstorms should continue for a few more hours along parts of the middle/upper TX Coast as an upper trough pivots southeastward over the southern Plains. This activity will remain elevated in nature, and severe thunderstorms are not expected. Across the rest of the CONUS, dry and/or stable conditions will preclude thunderstorms through tonight. ..Gleason/Thornton.. 01/15/2025 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1015 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2025 Valid 151630Z - 161200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis and Discussion... With weak instability in place this morning, isolated thunderstorms should continue for a few more hours along parts of the middle/upper TX Coast as an upper trough pivots southeastward over the southern Plains. This activity will remain elevated in nature, and severe thunderstorms are not expected. Across the rest of the CONUS, dry and/or stable conditions will preclude thunderstorms through tonight. ..Gleason/Thornton.. 01/15/2025 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1015 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2025 Valid 151630Z - 161200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis and Discussion... With weak instability in place this morning, isolated thunderstorms should continue for a few more hours along parts of the middle/upper TX Coast as an upper trough pivots southeastward over the southern Plains. This activity will remain elevated in nature, and severe thunderstorms are not expected. Across the rest of the CONUS, dry and/or stable conditions will preclude thunderstorms through tonight. ..Gleason/Thornton.. 01/15/2025 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1015 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2025 Valid 151630Z - 161200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis and Discussion... With weak instability in place this morning, isolated thunderstorms should continue for a few more hours along parts of the middle/upper TX Coast as an upper trough pivots southeastward over the southern Plains. This activity will remain elevated in nature, and severe thunderstorms are not expected. Across the rest of the CONUS, dry and/or stable conditions will preclude thunderstorms through tonight. ..Gleason/Thornton.. 01/15/2025 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1015 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2025 Valid 151630Z - 161200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis and Discussion... With weak instability in place this morning, isolated thunderstorms should continue for a few more hours along parts of the middle/upper TX Coast as an upper trough pivots southeastward over the southern Plains. This activity will remain elevated in nature, and severe thunderstorms are not expected. Across the rest of the CONUS, dry and/or stable conditions will preclude thunderstorms through tonight. ..Gleason/Thornton.. 01/15/2025 Read more

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1015 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2025 Valid 151630Z - 161200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis and Discussion... With weak instability in place this morning, isolated thunderstorms should continue for a few more hours along parts of the middle/upper TX Coast as an upper trough pivots southeastward over the southern Plains. This activity will remain elevated in nature, and severe thunderstorms are not expected. Across the rest of the CONUS, dry and/or stable conditions will preclude thunderstorms through tonight. ..Gleason/Thornton.. 01/15/2025 Read more

Palmetto State Park in Central Texas was on the dry side after a dry spell from summer to fall. The swamp was dried up rather than roughly three feet deep, and the grass was dead. The last good rain fell about two to three months ago. The dry conditions threaten the ability of the green tree frogs to reproduce because they have nowhere to lay their eggs. Some of the smaller trees like hackberries and cedar elms were dying. KEYE CBS Austin (Texas), Jan 13, 2025

The Corpus Christi city council gave the city manager approval to proceed with brokering contracts with landowners for lease sites for wells. The council’s vote set aside about $2 million for contracts that would support the first year of groundwater pumping from the wells. The wells were among several water supply projects the city has been exploring as Stage 3 water restrictions continued. Lake Corpus Christi and Choke Canyon were at 19.1% of capacity on Jan 13. Corpus Christi Caller Times (Texas), Jan 14, 2025

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0646 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2025 Valid 151300Z - 161200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Coastal Texas... Scattered elevated convection is expected to continue across the coastal plain as warm/moist advection persists while a weak mid-level disturbance moves eastward over the western Gulf of Mexico. Deeper lightning-producing convection will focus over the open Gulf waters, but a few lightning flashes could occur near the coast. This potential is substantiated by the 12z observed sounding from Corpus Christi, which features 400 J/kg MUCAPE (based around 840mb) and a thermodynamic profile conducive for charge separation. ..Guyer/Dean.. 01/15/2025 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0646 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2025 Valid 151300Z - 161200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Coastal Texas... Scattered elevated convection is expected to continue across the coastal plain as warm/moist advection persists while a weak mid-level disturbance moves eastward over the western Gulf of Mexico. Deeper lightning-producing convection will focus over the open Gulf waters, but a few lightning flashes could occur near the coast. This potential is substantiated by the 12z observed sounding from Corpus Christi, which features 400 J/kg MUCAPE (based around 840mb) and a thermodynamic profile conducive for charge separation. ..Guyer/Dean.. 01/15/2025 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0646 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2025 Valid 151300Z - 161200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Coastal Texas... Scattered elevated convection is expected to continue across the coastal plain as warm/moist advection persists while a weak mid-level disturbance moves eastward over the western Gulf of Mexico. Deeper lightning-producing convection will focus over the open Gulf waters, but a few lightning flashes could occur near the coast. This potential is substantiated by the 12z observed sounding from Corpus Christi, which features 400 J/kg MUCAPE (based around 840mb) and a thermodynamic profile conducive for charge separation. ..Guyer/Dean.. 01/15/2025 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0646 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2025 Valid 151300Z - 161200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Coastal Texas... Scattered elevated convection is expected to continue across the coastal plain as warm/moist advection persists while a weak mid-level disturbance moves eastward over the western Gulf of Mexico. Deeper lightning-producing convection will focus over the open Gulf waters, but a few lightning flashes could occur near the coast. This potential is substantiated by the 12z observed sounding from Corpus Christi, which features 400 J/kg MUCAPE (based around 840mb) and a thermodynamic profile conducive for charge separation. ..Guyer/Dean.. 01/15/2025 Read more

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0646 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2025 Valid 151300Z - 161200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Coastal Texas... Scattered elevated convection is expected to continue across the coastal plain as warm/moist advection persists while a weak mid-level disturbance moves eastward over the western Gulf of Mexico. Deeper lightning-producing convection will focus over the open Gulf waters, but a few lightning flashes could occur near the coast. This potential is substantiated by the 12z observed sounding from Corpus Christi, which features 400 J/kg MUCAPE (based around 840mb) and a thermodynamic profile conducive for charge separation. ..Guyer/Dean.. 01/15/2025 Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0301 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2025 Valid 181200Z - 231200Z ...DISCUSSION... A weak surface low and attendant cold front is forecast to sweep across the Southeast on Day 4/Sat. Ahead of this feature, low-level moisture will increase along the central and northeast Gulf coast vicinity, with 60s F dewpoints generally remaining within the I-10 corridor. More modest moisture is possible across a broader area from central MS/AL into GA. While mid/upper flow will be quite strong, thermodynamics will largely limit a greater severe risk. Nevertheless, isolated thunderstorms, and perhaps a couple of strong storms, are possible near the immediate Gulf coast. Potential remains too low however to include 15 percent probabilities at this time. By Day 5/Sun, the aforementioned cold front will move offshore. Strong Arctic high pressure will build southeast and east across much of the CONUS east of the Rockies through the end of the forecast period, resulting in a cold, dry, and stable airmass. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0301 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2025 Valid 181200Z - 231200Z ...DISCUSSION... A weak surface low and attendant cold front is forecast to sweep across the Southeast on Day 4/Sat. Ahead of this feature, low-level moisture will increase along the central and northeast Gulf coast vicinity, with 60s F dewpoints generally remaining within the I-10 corridor. More modest moisture is possible across a broader area from central MS/AL into GA. While mid/upper flow will be quite strong, thermodynamics will largely limit a greater severe risk. Nevertheless, isolated thunderstorms, and perhaps a couple of strong storms, are possible near the immediate Gulf coast. Potential remains too low however to include 15 percent probabilities at this time. By Day 5/Sun, the aforementioned cold front will move offshore. Strong Arctic high pressure will build southeast and east across much of the CONUS east of the Rockies through the end of the forecast period, resulting in a cold, dry, and stable airmass. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0301 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2025 Valid 181200Z - 231200Z ...DISCUSSION... A weak surface low and attendant cold front is forecast to sweep across the Southeast on Day 4/Sat. Ahead of this feature, low-level moisture will increase along the central and northeast Gulf coast vicinity, with 60s F dewpoints generally remaining within the I-10 corridor. More modest moisture is possible across a broader area from central MS/AL into GA. While mid/upper flow will be quite strong, thermodynamics will largely limit a greater severe risk. Nevertheless, isolated thunderstorms, and perhaps a couple of strong storms, are possible near the immediate Gulf coast. Potential remains too low however to include 15 percent probabilities at this time. By Day 5/Sun, the aforementioned cold front will move offshore. Strong Arctic high pressure will build southeast and east across much of the CONUS east of the Rockies through the end of the forecast period, resulting in a cold, dry, and stable airmass. Read more

Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0301 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2025 Valid 181200Z - 231200Z ...DISCUSSION... A weak surface low and attendant cold front is forecast to sweep across the Southeast on Day 4/Sat. Ahead of this feature, low-level moisture will increase along the central and northeast Gulf coast vicinity, with 60s F dewpoints generally remaining within the I-10 corridor. More modest moisture is possible across a broader area from central MS/AL into GA. While mid/upper flow will be quite strong, thermodynamics will largely limit a greater severe risk. Nevertheless, isolated thunderstorms, and perhaps a couple of strong storms, are possible near the immediate Gulf coast. Potential remains too low however to include 15 percent probabilities at this time. By Day 5/Sun, the aforementioned cold front will move offshore. Strong Arctic high pressure will build southeast and east across much of the CONUS east of the Rockies through the end of the forecast period, resulting in a cold, dry, and stable airmass. Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2025 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...Synopsis... The surface high pressure gradient should begin to relax, with offshore flow gradually diminishing as the mid-level cutoff low morphs into an open wave and overspreads the Baja Peninsula tomorrow (Thursday). Before the pressure gradient weakens though, at least a few more hours of dry and breezy offshore flow will persist in terrain-favoring areas surrounding the Los Angeles metropolitan area, with Elevated highlights introduced. ..Squitieri.. 01/15/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2025 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...Synopsis... The surface high pressure gradient should begin to relax, with offshore flow gradually diminishing as the mid-level cutoff low morphs into an open wave and overspreads the Baja Peninsula tomorrow (Thursday). Before the pressure gradient weakens though, at least a few more hours of dry and breezy offshore flow will persist in terrain-favoring areas surrounding the Los Angeles metropolitan area, with Elevated highlights introduced. ..Squitieri.. 01/15/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0147 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2025 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...Synopsis... The surface high pressure gradient should begin to relax, with offshore flow gradually diminishing as the mid-level cutoff low morphs into an open wave and overspreads the Baja Peninsula tomorrow (Thursday). Before the pressure gradient weakens though, at least a few more hours of dry and breezy offshore flow will persist in terrain-favoring areas surrounding the Los Angeles metropolitan area, with Elevated highlights introduced. ..Squitieri.. 01/15/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more