Severe Storms

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0500 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...Day 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday... Moisture intrusion into the Rio Grande Valley from western Texas along with a subtle upper-level wave should set the stage for isolated afternoon shower and thunderstorm development across southern and central New Mexico. Fuels remain very dry and receptive to ignition/spread with ERCs at or above the 97th percentile within an area of extreme drought. Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Friday across much of the Colorado Plateau and Rockies under a building ridge but fuels are not quite dry/receptive enough for spread. ...Day 5-8/Friday-Monday... Building heat under an amplifying ridge across the West will continue to dry fuels. A developing thermal trough across California will yield well above normal temperatures for the Central Valley Days 5-7/Friday-Saturday. A more active wave pattern emerges early next week with a longer wave Pacific trough moving into the Northwest Sunday while also bringing a cut-off low into the Southwest. Fire weather concerns are expected to increase ahead of the trough across California/Oregon as well as portions of the Southwest with moisture from Baja California streaming into the region bringing potential showers and thunderstorms, but also potential for wetting rains. ..Williams.. 05/26/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more